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DrBubb's Diary - Q1. 2020 Trading - v.132

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Dr.B's Trading Diary : 2020: Diary's 132nd Month = 12 years.

Almost 11 years since 3/09 Low : of Dow: xx

Dow closed 2017@ 24,719, 2018@ 23,327, 2019@ 28,538 +22.3% (YrH: 28,701.66, L: 23,301.59, -18.2% under Yr.H)

zeCcrWb.jpg

Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H :

Featured Video - Deep & thoughtful ideas here

Vitalik Buterin (of ETH) on "The Portal", Ep. #012 - The Ethereal Prince and His Virtual Machine


===============

DrBubb's Diary - Jan. 2020 Trading - v.132

FRT/ Fed Racetrack: Gold (GLD) vs Stocks (SPY) : GLD-SPY : FRTw/SLV : vs.CRB : GLD-hr : SPY-hr : GLD/SPYratio

fenTZaL.gif

The Fed's money-printing has maintained confidence in markets - but the money has gone not only into stocks, but also into other areas. For many months, money flowed into commodities like Gold, pushing prices higher even faster than stocks, as the chart above shows. But since Gold's peak in Aug.2011, stocks have outperformed gold. Since then, these two assets have sometimes tended to trade counter-cyclically to each other.

Gold in EURO - very worthwhile to track

Short Term:  Gold-in-EUR>tny_au_en_euoz_2.gif: Gold-in-USD> tny_au_en_usoz_2.gif

Medium Term - 3 Years: Gold-inEUR or GLD-toEUR:

b8RYQVQ.png

US Stocks: "SPX-in-Euros" .. SPX-to-EUR or SPY-to-FXE  .. update : A Rising Wedge ??

hqkpGKR.png

 

DrBubb's "Early Warning System"

Leading Ratio ... LQD:TLT-Weekly-3yrs : TLT-vsLQD : Copper : HG price : CU price : SPY-10/11 : SMH-6mos

I reckon that the LQD-to-TLT ratio should move in harmony with stocks, or maybe LEAD stock moves. If they are moving in different directions, then one should be cautious. (However, the value of this indicator has become suspect in recent years, after giving some false warnings.)
=====
Bullish Percentages :
BPNYA- : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
BPGDM : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
NASIT - : NAMOT : Summation Indices

INFLATION Watch / "Drivers" (SPY, GLD, DXY) .. 10d : 6mo-D : 2yr-D : 5yr-D // CU-etc : w/XLE : w/OIH :

COMMS / Gold leading Commodity bounce-back?: Copper. XLE-Oil, FCX, DBA

fZ4mFHr.gif

USO - vs GLD, Ngas, Oilb .... fr. Feb.2009 : 2.17.16 : 9/2017 : end2018 : 10d :

X7HOq3N.gif

RECORD : CU may lead GLD and SPY
======

US Fed'l Debt // Formula: (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
end07: $09.23 > 0,722 : 072.2 : $082.46 : $146.21 : -63.75: 56.398% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 17.05: ==== : $ 32.99 :
end08: $10.70 > 0,897 : 089.7 : $086.52 : $090.24 : -$3.72: 95.878% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 29.09: ==== : $ 26.18 :
end09: $12.31 > 1,089 : 108.9 : $107.31 : $111.44 : -$4.13: 96.294% : $30.0e: XX.X% :: $ 42.26: ==== : $ 26.44 :
end10: $14.03 > 1,294: 129.4 : $138.74 : $125.75 : $12.99: 110.34% : $43.71: 31.51%: $ 43.09: $0.62: $ 32.35 : $ 00.29 :
end11: $15.22 > 1,435: 138.0 : $151.99 : $125.50 : $26.49: 121.11% : $29.29: 19.27%: $ 34.87: - 5.58: $ 28.88 : $ 04.60 :
end12: $16.43 > 1,570: 151.0 : $162.02 : $142.41 : $19.61: 113.77% : $30.34: 18.73%: $ 40.45:-10.11: $ 27.95 : $ 13.48 :
end13: $17.35 > 1,689: 162.4 : $116.12 : $184.69 : -68.57 : 062.87% : $22.27: 19.18%: $ 38.37:-16.10: $ 24.25 :$815.00 :
end14: $18.14 > 1,783 : 171.4 : $113.58 : $205.54 : -98.04 : 55.26% :: $18.09: 15.93%: $ 41.62:-23.53: $ 24.89 :$316.20 :
end15: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.46 : $203.87 :-102.41: 49.77% :: 2.135 : 2.140%: $ 35.29:-00.00: $ 20.61: $433.50 :
end16

(2016)
01/29: $19.01 > 1,886 : 180.0 : $108.05 : $193.65 : - $85.60: 55.80% :: 2.060 : 1.907% $ 31.20:-00.00: $ 19.99: $375.00 :
02/29: $19.13 > 1,900 : 181.3 : $118.64 : $193.56 : - $74.98: 61.29% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 30.00: -00.00: $ 20.00: $434.00 :
03/31: $19.26 > 1,916 : 182.8 : $117.64 : $205.52 : - $87.88: 57.24% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.77: -13.17: $ 20.60: $415.00 :
04/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $123.65 : $206.33 : - $82.68: 59.93% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.53: -12.45: $ 21.08: $4 ??.00 :
05/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $116.06 : $209.84 : - $93.78: 55.31% :: 2.080 : 1.792% $ 33.65: -12.34: $ 21.31: $526.10 :

06/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $126.47 : $209.48 : - $83.01: 60.37% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
07/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $128.98 : $217.12 : - $88.14: 59.40% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
08/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $124.78 : $217.38 : - $92.60: 57.40% :: 2.080 : 1.667% $ 37.08: -16.85: $ 20.23: $570.00 :

=====
ye'16 : $20.0E > 1,8 xx : 18x.x :

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
======
"GOLD Formula" is : (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 : US Govt Debt :: http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

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DAILY DATABANK

Month: -SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY-- -Chg- : --TLT-: Chg : Posts/Views cum'l

YE'15 : 203.87 - 2.06: 91.2M: 18.21 : 13.72 +0.06: 101.46 +0.04 : 3.81M: 1060.5 $37.07* 98.693 +0.413: 120.58 +0.54 : 02, 086/ 051, 1,913
YE'16: 223.53 - 0.82: 86.9M: 14.04 : 20.92 - 0.83: 109.61 - 0.68: 8.79M: 1151.7 $53.72: 102.38 - 0.27 : 119.13 +0.18/ 096: 13876  

2017
03-31: 235.74 - 0.55 56.2M: 12.37 : 22.81 +0.26: 118.72 +0.25 8.14M: 1251.2 $50.60: 100.22 - 0.07 : 120.71 +0.35/ 120: 23202
06-30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13: 118.02 -0.30 6.79M: 1242.3: $46.04: $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/ 095: 5,020
09-29: 251.23 +0.88 60.7M: 09.51 : 22.96 - 0.20 : 121.58 - 0.63 8.77M: 1284.8 $51.67: $93.07 - 0.06 : 124.76 +0.28/ 067 : 4,235
12-29: 266.86 - 1.01 60.8M: 11.04 : 23.24 +0.04 : 123.65 +0.80 7.55M: 1309.3 $60.42 : $92.30 -0.20 : 126.86 +0.20/ 107 : 1590

2018
03-29: 263.15 +3.32 104.M: 19.97 : 21.98 - 0.01 : 125.79 +0.06 6.84M: 1327.3 $64.94 : $90.01 -0.13 : 121.90 +0.59/ 067: 0,880
06-29: 271.28 +0.39 74.2M: 16.09 : 22.31 +0.38 : 118.65 +0.43 7.67M: 1254.5 $74.15 : $94.47 - 0.85 : 121.72 - 0.42/ 100 : 1026
09-28: 290.72 +0.03 57.6M: 12.12 : 18.52 +0.18 : 112.76 +0.71 5.78M: 1196.2 $73.25 : $95.13 +0.16 : 117.27 - 0.31/ 081: 0753
12-31: 249.92 +2.17 111.M: 25.42 : 21.09 +0.49 : 121.25 +0.19 8.38M: 1281.3 $45.41 : $96.16 - 0.25 : 121.51 +0.51/ 127: 1254
=====

---: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l:

DEC
28: 247.75 - 0.32 140.M: 28.34 : 20.60 -0.37 : 121.06 + 0.49 6.75M: 1283.0 $45.33 : $96.39 -0.18 : 121.05 +1.01/ 00, 115: 000, 1100 :
31: 249.92 +2.17 111.M: 25.42 : 21.09 +0.49 : 121.25 +0.19 8.38M: 1281.3 $45.41 : $96.16 -0.25 : 121.51 +0.51/ 00, 127: 000, 1254 :
JAN
30: 267.58 +4.17 84.3M: 17.66 : 22.18 +0.21 : 124.69 +0.71 12.1M: 1315.5 $54.23 : $95.24 - 0.57 : 120.93 - 0.09/ 03, 103: 034, 1195
31: 269.93 +2.35 80.5M: 16.57 : 22.69 +0.51 : 124.75 +0.06 10.0M: 1325.2 $53.79 : $95.56 +0.32 : 121.97 +1.04/ 00, 108: 000, 1284:

FEB
27: 279.20 - 0.12 52.3M: 14.70 : 22.35 - 0.38: 124.69 - 0.89 7.76M: 1321.2 $56.94 : $96.10 -0.02 : 120.43 - 1.38/ 00, 082: 000, 718
28: 278.68 - 0.52 56.1M: 14.78 : 22.24 - 0.11: 123.99 - 0.90 7.51M: 1316.1 $57.22 : $96.23 +0.23 : 120.02 - 0.41/ 03, 085, 032, 750
Mar
28: 280.71 +1.06 53.0M: 14.43 : 22.41 -0.60: 121.90 -1.75 11.4M: 1295.3 $59.30 : $97.20 +0.28 : 126.56 +0.44/
29: 282.48 +1.77 64.1M: 13.71 : 22.42 +0.01: 122.01 +0.11 6.59M: 1298.5 $60.14 : $97.21 +0.01 : 126.44 -0.12/ 01: 83, 022: 688
Apr
29: 293.87 +0.46: 57.2M: 13.11 : 20.84 - 0.46: 120.83 - 0.54 4.47M: 1281.4 $63.50 : $97.86 - 0.15: 123.02 - 0.19/ 00, 071: 000, 640
30: 294.02 +0.15: 00.0M: 13.12 : 20.89 +0.05: 121.20 +0.37 0.00M: 1286.7 $63.91 : $97.53 - 0.33: 123.65 +0.63/ 00, 074: 000, 680
MAY
30: 279.03 +0.76: 82.1M: 17.30 : 20.77+0.45 : 121.69 +0.82 7.76M: 1292.4 $56.59: $98.17 +0.03: 130.20 +1.11/ 00, 092: 000, 1000
31: 275.27 - 3.76: 86.9M: 18.71 : 21.59 +0.82 : 123.33 +1.64 15.4M: 1311.1 $53.50: $97.61 -0.56: 131.83 +1.63/ 02, 094: 047, 1047

June
26: 290.47 - 0.29: 51.6M: 16.21: 25.52 -0.11: 132.97 - 1.23 12.0M: 1000.0 $00.00: $96.27 - 0.02: 131.97 -0.85/
27:  291.50 +1.03 00.0M: 15.82:
28: 293.00 +1.50: 59.4M: 15.08: 25.56 +0.00: 133.20 -0.00 00.0M: 1000.0 $00.00:  $96.20 -0.00: 132.55 +0.00/ 00,060: 000, 720
July
29: 301.46 - 0.55: 38.1M: 12.83: 27.77 +0.49: 134.53 +0.89 9.16M: 1420.0 $00.00: $98.05 +0.00: 131.51 +0.00/
30: 300.72 - 0.74: 45.8M: 13.94: 27.83 +0.06: 134.98 +0.45 9.45M: 1442.0 $00.00: $98.06 +0.01: 131.83 +0.32/
31: 297.43 - 3.29: 104.M: 16.12 : 26.50 - 1.33: 133.21 - 1.77 18.8M: 1437.8 $58.58: $98.82 +0.76: 132.89 +1.06/

AUG
29: 292.58 +3.69: 58.0M: 17.88 : 29.66 - 0.75: 144.12 - 1.04 14.8M: 1536.9 $56.71: $98.44 - 0.07: 147.24 - 0.56/ 00, 50: 000, 435
30: 292.45 - 0.13: 63.0M: 18.98 : 29.86 +0.20: 143.75 - 0.37 9.64M: 1529.4 $55.10: $98.81 +0.47: 147.28 +0.04/
SEP
26: 297.00 - 0.62: 58.7M: 16.07 : 28.11 - 0.32: 141.79 - 0.04 8.80M: 1510.0 $56.52: 4.79=11.80 $99.13 +0.12: 142.38 +0.91/
27: 295.40 - 1.60: 84.8M: 17.22 : 27.45 - 0.66: 141.06 - 0.73 9.67M: 1502.3 $55.85: 4.79=11.66  $99.12 -0.01: 142.73 +0.35/
30: 296.77 +1.37: 52.6M: 16.24 : 26.71 - 0.74: 138.87 - 2.29 15.5M: 1479.0 $54.32: 4.79=11.34 $99.38 +0.26: 143.08 +0.00/
OCT
27: 315.48 +1.40: 44.8M: 11.75 : 26.66 - 0.12: 137.01 -0.73 4.11M: 1460.8 $58.11: 4.787=12.14 $98.34 - 0.07: 140.72 - 0.41/
28: Holiday.. with 1/2 day on Friday
29: 314.31 - 1.17: 36.6M: 12.67 : 27.08 +0.43: 137.86 +0.85 4.52M: 1472.7 $55.17: 4.748=11.62 $98.27 - 0.07: 140.42 - 0.30/
DEC
30: 321.08 - 1.78: 49.8M: 14.82 : 29.49 +0.62: 142.63 +0.30 4.81M: 1515.E $61.61: 4.78E=12.89 96.74 -0.18: 136.82 - 0.50/
31: 321.86 +0.78: 57.1M: 13.78 : 29.28 - 0.21: 142.90 +0.27 5.31M: 1523.1 $61.06: 4.767=12.81 96.84 +0.00: 135.48 - 1.34/

Jan
02: 324.87 +3.01: 59.3M: 12.47 : 29.35 +0.07: 143.95 +1.05 7.74M: 1528.1 $61.18: 4.776=12.81 96.73 - 0.11: 137.02 + 1.54/
03: 322.41 - 2.46: 77.8M: 14.02 : 29.17 - 0.18: 145.86 +1.91 0.00M: 1554.4 $63.05: 4.783=13.18 96.86 +0.13: 139.12 +2.10/
06: 323.64 +1.23: 55.8M: 13.74 : 29.22 +0.05: 147.39 +1.53 14.4M: 1568.8 $63.27: 4.808=13.16 96.67 - 0.19: 138.33 - 0.79/
07: 322.73 - 0.91: 42.8M: 13.79 : 42.65 +0.70: 147.97 +0.58 8.40M: 1573.0 $62.80: 4.783=13.13 96.90 +0.23: 137.65 - 0.69/
08: 323.45 +0.72: 00.0M: 13.45 : 28.35 +0.00: 146.86 - 0.00 0.00M: 1560.2 $59.61: 4.709=12.66 97.45 +0.55: 136.74 +0.09/
09: 326.65 +2.20: 49.6M: 12.54 : 28.04 - 0.31: 146.03 - 0.83 10.3M: 1554.3 $59.56: 4.769=12.49 97.42 - 0.03: 137.22 +0.48/
10: 325.71 - 0.94: 53.1M:  12.56 : 28.45 +0.41: 146.91 +0.88 6.18M: 1560.1 $59.04: 4.757=12.41 97.35 - 0.07: 138.44 +1.22/
13: 327.95 +2.24: 47.3M:  12.32 : 27.77 - 0.68: 145.82 - 1.09 7.60M: 1550.6 $58.08: 4.761=12.20 97.39 +0.04: 138.02 - 0.42/
14: 327.45 - 0.50: 63.0M: 12.39 : 28.26 +0.49: 145.69 - 0.13 6.61M: 1549.E $58.45: 4.76E=12.28 97.36 - 0.03: 138.73 +0.73/
15: 327.26 - 0.19: 00.0M: 12.40 : 28.79 +0.53: 146.54 +0.85 0.00M: 1554.0 $58.00: 4.76E=12.18 97.20 - 0.16: 139.65 +0.92/
16: 330.97 +2.73: 54.1M: 12.30 : 28.67 - 0.12: 146.31 - 0.23 6.07M: 1550.5 $58.53: 4.7620=12.29 97.32 +0.12: 139.21 - 0.44/
17: 331.95 +1.03: 95.8M: 12.10 : 28.42 - 0.25: 146.58 +0.27 11.1M: 1560.3. $58.58: 4.668=12.55 97.64 +0.32: 138.02 - 1.19/
20  (Hol. )
21: 331.30 - 0.65: 00.0M: 12.91 : 28.95 +0.00: 146.74 +0.16 0.00M: 1560.E $58.26: 4,76E=12.24 97.53 +0.00
22: 331.34 +0.04: 48.9M: 13.16 : 28.84 - 0.11: 146.79 +0.05 4.78M: 1557.7 $56.74: 4.768=11.90 97.53 -0.00: 139.96 +0.??
23: 331.72 +0.38: 51.9M: 12.98 : 28.66 - 0.18: 147.12 +0.33 8.42M: 1565.4 $55.59: 4.768=11.66 97.56 +0.00: 140.94 +0.98
24: 328.77 - 2.95: 00.0M: 14.56 : 29.22 +0.56: 147.98 +0.86 0.00M: 1571.9 $54.19: 4.741=11.43 97.96 +0.40: 142.08 +1.14
27: 323.50 - 5.27: 84.1M: 18.23 : 29.08 - 0.14: 148.99 +1.01 9.99M: 1577.4 $53.14: 4.787=11.10 97.95 - 0.01: 144.29 +2.21/
28: 326.89 +3.39: 00.0M: 16.28 : 28.31 - 0.77:  147.66 -1.33 0.00M: 1569.8 $53.48: 4.754=11.25 97.99 +0.04: 143.16 - 1.13/
29: 326.62 - 0.27: 54.0M: 16.39 : 28.86 +0.55: 148.46 +0.80 5.02M: 1570.4 $53.33: 4.779=11.16 98.03 +0.04: 144.56 +1.40/
30: 327.68 +1.06: 75.5M: 15.49 : 28.73 - 0.13: 148.47 +0.01 9.12M: 1570.E $53.0E: 4.78E=11.08 97.87 - 0.16: 144.58 +0.02/
31: 321.73 - 5.95: 114.M:  18.84 : 28.99 +0.26: 149.33 +0.86 14.8M: 1582.E $51.8E: 4.78E=10.84 97.39 -0.38: 145.90 +1.32/
FEB
03: 324.12 +2.39: 00.0M: 17.97 : 28.65 - 0.34: 148.36 - 0.97 00.0M: 1581.4 $50.11: 4.777=10.49 XLE— 97.96 +0.47: 145.54 - 0.36/
04: 329.06 +4.94: 82.6M: 16.05 : 28.05 - 0.51: 146.43 -1.93 10.5M: 1555.5 $49.61: 4.752=10.44 XLE— 98.02 +0.06: 143.58 - 1.96/
05: 332.86 +3.80: 66.0M: 15.15 : 28.05 Unch.: 146.61 +0.18 6.16M: 1562.8 $50.75: 4.743=10.70 XLE— 98.30 +0.28: 142.01 - 1.57/
06: 333.98 +1.12: 50.4M: 15.72 : 28.40 +0.35: 147.40 +0.79 4.82M: 1570.0 $50.95: 4.744=10.74 XLE— 98.61 +0.31: 142.65 +0.64/
07: 332.20 - 1.78: 64.1M: 15.47 : 27.93 - 0.47: 147.79 +0.39 6.38M: 1573.4 $50.32: 4.756=10.58 XLE— 98.70 +0.09: 144.43 +1.78/
10: 334.68 +2.38: 42.1M: 15.04 : 28.39 +0.46: 148.17 +0.38 5.79M: 1579.5 $49.57: 4757=10.42 XLE-- 98.85 +0.15: 144.83 +0.40/
11: 335.26 +0.58: 00.0M: 15.18 :  28.44 +0.05: 147.66 -0.51 0.00M: 1570.1 $49.96: 4.758=10.50 XLE--  99.05 +0.20: 144.10 - 0.73/
12: 337.42 +2.16: 44.0M: 13.74 : 28.12 - 0.31: 147.54 - 0.12 5.05M: 1571.6 $51.17: 4.734=10.81 XLE— 98.99 - 0.06: 143.37 - 0.73/
13: 337.06 -0.36: 54.5M: 14.15 : 28.32 +0.20: 148.38 +0.84 7.08M: 1580.E $51.50e 4.75E=10.84 54.87 99.12 +0.13: 143.92 +0.55/
14: 337.60 +0.54: 64.6M: 13.68 : 28.31 -0.01: 149.00 +0.62 5.35M: 1586.4 $52.05: 4.4753=10.95 54.58 99.16 +0.04 144.55 +0.63/
17: Holiday
18: 336.73 - 0.87: 57.3M: 14.83 : 29.23 +0.92: 150.91 +1.91 11.5M: 1603.6 $52.29: 4.775=10.95 54.13 99.42 +0.26 145.54 +0.99/
19: 338.34 +1.61: 48.8M: 14.38 : 29.75 +0.52: 151.79 +0.99 9.27M: 1611.8 $53.49: 4.784=11.18 54.85 99.87 +0.45 145.53 - 0.01/
20: 336.09 - 1.39: 74.2M: 15.56 : 29.75 Unch.: 152.41 +0.62 8.46M: 1620.5 $53.88: 4.777=11.28 54.79 99.81 -0.06 146.67 +1.14/
21: 333.50 -0.59: 000.M: 17.08 :  30.65 +0.90: 15?.?/ +0.00 00.0M: 1000.0 $00.00: 4.000=
24: 322.42 -11.1: 161.M: 25.03 : 31.05 +0.40: 156.20 - 0.00 00.0M: 1676.6 $51.43: 4.789=10.74 51.64 98.97 +0.00 150.25 +0.00/
25:  312.65 -9.77: 219.M: 25.03 : 29.97 -1.08: 153.50 - 2.79 28.1M: 1650.0 $49.90: 4.798=10.40 49.36 99.13 +0.18 151.05 +0.80/
26: 311.50 - 1.15 : 195.M: 27.56 : 29.87 -0.10: 153.97 +0.67 18.0M: 1643.1 $48.73: 4.782=10.19 47.87 99.01 - 0.13 150.25 - 0.80/
27: 297.51 - 14.0 : 000.M: 39.16 : 28.15 -1.72: 154.00 +0.03 00.0M: 1642.5 $47.09: 4.815=$9.78 45.31 98.51 -0.50 151.88 +1.63/
28: 296.26 - 1.25 : 386.M: 40.11 : 26.22 -1.93: 148.38 -5.62 42.1M: 1566.7 $44.76: 4.737=$9.45 45.27 98.13 -0.38 155.31 +3.43/
MAR
02: 309.09 +12.8 : 239.M: 33.42 : 27.29 +1.07: 149.20 +0.82 16.3M: 1576.E $47.1E: 4.750=$9.92 47.10 97.50 -0.63 153.94 -1.37/
03: 300.24 - 8.85 : 300.M: 36.82 : 28.68 +1.39: 153.89 +4.69 00.0M: 1644.4 $47.18: 4.770=$9.89 45.66 97.15 -0.35 156.33 +2.39/
04: 312.86 +12.6 : 176.M: 31.99 : 29.13 +0.45: 154.16 +0.27 12.3M: 1643.0 $46.78: 4.744=$9.86 46.63 97.37 +0.22 154.67 -1.66/
05: 302.46 - 10.4 : 186.M: 39.62 : 29.82 +0.69: 157.49 +3.33 18.0M: 1668.0 $45.90: 4.776=$9.61 45.03 96.47 - 0.90 158.52 +3.65/
06: 297.46 - 5.00 : 229.M: 41.94 : 29.41 - 0.41: 157.55 +0.06 27.0M: 1672.4 $41.28: 4.729=$8.73 42.50 96.09 - 0.38 166.77 +8.25/
Black Monday#1
09: 274.23 -23.2 : 309.M: 54.46 : 27.31 - 2.10: 157.81 +0.26 24.9M: 1000.0 $31.0E: 4.75E=$6.52 33.94 94.90 -1.19 171.29 +4.52/
10: 288.42 +13.8 : 276.M: 47.30 : 27.49 +0.18: 154.48 - 3.23 18.8M: 1000.0 $34.4E: 4.75E=$7.24 35.55
11: 274.36 - 14.0 : 256.M: 53.90 : 25.17 - 2.32: 153.93 - 0.55 18.4M: 1000.0 $33.0E: 4.75E=$6.94 33.67
12: 248.11 -26.2 : 392.M: 75.47 : 22.31 - 4.14: 147.79 - 6.14 32.9M: 1000.0 $31.1E: 4.75E=$6.54 29.47
13: 269.32 +21.2 : 330.M: 66.04 : 19.00 +0.00: 143.28 - 4.51 35.1M: 1000.0 $33.1E: 4.75E=$6.96 32.19 98.75 +0.00 153.94 +0.00/
Black Monday#2
16: 239.85 -29.5 : 297.M: 82.69 : 22.49 +3.49: 141.64 - 1.64 00.0M: 1000.0 $00.00: 4.000=$6.05 27.81 000.00 +0.00 000.00 +0.00/
16: 239.85 -29.5 : 297.M: 82.69 : 22.49 +3.49: 141.64 - 1.64 00.0M: 1515.E $28.7E: 4.75E=$6.05 27.81 000.00 +0.00 000.00 +0.00/
17: 252.80 +12.95: 262M: 75.91 : 25.50 +3.01: 143.56 +1.92 24.5M: 1528.0 $27.1E: 4.75E=$5.71 28.00
18: 240.00 -12.80: 328.M: 76.45 : 19.68 - 5.82: 140.70 - 2.86 21.9M: 1500.E $22.4E: 4.75E=$4.71 23.98
19: 240.51 +0.51 : 289.M: 72.00 : 21.27 +1.59: 138.04 - 2.66 20.8M: 1485.0 $25.5E: 4.75E=$5.37 25.61
20: 228.80 - 11.7 : 000.M: 66.04 : 23.31 +2.04: 140.11 - 1.93 00.0M: 1499.E $23.5E: 4.75E=$4.94 25.29 102.82 +0.00 159.43 +0.00/
23: 222.95 - 5.85 : 322.M: 61.59 : 21.93 +1.38: 146.30 +6.19 28.3M: 1565.E $23.2E: 4.75E=$4.88 23.57 102.47 - 0.35 166.00 +6.57/
24: 243.15 +20.2: 235.M: 61.67 : 25.15 +3.18: 153.40 +10.1 20,7M: 1641.E $23.7E: 4.75E=$4.98 27.35 102.04 -0.43 162.91 - 3.09/
25: 246.79 +3.64 : 298.M: 63.95: 26.31 +1.16: 151.30 - 2.10 16.5M: 1619.E $24.1E: 4.75E=$5.08 28.64 101.05 +0.00 162.54 +0.00/
26: 251.20 +4.41 : 257.M: 61.00 : 25.85 - 0.46: 153.24 +1.96 12.8M: 1640.E $22.9E: 4.75E=$4.83 30.39 $99.35 +0.00 163.54 +1.00/
27: 253.42 +2.22 : 224.M: 65.54 : 24.37 - 1.48: 152.25 - 0.99 9.82M: 1629.E $21.2E: 4.75E=$4.47 28.33 $98.37 +0.01 167.70 +4.16/
30: 261.55 +8.13 : 000.M: 57.08 : 23.93 - 0.44: 152.92 +0.67 00.0M: 1643.7 $20.09: 4.750=$4.23 28.62 $99.05 +0.68 166.32 - 1.38/
31: 257.75 - 3.80 : 195.M: 53.54 : 23.04 - 0.89: 148.05 - 4.87 13.3M: 1596.6 $20.48: 4.865=$4.21 29.06 $98.98 - 0.07 164.97 - 1.35/
APR
01: 246.15 -11.60: 189.M: 57.06 : 24.03 +0.99: 149.45 +1.40 11.8M: 1611.E $21.5E: 4.90E=$4.38 27.62 100.18 +1.20 167.04 +2.07/
02: 251.83 +5.68: 177.M: 50.91 : 25.04 +1.01: 151.90 +2.45 9.18M: 1637.7 $25.32: 4.959=$5.11 30.15 100.20 +0.02 168.10 +1.06/
03: 248.19 - 3.64: 134.M: 46.80 : 24.95 -0.09: 152.65 +0.75 8.47M: 1645.7 $28.34: 4.803=$5.90 29.83 100.68 +0.48 168.59 +0.40/
06: 264.86 +16.7: 188.M: 45.24 : 26.34 +1.39: 156.88 +4.23 14.7M: 1709.E $25.76: 4.70E=$5.48 31.41 100.60 - 0.08 168.06 - 0.44/
07: 265.13 +0.27: 201.M: 46.70 : 26.09 - 0.25: 156.04 - 0.84 9.20M: 1700.E $23.92: 4.70E=$5.09 32.08 $99.90 - 0.70 166.30 +2.24/
08: 274.03 +8.90: 154.M: 43.35 : 26.20 +0.11: 154.64 +0.00 00.0M: 1684.3 $25.09: 4.672=$5.37 34.22 100.12 +0.22 165.09 - 1.21/
09: 278.20 +4.17: 190.M: 41.67 : 28.95 +2.75: 158.68 +4.04 18.1M: 1752.8 $22.76: 4.570=$4.98 33.91 $99.56 - 0.56 165.39 +0.30/
13: 275.66 - 2.54: 000.M: 41.17 : 30.79 +1.84: 161.31 +2.63 00.0M: 1760.E $21.0E: 4.50E=$4.93  3380 $99.35 - 0.21 163.88 -1.51/
14: 283.79 +8.13: 134.M: 37.76 : 30.76 - 0.03: 162.68 +1.37 17.1M: 1768.9 $20.11: 4.315=$4.66 33.64 $98.86 - 0.49 163.84 -0.04/
15: 277.76 - 6.03: 122.M: 40.84 : 30.15 - 0.60: 161.85 - 0.83 12.1M: 1740.2 $19.87: 4.485=$4.43 32.06 $99.81 +0.95 168.18 +4.34/
16: 279.10 +1.34: 132.M: 40.11 : 30.92 +0.77: 161.71 - 0.14 9.23M: 1731.E $00.00: 4.000=$4.36 30.69 $99.73 - 0.08 170.09 +1.91/
17: 286.64 +7.54: 000,M: 38.15 : 29.94 - 0.98: 158.57 - 3.14 14.7M: 1699.E $24.7E: 5.870=$4.21 33.95 $99.78 +0.05 167.81 -2.28/
20: 281.59 - 5.05: 100.M: 43.83 : 30.74 +0.00: 159.70 +1.13 10.7M: 1710.E $24.5E: 6.530=$3.75 32.89 $99.96 +0.00 169.16 +1.35/
21: 273.04 - 8.55: 126.M: 45.41 : 30.56 +0.18: 158.61 - 1.09 0.00M: 1688.E $11.5E : 4.090=$2.81 32.31 100.26 +0.30 171.29 +2.13/
22: 279.10 +6.06: 93.0M: 41.98 : 32.51 +1.95: 161.73 +3.12 0.00M: 1738.E $13.9E: 5.538=$2.51 33.46 100.35 +0.09 169.54 - 1.75/
23: 279.09 - 0.01: 00.0M: 41.38 : 33.42 +0.91: 163.34 +1.61 14.9M: 1746.E $16.5E: 6.250=$2.64 34.54 100.43 +0.08 170.44 +0.90/
24: 282.97 +3.89: 85.2M: 35.93 : 33.93 +0.51: 162.64 - 0.70 0.00M: 1735.6 $16.94: 6.591=$2.57 34.62 100.04 +0.00 170.84 +0.40/
27: 287.05 +4.08: 77.9M: 33.29 : 33.79 - 0.14: 161.56 - 1.08 9.03M: 1723.8 $12.78: 5.836=$2.19 35.37 100.05 +0.01 167.66 -  3.18/
28: 285.73 - 1.32: 105.M: 33.57 : 33.81 +0.02: 160.84 - 0.72 10.4M: 1722.2 $12.34: 5.000=$2.13 36.18 $99.96 - 0.09 169.59 +1.93/
29: 293.21 +7.48: 119.M: 31.23 : 34.03 +0.22: 161.73 +0.89 12.2M:
30: 290.48 - 2.73: 000.M: 34.15 : 32.26 +2.21: 158.80 - 1.93 00.0M: 1696.0 $19.98: 1.043=19.15 38.00 $99.02 - 0.00 166.69 +0.00/
MAY
01: 282.79 - 7.69: 125.M: 37.19 : 33.29 +1.03: 159.78 +0.98 10.9M: 1700.9 $19.78: 1.049=18.86 35.85 $98.68 - 0.34 167.95 +1.26/
04: 283.57 +0.78: 80.8M: 35.97 : 33.99 +0.70: 160.34 +0.56 7.99M: 1713.3 $20.39: 1.037=19.67 37.09 $99.51 +0.83 167.16 - 0.78/
05: 286.19 +2.62: 79.6M: 33.61 : 34.79 +0.80: 161.02 +0.68 10.6M: 1710.6 $26.49: 1.232=21.51 37.12 $99.79 +0.28 166.09 - 1.07/
06: 284.25 - 1.94: 73.2M: 34.12 : 33.79 - 1.09: 158.95 - 2.07 13.3M: 1691.E $25.66: 1.231=20.85 36.15 100.17 +0.38 163.31 - 2.68/
07: 287.68 +3.43: 75.3M: 31.44 : 35.03 +1.36: 161.39 +2.44 13.7M: 1726.E $25.07: 1.225=20.47 37.09 $99.89 - 0.28 166.14 +0.83/
08: 292.53 +4.85: 00.0M: 27.98 : 34.86 - 0.17: 160.42 - 0.97 00.0M:  1713.9 $26.17: 1.219=21.47 38.78 100.24 +0.35 163.98 -0.16/
11: 292.59 +0.06: 79.4M: 27.57 : 33.89 - 0.97: 159.42 - 1.00 11.2M: 1698.0 $25.08: 1.185=21.17 38.10 100.23 - 0.01 162.70 - 1.28/
12: 286.67 - 5.92: 000.M: 33.04 : 33.84 - 0.05: 160.04 +0.62 00.0M: 1706.8 $26.33: 1.256=20.97 37.43 100.25 +0.02 164.37 - 1.93/
13: 281.60 - 5.07: 145.M: 35.28 : 34.08 +0.24: 161.58 +1.54 11.0M: 1716.4 $25.68: 1.247=20.60 35.73 100.26 +0.01 165.52 +1.15/
14: 284.97 +3.37: 122.M: 32.61 : 35.16 +1.08: 163.01 +1.43 17.1M: 1000.0 $26.80: 1.25E=21.45 36.13 100.47 +0.21
15: 286.38 +1.41: 000.M: 31.89 : 36.57 +1.41: 163.93 +0.92 00.0M:  1756.5 $29.50: 1.317=22,39 00.00 $99.67 +0.00 166.71 +0.00/
18: 295.00 +8.72: 120.M: 29.30 : 35.93 - 0.64: 162.69 - 1.24 14.2M: 1735.0 $31.70: 1.304=24.31 00.00 $99.69 +0.02 163.05 - 3.66/
19: 291.97 - 3.03: 000.M: 30.53 : 37.21 +1.28: 164.25 +1.57 8.53M: 1745.0 $31.95: 1.307=24.44 37.84 $99.37 - 0.32 163.66 +0.61/
20: 296.93 +4.96: 85.9M: 27.99 : 36.61 +0.00: 164.65 +0.40 10.7M: 1752.0 $33.50: 1.322=25.34 39.35 $99.12 +0.00 164.15 +0.50/
21: 294.88 - 2.05: 00.0M: 29.53 : 35.66 +0.05: 162.25 - 1.60 0.00M: 1722.1 $33.92: 1.275=26.60 38.72 $99.37 +0.00 164.56 +0.41/
22: 295.44 +0.56: 64.0M: 28.16 : 35.55 - 0.11: 163.21 +0.96 8.54M: 1735.5 $33.25: 1.311=25.37 38.48 $99.80 +0.43 165.55 +0.99/
25: Holiday
26: 299.10 +3.66: 89.0M: 28.01 : 34.08 - 1.47: 160.89 -2.32 14.0M: 1000.0 $00.00: 1.000=25.66 39.55 $99.06 - 0.74 163.33 -2.22/
27: 303.53 +4.43: 105.M: 27.62 : 33.71 - 0.37:  161.18 +0.29 13.1M: 1000.0 $00.00: 1.000=25.00 40.06 $98.90 - 0.16 163.03 - 0.30/
28:
29: 304.32 +0.00: 119.M:
JUN
01: 305.55 +0.00: 00.0M:  28.23 : 35.33 +0.00:
02: 308.08 +2.53: 74.3M: 26.84 : 34.09 - 1.29:
03: 312.18 +4.10: 00.0M: 25..66 : 32.84 - 1.25: 159.60 +0.00 00.0M: 1000.0 $00.00: 1.000=27.12 41.73 $96.67 +0.00 159.54 +0.00/
04: 311.36 - 0.82: 75.7M: 25.81 : 33.11 +0.28: 161.28 +1.68 10.1M: 1000.0 $00.00: 1.000=27.50 41.74 $96.74 +0.07 157.23 - 2.31/
05: 319.34 +7.98: 151.M: 24.52 : 32.46 -0.65: 158.01 - 3.27 16.0M: 1000.0 $40.1E: 1.39E=28.87 44.84 $96.94 +0.20 156,11 -1.12/
08: 323.20 +3.86: 73.6M:
09: 320.79 -02.41: 00.0M: 27.57 : 33.06 +0.00: 161.26 +0.00 00.0M: 1000.0 $39.5E: 1.39E=28.42 45.10 $95.96 158.49 +0.00/
10: 319.00 - 1.79: 94.9M: 27.57 : 34.53 +1.47: 163.57 +2.31 13.1M: 1721.0 $39.60: 1.392=28.43 42.88 $96.30 160.84 +2.35/
11: 300.61 -18.39: 209.M: 40.79 : 32.83 -1.70: 162.39 -1.18 11.7M: 1740.0 $37.30: 1.415=26.36 38.84 $96.84 163.88 +3.04/
12: 304.21 +3.60: 195.M: 36.09 : 32.64 - 0.19: 162.62 +0.23 6.90M: 1737.5 $37.30 1.411=26.43 39.82 $97.32 162.30 - 1.58/
15: 307.05 +2.84: 136.M: 34.40: 33.51 +0.87: 162.33 - 0.29 0.00M: 1726.2 $37.08: 1.374=26.98 39.94 $96.96 162.39 +0.09/
16: 312.96 +5.91: 138.M: 33.67 : 32.64 - 0.87: 162.25 - 0.08 7.97M: 1736.5 $38.38: 1.389=27.64 41.09 $97.00 159.90 - 2.49/
17: 311.66 - 1.30: 83.4M: 33.47 : 32.85 +0.21 : 162.56 +0.31 4.76M: 1735.6 $38.21: 1.400=27.28 39.69 $97.07 160.56 +0.66/
18: 311.78 +0.12: 80.8M: 32.94 : 32.43 - 0.42 : 162.24 - 0.32 5.40M: 1731.0 $39.05: 1.400=27.89 40.18 $97.42 162.26 +1.70/
19: 308.64 - 3.14: 135.M: 31.77 : 33.55 +1.12 : 164.03 +1.79 00.0M: 1753.0 $39.83: 1.411=28.23 39.07 $97.04 162.39 +0.13/
22: 310.62 +1.98: 74.6M: 31.49 : 34.87 +1.32 : 165.09 +1.06  12.4M: 1766.1 $40.73: 1.405=28.98 39.25 $96.87 162.41 +0.02/
23: 312.05 +1.43: 68.5M: 31.37 : 35.37 +0.50 : 166.48 +1.39 12.1M: 1782.0 $40.37: 1.406=28.72 39.29 $96.57 161.30 - 1.11/
24: 304.09 - 7.96: 133.M: 33.84 : 34.74 -0.63 : 165.90 -0.58 10.9M: 1775.E $38.0E: 1.394=27.25 37.11 $97.43 163.03 +1.73/
25: 307.35 +3.26: 89.4M: 32.22 : 34.96 +0.22 : 165.80 -0.10 7.09M: 1773.E $38.7E: 1.385=27.94 37.82 $97.45 163.50 +0.47/
26: 300.05 - 7.30: 128.M: 34.73 : 35.19 +0.23 : 166.54 +0.74 9.75M: 1780.E $38.5E: 1.407=27.36 36.51 $97.50 165.25 +1.75/
29: 304.46 +0.00: 000.M: 31.78 : 35.56 +0.37 : 166.63 +0.09 00.0M: 1781.2 $39.70: 1.404=28.27 37.00 $97.39 164.73 -0.52/
30: 308.94 +4.48: 113.M: 30.43 : 36.68 +1.12 : 167.37 +0.74 12.8M:  1800.5 $39.27: 1.400=28.06 37.85 $97.46 163.93 - 0.80/
JUL
01: 310.52 +2.16: 72.4M: 28.62 : 36.56 - 0.12 : 166.62 - 0.75 13.2M: 1000.0 $00.00: 1.000=28.35 36.93 $97.13 163.42 - 0.51/
02: 313.23 +1.71: 00.0M: 27.68 : 36.17 - 0.39 : 166.98 +0.36 00.0M; 1000.0 $00.00: 1.000=28.75 37.34 $97.15 163.59 +0.17/
03: Holiday
06: 317.05 +3.82: 61.7M:
07: 313.78 - 3.27: 82.9M:
08: 316.18 +2.40: 54.6M: 28.08 : 38.96 +0.00 :
09: 314.38 - 1.80: 83.4M: 29.26 : 38.79 - 0.17 : 169.63
10: 317.59 +3.21: 57.6M: 27.29 : 38.40 - 0.36 : 169.19 - 0.24 8.22M: 1000.0 $40.6E: 1.40E=29.03 35.54
13: 314.84 - 2.75: 103.M: 32.19 : 37.13 - 1.27 : 169.40 +0.21 11.1M: 1000.0 $40.0E: 1.40E=28.50 35.35 $96.46 166.98
14: 318.92 +4.08: 93.7M: 29.52 : 38.59 +1.46 : 170.19 +0.79 9.81M: 1813.E $40.3E: 1.395=28.88 36.59 $96.26 167.12 +0.14/
15: 321.85 +2.93: 00.0M: 28.24 : 38.67 +0.08 : 170.34 +0.15 00.0M: 1814.E $41.2E: 1.407=29.29 37.38 $96.08 166.34 -0.78/
16: 320.79 - 1.06: 54.6M: 28.00 : 38.08 - 0.59 : 168.73 - 1.61 10.2M: 1800.E $40.9E: 1.403=29.16 37.21 $96.35 167.13 +0.00/
17: 321.72 +0.93: 00.0M: 25.68 : 39.31 +1.23 : 170.12 +1.39 00.0M: 1810.0 $40.75: 1.400=29.10 36.69 $95.84 166.78 - 0.35/
20: 324.32 +2.60: 56.3M: 24.46 : 40.38 +1.07 : 170.94 +0.82 10.1M: 1817.4 $40.92: 1.405=29.12 36.08 $95.81 167.19 +0.41/
21: 325.01 +0.69: 57.5M: 24.84 : 40.91 +0.53 : 173.00 +2.06 12.9M: 1843.9 $41.92: 1.410=29.72 38.26 $95.11 167.29 +0.10/
22: 326.86 +1.85: 57.8M: 24.32 : 41.75 +0.84 : 175.63 +2.63 18.7M: 1865.1 $41.90: 1.408=29.75 37.79 $94.98 167.79 +0.50/
23: 322.96 - 3.90: 75.7M: 26.08 : 40.96 -0.79 : 177.18 +1.55 23.1M: 1878.E $41.2E: 1.40E=29.41 37.72 $94.69 169.75 +1.96/
24: 320.88 - 2.08: 73.8M: 25.84 : 41.83 +0.87 : 178.70 +1.52 15.6M: 1894.E $41.2E: 1.40E=29.44 37.51 $94.44 169.74 -0.01/
27: 323.22 +2.34: 48.3M: 26.74 : 43.84 +2.01 : 182.23 +3.53 21.1M: 1932.E $41.6E: 1.40E=29.72 37.55 $93.69 169.11 - 0.63/
28: 321.17 - 2.05: 57.5M: 25.44 : 43.56 - 0.28 : 183.75 +1.52 21.2M: 1953.E $41.1E: 1.40E=29.35 36.91 $93.70 170.28 +1.17/
29: 325.12 +3.95: 48.5M: 24.10 : 43.13 - 0.43: 185.13 +1.38 25.6M: 1953.4 $41.27: 1.396=29.57 37.68 $93.02 169.99 -0.29/
30: 323.96 - 1.16: 61.9M: 24.76 : 41.63 - 1.50: 183.76 - 1.37 18.1M: 1966.8 $39.92: 1.380=28.93 36.20 $92.65 171.11 +1.12/
===

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Year End price Recap

Prices---- > YrE'16 : YrE'17 : change :  YrE'18 : change : YrE'19 : change :
SPY ------ : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 249.92 : - 6.35% : 321.88 : + 28.8%:
R-toGold - : r19.4% : r20.4% : ====== : r19.5% : ===== : r21.1% : ====== :
Gold ------ : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1281.3 : - 2.15% : 1523.1 : +18.9%:
GLD ------ : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 121.25 : - 1.94% : 142.90 : +17.9%:
Ratio ------: r10.51 : r10.59 : ====== : r10.567 : ===== : r10.659 : ====== :
GDX ------ : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $21.09 : - 9.75% : $29.28 : +38.8%: > big gainer
GDXJ ---- : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $30.22 : - 11.5% : $42.26 : +39.8%: > big gainer of 2019
SIL -------- : $32.11 : $32.64 : +1.65% : $25.02 : - 23.3% : $33.18 : +32.6%:
SLV-------- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $14.52 : - 9.14% : $16.68 : +14.9%:
Ratio ------: r2.053 : R2.043 : ====== : R1.723 : ===== : : R1.000 : ===== :
WTI ------- : $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.5% : $45.41 : - 24.8% : $61.06 : +34.5%: > big gainer
USO ------- : $11.72 : $12.01 : +2.47% : $ 9.66 : - 19.6% :  $12.81 : +32.6%: > big gainer
OIH ------- : $33.25 : $26.05 : - 21.7% : $14.03 : - 46.1% : $13.25 :  - 5.56%: > LOSER
XLE ------- : $75.32 : $72.26 : - 4.06% : $57.35 : - 20.6% : $60.04 : +4.69%:
SHcomp : $3,104. : $3,307 : +6.54% : $2,494 : - 24.6% : $3,050 : +22.9%:
R-to SPY— : r13.89 : r12.39 : ====== : r- 9.979 : ===== : r-9.476 : ===== :
=======

GOLD Stocks & Crude Oil were the BIG GAINERS of 2019.  But not Oil shares, OIH was a Loser.

===

Some months ago, with Gold stabilizing, I wrote:

"Many Gold shares are COILED & Ready to spring - if the Dollar slides below $97"

But the USD is still over $97, while Gold has jumped over $1300 again. This looks good

Gold's high for the year was $1566 (early Sep.), though DXY has held up.

idx24_usd_en_2.gif  : t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif :

USD Index/DXY $97.77 +0.03 : Gold : $1482.50 +5.20 ...

DXY/ Trade-wgt $/12mo : 2yr : DXY: $97.67, EUR: $1.109, GBP: $1.304, CAD: $0.753, AUD: $0.682, PHP: 51.04 (12/4/19)

q7dVjVM.gif

GDXJ - OIH  vs UDN, SLV ... fr.1/2008 w/Dba : 7/2008 w/Dba : GDXJ: $29.53 +1.03 , OIH: $13.08 -0.36, USO: $11.10 -0.66

mpImNnz.gif

FXFX : Aug.2016 > 2019 & Beyond : 2018> : 2019> :

bwjlMqI.gif:

FXFX : 2019> :

yVaW5VF.gif

Gr #1, JNUG, etc: 6mo : 10d : old chartJNUG ($104), UGLD ($158), GDXJ ($39.52)  - > shows High of Year

hQj9fZt.gif

Gr # 2: GCM etc: update : GCM.t ($5.91), CCO.t ($13.64 -12.3%), MUX.t ($1.82 -9.91%)

gfzd2tG.gif

Gr #3: OIH-etc ... update: LOW-of-Yr.: OIH ($10.76) vs. VAL ($3.42), HAL ($16.97), MDR ($0.53)

AmhtxXH.gif

==

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Long Term Charts updated from time-to-time, to at least: April 30, 2017

=== 

IWM / etf for Russell-2000 - 12/31/16 : $134.85,  12/31/17 : $152.46 : 

All-log : 10-yrs : 12mos // SPY ... : To-End-2015 : last-12mos

nVzEZ3p.gif

KEY CHARTS 
===========

SPY / S&P500 etf - (UP) ...SPY: to 12/31/16 : $223.53,  12/31/17 : $266.86

updated 12/17/2018 : 2,545.94

9S1H6rx.gif

All-log / 3yrs : 4yrs : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but may be rolling over

nyB6fg2.gif

SPX ... 10-yr

3OBqgrF.gif

.
TLT / T-Bonds etf - (DOWN) ... TLT: to 12/31/16 : $119.13,  12/31/17 : $126.86

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yr : Made an important Peak in 2016 (?) identified in prior chart here !

jdfaUBq.gif

.
UUP / USDollar x2 etf - (Peaking?) ... to 12/31/16 : $26.46,,  12/31/17 : $24.03

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yr : long ter, TREND is still UP,

sWEYfy8.gif

.
USO / Oil etf - (Battling DOWNtrend) ... to 12/31/16 : $11.72, 12/31/17 : $12.01

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yr : 10yrL : Price is battling that old Downtrend

rpAk3nN.gif

.
XLE / Oil stocks - (Fighting back UP) ... to 12/31/16 : $75.32,  12/31/17 : $72.26

All-log / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still Up

uPTblbm.gif

.
OIH / Oil service - (Fight DOWNtrend) ... $11.72, 2016  ,  12/31/17 : $26.05

All-Log  3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Major Bottom in place?

3exBC6r.gif

.
GLD / Gold etf - (Reversing Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : 109.61,  12/31/17 : $123.65

All : 3yrs : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversing to Up?

4yeFpcu.gif

.
GDX / Gold stocks - (Breaking Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : $20.92,  12/31/17 : $23.24

GDX ... All-Log : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversed to Up in 2016 maybe?

OdgKj01.gif

.HUI Chart - price data goes back further ... 12/31/16 : 182.31, 2016 range: $99.19 to 286.05 : +199.4% - beta 7.64

All-data :

eavKQ45.gif

China's Shanghai index last bounced of a support level near 2,600
ShComp 12/31/16 : 3103.6, 2016 range: 2638.3 to 3538.7 : +34.12% - beta 1.305

CN : SHcomp ... All-Log : All-Data

jQ65ScB.gif

===== other CHARTS =====

10yrs :&nbs

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SPY... 2015-2019: 12-31-16: $223.53 / 12-29-17: $266.86 : +19.4%

2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29
2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep .7, +Dec.3, /
2018 : -Jan.4, +Jan.17
2019 : +Jan.18, +Apr.17, -May29, -Aug28, +Oct.9, -Dec3 

bVz4z2b.gif

Model dates: 2019 : 2018 : 2017 : 2016 : 2015 :
2019-Bradley-Siderograph.png
===
Historical TURN: Bonds peaked first in 2015, then the Dollar, then stocks...

TLT... 2015-2019 : 12-31-16: $119.13 / 12-31-17: $126.86 : +6.49%

5hFlqdd.gif

USD trade-weighted dollar:

DXY ... 2015-2019 : DXY-all-data : 12-31-16: $102.36 / '17: $92.28 : -9.72%

wyXnzph.gif

Gold-Bradley-Siderograph-2019-Turn-Dates

sym: ye.2016 : ye.2017 : %.chg : 2017-H :
SPY : $223.53 : $266.86 : +19.4% : 268.60 :
TLT : $119.13 : $126.86 : +6.49% : 129.57 :
DXY : $102.21 : $92.282 : -9.72% : 103.82 :
Djia  : $19,763 : $24,719 : +25.1% : 24,876 :
GLD-: $109.61 : $123.65 : +12.8% : 128.32 :
EUR-: $1.0520 : $1.2001 : +14.1% : 1.2093 :
Dj/E : E18,786 : E20,597 : +9.64% :
PHP-: P49.606 : P50.009 : +0.00% : 52.006 :
====

OTHER Indices : USO : GLD : GDX : PHM : IYR : UGLD-vsGDX : : IMGHST.co

Edited by drbubb
 

MARKET CYCLES - Gold vs Property Charts

Gold and Property appear to be counter-cyclical - Time to switch into Gold?

Pulte (PHM) vs. Gold (GLD) ... update / 3-yrs :

BLUE Box: Sell PHM, Buy Gold / Red Box: Buy PHM, Sell Gold

OLD CHART !

fguOGn7.gif

3-years Chart : Key Level for PHM ($24.50) - Old chart :

OLD CHART PHM: $24.50, GLD: $112.57 / ratio: 21.8%

wDu3Hxx.gif

NEW CHART: PHM showed nice rally vs Gold ... update : Last (4/5/19) PHM: $28.94, GLD: $121.98 / ratio: 23.7%

zbFlN2v.gif

RATIO : PHM-to-GLD / rose from 21.8% > 23.7% . that's +8.7% higher , and may be peaking out now

utFi6fa.png

 

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Gas down, Oil down... OIH making new lows (AGAIN! early Aug.)

1vMnFlG.png

WTI crude

G5ZWnDF.png

OIH / Oil Service

Ccj5YSq.png

 

"Oil Service stocks are still under pressure" - I said May 2nd

HAL, etc ... update : 10d / Last: $21?

O2cpbsk.gif

Sym. 31may: 01may: -Chg. -Pct%: PER : Yield :
HAL: $21.29: $27.59 -6.30 -22.8%:10.6: 3.38%
SLB:  $34.69: $41.37 -6.68, -16.1%: 23.8: 5.77%
Bhge $21.41: $23.55 -2.14, -9.09%: 66.9: 3.36%
OIH : $13.08: $16.14 -3.06, -19.0%: N/ A: 2.29%
XLE : $58.77: $64.79 -6.02. -9.29%: N/ A: 3.52%
CNQ: $26.99: $28.94 -1.95, -6.74%: 14.5: 4.13%
CHK: $ 1.92 : $ 2.83 -0.91, -32.2%: 4.43: 0.00%
SWN: $ 3.52 : $  3.87 -0.25, -6.46%: 2.14: 0.00%
USO: $11.10 : $13.22 -2.12, -16.0%: ==
WTI: $53.50: $63.60 -10.1,-15.9%: ==
NGas $ 2.45: $2.62: - 0.17, -6.49%:
NG/wt r-4.6%: r-4.1%: :

Ratio: NatGas to-WTI Crude - @ r-4.12% - Buy NatGas versus Oil?

IgoGQPR.png

==

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Hang Lung: The Price GAP narrows AGAIN, as higher yielding HK101 outperforms HK10 >

Reaching *nearly* Yield Parity.

HK101/ HLP vs HK10 / HLG ... update : 10d. w/Hk2823 : $17.66 +0.44 > $21.50 +0.15, Gap: $2.84 / Ratio: 82.1%

zx7OCK9.gif

Date-- — : Hk10-: HK101: $Gap : Ratio- / HK2823: ratio / Dv.80 : Dv.75: gap-: R.Yields:
BookVal. : $63.49: $30.58: NMF-: r208.%/ =========== /  80cts. 75cts. 5cents: R-div. :
Earns/sh.: $ 3.88 : $ 1.80 : $2.08: r216.%/
Dividends: $0.80 : $0.75 : $0.05: r107.%/
09/03/19: $20.20: $18.88: $1.32: r107.%/ $14.68: r-138%/ . 3.96% 3.97%: 0.01%r99.7%:
08/30/19: $19.48: $17.72: $1.76: r110.%/ $14.52: r-134%/   4.11% 4.23%: 0.12%:   r97.2%:
06/28/19: $21.65: $18.58: $3.07: r117.%/ $14.94: r-145.%/  3.70% 4.04%: 0.34%:  r91.6%:
03/29/19: $25.20: $19.16: $7.02: r117.%/ $14.58: r-173.%/  3.17% 3.91%: 0.74%:  r81.1%:
12/31/18 : $19.94: $14.92: $5.02: r134.%/ $11.40: r-175.%/ 4.01% 5.03%: 1.02%:  r79.7%:
12/29/17 : $28.75: $19.10: $9.66: r151.%/ $15.02: r-191.%/  2.78% 3.93%: 1.15%: r70.7%:
—————

 Wow!

The pricing gap has now narrowed so much that both stocks have (almost) the same yield.

Meantime, HK10 has about 108% more asset backing than HK101.

A pairs trade : Long HK10 / Short HK101, may be virtually risk-free, apart from (important) liquidity & borrowing issues

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I NEED TO GET THESE CHARTS UPDATED !
 

And the Data too!

But it was about time I get the January 2020 thread up !

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8 hours ago, drbubb said:

USO - vs GLD, Ngas, Oilb .... fr. Feb.2009 : 2.17.16 : 9/2017 : end2018 : 10d :

X7HOq3N.gif

NATGAS near at/near an Extreme??

CJJzoxj.png

Extreme Ratio (3.3%) to WTI Crude? - But how to play it, if you cannot Buy calls on natgas?

RzAo7hU.png

NATGAS etfs ... update: 3yr: 2yr: 1yr: 10d / UGAS: $69.75, vol.4.05M, UNG: $16.59, vol.4.68M, NGAS.L: $0.0205, vol.47.7M

N0mBpIG.gif

Symbol: XX : Last $: change: %chg. : Volume: $Value :
UGAZ - : 3X : $ 69.75: + 2.70 : +4.03%: 4.05 M:  $282.M:
UNG — : 1X : $ 16.59: + 0.20 : +1.22%:  4.68 M : $77.6 M: options trade
BOIL — : 2? : $   8.28 : + 0.32 : +4.02%:  867. K : $7.18 M:
NGAS.L: 1X : $ .0205: +.0001: +0.25 %: 47.7M : $.978 M:

=======

 

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Gold versus Euro, Longer Term ... fr.July2014 : 10yr : 5yr : 4yr : 2yr : 12mo :

4I5X6uv.gif

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On 1/7/2020 at 11:18 AM, drbubb said:

NATGAS near at/near an Extreme??

CJJzoxj.png

Extreme Ratio (3.3%) to WTI Crude? - But how to play it, if you cannot Buy calls on natgas?

RzAo7hU.png

NATGAS etfs ... update: 3yr: 2yr: 1yr: 10d / UGAS: $69.75, vol.4.05M, UNG: $16.59, vol.4.68M, NGAS.L: $0.0205, vol.47.7M

N0mBpIG.gif

Symbol: XX : Last $: change: %chg. : Volume: $Value :
UGAZ - : 3X : $ 69.75: + 2.70 : +4.03%: 4.05 M:  $282.M:
UNG — : 1X : $ 16.59: + 0.20 : +1.22%:  4.68 M : $77.6 M: options trade
BOIL — : 2? : $   8.28 : + 0.32 : +4.02%:  867. K : $7.18 M:
NGAS.L: 1X : $ .0205: +.0001: +0.25 %: 47.7M : $.978 M:

=======

 

Ugaz interesting but I don’t understand what would be the driver for reversing the relationship with Natgas, other than its at an extreme in relationships?

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Cold weather might do it

 

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SPY is get very near my old target, after yesterday's jump

SPY... 4yr: 3yr / Last: 324.45 / Day.H & Yr.High: 325.78

XrmFQvZ.gif

4yr: - THIS chart seems to Target about SPY-330, and maybe higher

EkqUI8u.gif

==

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NEW IMAGE?

Old one (2018): GjtfFlk.jpg

It is past time for a new Diary image

UZxrLgv.jpg

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EWM / iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF ... all-data : 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: Yield: 2.91%; range: 27.20 - 31.36

GmnHfUB.gif

5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: Yield: 2.91%; range: 27.20 - 31.36

04rxfyl.gif

==

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SOLD - over 20% of my GCM.wtB warrants - Over the last 2-3 days, as the price approached the old highs

Update on the Fav.3-Gold stocks: Did some selling, though they may not be done with their Rally just yet.

Favored-3 Gold miners: ... update : +MUX : 10d./

dPYU5nk.gif

==

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Why gold could reach highs of $25,000 - Pierre Lassonde -

 

Gold January 8 (King World News) – Top Citi analyst Tom Fitzpatrick:  Our bias remains for a move towards $1,700+ at a minimum
...with an argument to be made for a possible move to and...

Gold
January 8 (King World News) – Top Citi analyst Tom Fitzpatrick:  Our bias remains for a move towards $1,700+ at a minimum with an argument to be made for a possible move to and maybe even above the all time highs.

Despite Pullbacks, $1,700+ Gold Is On The Way

KWN-Fitzpatrick-I-182020.jpg

We continue to hold the view that Gold can head to at least the $1,700+ area (possibly in Q1 2020).

.read more

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Compare very weak XOP, with strong USO, Major Oil shares (XLE) and Oil Service (OIH)

XOP-etc: USO, XLE, OIH,.. update / 01.10.2020 : $23.22 (2.10x), uso: $12.44, xle: $59.92 (4.82x), oih: $13.01 (1.05x)

gtxytUA.gif

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BTU- sold my Jan $8 calls at a tiny profit, when BTU hit $9.30.  May re-enter soon

I am targeting about 40-42% of UNG

UNG-etc-2019 : : 10d / Last: $16.85, $9.00, $71.68
x34kW6G.gif

EXCERPT - From 10 Value Stocks to Buy

Peabody Energy

Here’s how to spot true contrarians these days: They invest in coal. Long the power source of industrial development, coal is out of favor and decidedly politically incorrect because of its perceived role in carbon emissions and climate change.

As long as you are betting on the dark horse source of energy, you might as well go all in -- with the world’s largest publicly traded producer, or Peabody Energy. BTU, +0.11%

“Being contrarians, we like stocks that are out of favor, and Peabody is the poster child for out of favor,” says Kaser. Aside from the carbon taint and switch to natural gas by utilities, Peabody is the antithesis of popular FAANG names in that it is decidedly low-tech. It also has a history of bankruptcy. “Everything you would not want to buy in a stock, this has all of that,” says Kaser.

But Kaser points out that despite all the bad press, coal demand for use in electricity production and steel making remains steady, globally. Peabody also produces lots of cash and it has a healthy balance sheet, two other qualities value investors love.

“Given all these traits, the potential upside is quite strong if things just go less wrong than expected,” he says.

> https://www.marketwatch.com/story/10-value-stocks-to-buy-in-2020-2019-12-20?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

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THIS Chart SUMS it Up !

(Another way to play a possible rise in Bitcoin prices)

The relationship between GBTC (Bitcoin prices) & RIOT, HVBTF (Hive.v)

Note: GBTC is 1/1000th of a Bitcoin - and usually trades at a premium to NAV

GBTC vs. RIOT, HVBTF ... 5yr: 3yr: 2yr: 1year: 6mo: / from 1.1.2019 : $10.00, $1.40, $0.09 (C$0.115)

oydC3fi.gif

- Looking at Highs & Ranges. HVBTF peaked first !

/ from 1.1.2019 : $10.00, $1.40, $0.09 (C$0.115)

lFeh925.gif

===== 12 Months Range: Differ.:  Last: >Low %Range
HVBTF: 0.059 - 0.609 (1):  $0.55: 0.090: 0.031: 5.82%
RIOT.   : $1.11 - $6.14 (2):  $5.03: $1.40: 0.290: 5.77%
GBTC  : $3.66 - 17.40 (3):  13.74: $9.99: 6.330: 46.1%
======

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THE GAP to SLV become so large, that Fresnillo shares looked irresistable

FRES.L vs- SLV/ Silver ... 2yr :

ndbA5Tr.gif

==

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Uranium (& other Energy related shares) are still in a Downtrend - but may bottom soon

URPTF/ Uranium etf vs. UEC, CCJ, etc ... update / $3.11 vs. Yr.L: $2.87 - 8.4% higher

yK7mQst.gif

UEC- CCJ, etc.  ... from-2018 : $0.886 / $8.90 = 10%-ish

4BSKWb8.gif

Ratio: UEC to-CCJ: $0.886 / $8.90 = 9.96%

image.png

==

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7 hours ago, jerpy said:

Quite.

Just need a crystal ball or pin to pick out the true winners in the junior sector ha. Does make sense though.

True.

But I think you will agree, I have had a consistent (though imperfect) string of Winners mentioned on this website.

GEI is CRUSHING IT !

Recent examples, (without even showing the SLV calls I tipped, where I made +235% gain, in about 3 weeks):

+ Taseko (TKO.t), to $0.80 from $0.55, last month:

XNOkUFb.gif

+ Dynacorp Gold (DNG.t), Most recent: $1.71 from $1.60 and $1.58, during the last week;

Ecro7vq.gif

My largest single position, highlighted extensively here was Gran Columbia Gold warrants (GCM.wtb), up over 100% in 2019

0wRqeVV.gif

You can find numerous other profitable ideas here.

I think if this was a paid service, we would have many very happy subscribers.  

(Please point me to a better FREE service!  Honestly, haha)

 

 

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