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drbubb

Mentee's Favs - stock charts & Portfolios

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RELATIVE PERFORMANCE . +49%, vs. +4.1%:  +31% & -25%

Index :  12/31/19: 3/30/- :  8/28/:  9/30/20:  Sep.% : >8 mo :  >9mo :  >6 mo :
SPX —:   3,230.8 : 2,584.6:  3,508.0: 3,363.0 : - 4.13%: +8.58%: +4.09%: +30.1%:
PSEI - :   7,815.3 :  5,321.2: 5,884.2: 5,864.2 : - 0.34%: - 24.7%:  - 25.0%: +10.2%:
GDXJ. :   $42.26 :  $28.10:  $59.79:  $55.36:   - 7.41%: +41.5%: +31.0%: +97.0%:
Can.pt :  $1,300 :  $1.300:  $3,184:  $2,967 :  - 6.82%: + 145.%: +128%:   same
Phl.pt.: 113,750: 113,750:  131.6K: 133,075: +1.01%: +15.9%: +17.0%:   same
2.portf : 161,720: 161,720: 249.3K: 241,371: - 3.18%:  +54.2%: +49.2%:  same

===================================

END SEPT. Update -                                       --> Charts:  PHL : CAN / MT-3m: 10d:

PHL Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH + AREIT = 133,075.
Versus Orig. Investment (P 113,750): +17.0%

Chart:  PHLSugar-etc:

8KeJwCh.gif

Divs in Sep.: AREIT P1,062 + SHNG P198= P1,260
Small rise in RCI shares, covered loss on recently-acquired PLC shares

Portf. : # shs :  Aver. : P. Cost : price : MktVal.: Profit :
PLC   : 70,000 : 0.321 : 22,463: P0.310: 21,700:  (  763)
RCI    : 40,000 : 1.231 : 49,244: P1.190: 47,600: (1,644)
SHNG:   5,000 : 2.682 : 13,410: P2.650: 13,250: (  160)
AREIT:   1,000 : 26.41 : 26,413: 25.600: 25,600:  (  813)
=====>   Total :  === : 111,530: ====: 108,150:  (3,380)
:Adjust: (reserve for selling costs) = :    (  768):  (  768)
:Adjusted Value of Stock Portfolio = : 107,382: (4,148)
CASH incl Realized (% of NAV: 19.3%): 25,693:`
    Cash + Mkt. Value —————————: 133,075:
    Vs : prior Month: 131,811 :  + 1,264 : + 0.96%;

+17.0% in about 6 months, is about 34% annualized. Down from +38%
+ The month's 1% gain in NAV was entirely due to dividend capture

/ 2 /

Chart: CAN

3COp7Eu.gif

CDN Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH = C$2,967,  +128% (P 108k)

PortC. : # shs: C.Cost: price: strike: Net: $Value: Profit:
CASH :    $ 32: $    32: $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $   32 :
SMC. : 15,000: $1,050: 0.070: $0.00: 0.065:$ 975: (  75):
EMR* : 10,000: $  600: 0.110: $0.00: 0.110: 1,100: $500 :
Emr.wt 10,000: $  000: 0.110: $0.08: 0.030: $ 300: $300 :
VG*    :   2,400: $  600: 0.550: $0.00: 0.550:  1,320: $720:
VG.wt :   1,200: $  000: 0.550: $0.30: 0.250: $ 300: $300:
=====  Total ::  $2,282: ========: 09/30: $4,027 +1745:
$1300, +210.% ==========> x36.5= Php 146,986
Discount 50%,sh ($610) & 75%,wt ($450) : ===== (1,060)
Total :======================: 09/30: $2,967: +685:
NAV=  Realised ($982) +Unrealized Profit: $0,685
$1300, +128.% : C$2,967= > x36.5 = Php 108,296
+128% in 6 months, is +256% annualized

*Trading restrictions expire: EMR: 12.01.20, VG: 11.29.20 -> ie 2 months

Mentee NAVs: Starting:   07/31 :   08/28  :   09/30 : % chg. :
CDN Portfolio: C$1,300 :  $5,118 :  $4,559 :  $4,027  : +210%:
CDN Port adj.: C$1,300 :  $3,303 :  $3,184 :  $2,967 : +128%:
CDN x P36.9  : P47,970 : 122,881: 117,490:  108,296: +128%:
PHP Portfolio: 113,750 : 133,943: 131,811: 133,075: +17.0%
2x combined  : 161,720 : 255,824: 249,301: 241,371: +49.3%
*(6mo>12mo): +99% annualized

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Mentee portfolio: New Record NAV: TOTAL+CASH:  138K. up +21% from P114k start

There could be a further rise, if RCI & PLC are breaking out here, along with a PSEI rally. 

RCI, PLC, etc ... YTD: MPort-3m: 10d / RCI: 1.26 +0.05,.  PLC: 0.340 -0.005

scAgpe3.gif

I heard this PHL news today: 

JUST IN: House Speaker Lord Allan Jay Velasco says the House of Representatives is transmitting to the Senate today the approved copy of the proposed ₱4.5-trillion

national budget for 2021 /  www.cnn.ph

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EMR JUMPED 25% yesterday. despite weak Gold 2 weeks+ after announcing exploration plans at Mindora property.

EMR ... update: 0.12 +0.025

I am wondering what else might be afoot

dwhJyCK.gif

Emgold begins exploration at Mindora, historic property

2020-10-06 10:10 ET -

Emgold Mining Corp. has commenced fall/winter exploration activities on its Mindora property, Nevada. The company's strategy is to:

  • Organize, review and analyze substantial historic exploration data from the past operators using the latest methods;
  • Locate collars of historic drill holes in the field...
  • Model historic and modern exploration data.

Management may elect to modify exploration plans based on actual exploration results obtained during the program.

About the Mindora property

Mindora is a gold/silver and base metal exploration property located 20 miles southeast of Hawthorne, Nev. The gold-silver zone is an epithermal, carbonate-hosted, structurally controlled deposit in the Luning limestone formation. The gold-silver zone overlies a porphyry system with molybdenum mineralization. There is also evidence of copper skarn and copper porphyry mineralization on the property.

The property was discovered and worked in the late 1800s. In the 1920s, a limited amount of production came from a series of rich, silver-bearing veins. During the period 1946 to 1948, an estimated 10,000 tons of direct-shipping ore was mined from the property at an unknown grade...

> more: https://www.stockwatch.com/News/Item?bid=Z-C:EMR-2971908&symbol=EMR&region=C
 

 

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END OCT. Update, PHL                               --> Charts:  PHL : CAN / MT-3m: 10d:

PHL Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH = 137,067. from Sept. (133,075): + 3,992, +3.0%
Vs Orig. Investment (P 113,750) : + 20.5%

Charts, PHL: 2mo: Sep-NovPHLSugar-etc:  Psei (6,324) was up +7.8% in October / vs. 5.864

hxYwwNh.gif

Philippines Portfolio

Portf. : # shs :  Aver. : P. Cost : price : MktVal.: Profit:
REIT  :   1,000 :  26.41 : 26,413: 25.550: 25,550: ( 863)
ION   :  13,000 : 0.963 : 12,516: P1.020: 13,260: + 748
PLC   : 70,000 : 0.321 : 22,463: P0.320: 22,400:  (  63)
RCI    : 40,000 : 1.231 : 49,244: P1.230: 49,200: (   44)
SHNG:   5,000 : 2.682 : 13,412: P2.690: 13,450:  + 40
=====>   Total :  === : 124,048: ===== 123,860:  (188)
:Adjust: (reserve for selling costs) =   ( 1,109): (1,109)
:Adjusted Value of Stock Portfolio = 122,751: (1,297)
CASH incl Realized (% of NAV 10.4%) 14,316:
    Cash + Mkt. Value ————————: 137,067:
    Vs: prior Month: 133,075: +3,992 :   + 3.0%:

+20.5% in about 7 months, is about 35% annualized. Vs +34% pa in SEP
+ The month's 3% gain in NAV was due to mainly two stocks

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END OCT. Update, CAN                             --> Charts:  PHL : CAN / MT-3m: 10d:

CAN Portfolio / NAV: C$3,709, & C$2,955, adjusted = from Sept. (0,000): - C $00, -0.0%
Vs Orig. Investment (C$ 1,300) : + 51,6%

Chart:  CAN: +GDXJ: Ytd / xx

9aqAz16.gif

CDN Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH = C$2,967,  +128% (P 108.2k)

PortC. : # shs: C.Cost: price: strike: Net: $Value: Profit:
CASH :    $ 32: $    32: $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $   32 :
SMC. : 15,000: $1,050: 0.070: $0.00: 0.055:$ 825: (225):
EMR* : 10,000: $  600: 0.110: $0.00: 0.125: 1,250: $650 :
Emr.wt 10,000: $  000: 0.110: $0.08: 0.045: $ 450: $450 :
VG*    :   2,400: $  600: 0.550: $0.00: 0.420:  1,008: $408:
VG.wt :   1,200: $  000: 0.550: $0.30: 0.120: $ 144: $144:
=====  Total ::  $2,282: ========: 10/30: $3,709 +1427:
$1300, +185.% ==========> x36.6= Php 135,749
Discount 50%,sh ($308) & 75%,wt ($446) : ===== (0,754)
Total :======================: 10/30: $2,955: +673:
NAV=  Realised ($982) +Unrealized Profit: $0,673
$1300, +127.% : C$2,955= > x36.6 = Php 108,153
+127% in 7 months, is +218% annualized

*Trading restrictions expire: EMR: 12.01.20, VG: 11.29.20 -> ie 1 month 

Mentee NAVs: Starting:   07/31 :   09/30  :   10/30 : % chg. :
CDN Portfolio: C$1,300 :  $5,118 :  $4,027 :  $3,709  : +185%:
CDN Port adj.: C$1,300 :  $3,303 :  $2,967 :  $2,955 : +127%:
CDN x P36.9  : P47,970 : 122,881: 108,296:  108,153: +125%:
PHP Portfolio: 113,750 : 133,943: 133,075: 137,067: +17.0%
2x combined  : 161,720 : 255,824: 241,371: 245,220: +51.6%
*(7mo>12mo): +87% annualized

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Putting it all together, performance-wise for 2020 - Started in March 2020

RELATIVE PERFORMANCE . +51.6%, vs. 2.67% ( +1.2%, -19% & +26% )

Index:  12/31/19: 3/30/- :  9/30/-:  10/30/-:   Oct.% : >9mo :  >10mo : >7 mo :
SPX —:   3,230.8 : 2,584.6:  3,363.0: 3,270.0 : - 2.77%: +4.09%: +1.21%: +26.5%:
PSEI - :   7,815.3 :  5,321.2: 5,864.2: 6,324.0 : +7.84%: - 25.0%: - 19.1%: +18.8%:
GDXJ. :   $42.26 :  $28.10:  $55.36:  $53.21 :  - 3.88%: +31.0%: +25.9%: +89.4%:
3indices ======:  ===== :  ======:  ======: +0.72%: +3.36%: +2.67%: +44.9%:
Phl.pt.: 113,750: 113,750:  133.1K: 137,067: +2.98%: +17.0%: +20.5%:  same
Can.pt :  $1,300 :  $1.300:  $2,967 :  $2,955 :  - 0.40%: +128.%: +127.%:  same
2.portf : 161,720: 161,720: 241.4K: 245,220: +1.58%: +49.2%: +51.6%:  same

======

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On 10/26/2020 at 3:38 PM, drbubb said:

Latest PSEI Targets ... All-Data: 5-years: 1-year: 10d / Last: 6,491

yZYObKf.png

I could see the rally topping at several points between here and (almost) 7,000

TARGET HIT !   HERE WE ARE ... update: 10d/ Last: 6,959 + 41

UEVlpj1.gif

RESISTANCE NOT FUTILE? 

PSEI now at an important resistance level - as Mentee's cash holdings grow - now at 53,268 / 142k = 37.5%

Remaining holdings are mainly Dividend stocks, like AREIT & SHNG

AREIT announced today: "At its regular meeting held this morning, approved the declaration of cash dividends of P0.34 per outstanding common share for the third quarter of 2020... Payable on Dec. 17, 2020 to stockholders on record as of Dec. 7, 2020. 

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Excellent discussion on investing, from one of the world's BEST INVESTORS

(start near the End maybe - he talks about how he is "waiting...")

He's NOT bullish on US, nor on the USD over the next 12 months
Jeffrey Gundlach — Waiting For The Next Big Trade (w/ Raoul Pal)         >

==

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PSEI Almost 2% down; Testing Support?

PSEi: 6,791.46 -136.29 (-1.97%) ... PSEI: ytd: w/Ukx: /6,364= 106.7%

amAQrRE.gif

Meantime. Mentee* Portfolio hit a new high: 146,179
Cash is 105,496, or 72%.
Only two stocks are left. Both dividend payers: AREIT (4.53% @ 27.30) & SHANG (5.71% @ 2.74)

*(NOTE: Mentee portfolio is a small scale version of my larger PHL portfolio.  I am helping manage a portfolio with a Young friend who wants to learn about stock trading. 

She invested P 113,750 a months ago and so is now up P 32,429, or +28.5%.)

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WEALTH & the Crisis in Capitalism.  

Really excellent interview here with a guy who is probably the world's most successful Hedge Fund manager: 

Ray Dalio's introspective look at financial world order, inequality and capitalism: Full interview >

===

Dalio's article: The Changing World Order,

Folks, I don't think Biden is going to do anything to remedy the Crisis in Capitalism, if he is confirmed, so think deeply about the danger of holding cash

- My PHL portfolio has a lot of that, so I will be thinking some deep thoughts about what to do with it

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What's Cheap now?   Gold & Gold stocks (silver too)

GLD vs.... 4yr: YTD / Last: $169.51/142.80, +18.7%, GDXJ: $49.13/42.26, +16.2%
GDX: $34.04/ 29.28= +16.3%, SLV: $21.72/ 16.68= +30.2%, AGQ: $40.58/ 31.65= +28.2%

v00m1cX.gif

Rick Rule agrees / Gold Stocks on Sale with Rick Rule

/ 2 /

Grandich’s 4 picks: AMX-C$3.00, #1: Vanstar, (img), #2: No.Superior Res, Radisson

Peter Grandich: We Need this Washout for Gold to Go Higher

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