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drbubb

DrBubb's Diary - Aug. 2019 Trading - v.127

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TOP ... : Chan-GE : MP : PP : Charts2Acore : Fringe :

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : idx24_russell_en_2.gif : idx24_hui_en_2.gif :

3d : ag : au : 10d-Gvs.UK : >News : DrRp : AJo : Fox : WRH : Arc : RenA : Rvd : FxN : 

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BTC all data: 8yr: 4yr: 3yr: 12mo: 6mo 1mo 10d 10d 5d / SLV-lv

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"A very interesting Breakout!" - Record highs Possible

Louise Yamada Sees Gold Surging to New Highs

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WHERE the GAINS Were...

GCM.wtB have caught up with the Huge gains of WM - MUX was a big laggard

GCM -vs- WM.etc ... update

dLUSwnI.gif

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Victoria Gold gains are kicking in! ... update  : 48 cents + 3 cents. +6.7%

7V2bZqe.gif

 

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Despite 4% JUMP yestersday,  Oil is is still in a Downtrend

Weekly USO / US Oil (WTI) etf - etc ... update / Last: $11.87 +0.51, +4.49%

wy49j13.gif

A move above USO-$12.25 (x4.8= WTI $58.80) might be a confirmation that a new uptrend has started

gS7UUzD.png

The 4% jump in WTI, hardly moved the Dial on XLE, which was up just 1% to $58.94

BKAXRBY.png

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Stocks may be ready to short again

SPY - etc... update : 10d / Last: $292.55 +4.48: 94.8M

GOoTBzn.gif

: 10d :: FAZ ($38.41 -$1.19) / TZA ($49.95 -$1.68) = 76.9%

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===== $ 292.55 / VIX: 17.96%
PUTS  : Sep.16,’19: Oct.18,2019:
$300p  $8.41-8.55: 11.12-11.22 :
$295p $5.88-5.95: $8.75- 8.82 :
292.5e $5.04-5.10: $7.78-7.86 :
$290p  $4.19-4.25: $6.94-7.01 :
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AtT-$ :  5.07, 1.73%: 7.82, 2.67%:
sep.3rd 3.88, 1.31%:
13d’s:1.19/13=.092: 2.75/28=.098
13d’s: 0.42%=.032%: 0.94%  =.034%

 

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If the Big co's cannot pick winners in the sector - how can you?

Canopy Growth, world’s largest pot company, lost $1 billion in three months MarketWatch

Canopy Growth Corp. reported a C$1.28 billion quarterly loss late Wednesday and missed analyst revenue estimates for revenue, sending shares down 10% in after-hours trading.

The world’s largest cannabis company by market value, Canopy Growth CGC, -6.64% WEED, -5.76%  reported fiscal first-quarter net losses of C$1.28 billion, or C$3.70 a share, compared with losses of C$91 million, or 40 cents a share, in the year-ago period. The more than $1 billion loss was due to the company extinguishing warrants related to the Constellation Brands Inc. STZ, -1.61%  investment.

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On 8/13/2019 at 5:43 PM, drbubb said:

WHERE the GAINS Were...

GCM.wtB have caught up with the Huge gains of WM - MUX was a big laggard

GCM -vs- WM.etc ... update

dLUSwnI.gif

===

Victoria Gold gains are kicking in! ... update  : 48 cents + 3 cents. +6.7%

7V2bZqe.gif

 

Been a good year for a few miners.

Suppose all boats float when the tide is rising, still prefer producers (or at least near term ones) than explorers, think if the general market bubble pops, funding junior explorers will once again be difficult.

 

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After the yield curve inverts — here’s how the stock market tends to perform since 1978

MW-HP418_invert_20190814121159_ZH.jpg?uu

The inversion of the main measure of the yield curve, or a negative spread between short-term and long-term yields, has preceded the last seven recessions. However, that doesn’t mean that recessionary jitters will spark a lasting selloff in equity markets.

On average, the S&P 500 has returned 2.5% after a yield-curve inversion in the three months after the episode, while it has gained 4.87% in the following six months, 13.48% a year after, 14.73% in the following two years, and 16.41% three years out, according to Dow Jones Market Data (see table below):

Date of first 2/10-year inversion 3 months later 6 months later 1 year 2 years 3 years
8/17/1978 -10.14% -6.10% 3.06% 19.64% 24.88%
8/20/1980 13.44% 2.27% 5.59% -8.69% 32.49%
12/9/1988 6.10% 17.93% 25.87% 18.31% 36.54%
5/26/1998 -0.90% 8.49% 19.26% 25.96% 16.81%
12/30/2005 4.16% 1.76% 13.62% 18.44% -28.65%
Average 2.53% 4.87% 13.48% 14.73% 16.41%

Read: These stocks are falling the most as Treasury yield curve inverts

On top of all that, a yield-curve inversion, doesn’t instantly result in an economic recession. From 1956, past recessions have started on average around 15 months after an inversion of the 2-year/10-year spread occurred, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

See full story.

Dow tumbles 800 points in biggest one day fall of year on global economic growth slowdown

U.S. stocks fell sharply Wednesday, following a series of worrying data on global economic growth, and after the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell below that of the 2-year note, marking an inversion of the main measure of the yield curve, flashing a recession warning signal. See full story.

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Easy Rider - Intro - Born to be wild!

Peter Fonda and the Captain America Bike

"Tell Me We Haven't Blown It": Peter Fonda Reflects on 'Easy Rider' and Its Unanswered Question

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Leftist Actor Peter Fonda Dead at 79

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