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drbubb

TIPS FOR 2020: Favorite stocks & commodities

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Compare very weak XOP, with strong USO, Major Oil shares (XLE) and Oil Service (OIH)

XOP-etc: USO, XLE, OIH,.. update / 01.10.2020 : $23.22 (2.10x), uso: $12.44, xle: $59.92 (4.82x), oih: $13.01 (1.05x)

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Silver's not done yet,,, very possibly

I may buy Feb or March Calls. having cash over 200% profit on Jan Calls

Expert who called $1,500 gold is now betting on $20 silver in two months

Metallo CEO likes Silver

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XOP is pulling back to support - Buying opportunity ahead? (near $22)

XOP-etc... update: / Last:

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XOP alone ... 6-mo : vs.OIH : & XLE/ Last: $23.14

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Ratio: XOP to-XLE... 38.7%

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(Invested some of the profits from my SLV calls here):

Another way to play Silver?

THE GAP to SLV become so large, that Fresnillo shares looked irresistable

FRES.L vs- SLV/ Silver ... 2yr :

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I bought some shares at 615P.

The stock has a dividend yield near 2.5%

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"CRUSHING IT"

"J." commented on my DrB's Diary

7 hours ago, jerpy said:

Just need a crystal ball or pin to pick out the true winners in the junior sector ha. Does make sense though.

(My response):

True.

But I think you will agree, I have had a consistent (though imperfect) string of Winners mentioned on this website.

GEI is CRUSHING IT with some real consistency!

Recent examples, (without even showing the SLV calls I tipped, where I made +235% gain, in about 3 weeks):

+ Taseko (TKO.t), to $0.80 from $0.55, last month:

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+ Dynacorp Gold (DNG.t), Most recent: $1.71 from $1.60 and $1.58, during the last week;

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My largest single position, highlighted extensively here was Gran Columbia Gold warrants (GCM.wtb), up over 100% in 2019

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You can find numerous other profitable ideas here.

I think if this was a paid service, we would have many very happy subscribers.  

(Please point me to a better FREE service!  Honestly, haha)

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On 12/21/2019 at 3:42 PM, drbubb said:

Discrete Targets for US stock indices?

Looks like the record IWM high of 170.07 may be a good target - that's 2.4% above Friday's close of 166

That's 37.0% over the IWM-124 Low. +38.2% above the 124 Low would be: 171.4.  So I am targeting: 170-171 for IWM.

IWM vs. SPY, XLF ... update / Last: 165.97, 320.73, 30.68 / INDU: 28,445

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2.4% over the SPX Close of 3,221 would be: 3,298, Call it SPX-3,300

2.4% over the INDU Close of 28,445 would be: 29,128.  Maybe 29.000 or 30,000 as a round number target

===

STOCKS HAVE REACHED MY TARGETS, what next?

IWM is very near its 170+ high.  SPY is over 330.  INDU is in the 29,000-30,000 range

Here's IWM... 3-years / Last: 169.07.  Day's High: 170.55

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IWN- vs. SPY. DOW/INDU ... 3-years : INDU-last: 29,348

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SPY on its own: 3-years: 5-yrs: Last: 331.95 +1.03, +0.31%. Day.H: 332.18

SPY-335 now looks like a better TARGET than 330 was.

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: 5-yrs: Last: 331.95

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===

YES, stock indicies could go higher,. but I will be watching for signs of a faltering rally now.

The best time to sell, hedge, or short is NOT when you think we might be hitting a top (since this could be wrong),

but AFTER you see clear signs of the rally faltering !

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8 hours ago, drbubb said:

GEI is CRUSHING IT with some real consistency!

 

I think if this was a paid service, we would have many very happy subscribers.  

(Please point me to a better FREE service!  Honestly, haha)

I’ve always enjoyed reading your trading thoughts, (occasionally I read other sections but I’m generally indifferent to politicians and such debates, life’s too short to pick arguments), your boards have been a constant source for me to do my own research.

Even older threads that don’t really take off are a source of inspiration. Over the new year, I was looking for Aussie picks and used an old thread as a filter.

You’ve had people pick fights over time,  me personally, I think that you nail your colours, shows good character and they generally stand up extremely well against plenty of paid charlatan’s I’m sure.

Long may you continue, it’s a generous website you offer.

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Thanks for your Kind remarks. Jerpy.

I hope you are making some money from the ideas you find here, and the ones that come from your own research that might be inspired by some ideas here

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ENERGY STOCKS - another Buying Window coming?

10 Bargain Energy Stocks You Can Buy Cheaper Than Insiders Did
SLIDESHOW:

OXY-etc ... update / see prices, below
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GasL vs: xx ... fr. 2017: 2018: Oct.2018:

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: Oct.2018: 2019: 10d/ GasL ($8.12 -0.54, -6.24%), SPN ($5.19), GPOR ($1.90), RRC ($3.96), SWN ($1.86)

9pywedD.gif

Sym. /  Company---- : Price : BkVal: Insdr: Shs-OS : MkCap: / Yield : PER : EntV: Ebitda: EV/Eb:
GPOR/ Gulfport Energy: $1.90: 22.28: $2.42: 159.7M: $303.M/ - N/A-: 5.14: 2.43B: 1.01B:  r-2.41 :
SPN -/ Superior Energy: $5.19: $9.14: $0.83: 14.68M: $762.M/ - N/A-: N/A-: 1.20B: 280M: r-4.30 :
OXY -/ Occidental Petr.: 45.83: 29.46: 50.22:   893.M: $40.9 B/ 6.89%: 8.49: 101.B: 8.43B: r-12.0 :
Other:
RRC -/ Range Res.—— : $3.96: 16.88: $0.00: 251.M: $996.M/ 1.83% : N/A- : 4.16B: 1.20B: r-3.48 :
SWN -/ So’western Egy: $1.86: $5.81: $0.00: 541.M: $1.01B/  0.00% : 5.17: 3.40B: 1.28B: r-2.65 :

Ratio: SPN-to GasL. - SPN may be set for another sharp drop soon (if it cannot rally thru resistance)

44Ehmfj.png

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On 1/7/2020 at 8:59 PM, jerpy said:

This post interested me at the time, and put them in a watchlist with Callon.

So when Trump took action against Iran, decided to buy all 4. I’m still unsure on Oil but it seemed a reasonable way of playing any upside.

Dumped all 4 now,  Concho being the last. 2 marginally up, 2 marginally down; did I give oil enough t8me? Don’t know, but just didn’t take the chance.

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OIL is still weak,. and is being led down by Natgas, as shown by UNG, the etf

chart

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