drbubb Posted December 12, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2019 TOP ... : Chan-GE : MP : PP : Charts2 : Acore : Fringe : : : : 3d : ag : au : 10d-Gvs.UK : >News : DrRp : AJo : Fox : WRH : Arc : RenA : Rvd : FxN : BTC all data: 8yr: 4yr: 3yr: 12mo: 6mo 1mo 10d: 10d 5d / SLV-lv ===== SANTA RALLY Guaranteed? "Massive... Huge... Largest Ever": Fed Will Flood Market With Gargantuan $500 Billion In Liquidity To Avoid Year-End Repo Crisis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 13, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 13, 2019 Saker message: a thank you, a “state of the blog” report and a “perfect storm” warning By: Ethan Allen and... Some housekeeping by the Saker and at the bottom of the page some interesting stuff. Next, my dire warning: A look into 2021 – brace for impact as a perfect storm is forming on the 2020 horizon My friends, I am sorry to say that I think the next year will probably be a perfect storm! I have explained in many articles why I think that, so I will just summarize it all here: In the USA the next Presidential election will most likely be a disaster. The Dems are dead set to use any and all lies and tricks to try to remove Trump, while the GOP hopes that by selling out to Israel it will remain in power. The US is tanking on so many levels that I will only mention a few crucial ones: politically, socially, economically and militarily. The Trump-disaster has shown beyond doubt that this is not about personalities or who gets to sit in the White House. It is about a system which is profoundly 1) corrupt 2) dysfunctional and 3) unreformable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Gold's SIDEWAYS correction may be nearly over... Silver looks Good as Gold, maybe better GLD / Gold ... 10yrL: 5yr: ... Last: $139.05 +0.62 SLV / Silver ... 10yrL: 5yr: ... Last: $15.84 - 0.01 SLV - Weekly : Daily - 1 year ... $15.84 SLV - Weekly : Daily - 1 year ... $15.84 RATIO: Gold-toSilver : $1481 / $17.01 = 87.07x RATIO: Gold-toSilver : $1481 / $17.01 = 87.07x RATIO: SLV-toGLD : 11.4% == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 EUR - in USD ... All-data : fr.2012 : fr.2015 : $1.115 : fr.2012 : Updated to 12/13/2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 TIPS FOR 2020; I asked Saturday's Real Estate Meetup.. of the attendees. What is you FAVORITE investment for 2020? And... Where do you expect the PH Peso to be against the USD in 12 months. Would love to see some thoughts from Others in this Group. Then I will share what attendees said, and my own answer At the RE Meetup: Two wanted to keep investing in their own businesses (paper products & online). One wanted to build townhouses, and one wanted to buy some gold. Two wanted to buy bargains in the secondary property market. And very surprisingly, one wanted to buy condos, if he could get agressive finance from developers. Then there was my idea... (For the Peso, most thought it would be fairly stable in 2020. Or they had no strong opinion.) Here are my own ideas... OIL may be a big upside surprise in 2020. I may play it thru 6mo and 12mo calls on Oil stocks, which are even cheaper than oil is Which Oil share? There are so many possibilities. But maybe this Oil share etf: XOP > all-data : #2: the USD may be weak. (And that would not be surprising if Oil is strong.) How to play that? Calls on SLV, the Silver etf ... all-data : 10yrL: 5yr: ... Last: $15.84 - 0.01 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 16, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2019 "The World is tired of subsidizing us." (and the Secret Space program) CATHERINE AUSTIN FITTS THE 21 TRILLION DOLLAR BLACK BUDGET MONEY VORTEX 2020! Stelios Stylianou 1 week ago Catherine Austin Fitts is one of the best guests you can have on she’s brilliant as always! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 16, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2019 Philippine BELLWETHER stocks are under-pressure. Some are making New Lows* Will the declines in PDLT and the three "M-stocks" spread out to the general Index? PLDT (TEL: last P 999.5*) vs. PSEI (7,750) -etc. ... update : 10d / MWC (9.34*), MEG (P4.16*), MER (P300*) *NEW LOWS FOR THE YEAR My comments on the Viber chat: + SEEMS WEIRD to me. I am a Global Resource stock guy, and Commodity trader. If things like this were happening in MY space, I would probably have a ton of comments. Now today, we are seeing some Big Pressure, and key support tested (& maybe broken) on what I think are some key bellwether stocks (MEG, TEL, MWC), but it seems strangely quiet here. (early afternoon comment)... Am I missing something? Or does no one focus on these bellwether stocks? TS: I guess my written comment from 1-2 years ago (as known by those who received my Whatsapp updates then) that the PSEI started a bear market from Feb 2018 peak captures the big picture. That comment stayed and was reinforced many times (the oft repeated "sell on rallies") despite the many calls locally for new record highs and bullish economic picture from BUILDx3 to POGO to lowering of interest rates/bank reserve requirements. In a bear market, the surprises are on the downside whereas in a bull market, the surprises are on the upside. The usual minimum bear market target of the magnitude (cycle or super cycle or even grand super cycle) that is upon the PSEI is 50% from peak. + My main point is ... some important bellwether stocks are breaking down, but not has not yet hit the PSEI index (early afternoon)... Maybe I am being too selective. Let us see if this decline spreads out... Pity we cannot buy PSEI index Puts & Calls. I might put on a straddle here, If I could (at a low enough Vol.) JV: Dont' worry... we are coming up with new products that we should be releasing in 2020. PSEI index ... 10d / Last: 7,701.60 , - 176.03, - 2.23% + TOP to BOTTOM day for the PSEI, which finally got hit hard. Down 176 points, over 2%... Bells (belwether stocks) Rang first! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 17, 2019 Euro plunged into crisis by Germany after 11TH month of contraction - and worse to come By: malterwitty Figures form IHS Markit showed the country’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 43.4 in December from 44.1 the previous month, the first downward movement in three months. The result was worse than the 44.5 reading predicted by economists in a survey by Reuters. And the eurozone also saw a drop in the PMI, an index of prevailing direction of economic trends in manufacturing and services. A survey showed it fell from 46.9 in November to 45.9 in December, marking 11 months in a row of contraction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 18, 2019 SPY might make it... to expected Resistance at SPY-325 to 330 SPY : all-data / Last: 319.57 +0.07 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 18, 2019 OIL RALLY has run up to a possible Resistance level USO / US Oil etf ... : All-data : 3-yr : x / Last: $12.72 + 0.13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 18, 2019 SILVER CALLS A way to play a Silver Rally - there are over 36,500 of these in Open Interest Jan.$15 Calls ... update: 2mo: fr. Nov.1 : 10d / Last: $0.93 - 0.05 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 19, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 19, 2019 Stocks Start 2020 In Expensive Territory $1 Trillion Fed Money Flood as Global Economic Fallout Since 2018! Here’s Proof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 19, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 19, 2019 Americans Are Back To Using Their Home Prices As ATMs: Most Cash Pulled Out in 12 Years! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hector Posted December 19, 2019 Report Share Posted December 19, 2019 On 12/18/2019 at 3:07 AM, drbubb said: SPY might make it... to expected Resistance at SPY-325 to 330 SPY : all-data / Last: 319.57 +0.07 Think impeachment means this is a short-term top, at least. Also there are some articles saying go 100% into equities, nothing in bonds. Maybe an important indicator. ‘I’m 100% in equities…You’re never going to make enough money if you have 40% of your money in bonds’ says CNBC’s Becky Quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 20, 2019 PULLED UP by the SOXX US Stocks still looking good IWM vs SOXX, SPY ... update : == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hector Posted December 20, 2019 Report Share Posted December 20, 2019 10 out of the last 11 weeks of the SPX have been green. Don't you think it's time for a little correction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 21, 2019 Probably. But if SOXX keeps storming higher, SPY may follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 21, 2019 SLV / Silver is one of my tips of the Year 2020 I was mentioned it here many days ago, and on my website. And I was buying in the recent dip. Now it may be set for a breakout. That could take it to the recent highs (over $18) or higher I may exit before the possible $3 Move, and that is like 20%. But the way I make good money, is by using Call, and my leverage is much better Thus, I bought some Jan $15.50 calls at $0.48. And SLV closed yesterday at $16.04, and those Calls are now worth.... 61-63 cents. At mid-price of 62, that is already a 29% gain, on a decent sized position. I will wait to see if there is a breakout, as we go into the new year THIS is how I make my living these days The OIL part of the TIP is also up nicely > Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 21, 2019 Discrete Targets for US stock indices? Looks like the record IWM high of 170.07 may be a good target - that's 2.4% above Friday's close of 166 That's 37.0% over the IWM-124 Low. +38.2% above the 124 Low would be: 171.4. So I am targeting: 170-171 for IWM. IWM vs. SPY, XLF ... update / Last: 165.97, 320.73, 30.68 / INDU: 28,445 2.4% over the SPX Close of 3,221 would be: 3,298, Call it SPX-3,300 2.4% over the INDU Close of 28,445 would be: 29,128. Maybe 29.000 or 30,000 as a round number target === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 These 10 S&P 500 stocks were lousy in 2019, but they could return 40% or more in 2020 MarketWatch This has been an excellent year for U.S. stocks — so good, in fact, that among the S&P 500, only 57 have had negative returns. But it may be profitable to look among the losers for bargains. Mark Hulbert recently pointed to a trend among stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.28% for one year’s worst performer tends to perform very well the following year. (Of course, he also warned that there have been exceptions to the trend.) Looking at the year’s 57 losers among the S&P 500 SPX, +0.49%, 23 are down 10% or more (including reinvested dividends). Of course, a 10% drop for the best of this group may not seem like terrible performance, as stock prices are volatile. But it looks particularly bad when you consider that the S&P 500 has returned 30% this year through Dec. 18. Among the 23 stocks, 10 have majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among the Wall Street sell-side analysts polled by FactSet. Here they are: Company Ticker Total return - 2019 through Dec. 18 Share 'buy' ratings Share neutral ratings Share 'sell' ratings Closing price - Dec. 17 Consensus price target Implied 12-month upside potential Concho Resources Inc. CXO, +1.29% -21% 79% 18% 3% $81.12 $100.79 24% DuPont de Nemours Inc. DD, -0.63% -14% 75% 25% 0% $63.91 $80.29 26% Mosaic Company MOS, +5.39% -28% 65% 30% 5% $18.22 $25.84 42% Nielsen Holdings PLC NLSN, +3.48% -11% 64% 29% 7% $19.88 $25.21 27% Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. COG, +2.35% -23% 63% 30% 7% $16.85 $21.83 30% Cimarex Energy Co. XEC, +0.27% -17% 62% 38% 0% $50.66 $63.73 26% Mylan N.V. MYL, +2.12% -31% 59% 41% 0% $18.81 $25.73 37% Abiomed Inc. ABMD, -3.86% -46% 56% 44% 0% $178.87 $238.00 33% Alliance Data Systems Corp. ADS, +1.10% -25% 53% 47% 0% $110.45 $126.24 14% American Airlines Group Inc. AAL, +1.72% -12% 53% 33% 14% $28.00 $36.72 31% Source: FactSet You can click the tickers for more about each company. Based on the 12-month price targets, the analysts expect double-digit gains for the entire group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 This Contrarian likes Oil & Gas shares > see also 2020 TIPS thread: Ben Gallander Picks NRT / North European Oil Royalty Trust (NYS) ... All-data-L: 10yrL: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d / NRT : $5.39, PER: 6.71, Yield: 15.2% YrL:$5.21 chg.: + 3.45% Based in NY, and operates in Germany. A one man operation. 9 years of Reserves Black Diamond - Oil & gas related; losing money, but revs up 11% BDI.t / Black Diamond Group ... All-data-L: 10yrL: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d / BDI.t : C$1.86, PER: N/A, Yield: N/A% YrL:$1.51 chg.: +23.2% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 I bought some $8 Calls on BTU yesterday Let' see if we get a New Year bounce. BTU has been a laggard, and opened weak yesterday, allowing my Call purchase. BTU was over $16, as recently as mid-October BTU-etc ... update : 10d / Last: $9.05 +0.01, low: $8.75 Trying to find Energy stocks to buy, but they are most pushing up too fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 TOO BULLISH? Or just realistic? Gold Will Take Out Its Previous High of $1,900 Next Year By E.B. Tucker November 21, 2019 Late last year, gold was stuck below $1,300 an ounce. There was a lot of fear in the market because we were only a couple of months removed from gold’s lowest price since 2016. But I wasn’t afraid… In fact, I called for $1,500 per ounce of gold in 2019. In August, it hit my target. Now, the price has retreated a bit since, but gold’s still flirting with $1,500 per ounce as I write. Here’s why I’m writing you today: I believe $1,500 is only the beginning for gold. I expect gold to take out its previous high of $1,900. That’s about a 30% gain from here. And I expect that to happen in 2020. In fact, as I told Kitco News recently, from there I see it hitting $2,200 – about a 50% rise from its current price of around $1,470 per ounce. Today, I’ll share why… and how you can start taking advantage… A Major Gold Rally Is Underway All of the serious money I’ve made investing came through positioning for a big move and sitting tight. Trading is tough. In and out all the time can work over a short period. But the big gains come from sitting tight and letting the bull market run. After hitting an all-time high in 2011, the price of gold fell 45% to a low of $1,052 in late 2015. While the Obama administration and the Federal Reserve experimented with radical money policies, gold stayed stuck. It didn’t do much after hitting its 2015 low. What’s bad for gold is unbearable for gold miners. They commit to projects assuming they’ll sell produced gold for $1,500 an ounce. Then it falls to less than $1,100. That means the project is bankrupt before it pours the first gold ounce. That period is over. I can give you a list of anecdotal evidence as proof. Several large mining firms combined this year in order to survive. These were not bidding war takeovers. CEOs got over their egos and merged to avoid losing their companies entirely. Political dysfunction and ballooning deficits also set the stage for gold today. The three largest central banks in the developed world recently declared they’ll do anything to stimulate their economies. That’s central bank lingo for “create more money.” But we need more than strong anecdotes to risk money on the gold sector. From our view, that’s why the chart of the gold price is so important. It’s how I determined $1,500 was an important target for gold this year. If it hit that target, which it did, I felt it was a green light to invest more aggressively for higher prices... > more: https://www.legacyresearch.com/the-daily-cut/gold-will-take-out-its-previous-high-of-1900-next-year/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Late last year, gold was stuck below $1,300 an ounce. There was a lot of fear in the market because we were only a couple of months removed from gold’s lowest price since 2016. But I wasn’t afraid… In fact, I called for $1,500 per ounce of gold in 2019. In August, it hit my target. Now, the price has retreated a bit since, but gold’s still flirting with $1,500 per ounce as I write. Here’s why I’m writing you today: I believe $1,500 is only the beginning for gold. I expect gold to take out its previous high of $1,900. That’s about a 30% gain from here. And I expect that to happen in 2020. In fact, as I told Kitco News recently, from there I see it hitting $2,200 – about a 50% rise from its current price of around $1,470 per ounce. Today, I’ll share why… and how you can start taking advantage… A Major Gold Rally Is Underway All of the serious money I’ve made investing came through positioning for a big move and sitting tight. Trading is tough. In and out all the time can work over a short period. But the big gains come from sitting tight and letting the bull market run. After hitting an all-time high in 2011, the price of gold fell 45% to a low of $1,052 in late 2015. While the Obama administration and the Federal Reserve experimented with radical money policies, gold stayed stuck. It didn’t do much after hitting its 2015 low. What’s bad for gold is unbearable for gold miners. They commit to projects assuming they’ll sell produced gold for $1,500 an ounce. Then it falls to less than $1,100. That means the project is bankrupt before it pours the first gold ounce. That period is over. I can give you a list of anecdotal evidence as proof. Several large mining firms combined this year in order to survive. These were not bidding war takeovers. CEOs got over their egos and merged to avoid losing their companies entirely. Political dysfunction and ballooning deficits also set the stage for gold today. The three largest central banks in the developed world recently declared they’ll do anything to stimulate their economies. That’s central bank lingo for “create more money.” But we need more than strong anecdotes to risk money on the gold sector. From our view, that’s why the chart of the gold price is so important. It’s how I determined $1,500 was an important target for gold this year. If it hit that target, which it did, I felt it was a green light to invest more aggressively for higher prices... > more: https://www.legacyresearch.com/the-daily-cut/gold-will-take-out-its-previous-high-of-1900-next-year/
drbubb Posted December 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 LG 2.0 in action?? JUSTICE at LAST? Will the Truth get exposed? HUGE: Lindsey Graham Promises to Call in EVERY PERSON Who Signed Bogus Carter Page FISA Warrants …Comey, McCabe, Yates, Rosenstein… (VIDEO) By: orraz Senator Lindsey Graham, the Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, joined Maria Bartiromo on Sunday Morning Futures earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 JANUARY EFFECT Playing US Tax loss selling / Tips and tricks to improve your portfolio in 2020 > Sectors he mentions: Cannabis, Wellness, Wellness etf : MJ (- 32% for the year) xx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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