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PHL Listed Holding Co's - Do they show cycles?

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PHL Listed Holding Co's - Do they show cycles?

Initial Fav is GTCap / MTB: 2020: 1yr: 6mo: Mar.2020: 10d/

At Lows: == : PER : Yield : =========: PER : Yield :
MTB-35.00 : 5.74: 2.86%/ Gtcap- 381 : 4.72: 0.73%

FWyCNzC.gif

I am also following:

Cosco Cap'l-vs.PGold: YTD-2020: 10d / 5.14.20:  P 5.11 : 46.50 / ratio: 11.0%

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Starting to look at these...

4 PHL Holding Co's ... 4-yr: fr. 5.1.2016 : 2yr: 1yr: 10d /

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On Two Year chart, SM is "the clear winner" : 2yr: fr.5.6.2018: w/PSEI: 1yr: 10d /

AGI has been "the big bust" since last summer, and AC now looks like it "wants to rejoin the winner's circle"

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4 Big PHL Holding Co’s ... DATA - at 5..6.2020

Sym. : Stock ----- : 5.6.20: PE-R: Earns. Yield: Divid. YrHigh: %offH
AC — : Ayala Corp : P639.: R11.9: P53.7: 1.30%: P8.3 : 990.5 : -35.5%
AGI -  : Alliance Gl.: P607.: R3.77: P161.: 0.00%: zero : 16.20 : -62.6%
GTcap: GT Capital : P422.: R5.23: P80.7: 0.66%: P2.8 : 972.0: -56.6%
SM — : SM Invest. : P832.: R22.5: P37.0: 1.10%: P9.2 : 1100.: -24.4%
DMY  : Dummy Co.: 00.00: 00.00: P0.00: 0.00%: zero : 00.00: -00.0%
=====

I am SURPRISED to see:
+ the wide differences  in PE ratios. SM is 6x the PER of AGI
+ the low dividend yields of all of them, average is well below PSEI
+ All 4 are well off their peak prices.  Valuations at peaks seem crazy in hindsight

Websites: Ayala Corp.: Alliance Global: GT Capital: SM Investment:

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EYEBALLING the charts... for GTCap / Metrobank
+ I need to dig deeper, but I am probably most attracted to GTcap (5.2 PE)  at this stage
+ It's largest holding is: MBT / Metrobank which has a historical PE of 6.0 and a yield of 2.7%
+ Is GTcap "adrift" after the passing of the Founder, George Ty? No. Strong mgmt. team is in place
+ I Wish the yield on GTCap was higher than 0.66%, but at near 3%, MBT starts to look attractive
====
GTcap vs- MTB, MPI 2011: 5yr : from 1/2016: fr. 5.6.2018 : 1yr: 6mo: 10d/

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: fr. 5.6.2018 : 2020: 1yr: 6mo: 10d/
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: 2020: 1yr: 6mo: Mar.2020: 10d/

At Lows: == : PER : Yield : =========: PER : Yield :
MTB-35.00 : 5.74: 2.86%/ Gtcap- 381 : 4.72: 0.73%

FWyCNzC.gif

Sym. : Stock -----: 5.6.20: PE-R: Earns. Yield: Divid. YrHigh: %offH
GTcap GT Capital : P422.: R5.23: P80.7: 0.66%: P2.8 : 972.0: -56.6%
BT --  : Metrobank : P36.8: R6.03: P6.10: 2.72%: P1.0 : 70.04: -47.5%
MPI - : MetroPacif: P2.78: R3.68: P0.76: 3.97%: 0.11 : P5.78: -51.9%
=====

GT Capital (PSE:GTCAP) is a major listed Philippine conglomerate involved in banking through Metrobank,

automotive through Toyota, property through Federal Land ...

PRESENTATION: Mar.2020:

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COSCO Capital Suggestion - from A.Q. on a viber chat

Another seemingly undervalued  stock is Cosco,
Parent of Puregold (owns 48.6%), which in turn owns SnR and 70% of Lawsons-PH
Among the resilient sectors even post-ecq

(source pse edge)
stock price 4.92.  Book value 14.78 (33% Book)
9-mo 2019 = core eps 0.57   or 1.63 with one- time sale of Liquigaz.
FY 2019 EPS estimate 0.80 core or 1.86 with liquigaz(Q4 usually a strong quarter)
Dividend 0.12
2 B budget for buyback / 1.4B used

What seems to be holding back this issue when Pgold is near 52-week high???

====
Cosco, PGold ... 10yr: 5yr: from 2018 peak: ytd: 10d / 5.14.20:  P 5.11 : 46.50 / ratio: 11.0%
ZXuh0gY.gif

Cosco-vs.PGold: YTD-2020: 10d / 5.14.20:  P 5.11 : 46.50 / ratio: 11.0%

gPC95wt.gif

Sym. : Stock ---- : 5.14.20: PE-R: Earns. Yield: Divid. YrHigh: %offH
Cosco: Cosco Cap: P5.11 : R2.76: P1.85: 2.35%: 12.0 : P7.30: -30.0%
PGold: Pure Gold.  : 46.50 : R20.4: P0.00: 0.86%: zero : 50.00: - 7.0%
==== : Compare :
GTcap: GT Capital : P404.: R5.00: P80.8: 0.69%: P2.8 : 972.0: -58.6%
MBT -: Metrobank : P36.0: R5.90: P6.10: 2.78%:  P1.0 : 70.04: -48.6%
=====

Cosco Capital, Inc. (COSCO) – through its majority stake in Puregold Price Club Inc., one of the top and most recognized brands in Philippine retail, and its acquisition of S&R Membership Shopping – is able to fully serve the needs of Filipino consumers from all income brackets. COSCO claims that the diversity of its businesses and its formidable management team gives the Company a necessary edge to lead and succeed in these fields: Retail, Real Estate, Liquor Distribution and Oil and Mineral Exploration.

> source: https://www.pinoyinvestor.com/smartinvestor/cosco-capital-inc-cosco-2/

Cosco "All aspects" chart ... update /

agOKcTJ.gif

Cosco Capital Incorporated, formerly Alcorn Gold Resources Corporation, is an investment holding company. The Company has a portfolio of business interests in its business segments, including grocery retail, real estate and property leasing, liquor distribution, oil and mining, and specialty retail. The grocery retail segment offers imported and local groceries, and other consumer products, such as canned goods, housewares, toiletries, dry goods, and food and non-food products. The liquor distribution segment offers a portfolio of imported alcoholic beverages, including brandy, rum, whisky, tequila, wines and specialty non-alcoholic beverages. Through the oil and mining segment, it sells hydrocarbon. The specialty retail segment, through Office warehouse, sells school and office supplies, technology items, home/office furniture, and equipment and related products. // sold?: The specialty retail segment, through Liquigaz, imports and distributes liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). //

> https://www.reuters.com/companies/COSCO.PS

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Largest Php Volume (by far) today was...

10d :
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6mo
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==

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Still headed towards a Buy Window...?

GTcap, MBT ... 10yr: 5yr: from 2018 peak: 10d / Last: 404. -16 : 36.00, -0.20 / ratio: 11.22

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: 10d /

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UPDATING some metrics

Stock: Year : Revs. : E.P.Sh : Divs: %Ern. CF/sh: shsOS/ LTD.OS: ShEqy: NW/sh: YrEnd %-NW
SMC- : 2018: 1,024.B P6.63: P1.40: 21.1% 31.0 /2.379B/ 801.6B: 337.7B: 142.0: 147.0: 103.%
SM. -  : 2019: 506.3B 37.00: P9.12: 24.6% 53.1 /1.205B/ 404.3B: 382.6B: 317.6: 1,043: 328.%
SMPH: 2019: 120.1B P1.32: 0.350: 26.5% 1.69 /28.87B/ 130.1B: 300.9B: 10.42: 42.10: 404.%
SHNG: 2018: 12.65B: P0.63: 0.196: 31.1% 0.51 /4.764B/ 10.19B: 32.78B: P6.88: P3.25: 47.2%
ALI -   : 2019: 168.8B: P2.25: 0.520: 23.1% 2.87 /14.72B/ 228.6B: 211.1B: 14.34: 45.50: 317.%
AC  -   : 2019: 330.9B: 102.9: P8.30: 8.07% 86.0 / 627.M/ 427.7B: 328.8B: 524.7: 785.5: 150.%
AGI -   : 2018: 156,8B P1.51 : 0.100: 6.62% 2.19 /10.04B/ 192.5B: 172.2B: 17.16: 11.90: 69.3% :
GtCap: 2019: 226.8B 73.88: P3.00: 4.06% 106. / 215.M/ 124,3B: 177.8B: 824.4: 847.0: 97.3% :
Cosco: 2018: 00.00B P0.76: 0.000: 00.0% 0.00/ 7.27 B/ 00.00B: 58.65B: P8.21: P6.71: 00.0% :
Stock: Year : Revs. : E.P.Sh : Divs: %Ern. CF/sh: shsOS/ LTD.OS: ShEqy: NW/sh: YrEnd %-NW

USING Wed. 05/21 closing prices - Valuations look very different

Stock: Year : Revs. : E.P.Sh : Divs: %EPS CF/sh: shsOS/ LTD.OS: ShEqy: NW/sh: 02/21 : %NW: yield
SMC- : 2018: 1,024.B P6.63: P1.40: 21.1% 31.0 /2.379B/ 801.6B: 337.7B: 142.0: P95.95: 67.6%: 1.46%
SM. -  : 2019: 506.3B 37.00: P9.12: 24.6% 53.1 /1.205B/ 404.3B: 382.6B: 317.6: P 835.: 263.%: 1.09%
SMPH: 2019: 120.1B P1.32: 0.350: 26.5% 1.69 /28.87B/ 130.1B: 300.9B: 10.42: 28.95: 278.%: 1.21%
SHNG: 2018: 12.65B: P0.63: 0.196: 31.1% 0.51 /4.764B/ 10.19B: 32.78B: P6.88: P2.66: 38.7%: 6.86%
ALI -   : 2019: 168.8B: P2.25: 0.520: 23.1% 2.87 /14.72B/ 228.6B: 211.1B: 14.34: 32.05: 224.%: 1.65%
AC  -   : 2019: 330.9B: 102.9: P8.30: 8.07% 86.0 / 627.M/ 427.7B: 328.8B: 524.7: 684.5: 130.%: 1.21%
AGI -   : 2018: 156,8B P1.51 : 0.100: 6.62% 2.19 /10.04B/ 192.5B: 172.2B: 17.16: P6.14: 35.8%: -N/A-
GtCap: 2019: 226.8B 73.88: P3.00: 4.06%  106. / 215.M/ 124,3B: 177.8B: 824.4: 367.6: 44.6% : 0.76%
MBT - : 2019: 146.1B P6.24: P1.00: 16.0%  106. / 4.50 B/ 1,714B: 309.6B: 68.83: 34.00: 49.4% : 2.94%
Cosco: 2018: 00.00B P0.76: 0.000: 00.0% 0.00 / 7.27 B/ 00.00B: 58.65B: P8.21: P5.04: 00.0% : 2.38%
Stock: Year : Revs. : E.P.Sh : Divs: %EPS CF/sh: shsOS/ LTD.OS: ShEqy: NW/sh: 02/21 : %NW: yield

After viewing the MBT chart : all-Log - I added MBT above

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