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TIPS FOR 2020: Favorite stocks & commodities

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TIPS FOR 2020;  I asked Saturday's Real Estate Meetup.. of the attendees. 

What is your FAVORITE investment for 2020? 

And... Where do you expect the PH Peso to be against the USD in 12 months. 

Would love to see some thoughts from Others in this Group.  Then I will share what attendees said, and my own answer

At the RE Meetup: Two wanted to keep investing in their own businesses (paper products & online).  One wanted to build townhouses, and one wanted to buy some gold.  Two wanted to buy bargains in the secondary property market.  And very surprisingly, one wanted to buy condos, if he could get agressive finance from developers.  Then there was my idea...  (For the Peso, most thought it would be fairly stable in 2020.  Or they had no strong opinion.)

Here are my own ideas...

OIL may be a big upside surprise in 2020.  I may play it thru 6mo and 12mo calls on Oil stocks, which are even cheaper than oil is

Which Oil share? There are so many possibilities.  But maybe this Oil share etf: XOP > all-data :

bJjpYuL.gif

Compare very weak XOP, with strong USO, Major Oil shares (XLE) and Oil Service (OIH)

XOP-etc: USO, XLE, OIH,.. update / 01.10.2020 : $23.22 (2.10x), uso: $12.44, xle: $59.92 (4.82x), oih: $13.01 (1.05x)

gtxytUA.gif

Many OIL shares are relatively cheaper than Oil

#2:  the USD may be weak...  (And that would not be surprising if Oil is strong.)

How to play that?

Calls on SLV, the Silver etf ... all-data : 10yrL: 5yr: ... Last: $15.84 - 0.01

OKU16JM.gif

==

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SILVER CALLS
A way to play a Silver Rally - there are over 36,500 of these in Open Interest

Jan.$15 Calls : J$15.5 ... update: 2mo: fr. Nov.1 : 10d / Last:  $0.93 - 0.05 / 15.5C: $0.51 - 0.05

cx4LVUv.gif

(In edit: I bought SLV Jan. $15.50 at $0.48. I sometimes post a different option than the one i buy.)

/ 2 /

SLV / Silver etf ... update :

XAPqQK6.gif

==

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Discrete Targets for US stock indices?

Looks like the record IWM high of 170.07 may be a good target - that's 2.4% above Friday's close of 166

That's 37.0% over the IWM-124 Low. +38.2% above the 124 Low would be: 171.4.  So I am targeting: 170-171 for IWM.

IWM vs. SPY, XLF ... update / Last: 165.97, 320.73, 30.68 / INDU: 28,445

olmVNK8.gif

2.4% over the SPX Close of 3,221 would be: 3,298, Call it SPX-3,300

2.4% over the INDU Close of 28,445 would be: 29,128.  Maybe 29.000 or 30,000 as a round number target

===

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SLV / Silver is one of my tips of the Year 2020

iJyqpMR.gif

I was mentioned it here many days ago, and on my website.  And I was buying in the recent dip. Now it may be set for a breakout.  That could take it to the recent highs (over $18) or higher

I may exit before the possible $3 Move, and that is like 20%.  But the way I make good money, is by using Call, and my leverage is much better

Thus, I bought some Jan $15.50 calls at $0.48.  And SLV closed yesterday at $16.04, and those

Calls are now worth.... 61-63 cents

At mid-price of 62, that is already a 29% gain, on a decent sized position.  I will wait to see if there is a breakout, as we go into the new year

THIS is how I make my living these days

( The OIL part of the TIP is also up nicely )

A technical trader looks at the short-term Silver chart
SILVER Technical Analysis Chart 12/19/2019 by ChartGuys.com

xx

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Contra the Heard Investment Letter President Benj Gallander discusses oil and gas stocks

- and provides his top stock picks

In this interview with SmallCapPower at the MoneyShow Toronto 2019, Benj Gallander, President of Contra the Heard Investment Letter, talks about his investment track record, 20% plus average annual returns over the past 10 years, sectors he’s avoiding along with his view on oil and gas stocks, and offers up some of his top stock picks.

15 Investing Lessons From Benj Gallander

Market Outlook He looks at the past 10 years of a stock's price, focusing on stock price is down 33% in the past 52 weeks and trades near 10 year lows. He looks for upside of at least 100%. He does not like to see a company with a lot of debt. His 10 year annualized return is over 20%. He thinks President Trump is toast. The question is does he even make it to the next election -- is he impeached or does he have a stroke. He has bet that he will not be re-elected. This will be great for the markets after a brief period of uncertainty. He is just too much of a loose cannon. The American debt and deficit now though and it will become a big issue going forward.

> PORTFOLIO: http://www.contratheheard.com/cth/boughtandsold/index.html

President’s Portfolio : - TSE - : vs’99: - SPY- : vs’99:
1999: ———    : 100.0.:  000.00 : 100.0: 000.00: 100.0:
2000: - 17.4% :  82.60:
2001: +64.8% : 139.42:
2002: +47.3% : 203.37:
2003: +68.4% : 345.84:
2004: +  6.0% : 366.59:
2005: +24.3% : 455.67:
2006: +  9.1% : 497.13:
2007: - 15.5% : 420.08:
2008: - 36.8% : 265.49:
2009: +47.4% : 391.33:
2010: +29.0% : 504.82:
2011: +14.4% : 577.51:
2012: +30.4% : 753.07:
2013: +49.4% : 1,125.1:
2014: +23.9% : 1,394.0:
2015: +13.9% : 1,587.7:
2016: +19.8% : 1,902.1:
2017: +  9.3% : 2,079.0:
2018: -11.9% : 1,831.6:
2019:      ? ? ? :
====
’99-18: 18.32x: 

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Ben Gallander Picks

NRT / North European Oil Royalty Trust (NYS)  ...  All-data-L: 10yrL: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d /

NRT  : $5.39, PER: 6.71, Yield: 15.2% YrL:$5.21 chg.: + 3.45%

hlALGIQ.gif

Based in NY, and operates in Germany. A one man operation.  9 years of Reserves

Black Diamond - Oil & gas related; losing money, but revs up 11%

BDI.t / Black Diamond Group ...  All-data-L: 10yrL: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d /

BDI.t : C$1.86, PER: N/A, Yield: N/A% YrL:$1.51 chg.: +23.2%

qEdRo3N.gif

CALGARY, Alberta, Nov 05, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE via COMTEX) -- Black Diamond Group Limited ("Black Diamond", the "Company" or "we"), (BDI), a leading provider of space rental and workforce accommodation solutions, today announced its operating and financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019

Key Highlights from the Third Quarter of 2019

For the Quarter, MSS Adjusted EBITDA of $7.3 million increased 74% from $4.2 million in the Comparative Quarter. The increase in EBITDA is attributed to the business unit's growing rental and non-rental revenue along with a positive $0.7 million impact from IFRS 16. As of September 30, 2019, the MSS fleet increased to 6,122 units, up approximately 5% from 5,813 units at December 31, 2018.

In the WFS business unit, Adjusted EBITDA for the Quarter was $6.1 million, up 110% from the Comparative Quarter due to changes in revenue mix and stronger rental margins attributed to higher fleet utilization. Adjusted EBITDA was also positively impacted by $0.5 million from IFRS 16. Subsequent to the Quarter, the Company completed mobilization of just over half of the assets related to the Sukunka River Lodge, a $45 million full turnkey project which will support construction of the Coastal GasLink Pipeline.

: https://www.marketwatch.com/press-release/black-diamond-reports-third-quarter-2019-results-2019-11-05?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

> PICKS Source: Oct.29,2019 Interview

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TAX LOSS _ Energy Related stocks....

(from : These 10 S&P 500 stocks were lousy in 2019, but they could return 40% or more in 2020 )

EXCERPT

Sym./ Company ————  : Tot.R, Buys, Neut, Sells, 12/17: Yr’s.Low. Target : Pot’l : Off Low
CXO / Concho Resources: - 21%,  79%,  18%,   3%, $81.12 : $61.37: 100.79 : 24% : +32.2%
COG / Cabot Oil Gas Cp.  : - 23%,  63%,  30%,   7%, $16.85 : $00.00: $21.83 : 30% : +2.35%
XEC / Climax Energy Co.  : - 17%,  62%,  38%,   0%, $50.66 : $00.00: $63.73 : 26% : +0.27%

CXO/ Concho Resources ...  All-data-L: 10yr: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d / Last: $83.51

LD40Lme.gif

COG/ Cabot Oil & Gas Corp ...  All-data-L: 10yr: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d / Last: $17.41

UCsjdgg.gif

XEC/ Cimarex Energy ...  All-data: 10yr: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d / Last: $51.20

0aSOLqb.gif

/ 2 /

SMALL CO's _ Energy Related stocks....

(from : Top stock picks for 2020: Standout small companies )

Small-cap stocks are always an exciting part of the market.

For newer companies, management teams are motivated to grow their businesses rapidly, which means greater opportunity — and more volatility...

So how have the small-caps performed? As we saw in part 2 of this series, “winners” among the large-cap S&P 500 SPX, +0.49%, the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index MID, +0.55%  and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index SML, +0.04%  vary over time. Here’s a comparison of total returns (with dividends reinvested) for the indexes over various periods through Dec. 9:

Index 2019 3 years 5 years 10 years 15 years 20 years
S&P 500 28% 47% 69% 252% 260% 228%
S&P Mid Cap 400 23% 25% 51% 237% 293% 536%
S&P Small Cap 600 20% 22% 56% 261% 279% 577%

EXCERPT

====
Sym./ Company———— : Tot.R, Buys, Neut, Sells, 12/17 : Yr’s.Low. Target : Pot’l : Last Chg.
XEC / Climax Energy Co. : - 17%,  62%,  38%,   0%, $50.66 : $00.00: $63.73 : 26% : +0.27%
REI. / Ring Energy Inc.     : - 60%,  75%,  25%,   0%, $. 2.05 :  $  0.00: $  4.16 : 103%: - 1.15%
Pdce/ PDC Energy Inc.    : - 22%,  82%,  18%,   0%, $23.28 :  $00.00: $43.44: +87%: +1.32%
CPE / Callon Energy.       :  - 34%, 87%,  13%,   0%, $. 4.26 :  $   0.00: $  7.70 : +81%: - 3.60%
Regi / Renewble Energy  :  - 29%, 100%.  0%,   0%, $18.18 :  $00.00:  28.80 :  +58%: - 1.73%
Ceix / Consol Energy       : - 58%,  80%,  20%,  0%,
Gpre/ Green Plains Inc.   :
NR.  / Newpark Res,        :
Talo / Talos Energy.         :
=====

/ 3 /

Here are Wall Street’s favorite stocks for an oil-sector recovery in 2020

 

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Druckenmiller likes some commodities - incl. Copper

"We don't own Energy... probably should"

Shifted to: "Owning stuff that will do well in a higher growth world"

Druckenmiller on 2020 Outlook, Monetary Policy, U.S. Election

==

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LOOKING at some of these

Sym : Last : EPS:  PER : Yield : BkVal: EV/eb

Sym : LAST : EPS:  PER : Yield : BkVal: EV/eb
CRT : $7.43: 0.00: 7.26 :  11.8%: $1.37: N/A- :
SJT : $2.37 : 0.00: 7.67 : N/A—:  $0.12: N/A- :
PBT : $4.19 : 0.00: 8.93 : 10.3%: $0.01: N/A- :
BPT : $6.79 : 0.00: 2.07 : 32.9%: $0.05: N’/A- :
NRT: $5.37 : 0.00: 6.68 : 15.3%: $0.01: N/A- :
===
SWN: $2.38 : 0.00: 0.00 : N/A- : $5.81: 2.87 :
ECA : $4.52 : 0.00: 3.65 : 1.68%: $7.64: 3.48 :
GTE : $ 1.17 : 0.00: N/A- : N/A- : $2.74: 2.87 :
=== tor.:
TOU : 15.31 : 0.00: 9.27 : 3.14%: 28.42: 4.21 :
EFX  : 12.35 : 0.00: 7.26 : 3.72&: 14.91: 4.71 :
CPG : $5.66 : 0.00: N/A-: 0.71%: 11.72: 2.76 :
MEG : $7.32 : 0.00: N/A-: N/A— : 12.79: 6.49 :
BTE : $1.87 : 0.00: N/A- : N/A— : $5.57: 2.91 :
SGY : $1.11 : 0.00: N/A- : 9.01%: $2.53: 4.78 :
GIB. : 27.02 : 0.00: 25.0 : 4,89% : $5.31: 12.0 :
PXT : 23.67 : 0.00: 9.22 : N/A— : $9.21: 4.50 :
VII.  : $8.40 : 0.00: 4.70: N/A— : 15,15: 2.63 :
FRU : $7.41 : 0.00: N/A- : 8.50%: $6.07 : 8.84 :
===
XLE : 61.99 : 0.00: N/A- : 3.62%:
XOM: 70.21 : 0.00: 20.5 : 4.95%:
MUR: 26.61 : 0.00: 3.27 : 3.76%: 36.10: 3.19 :
MPC: 60.66 : 0.00: 12.1 : 3.49%: 51.90: 8.27 :
EOG: 83.38 : 0.00: 16.2 : 1.38%:
ECA:
NBL: 24.30 : 0.00: N/A- : 1.98%:
FTI  : 21.22 : 0.00: N/A- : 2.45%:
===
CPE: $4.83 : 0.00: 4.72 : N/A— :
COG: 17.59 : 0.00: 9.25 : 2.27%:

 

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Nov 4, 2019
Oil prices are pushing higher but the Canadian energy industry has yet to see a positive boost. Bill Harris ...

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2 hours ago, drbubb said:

LOOKING at some of these

Sym : Last : EPS:  PER : Yield : BkVal: EV/eb

Sym : LAST : EPS:  PER : Yield : BkVal: EV/eb
CRT : $7.43: 0.00: 7.26 :  11.8%: $1.37: N/A- :
SJT : $2.37 : 0.00: 7.67 : N/A—:  $0.12: N/A- :
PBT : $4.19 : 0.00: 8.93 : 10.3%: $0.01: N/A- :
BPT : $6.79 : 0.00: 2.07 : 32.9%: $0.05: N’/A- :
NRT: $5.37 : 0.00: 6.68 : 15.3%: $0.01: N/A- :
===
SWN: $2.38 : 0.00: 0.00 : N/A- : $5.81: 2.87 :
ECA : $4.52 : 0.00: 3.65 : 1.68%: $7.64: 3.48 :
GTE : $ 1.17 : 0.00: N/A- : N/A- : $2.74: 2.87 :
=== tor.:
TOU : 15.31 : 0.00: 9.27 : 3.14%: 28.42: 4.21 :
EFX  : 12.35 : 0.00: 7.26 : 3.72&: 14.91: 4.71 :
CPG : $5.66 : 0.00: N/A-: 0.71%: 11.72: 2.76 :
MEG : $7.32 : 0.00: N/A-: N/A— : 12.79: 6.49 :
BTE : $1.87 : 0.00: N/A- : N/A— : $5.57: 2.91 :
SGY : $1.11 : 0.00: N/A- : 9.01%: $2.53: 4.78 :
GIB. : 27.02 : 0.00: 25.0 : 4,89% : $5.31: 12.0 :
PXT : 23.67 : 0.00: 9.22 : N/A— : $9.21: 4.50 :
VII.  : $8.40 : 0.00: 4.70: N/A— : 15,15: 2.63 :
FRU : $7.41 : 0.00: N/A- : 8.50%: $6.07 : 8.84 :
===
XLE : 61.99 : 0.00: N/A- : 3.62%:
XOM: 70.21 : 0.00: 20.5 : 4.95%:
MUR: 26.61 : 0.00: 3.27 : 3.76%: 36.10: 3.19 :
MPC: 60.66 : 0.00: 12.1 : 3.49%: 51.90: 8.27 :
EOG: 83.38 : 0.00: 16.2 : 1.38%:
ECA:
NBL: 24.30 : 0.00: N/A- : 1.98%:
FTI  : 21.22 : 0.00: N/A- : 2.45%:
===
CPE: $4.83 : 0.00: 4.72 : N/A— :
COG: 17.59 : 0.00: 9.25 : 2.27%:

 

Wow that’s some watchlist 😂

Dr B just want to wish you a Merry Christmas, this is a great thread and you are a great inspiration to my research.

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Thanks, Jerpy

Same to you, a Merry Christmas.  I appreciate your many thoughtful comments

It is Christmas day now here in the Philippines.  A happy day, with happy music, and good company,

despite being overcast

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TIPS : Silver & Oil Stocks Update. Both are doing well so far

SLV - Weekly : Daily - 1 year ... $15.84 > $16.58

AiQrtzy.gif

My SLV calls are up 127% (Jan.$15.50: $0.48 > $1.09)

I was less successful in catching the up move in Oil, which came so fast, without a good entry opportunity

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COPPER OUTLOOK may be bright in 2020

COPPER - since Dec.2015 : All: 10yr: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d/ Last: $2.825 -yr.L: 2.425, chg,:

vOwHUyE.gif

from Dec.2017 : 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d/ Last: $2.825

vzuSLHc.gif

Stanley Druckenmiller likes some commodities - incl. Copper

"We don't own Energy... probably should"

Shifted to: "Owning stuff that will do well in a higher growth world"

Druckenmiller on 2020 Outlook, Monetary Policy, U.S. Election

/ 2 /

Mining Investment Guru Rick Rule Talks Copper

Click to enlargeRick Rule, President and CEO of Sprott US Holdings, is one of the most successful brokers of natural resource investments ever. A staunch contrarian, Rule looks to buy natural resource businesses for bargain prices after they’ve suffered large declines. Through the years, his disciplined investing style has made his clients billions of dollars in natural resources like gold, silver, copper, uranium, agricultural products, and even water.
 
According to Rick, the global supply of copper has becoming constrained. He explains the relative impact of an extended period of lower prices and low investment in a productive capacity.
 
However, he says prices are set at the intersection of supply and demand.
 
In an exclusive audio conversation with Stockhouse Editorial we recently asked Rick where he thinks copper pricing and supply / demand is headed for in 2020, if mining jurisdictions really matter, and the significance of China as major market player: 

(Click above to play audio)

Listen on Apple Podcasts     Listen on Google Podcasts

 
With the obvious increasing demand for copper presenting itself to the global economy we see this as a sector that Canadians should keep their eyes on in 2020.
 
This perspective is high on the mind of Canadian copper professionals as well, like Go Metals (C.GOCO) CEO, Scott Sheldon who stated:
 
“Copper is a key component for transportation, electronics and construction. The electrification of transport plus world population growth points to continued acceleration for copper demand. Potentially large projects like our Monster have the ability to generate a lot of interest from companies looking to ensure continued access to copper.”

Metals & mining market analysts say the long-term outlook for copper looks positive. Supply remains relatively constrained because of disruptions in countries such as Indonesia and Chile, while many expect demand to rise as more consumers transition to EVs. Because investors remained wary of a short-term demand slowdown, anticipation of those future shortages had done little to lift copper prices for much of the year…until recently.

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WEEK AHEAD

Gold prices look ready to start the new year with a bang Kitco News

For the fourth straight year, silver was voted as the metal most likely to outperform the other precious metals and copper during the year ahead.

This year, 1,820 people participated in an Outlook 2020 online survey. A total of 794 Main Street voters, or 44%, said they expect silver to fare better than other metals in the year ahead.

Gold came in second place, with 526 votes, or 29%. Another 213 of the survey respondents, or 12%, favored platinum. Voters cast 178 ballots, or 10%, in favor of copper.

Palladium garnered only 109 votes, or 6%. That was the same percentage as a year ago. Of course, palladium confounded voters in 2019, posting a 50% rise so far this year and touching $2,000 an ounce for the first time ever.

Metal_Survey_2020.png

“Silver is the most beat-down metal of them all; just look at the chart,” said one Kitco reader. “It’s found its btm [bottom] and only one way to go -- up! Palladium is in a blow-off parabolic move, which is going to end badly for people buying it right now.”

As of Thursday, the gold-silver ratio stood at a historically high 84.5, meaning it takes 84.5 ounce of silver to buy an ounce of gold. A high number means underperformance by silver, and vice-versa.

A number of Wall Street analysts told Kitco News in recent weeks that they see potential for silver to outperform gold.

"Over the last few years, investment for silver and gold disconnected quite a bit,” said TD Securities strategist Daniel Ghali. “Over the last few months, however, there have been signs that the correlation of investment activity for both metals has turned positive again. We are optimistic on the prospect for gold, but we think it will pay off more for those who…purchase silver. We think the industrial demand side of the equation will improve later in the year."

===

Gold managed to surprise traders once more this year with prices rallying alongside record-high equity markets this week. Analysts see the rally continuing with more gains during the first week of the New Year.

Gold moved north of $1,500 an ounce on Christmas Eve, with February Comex gold futures last trading at $1,516.10, up about 2.4% on the week.

This week’s performance has been the best since August. Overall, gold is up around 18% year-to-date.

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Think it was Bob Moriarty that was tipping Platinum a little while ago for 2020. 

At the time there hadn’t been much of a rise, do you have any thoughts on Platinum going in to 2020 Dr Bubb? 

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Hmm.

i believe it is cheap.  But I am unaware of any particular reason that Platinum would rise more than Gold.

I prefer Silver to Gold right now

 

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Had to do some digging but found the inspiration for my question (about 13 minutes in Bob explains the rationale for Platinum).

 

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EURO ready to roll in 2020/ Have we seen an important Higher LOW in the Euro in late 2019?

EUR - in USD ... All-data : fr.2012 : fr.2015 : at 12.31.19: $1.121 (DXY: $96.06, Gold: $1523.10, AG: $17.93, SLV: $16.68)

yATDKi8.gif

: fr.2012 : fr.2015 :

2D2h3B8.gif

==

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On 12/21/2019 at 4:15 PM, drbubb said:

SLV / Silver is one of my tips of the Year 2020

... I bought some Jan $15.50 calls at $0.48.  And SLV closed yesterday at $16.04, and those

Calls are now worth.... 61-63 cents

At mid-price of 62, that is already a 29% gain, on a decent sized position.  I will wait to see if there is a breakout, as we go into the new year

Just SOLD 1/.3 of my position at $1.45 - that is a 202% Profit !

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Kevin O'Leary on OIL: "The Airstrike didn't even move the needle"

Kevin O'Leary on oil prices amid severe tension with Iran

===

Sold another 1/3 of my SLV-Silver Jan.$15.5Calls at $1.66 on the opening. /$0.48 = +245% Gain. 

I still have 1/3 left, and they expire a week from Friday.

SLV closed at: $16.94 +$0.10. and the 15.5calls at: $1.44-1.47
Selling on the opening, with SLV at $17.16 was a good move.
But there is still time for another jump in Silver.  
There is a possibility I will exercise the calls, or try to roll them into Feb or Mar. expiry

(Just keep you up-to-date on my TIPS for 2020. Another was Oil shares, like ECA.)

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Year End price Recap

Prices---- > YrE'16 : YrE'17 : change :  YrE'18 : change : YrE'19 : change :
SPY ------ : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 249.92 : - 6.35% : 321.88 : + 28.8%:
R-toGold - : r19.4% : r20.4% : ====== : r19.5% : ===== : r21.1% : ====== :
Gold ------ : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1281.3 : - 2.15% : 1523.1 : +18.9%:
GLD ------ : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 121.25 : - 1.94% : 142.90 : +17.9%:
Ratio ------: r10.51 : r10.59 : ====== : r10.567 : ===== : r10.659 : ====== :
GDX ------ : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $21.09 : - 9.75% : $29.28 : +38.8%: > big gainer
GDXJ ---- : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $30.22 : - 11.5% : $42.26 : +39.8%: > big gainer of 2019
SIL -------- : $32.11 : $32.64 : +1.65% : $25.02 : - 23.3% : $33.18 : +32.6%:
SLV-------- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $14.52 : - 9.14% : $16.68 : +14.9%:
Ratio ------: r2.053 : R2.043 : ====== : R1.723 : ===== : : R1.000 : ===== :
WTI ------- : $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.5% : $45.41 : - 24.8% : $61.06 : +34.5%: > big gainer
USO ------- : $11.72 : $12.01 : +2.47% : $ 9.66 : - 19.6% :  $12.81 : +32.6%: > big gainer
OIH ------- : $33.25 : $26.05 : - 21.7% : $14.03 : - 46.1% : $13.25 :  - 5.56%: > LOSER
XLE ------- : $75.32 : $72.26 : - 4.06% : $57.35 : - 20.6% : $60.04 : +4.69%:
SHcomp : $3,104. : $3,307 : +6.54% : $2,494 : - 24.6% : $3,050 : +22.9%:
R-to SPY— : r13.89 : r12.39 : ====== : r- 9.979 : ===== : r-9.476 : ===== :
=======

GOLD Stocks & Crude Oil were the BIG GAINERS of 2019.  But not Oil shares, OIH was a Loser.

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On 12/22/2019 at 8:26 AM, drbubb said:

TAX LOSS _ Energy Related stocks....

(from : These 10 S&P 500 stocks were lousy in 2019, but they could return 40% or more in 2020 )

EXCERPT

Sym./ Company ————  : Tot.R, Buys, Neut, Sells, 12/17: Yr’s.Low. Target : Pot’l : Off Low
CXO / Concho Resources: - 21%,  79%,  18%,   3%, $81.12 : $61.37: 100.79 : 24% : +32.2%
COG / Cabot Oil Gas Cp.  : - 23%,  63%,  30%,   7%, $16.85 : $00.00: $21.83 : 30% : +2.35%
XEC / Climax Energy Co.  : - 17%,  62%,  38%,   0%, $50.66 : $00.00: $63.73 : 26% : +0.27%

             
             
             
             

This post interested me at the time, and put them in a watchlist with Callon.

So when Trump took action against Iran, decided to buy all 4. I’m still unsure on Oil but it seemed a reasonable way of playing any upside.

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On 1/8/2020 at 5:01 AM, jerpy said:

Stunning performance on SLV calls sir, I doff my cap to you.

Thanks, Actually, I have sold all the Jan $15,5 calls now

I forgot to post here, that I sold the last one third at $1.66 - same price as the middle 50 cts.

So, SLV Calls overall:  $1.45, $1.66, $1.66, gives average of $1.59, and a 231% profit on my $0.48 cost. 

Done in under one month.

I did not do much with Oil shares, since I could not find a good entry point.

Main things I did with energy so far:

+ Bought calls on ECA / Encana

+ Sold 2/3 of my shares in GTE / Gran Tierra this week, in the Oil rise,

GTE is mainly a gas producer, and gas was not moving much, but the Iran-related news pushed GTE higher

This was a dog share for weeks (though not as bad as MUX), and like with MUX, I was pleased to exit at a small profit,

relative to my average cost.  I think we may see some pullback in energy shares, now that the Iran crisis seems to be easing.

That pullback should provide a better entry opportunity.

Already today, XLE the Oil share etf shows:

XLE: 59.0632down-0.6468 (-1.08%)

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