notanewmember Posted August 25, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 25, 2015 I think it is appropriate to repost this day trader that lost $25K in the 2008 crash. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIMwMsY0ndo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted August 25, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 25, 2015 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKWB5i6vHck Some commentary on the crash from a familiar face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted August 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 I don't think this has been posted, and there are no duplicate sources of the source of this, only paraphrases: http://seekingalpha.com/article/3421396-the-big-long-goldman-sachs-and-hsbc-buy-7_1-tons-of-physical-gold The 'Big Long' - Goldman Sachs And HSBC Buy 7.1 Tons Of Physical Gold Aug. 10, 2015 3:40 AM ET SummaryOn August 6, 2015, Goldman Sachs, which has issued very bearish forecasts on long-term gold prices, took delivery of a 3.2-ton purchase of physical gold. On August 6, 2015, HSBC which also claims to be bearish, took delivery of a 3.9-ton purchase of physical gold. In both cases, the purchases are registered as being for the benefit of the bank's own house account, rather than the accounts of customers. Investors should do as the banks do, not as they say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted August 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Stick this back on the monitor! Argonaut Gold Podcast from 2012 http://commoditywatch.podbean.com/e/peter-dougherty-of-argonaut-gold/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted August 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tix9PHO5Sh4 Chinese stock market collapse? Pah - they are too busy pranking each other. Not my video, but it was funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted August 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 29, 2015 I'm back to start listening again to Goldseek radio after a 4 year break http://radio.goldseek.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted August 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 29, 2015 So what next? If the rally continues, day traders will probably have another good time going long next week. I suspect we'll rally up to 3,500 pts where the index will meet some resistance. The trend is however down until it clears 5,000 pts by the end of the year. No mean feat! If 3,000 pts is breached, the next target level is 2,500 pts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted August 31, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 31, 2015 Tech Analysis pro David Linton does weekly chart round ups - nothing this week, but here's last Mondays: http://www.updata.co.uk/chartsthisweek/240815/chartsthisweek.html And check back here each Monday http://www.updata.co.uk/chartsthisweek.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted September 1, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 1, 2015 It's a sea of red out there! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business/markets/global Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted September 4, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 I've no idea when the next boom will occur, but it WILL occur. This a small watch list of large companies that have fallen by the wayside. No buy recommendations, as they could go bust, but worth watching. Aquarius Platinum 8p Lonmin (Platinum Miner) 28p Tullow Oil 203p Medusa Mining (Gold Miner listed in Austrailia) 42cents Dryships (Dry bulk Cargo listed on the NASDAQ) 45cents Ferrexpo (Iron producer in the Ukraine) 59p Argonaut Gold (Canadian Listed $1.19) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted September 5, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Market Wizard's Ed Seykota latest (10bn fund manager) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P3Otj8bTLnk Something Just Ain't Right That's what you hear from the man on the street and from the man running a ten-billion dollar hedge fund. Something just ain't right. Govopoly in the 39th Day, confirms these feelings and points to something big, and unstoppable. The decline in manufacturing, the growth in debt and regulations, deflation and then inflation all follow from the same system.It also brings good news. Through understanding the system you can protect yourself from and even profit from events on the horizon.This website supplements my book with references and with models that can give you a gut feel for how the economy works.Use the buttons above to peek inside the book, buy it or access relating resources. http://39thday.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted September 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 8, 2015 I just found about the Poseidon bubble. Not well known. But an interesting chart: Poseidon bubble The Poseidon bubble was a stock market bubble in which the price of Australian mining shares soared in late 1969, then crashed in early 1970. It was triggered by the Poseidon NL company's discovery of a promising site for nickelmining in September 1969. In the late 1960s, nickel was in high demand due to the Vietnam War,[1] but there was a shortage of supply due toindustrial action against the major Canadian supplier Inco. These factors pushed the price of nickel to record levels, peaking at around £7,000/ton on the London market early in November 1969.[2] In September 1969, the mining company Poseidon NL made a major nickel discovery at Windarra in the Shire of Laverton, Western Australia. In early September their shares had been trading at $0.80, but as information about the discovery was released, the price rose until it was trading at $12.30 on October 1. After this, very little further information came to light, but the price continued to climb due to speculation; at one point, a UK broker suggested a value of up to $382 a share. The price of Poseidon shares quickly became too high for many investors, so some turned to other nickel stocks, stocks in other mines near Windarra, and eventually other mining stocks in general. As the price of mining shares grew, new companies were listed by promoters looking to cash in. Mining stocks peaked in January 1970, then immediatelycrashed. Poseidon shares peaked at an intraday high of $280 in February 1970, and fell rapidly thereafter. By the time Poseidon actually started producing nickel, the price of nickel had fallen. Also, the nickel ore was of a lower grade than originally thought, so extraction costs were higher. Profits from the mine were not sufficient to keep Poseidon afloat, and in 1976 it delisted. Western Mining then took over the mine, operating it until 1991. In 1974, The Rae Committee handed down its report on the Poseidon bubble, in which it documented numerous cases of improper trade practices. It recommended a number of changes to the regulation of stock markets, which ultimately led to Australia's national companies and securities legislation.[3][4] In the late 1980s, Robert Champion de Crespigny took over the Poseidon Company and it became part of Normandy Mining, the largest gold miner in Australia. In 2001 Normandy Mining, including Poseidon, was taken over by theNewmont Mining Corporation, which also at that time acquired Canadian company Franco-Nevada. The acquisitions made Newmont the world's largest producer of gold at that time.[5] From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poseidon_bubble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted September 15, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 15, 2015 360 Degree Video This is quite clever - if you watch this video of this tour bus in Hong Kong, you can pan around by clicking on the arrows in the top left hand corner! The quality isn't there yet, but it is in it's infancy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted September 20, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 20, 2015 Dryships which correlates to the Baltic Dry Index, has made a new lower lower at 36 cents a share. No recommendation to buy, as I am break out buyer, but interesting to watch. This was $120 a share! And down, 23cents --- DryShips: Don't Catch This Falling Knife Summary The rapid drop in the Baltic Dry Index of late indicates that the drybulk shipping industry is under pressure, which is why DRYS is being forced into asset sales. DRYS will see further weakness in day rates as demand for coal and iron ore shipments from China declines. DRYS’ debt is high relative to its earnings power, which is why it has been forced to sell its assets at a loss of $795 million to recapitalize the business. China’s GDP growth rate is anticipated to fall below 7% next year, indicating that the weakness in the commodity markets will continue. http://seekingalpha.com/article/3519966-dryships-dont-catch-this-falling-knife Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted November 4, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2015 $435 Bitcoin on the move - starting to clear the 400 area; new 6 month high. Interesting notes: -Jan 2015 was an exhaustion capitulation bottom. Massive volume on the drop. -This current rise is on increasing volume, like in Oct 2013. --- Big recent rise on large volume, which mimicks the last spike, this time last year! Bitcoin moves very fast as the "market" doesn't close, you can trade peer to peer direct with buyers/sellers.*Jan 2015 was an exhaustion bottom, marked by the move down on large volume.*Currently this morning Bitcoins are trading at $435/bitcoin.I still don't own any yet, but as this is a new 6 month high break out, as an experiment I ll buy an imaginary 10x bitcoins at this level, with a stop at around $390. 6 month chart, look at how it cleared the 300 area without looking backLive updates on the Bitstamp exchange http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#tgSzm1g10zm2g25zv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted November 4, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2015 $435 Bitcoin on the move - starting to clear the 400 area; new 6 month high. Interesting notes: -Jan 2015 was an exhaustion capitulation bottom. Massive volume on the drop. -This current rise is on increasing volume, like in Oct 2013. --- Big recent rise on large volume, which mimicks the last spike, this time last year! Bitcoin moves very fast as the "market" doesn't close, you can trade peer to peer direct with buyers/sellers.*Jan 2015 was an exhaustion bottom, marked by the move down on large volume.*Currently this morning Bitcoins are trading at $435/bitcoin.I still don't own any yet, but as this is a new 6 month high break out, as an experiment I ll buy an imaginary 10x bitcoins at this level, with a stop at around $390. 6 month chart, look at how it cleared the 300 area without looking backLive updates on the Bitstamp exchange http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#tgSzm1g10zm2g25zv This is a snapshot of the last rise in 2013 from 200 to about 1100. I can't name many 5 baggers in 2 months traded globally that is fairly liquid. (and not some penny stock on an obscure exchange). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jerpy Posted November 4, 2015 Report Share Posted November 4, 2015 Bitcoin on the move for sure, did you see the Z.H article from Tyler Durden, possibly China backed. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-11-02/reason-bitcoins-recent-surge-revealed B.t.w noticed Medusa beginning to look promising, some interesting stuff of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted November 4, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2015 ^Thanks, I had no idea it was the Chinese! Bitcoin up to $458 --- Medusa - is that Medusa mining? I don't see anything notable there at 51c, or is it another company? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted November 7, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 7, 2015 Bitcoin briefly flirted with the 500 area, and decided to back off, and sell off - now $385. I have circled the spinning top Doji. This would be a stop out! It was a good thing it was an imaginary trade! Maybe 500 is the next area to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted November 13, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 13, 2015 I think we are either at a turning point now in the markets. A rest to power on, or turn back down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted December 7, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2015 US 2016 Presidential Election odds from Paddypower Top three runners at the moment: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted December 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2015 I have just become aware of some dodgy stuff with binary options, and there is a broker who has gone to extreme lengths in marketing a system where you get 80% percentage wins. There are numerous bogus vlogs, blogs and websitesb that have been created to support their claims. I won't mention the broker which operates out of Cyprus and Singapore - but they have appeared to attracted a lot of punter capital, so much so, other brokers are trolling their sites and marketing their systems in their comments section (I guess they are losing too much business). I won't mention the broker name - but please becareful out there. If so many people are apparently winning - then ask, who is losing and paying for all the winning trades?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted December 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2015 http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/05/reutersjefferies-crb-index-1749-2011/ The commodities drop of late - we've been here before, at least 5 times in history. I suspect we might bump along at these lower levels for some time. Current CRB number is 177. This chart ends in 2011, April at a CRB index of 370. It collaborates with the live chart here: http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/kaavio.Webhost/charts/big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=crb&uf=0&type=2&size=2&sid=2392733&style=320&freq=2&entitlementtoken=0c33378313484ba9b46b8e24ded87dd6&time=20&rand=2036673409&compidx=aaaaa%3a0&ma=1&maval=30&lf=1&lf2=2&lf3=0&height=444&width=579&mocktick=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanewmember Posted December 17, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Super Investment ? With this new Star Wars film, and another chance to buy a mint Millennium Falcon, we could bring them back out in 20-30 years time, and et viola! 1979 Millennium Falcons are selling for about £200 to £400 on ebay, and they are not in mint condition. The original 1979 price was $29.99 according to http://www.starwars.com/news/the-vintage-vault-revisiting-kenners-millennium-falcon E.g. http://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/STAR-WARS-PALITOY-MILLENIUM-FALCON-vintage-Kenner-FIGURE-toys-1979-ESB-EMPIRE-/231613456395?hash=item35ed3ce00b:g:cFkAAOSwg3FUpRhl New Force Awakens Millennium Falcon £92 http://www.argos.co.uk/static/Product/partNumber/4253853.htm?CMPID=GS001&_$ja=tsid:59156|cid:189934165|agid:18074225245|tid:pla-151105172485|crid:77627767765|nw:g|rnd:5740718136283301130|dvc:c|adp:1o1&gclid=CNyZn7Gr4skCFRW3Gwodm1MM7g Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jerpy Posted December 17, 2015 Report Share Posted December 17, 2015 Super Investment ? With this new Star Wars film, and another chance to buy a mint Millennium Falcon, we could bring them back out in 20-30 years time, and et viola! 1979 Millennium Falcons are selling for about £200 to £400 on ebay, and they are not in mint condition. The original 1979 price was $29.99 according to http://www.starwars.com/news/the-vintage-vault-revisiting-kenners-millennium-falcon E.g. http://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/STAR-WARS-PALITOY-MILLENIUM-FALCON-vintage-Kenner-FIGURE-toys-1979-ESB-EMPIRE-/231613456395?hash=item35ed3ce00b:g:cFkAAOSwg3FUpRhl New Force Awakens Millennium Falcon £92 http://www.argos.co.uk/static/Product/partNumber/4253853.htm?CMPID=GS001&_$ja=tsid:59156|cid:189934165|agid:18074225245|tid:pla-151105172485|crid:77627767765|nw:g|rnd:5740718136283301130|dvc:c|adp:1o1&gclid=CNyZn7Gr4skCFRW3Gwodm1MM7g Feel a bit green seeing that and seeing that I had a fair amount of this kind of stuff, all went out with the trash in my late teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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