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Mentee's Favs - stock charts & Portfolios

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Mentee's Favs - Stock Charts & Monitoring... Two Portfolios (C$, Php)

These charts are for a monitoring model trading portfolios of a Mentee, a friend I am helping to learn stock trading

wcZXFrx.png: Php 100K & Cad $1,300 > Will become How Much??

There is a PHL portfolio, started at just over Php 100,000. And a CDN portfolio, which started at C$1300, roughly US$1,000.

old Top3 : vgld : vg : aag / 2020: 10d: +kst-watch: 0.125 + 0.365 + 0.28 / tinyurl.com/em-tee ... cdn: phl: updated

New Top4-CAN: 10d: / at 9.25.2020: Vg: C$0.66, Vgld: $C0.18, Emr: $0.11, Smc: $0.065

KEGPpbU.gif

New Top4-PHL: 10d / at 9.25.2020: Areit: P25.55, Shng: P2.65, Rci: P1.15, Plc: P0.315 

6trfzhJ.gif

Step #1: CAN Portfolio - Began at about US$1,000

Started at C$1,300 = 10,000 VGLD: C$1,000 + 2,000 AAG.wts ($0.15): worth C$300= C$1,300 x37= Php 48,100

Sold: 5,000 VGLD at 12 cents (raising $600), to buy VG placement at 25 cents, with "free" half warrants

(in edit: Trading restrictions expire as follows: EMR: 12.01.20, VG: 11.29.20 )

Step #2:

Portf. : # shs : price : strike : Net : c$Val.:

VGLD : 5,000 : 0.125: $0.00: 0.125: $625 :
VG      : 2,400 : 0.365: $0.00: 0.365: $876 :
VG.wt : 1,200 : 0.365: $0.30: 0.065: $078 :
AAG.v: 2,000 : 0.280: $0.12: 0.160: $320 :
=====> total: $1899

x 37 = 70,263 : vs. 48,100 : +46.1%, (but VG shares have a 4 month "hold" restriction)

Big Picture indicators:  GLD/Gold, SLV/Silver, GDXJ/Jr. Gold Stock index... versus PSEI/ Phl. Stock index

BigPic : YTD: 10d/ at 9.25.2020: Gld: 174.94 ($1,900), Slv: 21.30, Gdxj: 54.23, PSEI: 5,839 -> Ratio: Psei/Gld: r33.4

ziL5piQ.gif

RELATIVE PERFORMANCE (In edit, From BELOW):

Index :  12/31/19: 3/30/- : 9/30/- :    Sep.% : >9mo :  >6 mo.:
SPX —:   3,230.8 : 2,584.6:  3,363.0 : - 4.13%: +4.09%: +30.1%:
PSEI - :   7,815.3 :  5,321.2: 5,864.2 : - 0.34%: - 25.0%: +10.2%:
GDXJ. :   $42.26 :  $28.10:  $55.36:   - 7.41%: +31.0%: +97.0%:
Can.pt :  $1,300 :  $1.300:  $2,967 :  - 6.82%: +128%:   same
Phl.pt.: 113,750: 113,750: 133,075: +1.01%: +17.0%:   same
2.portf : 161,720:161,720: 241,371: - 3.18%:  +49.2%:  same

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PHL Portfolio: There is also a Model portfolio of Philippine Traded stocks,

(To start out, it included these): APX, SHNG, PX

Apex Mining, a Philippines gold producer had a good day

APX closed at 1.11 +0.07, +6.73% on 9.2 Million, best volume since Sep.2019

APX ... update : from 6.22.19 : 12.1.19 : +Nikl/ Last: Php 1.11 /PX: 2.32 : 47.8%, /SHNG: 2.70 : 41.1% metee

L5Ey4QA.gif

With that heavy volume, the path of least resistance should be and away.  the chart looks great for a breakout now

I like APX because of its Gold production, and it has been a laggard to CA Gold stocks, but I see it beginning to catch up.

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CAD pf: #sh : price : strike : Net: c$Value

VGLD : 5,000 : 0.125: $0.00: 0.125: $  625 :
VG      : 2,400 : 0.550: $0.00: 0.550: $1300 :
VG.wt : 1,200 : 0.550: $0.30: 0.250: $ 300 :
AAG.v: 2,000 : 0.360: $0.12: 0.240: $ 480 :
=====> total: $2705

x 37 = 100,085, vs. 48,100= + 108%

END JUNE, looked like this, for CAD portfolio:

Portf. : # shs : price : strike : Net: c$Value:
VGLD : 5,000 : 0.125: $0.00: 0.125: $  625 :
VG      : 2,400 : 0.460: $0.00: 0.460: $1104 :
VG.wt : 1,200 : 0.460: $0.30: 0.160: $ 192 :
AAG.v: 2,000 : 0.360: $0.12: 0.240: $ 480 :
======================> total: $2401

========== versus C$1300 cost : + 84.7%

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PHL Account Stock

Chart Update : w/Psei :

wGe5UjA.gif

Stock: Price : xShng%: %PSEI
SHNG: P2.71 : 100.0% : 4.31% :
APX.  : P1.33 : 49.08% : 2.12% :
PX.    : P2.73 : 100.7% : 4.34% :
NIKL. : P2.10 : 77.49% : 3.34% :
3mnr : P6.16 : ===== > 9.80% :
PSEI  : 6,286 : x 23.20  :
====

PHL Portfolio was about Php 134,000 vs. 114,000 approx cost, +20,000, +17.5%

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UPDATE - July 13th
PortC. : # shs : price: strike: Net: c$Value
CASH*:   520 : $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $  520 :
VGLD : 5,000 : 0.150: $0.00: 0.150: $  750 :
VG      : 2,400 : 0.680: $0.00: 0.680: $1632 :
VG.wt : 1,200 : 0.680: $0.30: 0.380: $ 456 :
====
Total : $prev. : $2705: Last:  07/13: $3,358
===> +$653, +24.1%: vs. starting : $1,500: + 124%

x36.4= Php 122,231

SOLD: added  above as cash
AAG.v: 2,000 : 0.380: $0.12: 0.260: $ 520 : 7/13
====

Top3 : vgld : vg : aag / 2020: 10d: +k

OSYKYb1.gif

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Active day: Sold Vangold, and agreed 6 cent placement in Emgold

UPDATE - July 14th Transactions
PortC. :  # shs : price : strike : Net: c$Value
CASH*:     520 : $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $  520 : from AAG.wt, at 0.38
CASH*:     812 : $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $  812 : from VGLD
EMR   : 10,000 : 0.060: $0.00: 0.060: ( 600 ) Cost
Emr.wt 10,000 : 0.080: $0.08: 0.080: ( 000 )
VG      :   2,400 : 0.680: $0.00: 0.680: $1632 :
VG.wt :   1,200 : 0.680: $0.30: 0.380: $ 456 :
====
Total : $prev. : $2705: Last:  07/13: $3,358
+$653, +24.1% ====> x36.4= Php 122,231
SOLD: added  above as cash
VGLD: 5,000 : .1625: $0.100: .1625: $ 812 :
BOT : minus  from cash
EMR : 10,000 : 0.060: $0.00: 0.060: $ 600 :
Emr.w 10,000 : 0.080: $0.08: 0.080: $ 000 : Free warrants
====

OLD stocks did extremely well during this start-up in trading portfolios

12mo: Sold: VGLD @$0.1625 (cost: $0.10), AAG.wt @$0.38-0.12=0.26 (cost: 0.15) / VG: Last: xx vs. 0.25 cost

b7sj2Sv.gif

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PAPER TRADING BLUE CHIPS

My Mentee yesterday wanted to buy two "blue chip" stocks yesterday.

I suggested that she do them as paper trades.  So I will assemble a paper portfolio here - using this morning's prices.

Here are her two ideas, plus one of my own (AGI).

BLUE Portfolio
PortB. :  # shs : price : PValue:   Pct.
CASH : ——— : ——— : P1,060 :   1.1%
AGI    :   5,500 : P6.00: 33,000 : 33.0%
AC.    :        45 : 732.0 : 32,940 : 32.9%
SMC. :      330 : 100.0: 33,000 : 33.0%
=====
Total: Starting: Last: P100,000: 7/15, about 11am
====

In fact, , which I am not yet ready to buy AGI just yet, since I think it can retest the March lows, or will at least break 6.00.

===

Here are some historical figures I used, to pick up AGI as a potentially undervalued stock:

Historical Record
Stock: Last - / BkVal. : %-BV : Yield : PER:
ALI    :  33.05 / 14.34 = 230.%: 1.60%, 16.1
SMPH: 31.55 / 10.41 = 303.%: 0.59%, 24.2
SHNG: P2.70 / P7.35 = 36.7%; 6.76%, 3.50
MEG. : P3.02 / P5.54 = 54.5%: 2.48%, 5.70
AGI    : P6.00 / 18.26 = 32.9%: 0.00%, 3.62
AC.    : 732.0 / 524.7 = 141.%: 1.04%, 14.3
SMC  : 100.0 / 139.8 = 71.7%: 1.40%, 32.8
TFHI  : 132.0 / 488.0 = 27.0%: 0.00%, 13.2
====

She came up with :

AC / Ayala Corp & SMC / San Miguel from an article she found online, saying these were "undervalued" stocks.

I could not find the exact article, but a friend pointed me to a similar one / UNDERVALUED STOCKS, 2020

Here is some data extracted from that article:

"Undervalued Stocks" per Online article
——-  :   Last. : BBP   :
Sym. :  price : Value : target : Rise?: rating?
AC.    :    762 : 911.0 :  1,075 : +41.1%: Strong Buy
AGI    :  6.50 : P8.00:  10.00 : +53.9%: Buy
ALI    : 33.95 : 45.83 : 55.00 : +62.0%: Strong Buy
AP.    : 27.40 : 35.00 : 42.00 : +53.3%: Strong Buy
Cosco P5.19 : P7.04 : P8.80 : +69.6%: Buy
MBT. : 36.50 : 54.17 : 65.00 :  +78.1%: Strong Buy
SMPH: 31.90 : 43.33 : 52.00 : +63.0%: Strong Buy
====

Comment: Best always to do at least SOME of your own work. 

Do not assume that numbers in the Press are accurate or up-to-date.  My own experience in making trades using info from articles like that is conclusive: they rarely lead to good trades, because the info is NOT good.  When I put my own research in a table, pulling data from historical sources like BPItrade's website, at least I know where it came from and how accurate it is likely to be.

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CDN UPDATE - July 14th
PortC. :  # shs : price : strike : Net: $Value: Profit:
CASH :      732 : $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $  732 : -n/a-
EMR   : 10,000 : 0.135: $0.00: 0.135: $1350: $750 :
Emr.wt 10,000 : 0.135: $0.08: 0.055: $ 550 : $550 :
VG      :   2,400 : 0.700: $0.00: 0.700: $1680: 1080 :
VG.wt :   1,200 : 0.700: $0.30: 0.400: $ 480 : $480 :
====
Total :================:  07/14: $ 4,792 : 2860 :
$1300, +268.% =====> x36.4= Php 174,429

Disc, Hold.Per.: 50%,shs & 75%,wts: ( 1688 )
Total :================:  07/14: $ 3,104 : 1172 :
$1300, +138.% =====> x36.4= Php 112,986

The Market Value rose too fast, so I thought I should discount it.

I cannot sell those shares and warrants during the hold period.

so I discounted the potential profit in the shares still under hold by 50%

And the profits in warrants by 75%.

Result, even after those adjustments, is a portfolio up +138% since inception

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PHL Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH = 137,162.36, +20.6%

Still holding a lot of Cash; i.e. 61.8% of NAV.

Cut the holding in SHNG in half, when it failed to move much
after decent 2019 Earnings were released. It had a tiny profit.
Bought some new shares in Roxas & Co.

Portf. : # shs :  Aver. : P. Cost : price : MktVal.: Profit :
RCI.   : 20,000 : 1.254 : 25,074: P1.290 : 25,800: + 726 :
SHNG: 10,000 : 2,682 : 26,624: P2,710 : 27,100: + 476 :
=====>   Total :  ==== : 51,698:  ===== : 52,900: +1202 :
Adjust : (reserve for selling costs)===  :   ( 673 ) + 529 :
CASH* :======== : (% of NAV: 61.8%) : 84,736 :
    Cash + Mkt. Value ————————— : 137,162 :
    Starting Valuation ————————— : 113,750 :
*$61,853 + realized: 22,883/ +  0,529 :  23,412 : +20.6%

20.6% in less than 4 months, is over 60% annualized. so not too bad.

 

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CDN Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH = C$3,562,  +174.% (p 131k)

Still finding opportunities, added some PUMA at a good price

CDN Portfolio Update - July 24th
PortC. :  # shs: P.Cost: price: strike: Net: $Value: Profit:
CASH :      132: $  132: $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $ 132 :
PUMA: 10,000: $  600: 0.095: $0.00: 0.095: $ 950: $350 :
EMR   : 10,000: $  600: 0.120: $0.00: 0.120: 1,200: $600 :
Emr.wt 10,000: $  000: 0.120: $0.08: 0.040: $ 400 : $400 :
VG      :   2,400: $  600: 0.850: $0.00: 0.850: 2,040: 1,440 :
VG.wt :   1,200: $  000: 0.850: $0.30: 0.550: $ 660: $660 :
=====
Total : ======:  $1,932: ======== :  07/24: $5,382: 3,450:
$1300, +314.% ========== > x36.8= Php 198,058

Discount 50%,sh (1020) & 75%,wt ($795) : ( 1,815 )
Total :====================== :  07/24: $3,562: 1,632:
$1300, +174.% ========= > x36.8 = Php 131,082

+174% in about 4 months, is +522% annualized.
Which I cannot believe will be sustained.

*Two stocks & Two wt  positions are subject to a 4 months
Hold period. They cannot be sold until the hold period ends,
And prices may fall by then (since many may be selling),
so I discount the prices above from C$5,382 > C$3,562.

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SPECIAL WARNING on Expensive debts, like 3.5% a month Credit Cards

In Philippines, once a person has been in a regular salaried job for a year or so, they may be eligible for a credit card.  These can be a handy way to buy items ranging from air travel tickets, to restaurants, to consumer items.  Getting in the habit of using cards can be dangerous, since it may be hard to pay them off and avoid sliding into a debt spiral.  In a debt spiral, debt from one card is used to payoff the debt on another, and pretty soon the regular card payments are only covering interest, or less, and the card balance will grow.  In Philippines this can be very expensive debt, at maybe 3.5% PER MONTH.  If you start compounding these debts they get very very expensive.  Just see what Php 10,000 can grow to in just 12 months, if you fail to make payments. (answer: P 15,111.)   This 3.5% a month compares with 1.5% a month maximum legal rate in countries like the USA.  (At 1.5% a month, $1,000 will become $1,196 in a year. That's a maximum of 19.6% compounded in 12 months in USA versus an astonishing 51% in Philippines.)

A wise rule for those aiming for FIRE is to always pay off the most expensive debts first.  And you should pay off ALL expensive debts before you start saving and investing.  (Although it may make sense to invest some small token amounts to gain valuable experience in investing.). The truth is, it very unlikely, and maybe not even possible for someone to make more than 3.5% per month, with any degree of consistency in the long term.  Personally, I think it takes a very good investor to generate returns beyond 10-15% per annum over stretches like 5-10 years or longer.  Certainly, a basic Rule is: you should not borrow expensive debt, to finance stock market speculation.   Learn how to get out of debt, and build actual savings before you start investing significant sums.

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END JULY Update

PHL Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH + AREIT = 133,943
Versus Orig. Investment (P 113,750): +17.8%

Still holding a lot of Cash; i.e. 34% of NAV.
AREIT shares should be trade-able within days

Portf. : # shs :  Aver. : P. Cost : price : MktVal.: Profit :

RCI.   : 30,000 : 1.241 : 37,209: P1.180: 35,400: (1,809)
SHNG: 10,000 : 2.682 : 26,824: P2.650: 26,500: (  324)
AREIT:   1,000 : 27.00  : 27,000: 27.00E: 27,000: + 000 :
=====>   Total :  ==== : 51,698:  =====: 88,900: (2,133)
:Adjust: (reserve for selling costs) ===: (  557) :  (  557)
:Adjusted Value of Stock Portfolio === : 88,343: (2,690)
CASH incl Realized: (% of NAV: 34.0%) : 45,600 :`
    Cash + Mkt. Value ————————— : 133,943 :

+17.8% in about 4 months, is about 53% annualized. so not too bad.

/ 2 /

CDN Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH = C$3,562,  +154.% (P 121k)
PortC. :  # shs: P.Cost: price: strike: Net: $Value: Profit:
CASH :      132: $  132: $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $ 132 :
PUMA: 10,000: $  600: 0.095: $0.00: 0.095: $ 950: $350 :
EMR   : 10,000: $  600: 0.105: $0.00: 0.105: 1,050: $450 :
Emr.wt 10,000: $  000: 0.105: $0.08: 0.025: $ 250: $250 :
VG      :   2,400: $  600: 0.860: $0.00: 0.860:  2,064: 1464 :
VG.wt :   1,200: $  000: 0.860: $0.30: 0.560: $ 672: $672 :
=====
Total : ======:  $1,932: ======== : 07/31: $5,118: 3186 :
$1300, +294.% ========== > x36.6= Php 187,319

Discount 50%,sh ($957) & 75%,wt ($692) : ===== (1,815)
Total :====================== : 07/31: $3,303: 1,371:
$1300, +154.% ========= > x36.6 = Php 120,890

+154% in 4 months, is +462% annualized.

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Update, on CAD Portfolio

08/05 : Sold PUMA at 9.5 cents (C$950), with a C$350, 58.3% profit, on C$600 cost

.......... : Cash now at $132 + $950= $1,082

.......... : Bought 15,000 shs of SMC / Suliden at 7cents: $1,082 - $1,050 = $ 32 cash remaining

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MID AUG Update - new high in NAV

Slimmed down SHNG above breakeven. Added some RCI* at 1.20

PHL Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH + AREIT = 136,825
Versus Orig. Investment (P 113,750): +20.3%

Still holding a lot of Cash; i.e. 34% of NAV.
AREIT shares are now trade-able, but it has weakened. Div. soon

Portf. : # shs :  Aver. : P. Cost : price : MktVal.: Profit :
RCI.   : 40,000 : 1.231 : 49,244: P1.280: 51,200 :  1,956
SHNG:   5,000 : 2.682 : 13,412: P2.710: 13,550 : + 138
AREIT:   1,000 : 27.00  : 27,000: 25.900: 25,900: (1,100)
=====>   Total :  ==== : 89,656:  =====: 90,650 : + 994
:Adjust: (reserve for selling costs) ===: (  811) :  (  811)
:Adjusted Value of Stock Portfolio === : 89,839:  +183
CASH incl Realized* (% of NAV: 34.3%): 46,986:
    Cash + Mkt. Value —————————: 136,825 : 

+20.3% in under 5 months, is about 50% annualized. so not too bad.

*Cash includes realized profit of P23,075 - 183 = P 22,892

Added RCI* at 1.20 on Wed ... update:  thursday close: 1.28 +0.08

w1vIUcQ.gif

Look at that heavy Volume on UP days!

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My TIPS for Mentee & her resulting Actions:

Chart: RCI-etc:

T: I like Sugar, and it is rallying now, as money floods back into commodities.  Some PHL sugar produces look undervalued.  Down from a 12 month high of XX, RCI looks cheap at 1.25 or less.  It has a Book Value of P 4.01, and the company estimates its assets are worth P 5.00 or more.  The sale of an asset is pending approval

A: Bought 30,000 shares just below 1.25

T: RCI has fallen to 1.15-1.20, but has begun to recover with good volume now.  You might top up your position & lower your average cost

A: Bought 10,000 shares more shares at 1.21

T: AREIT will pay a 0.59 dividend in Mid-Sep.  It goes ex-Div later this week.  If you want the Sep dividend (0.59/26= 2.27% on today's price), Buy some shares early this week.  Round trip cost: about 1.30%.  But if you hold longer, the expected annual yield now is about 6% pa.  AREIT could be a core position, and you bought 1,000 shares in the IPO at 27 with that in mind. Buying this week below 26 will help lower your average cost, and allow you to capture the dividend on more shares in under one month.

A: She bought 1,000 shares at P 25.75

T: If you want to capture some more cash soon, here is what I can suggest: 1. Put in a SELL order on 10,000 RCI at maybe 1.40 or less.  2. Put in another SELL order on 10,000 RCI at 1.50 or less, if the system will accept it now.  This way, if the stock jumps far enough, you will sell half of your RCI at a decent profit.  / Maybe KEEP 20,000 shares to see if it keeps rising.

A: ? (we will see what she does)

NOTE:  Today's NAV was a new high,  137,212 (+20.6% from inception) on today's close, as RCI rose to 1.30.

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AREIT went ex-Dividend today... meaning those who bought today will NOT get the 0.59 Dividend

YTD: 10d / P 25.75 +0.29 /  ex-div: 27-Aug-'20. Payable 15-Sep-2020 (0.59= 0.28+0.31) x 2,000= 1,180 x90%= 1,062

( Compare: Ayala Group dividends )

Yup.  that ex-Div date is today.  Can you see it in the chart?? 

N2pQO3B.jpg

+ Congrats to my mentee, who just went thru her first ex Dividend day, And she will collect : 2,000 x 0.59 x 90% = 1,180 = P1,062 in mid-Sept. /

That is Passive income, & much more return than she can get from bank deposits. It is an important first step, in a long term journey... Replacing the Job's income with passive income,  Each step will increase her flexibility a little but more

+ At 6% yield, if she wants to replace a P30k a month income, she will need to invest P 6.0 Million (P360k / Div by 0.06) in AREIT or other shares with that 6% yield,  Step by step, I may see her get there in time to come.  Though I think it is likely that some part of that multi-million investment might be in physical property at some stage

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END AUGUST Update - (1 more day for CAN)

PHL Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH + AREIT = 131,811
Versus Orig. Investment (P 113,750): +15.9%

Div on AREIT shares will come in mid-Sep.: P1180 x90%
Drop in RCI shares this week, hit NAV.

Portf. : # shs :  Aver. : P. Cost : price : MktVal.: Profit :
RCI.   : 40,000 : 1.231 : 49,244: P1.170: 46,800: (2,444)
SHNG:   5,000 : 2.682 : 13,410: P2.730: 13,650: +  240:
AREIT:   2,000 : 25.68 : 52,826: 25.600: 51,200: (1,626)
=====>   Total :  === : 115,480: ====: 111,650: (3,830)
:Adjust: (reserve for selling costs) ===: (  999) :  (  999)
:Adjusted Value of Stock Portfolio == : 110,651: (4,829)
CASH incl Realized: (% of NAV: 16.1%): 21,160:`
    Cash + Mkt. Value ————————— : 131,811:

+15.9% in about 5 months, is about 38% annualized. Down from +17.8%

/ 2 /

CDN Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH = C$3,184,  +145.% (P 118k)

PortC. :  # shs: C.Cost: price: strike: Net: $Value: Profit:
CASH :    $ 32: $    32: $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $   32 :
SMC. : 15,000: $1,050: 0.070: $0.00: 0.065:$ 975: ( 75)
EMR   : 10,000: $  600: 0.115: $0.00: 0.115: 1,150: $550 :
Emr.wt 10,000: $  000: 0.115: $0.08: 0.035: $ 350: $350 :
VG      :   2,400: $  600: 0.670: $0.00: 0.670:  1,608: 1008 :
VG.wt :   1,200: $  000: 0.670: $0.30: 0.370: $ 444: $444 :
===== Total : ======:  $2,282: ======== : 08/28: $4,559 +2277 :
$1300, +251.% ========== > x36.9= Php 168,227
Discount 50%,sh ($779) & 75%,wt ($596) : ===== (1,375)
Total :====================== : 08/28: $3,184: +902:
Includes Realised ($982) +Unrealized Profit: $1,884
$1300, +145.% : C$3,184= > x36.9 = Php 117,890

+145% in 5 months, is +348% annualized.

Mentee NAVs: Starting:   07/31 :   08/28  : % chg.:
CDN Portfolio: C$1,300 :  $5,118 :  $4,559 : +251%:
CDN Port adj.: C$1,300 :  $3,303 :  $3,184 : +145%:
CDN x P36.9  : P47,970 : 122,881: 117,490: +145%:
PHP Portfolio: 113,750 : 133,943: 131,811: +15.9%:
2x combined  : 161,720 : 255,824: 249,301: +54.2%:
*(5mo>12mo): +130% annualized

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Was there OUT PERFORMANCE? (in the Mentee's portfolio)

Q: Did you beat the CA/PH local stock indexes? By how much? Congrats.

A: I have gone back to check Index levels at the start points.  BTW, we did CHOOSE when to start the trading.  We could have started earlier, but waited for a favorable starting time.  Choosing a time to start when the market was cheap contributed significantly to our outperformance for the year.  I think we should get some credit for choosing a good start point. haha.  In fact, I traded very little until June, missing most of the rise off the late March lows

PSEI is down on the year, and only 10% up since end March. The SPX & GDXJ are the most relevant bellwethers for the North American portfolio.  There was outperformance relative even the strong GDXJ, Junior Gold stock index.

Here are the main Figures

Index : 12/31/19: 3/30/20: 8/28/20: >8 mo : >5 mo :
SPX —:  3,230.8 : 2,584.6 : 3,508.0 : +8.58%:  +35.7%:
TSE —: (seeking data)
PSEI - :  7,815.3 :   5,321.2 : 5,884.2 : - 14.7%;  +10.6%:
GDXJ. :  $42.26 :   $28.10 :  $59.79 : +41.5%: +112.8%:
C.port : $1,300  :   $1.300 :  $3,184 : + 145%:  +145.%:
P.port : 113,750 : 113,750 : 131,611: +15.9%: +15.9%:
2.port : 161,720: 161,720: 249,301: +54.2%: +54.2%:

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EXAMPLE of a Private Placement stock, EMR

INTERVIEW with Canadian Jr. Co. - I recently participated in a financing for EMR/ Emgold at 6 cents, here's an example of an interview with the company, done by Dave Skarica, a Canadian investor & fund manager who now lives in the Caribbean :
Interview with Emgold, New Financing
Interview with Emgold, September 2020 from David Skarica on Vimeo. > http://addictedtoprofits.net/interview-with-emgold-new-financing/

Chart > source

Hist?symbol=EMR&region=C

With EMR stock now at 13 cents, we have more than a Double on the 6 cents wts, and we also have "free warrants at 8 cents.  So this looks terrific.  I think the share price may hold up (if junior mining stocks stay strong) because of the fact that they have good backing for the stock in some shares they own.  And have done a second financing at a higher price.  There is a 4 month hold from the closing date on the 6 cent financing, to 1 Dec. 2020, so less than 3 months to go now.

VG / Volcanic Gold shares become Free-Trading on 28 Nov 2020.

SMC / Sulliden shares that the Mentee and I bought at 7 cents are free trading now

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Canadian stocks - all on One Chart!

Update: SMC: 0.08, EMR: 0.12, VGLD: 0.165, VG: 0.68

dwH9e8B.gif

(in edit, 9.15.20): update: Gold stocks Ready to Roll again? vg $0.65, vgld $0.165, emr $0.11, smc $0.07

kB19wj2.gif

EMR (C$0.11) and SMC (C$0.07) : r-157% ... the PAIR are behaving almost like one stock!

uGYAYu7.gif

Ratio: EMR (C$0.11) and SMC (C$0.07) : r-157%

xx

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NAV is back near Highs in PHL-acct / Thanks to the AREIT Dividend, and some improvement in RCI.

NAV: TOTAL+CASH: 134,260.  Incl. Cash of 22,222. vs 113.750 start: +18% / vs Mid-Aug.H: 136,825

RCI- etc ... updatew/PLC:  RCI: 1.21, AREIT: 25.70, SHNG: 2.65 (r-9.70) + PLC: xx

QNrV3LY.gif

Note that RCI is near LOW of year, and yet the acct NAV is near high. 

There's plenty of room for capital gain here, and the Mentee account is earning some good yields, well above bank deposit rates.

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The MINING MADNESS EXPLAINED                        

Guys, you really need to invest a few minutes to listen to this interview...

Try have patience, or skip to the last 1/3 or so... to hear about the opportunity in Uranium stocks. 

There used to be 500 Uranium related co's and only 20 are left "with 8 good management teams", says Mr Rick Rule.  In the Gold sector, there are 1600 gold co's and only maybe 150 tried & tested teams.  Be careful out there !  /                                 

Rick Rule: the coming bull market for gold and uranium >

==

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On 7/15/2020 at 11:15 AM, drbubb said:

PAPER TRADING BLUE CHIPS

My Mentee yesterday wanted to buy two "blue chip" stocks yesterday.  I suggested that she do them as paper trades.  So I will assemble a paper portfolio here - using this morning's prices.

Here are her two ideas, plus one of my own (AGI).

BLUE Portfolio
PortB. :  # shs : price : PValue:   Pct.
CASH : ——— : ——— : P1,060 :   1.1%
AGI    :   5,500 : P6.00: 33,000 : 33.0%
AC.    :        45 : 732.0 : 32,940 : 32.9%
SMC. :      330 : 100.0: 33,000 : 33.0%
=====
Total: Starting: Last: P100,000: 7/15, about 11am
=====

I am going to update this BLUE CHIP Paper Portfolio, to see if it outperformed the PSEI index

BLUE Portfolio
PortB. :  # shs : 07/15: value :   Pct.  :  09/25 :  value : % chg.
CASH : ——— : ——— : P1,060 :   1.1%:   -- -- -- : P1,060 :
AGI    :   5,500 : P6.00: 33,000 : 33.0%: P7.06: 38,830: +17.7% - DrB’s pick
AC.    :        45 : 732.0 : 32,940 : 32.9%: 692.5: 31,163: - 5.40%
SMC. :      330 : 100.0: 33,000 : 33.0%: P98.5: 32,505: - 1.50%
=====
==========> : 7/15: 100,000: ====>: 9/25: 102,499: +2.50%, thnx to AGI
= PSEI Index> : 7/15:    6,017 : ====>: 9/25 :   5,839  : - 2.96%

Only AGI was up.  That was DrBubb's suggestion.

It is hard to beat the market averages.  In this case by buying an undervalue stock when it was oversold, it was possible for the paper portfolio to beat the index by 5.5%

 

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END SEPT. Update -                                                         --> Charts:  PHL : CAN :

PHL Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH + AREIT = 133,075.
Versus Orig. Investment (P 113,750): +17.0%

Divs in Sep.: AREIT P1,062 + SHNG P198= P1,260
Small rise in RCI shares, covered loss on recently-acquired PLC shares

Portf. : # shs :  Aver. : P. Cost : price : MktVal.: Profit :
PLC   : 70,000 : 0.321 : 22,463: P0.310: 21,700:  (  763)
RCI    : 40,000 : 1.231 : 49,244: P1.190: 47,600: (1,644)
SHNG:   5,000 : 2.682 : 13,410: P2.650: 13,250: (  160)
AREIT:   1,000 : 26.41 : 26,413: 25.600: 25,600:  (  813)
=====>   Total :  === : 111,530: ====: 108,150:  (3,380)
:Adjust: (reserve for selling costs) = :    (  768):  (  768)
:Adjusted Value of Stock Portfolio = : 107,382: (4,148)
CASH incl Realized (% of NAV: 19.3%): 25,693:`
    Cash + Mkt. Value —————————: 133,075:
    Vs : prior Month: 131,811 :  + 1,264 : + 0.96%;

+17.0% in about 6 months, is about 34% annualized. Down from +38%
+ The month's 1% gain in NAV was entirely due to dividend capture

/ 2 /

CDN Portfolio / TOTAL + CASH = C$2,967,  +128% (P 108k)

PortC. : # shs: C.Cost: price: strike: Net: $Value: Profit:
CASH :    $ 32: $    32: $1.00: $0.00: $1.00: $   32 :
SMC. : 15,000: $1,050: 0.070: $0.00: 0.065:$ 975: (  75):
EMR* : 10,000: $  600: 0.110: $0.00: 0.110: 1,100: $500 :
Emr.wt 10,000: $  000: 0.110: $0.08: 0.030: $ 300: $300 :
VG*    :   2,400: $  600: 0.550: $0.00: 0.550:  1,320: $720:
VG.wt :   1,200: $  000: 0.550: $0.30: 0.250: $ 300: $300:
===== Total : ======:  $2,282: ========: 08/28: $4,027 +1745:
$1300, +210.% ==========> x36.5= Php 146,986
Discount 50%,sh ($610) & 75%,wt ($450) : ===== (1,060)
Total :======================: 08/28: $2,967: +685:
NAV=  Realised ($982) +Unrealized Profit: $0,685
$1300, +128.% : C$2,967= > x36.5 = Php 108,296
+128% in 6 months, is +256% annualized

*Trading restrictions expire: EMR: 12.01.20, VG: 11.29.20 -> ie 2 months

Mentee NAVs: Starting:   07/31 :   08/28  :   09/30 : % chg. :
CDN Portfolio: C$1,300 :  $5,118 :  $4,559 :  $4,027  : +210%:
CDN Port adj.: C$1,300 :  $3,303 :  $3,184 :  $2,967 : +128%:
CDN x P36.9  : P47,970 : 122,881: 117,490:  108,296: +128%:
PHP Portfolio: 113,750 : 133,943: 131,811: 133,075: +17.0%
2x combined  : 161,720 : 255,824: 249,301: 241,371: +49.3%
*(6mo>12mo): +99% annualized

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VG's price got hit by a new placement - Below market.

But this raises money at a highrer price than the $0.25 we paid. and will put money in the co's coffers

Volcanic Gold increases bought deal to $6M

2020-09-29 12:15 ET - News Release

Mr. Simon Ridgway reports

VOLCANIC ANNOUNCES UPSIZE TO BOUGHT DEAL OFFERING

Volcanic Gold Mines Inc. has amended the terms of its previously announced offering of units of the company. Under the amended terms of the Offering (as defined below), Haywood Securities Inc., on behalf of a syndicate of underwriters including Canaccord Genuity Corp. (collectively, the " Underwriters "), have agreed to purchase, on a bought deal basis, 10,910,000 units of the Company (the " Units "), at a price of C$0.55 per Unit (the " Offering Price ") for gross proceeds to the Company of C$6,000,500 (the " Offering ").

Each Unit will consist of one common share in the capital of the Company (a " Common Share ") and one half of one Common Share purchase warrant (a " Warrant "). Each whole Warrant will entitle the holder thereof to purchase one Common Share (a " Warrant Share ") at a price of C$0.70 for a period of 18 months following the Closing Date (as defined below).

> https://www.stockwatch.com/News/Item?bid=Z-C:VG-2968913&symbol=VG&region=C

Mentee's shares will be free trading in just two months

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