Stock Trading in Philippines : Technicals, Fundamentals, & 3A Charts Links/10d: 3A: Phl: ALI-etc: BPI-etc: PowUt: HiDv: Mng: mj: HK 2: / SPX: (That will allow me to share special content with friends from Manila that may not be suitable for discussion on public threads.) ?: Called "No Brainers"- Are They?: (see 3A Rules in Sep.7th Post) One thing we will be looking for are so-called "No Brainers" in the Philippines stock market, and the PH Property market. QUICK LOOK - 3A's favored Three : TBGI, RCI, ATN ... 6mos fr.3.1.19 : $ $$: 10d w/more/ Php 0.36, 1.67, 1.25 @ 9.5.2019 Longer term : update : w/AGI : 12mo : ? : "3A:  "ALL AREAS ANALYZED" / SEE RULES, Below: Sep.7th post ====== 3A PORTFOLIO TRACK RECORD: No Outperformance (yet), if no active management. In testing this approach, I think it will be useful to maintain some careful historical records It is a reporting burden, but will help to build confidence in the approach. Starting point: Allocate P10,000 to each of the three stocks, at end Dec. 2018. 3A PORTFOLIO Performance, Yr.End 2018 to end Jan. 2020: - 31.8% UNDER-PERFORMANCE, 3A is way under the PSEI, since YE'18: Mo. :  RCI  : ------ / ATN : ----- / TBGI : ------ / +Ave%
====: #shs : value/ #shs: value/ #shs : value/ TotVal. : === : PSEI :
ye'16: 2.20 : -------- / 0.31 : ------- / P1.89 : -------- / 56.2k
ye’17: 2.55 : -------- / 0.41 : ------- / P2.70 : -------- / 77.1k
ye'18: 1.98 : ------/ 1.42 : ———- / 0.440 : ——— / ==== : 7,466 : START
Shs. 5,051 : 10.0k/7,042: 10.0k/22,727: 10.0k/30.0k: Start @12/2018
July: P1.49 : ------- / 1.28 : -------- / 0.355 : --------- / ==== :
Aug: P1.62 : ------- / 1.28 : -------- / 0.370 : --------- / ==== :
Sep: P1.97 : -------- / 1.18 : -------- / 0.325 : --------- / ==== : 7,779: +4.19%
—— : 5,051: 9.95k / 7,042: 8.31k/ 22,727: 7.39k / 25.7k: -14.3% : Qtr3
Oct: P1.94 : -------- / 1.12 : -------- / 0.325 : --------- / ==== : 7,977: +6.84%
Nov: P1.95 : -------- / 0.94: -------- / 0.275 : ---------/ ==== : 7,739: +3.66%
Ye’19: P2.17: -------- / 0.93: -------- / 0.270: --------- / ==== : 7,815: +4.69%
—— : 5,051: 10.96k/ 7,042: 6.55k/ 22,727: 6.14k / 23.7k: -21.2% : Qtr4
J’20: P1.65 : -------- / 0.90 : -------- / 0.255 : --------- / ==== : 7,201: - 3.55%
—— : 5,051: 8.33k/ 7,042: 6.34k/ 22,727: 5.80k / 20.47k: -31.8% 3A Underperformance is: (20.47/30=68.23%)/(7201/7466=96.45%): -29.3% @end Jan'20 OVERALL : There is NO evidence of OUTPERFORMANCE YET in these stocks, Since from ye'2018 (7,462.02) the PSEI rose by +5.2%, to 7,849.94 at 9.30.2019
Thus, the 3A Portfolio underperformed over that period by about 20%
Having said that, TS made some good suggests about timing buys & sells,
Especially on RCI, which has risen from P1.49 end July, and P1.62 end Aug, to P2.00 WHAT IS MISSING from this? The DECISION OVERLAY: Buy and Sell points, as may have been suggested by TS. I am looking for a way to incorporate that into a historical track record.