drbubb Posted March 16, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 16, 2019 Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H : : : : : :: : 3d : ag : au / Btc / 8yr: 12mo : 5m : 2m : 1m : 25 10 5d 2d / spiral Goldstock : HK-2840 : GBS.L : GLD : GDX : NUGT : tza/faz -- HKpeg : DXY : StkX : 10-d : SPX : sjw : img : HK 3081: 2899: 1051: hs / UK: POG / ABX : Sil : IAG : dba-etc. ... lot : PB : CVN : CC2 : BTC 1m 2d : SLV-lv ========================================== Updating / Three Different Prices ... 3yr : 10d : vv see below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 16, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 16, 2019 Updating If china stocks don't breakdown soon, I am think precious metals and especially Silver should soon have good rally. Based on the Silver-Shanghai Composite Cyclical indicator... TURNING Up (like Sh.Composite), or Rolling Down, like SLV might be doing now Three Different Prices ... 3yr : 10d : 3yr : - updated: ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 16, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 16, 2019 Laramide vs. Cameco lam.t etc ... update ratio: lam to cco idea: sell calls on ccj, to buy lam shares... 1,000 ccj = $12.42 x 1000 = $12,420 Month : $12.00 call : $13.00 call : If $$$ : /c$.365=$0.274 Sep.’19: $1.15-1.35 : $0.70-0.80 : $1,250 : 4,562 Lam shs. Jan.’20: $1.40-1.60 : $0.95-1.05 : $1,000 : 3,650 Lam shs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 16, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 16, 2019 Uranium stocks may be ready to Rock Supply is down due to mine closures by Cameco & in Khazkastan. Demand rising as six Japanese reactors are ready to reopen in 2019. After 5 reopened in 2018. URA vs. U.t and CCJ ... 3yr - URA / Global X Uranium ETF ... all / Last: $12.61 +0.16 U.t / Uranium Participation Fund ... all / Last: $4.74 ... here's the largest, the uranium "blue chip" that I own already CCJ / Cameco Corp ... all / Last: $12.42 +0.20 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 16, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 16, 2019 Will the U price squirt higher now? U.t vs CCO.t ... update : 10d / Last: $4.74 +0.01, $12.42 +0.20 : 10d : w/URA : Cameco produces around 15% of the world’s uranium. It operates two of the highest-quality uranium mines in the world. Both are located in Canada’s Athabasca Basin. And the quality of the uranium there is 100x better than the global average. This allows Cameco to produce uranium for less than its competitors. Most companies mine it for $50–$60/lb. Cameco does it for around $35/lb. Read Newsmax: Why the Green New Deal Will Send Uranium Through the Roof | Newsmax.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 17, 2019 the Brains behind AOC are exposed Mr. Reagan Devastates Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez with Facts Chris Kohls aka "Mr. Reagan" joins me to discuss his explosive expose of the Justice Democrats, the organization behind Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and other radical Freshmen Congressional Representatives. (here's the video); over 1.7 million views The Brains Behind AOC Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez "She has become absolutely dependent on the instructions of her handlers" NOW WE KNOW the truth source of the Toxicity which is AOC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 17, 2019 Uranium-related shares compared URA -etc. update: $12.61, CCO/Cameco $16.56, PDN/Paladin $.165: LAM/Laramide $.365, FCU/Fission $.495 Sym : Price: MktCap EntVal : Ebitda : EV/eb.: Earns : PER-: Div. : Yield : BkVal : P/BV : Cco.t 16.56: $6.55b: $6.95M $617.M : r: 11.1: $0.42: 39.4 : $0.08 : 0.49%: 12.62: 131% : Nxe.t $2.27: $790M: $828M: (24.6M): r: N/a : (0.05): 00.0 : N/a— : 0.00%: $0.47: 482% : pdn.t $.165: $289M: $336.M (47.7M): r: 00.0 : $0.24: 00.0 : N/a— : N/a— : $0.12: 132% : Fcu.t: .495 : $241.M $219.M (5.37M) (r: 40.1): (0.04) 00.0 : N/a— : N/a— : $0.67: 74% : Lam.t .365 : $49.4M $56.8M (1.82M) (r: 31.3): (0.01) 00.0 : N/a— : N/a— : $0.54: 68% :Other Gold : 13.01: $22.7b : $29.4B: $3.06b: r:9.60 : (1.32): N/a- : $0.16 : 1.22%: $6.50: 200%: NEM : 33.15: $17.7b : $20.2B: $2.74b: r:7.36 : $0.64: 51.8 : $0.56 : 1.68%: 19.70 : 168%: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2019 Is the Dollar Done? And rolling over? DXY ... 2-years: UUP/ Last: $95.92 breaks an uptrend line Silver share may be about to break upwards Silver: SIL vs. SLV ... update : w/GDXJ : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2019 Using OPTIONS to Invest at Higher Yield... PEI/ Penn. REIT, yielding 14%+ I will be getting 20% plus yield on my investment, using an customized Options-related strategy. How? By Selling Puts & Buying Calls, I started out with a tiny debit, only 9 cents per Call option. My Call exercise price is just $4, or just 68% of Wed.'s closing price of $5.87. I got a good price on the options, by Using a News-related Price drop, as a buying opportunity. Here is the NEWS item: "Pennsylvania REIT stock price target cut to $5 from $7 - at SunTrust RH" This news was reported on MARKETWATCH : @ 7:19 PM ET 03/19/19. That was AFTER the market close on Tuesday. The PEI stock dropped in early Wednesday, 3/20 trading. My Option order was triggered on this drop. The chart below shows the action in PEI for 10 trading days, up to & including Wed. 3/20. The Wed price drop was down to $5.70. My order was triggered near the end of the 20 cent price drop. PEI ... 10d : Last: $5.87 -0.04 / O: $5.91, H: $5.96, L: $5.70 vol. 1.21Mn == Option Package: I Sold the Oct.$7 Put & Bought Apr. $4 Calls for a small debit, of less than 9 cents I intend to exercise the Apr.$4 Calls, and collect the May Quarterly dividend, & probably the August dividend too. My cost to collect the $0.21 / Qtr. and $0.84 pa. dividend will be about $4.00 (so, I will get a Div. yield > 20% p.a.) Until October, when I will have to face possible exercise of the $7 Puts. With luck, PEI may be above that level then. If so, I can keep the PEI shares at a breakeven cost of $4.09 (minus the dividends collected, so maybe $3.67.) If not above the $7 Put exercise, I can sell some of my PEI shares to cover buying back the $7 Put. WORST CASE RISK: If the dividend is cut, then I may find the $7 Puts are exercised early, and my $4 Calls/Shares will lose value. Step-by-Step, my Risk & Reward on a 10 option / 1,000 share Call position. (Following figures ignore commissions): Phase 1: Pay a Debit of 9 cents ($0.09 x1000 = $9 per Call = $90 for 10 calls), which I will more than get back from divs, if paid. DETAIL: a Credit of $1.70 per Oct.$7 Put sold / a Debit of $1.79 per Apr $4 Call bought = Net Debit: $9/ct. x10 Cts= $90. (Note: The Puts had an intrinsic value of $1.21 at $5.79, and that means I collected $0.49 of Time Value, at $1.70.) My intention is to exercise the $4 Calls in April, prior to the April.18th exercise date, so I can collect the $.21 Quarterly dividend. Phase 2: Exercise the Apr. $4.00 calls ($4.00 x 1,000 shs = $4,000. adj.> $4.09 -0.21 = $3.88 per sh.) By the end of May, each 1,000 shares of PEI, should deliver a 21 cent dividends, so I should more than recover my 9 cents/ $90 per 1,000 share debit,. (Alternatively, if I have to borrow the $4.00 exercise price, then the dividend in May will more than cover interest.) Another 21 cents dividend should be paid at the end of August. bringing my Net cost down to: $0.09 + 4.00 - 0.21 - 0.21 = $3.67 per share, or $3,670 per 1,000 shares Phase 3: Buyback the Oct. $7.00 puts. $7.00 Strike: Less the value of PEI. $7.00- ($3.88= $3.12/2= $1.56 )= $5.44 breakeven If PEI is trading at $5.44 in Oct., then I can sell my PEI position at the price, and gain a $1.56/ share profit. and use that to cover the $1.56 Loss on the $7.00 Puts, when I buy them back. If PEI is above $5.44, I should have a profit. ALONG THE WAY, the initial breakeven is: $5.54 + 50% Time Value on the $7 Puts (say 50 cents/2) = about $5.79 So I sell the $4 Apr. Calls at $1.79. and cover the 9 cents debit, and have $1.70 left to pay the $1.21 IV on the Oct. Puts Plus another $0.49 to cover Time Value in the Puts Basically, I will make a Gain of approx. 2 cents, for every 1 cent the price is above the $5.79 Initial breakeven, with an adjustment downwards in the breakeven price if/as the Time Value of the Oct. $7 puts declines. (There are 7 months, or about 210 days until the Put expires, if the Time Value was to fall in a straight line, rather than per a SqRt. of Time, then the TV would fall by about 1.6 cents every week. In fact, it will fall less that that initially, and faster towards the end. But TV will also rise if PEI stock rises towards the $7 strike. An October Put or Call struck At-the-Money, is now worth about 11%. So if the price rise quickly to $7.00, the Put would have a time value of about $0.77. The $4 Calls would increase much faster.) With PEI closing on Wed, at $5.87, I see these prices for PEI Options Apr. $4 Call : $1.80 - 2.00 = $1.90 mid : IV: $1.87 + TV: $0.03= $1.90 Oct. $7 Put : $1.40 - 1.90 = $1.65 mid : IV: $1.13 + TV: $0.52= $1.65 : Net Value : $1.90 -$1.65= $0.25 Net, or a $0.16 profit, on $0.09 Debit, x10cts = $165 profit per 10 cts, 1000 shares How much BUYING POWER do I need for this strategy? ph.#1: $90 cash + In-the-money Value of puts ($1.13, $1130) + 30% MV ($5.87 x30%= $1.76, $1760) = $3790, per 10 contracts ph.#2: $90 cash + (same as above, if PEI at $5.87 is marginable, as I believe it is), so $1130 + $2890 = $3790, per 10 contracts - - - - : At this stage, an additional $4,000, will have to be borrowed, so $4,090 in total, less whatever Divs, are received ph.#3: If I do not buyback the Puts, then I will have to borrow another $7,000 to exercise the Puts on another 1,000 shares Then, I will be long 2,000 shares, at an average cost of about $5.55 ( ie. $4.09 + $7.00), less the dividends received. 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drbubb Posted March 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2019 MANILA was graded #12 in the Top 20, Most Dynamic cities in the World. Mostly about economic growth, and "real estate momentum." 19 of the top 20 were in Asia, and 131 cities were reviewed. Indian and Chinese cities dominated, None from Europe or America made the Top 20 List Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hector Posted March 21, 2019 Report Share Posted March 21, 2019 31 minutes ago, drbubb said: MANILA was graded #12 in the Top 20, Most Dynamic cities in the World. Mostly about economic growth, and "real estate momentum." 19 of the top 20 were in Asia, and 131 cities were reviewed. Indian and Chinese cities dominated, None from Europe or America made the Top 20 List Wow congrats for your city! You recommended I check it out a while ago, and I will get around to it. Perhaps I will make a visit this fall/winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2019 It is a pretty exciting place to live, if you like growth & infrastructure change And it is still quite a CHEAP place to live, by international standards MORE on the Philippines in a special section in THIS very website: http://MakatiPrime.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2019 FALSE BREAK? DXY / chart - has recovered all of its losses from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2019 Time to ESCAPE from New York? (to avoid sky-high taxes & other costs) https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D2MM7Y_UwAEeX1H.jpg Tax Reform Causing Freakouts in Rich New York Towns...41% say can't afford to live in NYC; Plan to leave...LIST: Fastest-shrinking cities in USA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 22, 2019 Oil has run into some possible resistance USO / US Oil etf ... update: OIH : Oilb : OIH is also at poss, resistance at $18. OILB at $30 resistance Some Oil stocks like Murphy Oil are also testing resistance MUR ... update: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 22, 2019 8 hours ago, drbubb said: FALSE BREAK? DXY / chart - has recovered all of its losses from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 22, 2019 Part of a Family? I am amazed at how these charts can be integrated into a combined picture GCM vs MUX etc ... update : https://i.imgur.com/rQNID12.gif == I dont think I am imagining these relationships - they appear to be pretty clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 22, 2019 On 3/22/2019 at 8:02 AM, drbubb said: Oil has run into some possible resistance USO / US Oil etf ... update: OIH : Oilb : OIH is also at poss, resistance at $18. OILB at $30 resistance Some Oil stocks like Murphy Oil are also testing resistance MUR ... update: Energy-related shares are getting body-slammed today OIH : $16.97 -0.78, -4.40% USO : $12.17 -0.27, -2.17% BPT : $26.16 -1.01, -3.72% CNQ : $27.58 -0.87, -3.06% Uranium-related is down too: CCJ : $11.78 -0.33, -2.73% URA : $12.36 -0.27, -2.14% U.t - : $ 4.54 -0.10, -2.16% Coal too BTU : $29.45 -0.56, -1.87% ===> in edit: Here's what we saw after the Friday close OIH : $16.95 -0.80, -4.50% USO : $12.23 -0.21, -1.70% XLE : $65.47 -1.82, -2.70%... update == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 23, 2019 Markets dive as key economic indicator raises recession fears Markets plunged Friday when a closely watched economic measure warned that sluggish global growth could tip the United States toward recession. All three major indexes saw a steep decline on worries that a recession may finally be on the horizon after a 10-year bull market and economic expansion. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 460 points, about 1.8 percent, when the 10-year Treasury yield fell below the 3-year yield. The so-called "inverted yield curve" is a historic precursor of a recession. Stocks posted their worst day since Jan. 3. / 2 / MARTIN FELDSTEIN: The Debt Crisis Is Coming Soon: To avoid economic distress, the government has to reduce future entitlement spending. By: alexmark Read more: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED | The History The US Government HOPES You Never Learn! http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/#ixzz5izWmICHd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 23, 2019 The Big Short Steve Eisman Places a HUGE SHORT as Real Estate Prices Begin To Drop! Read more: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED | The History The US Government HOPES You Never Learn! http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/#ixzz5iznFFf6w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 26, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 26, 2019 Will Silver shares (follow GDXJ) & breakout? SIL-etc ... update : Some Silver shares, like FRES.L have lagged far behind GDX / Gold shares' FRES.L -etc... update : w/SIL : : w/SIL : fr. 9/26/18 : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 26, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 26, 2019 The World Is Slowing Down At An Alarming Speed, The Stock Market Is In An Extended Topping Process March 25, 2019 by IWB The U.S. stock market is in an extended topping process, according to Elliott Wave theory https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-us-stock-market-is-in-an-extended-topping-process-according-to-elliott-wave-theory-2019-03-25?ns=prod/accounts-mw … via smh.com.au: The manufacturing industry data from the US and Eurozone late last week confirms the view that the global economy is slowing at a disconcerting rate and appears to show the reversal of the US Federal Reserve Board’s monetary policies this year is warranted. While the US purchasing managers’ index, or PMI, was still in positive territory manufacturing activity is slowing. In Germany and France it is actually shrinking, with Germany’s PMI showing its manufacturing sector is contracting at its fastest rate in nearly seven years. The PMIs are based on surveys within the manufacturing and services sectors. Anything above 50 reflects a manufacturing sector that is growing. Anything below 50 says it is shrinking. Manufacturing activity across the Eurozone is diminishing, as it has been in China, while in the US growth has slowed to its lowest rate in nearly two years. When the Fed surprised markets last week, with a majority of its Open Market Committee members saying they were not expecting any rate rise this year and the committee announcing an end to its balance sheet reduction program in September, a global economic slowdown was one of the major factors cited for its increasingly cautious stance. The manufacturing data in Europe and the US late last week says that one is developing, quite quickly. The U.S. stock market is in an extended topping process, according to Elliott Wave theory t.co/7mBEFoNbwp pic.twitter.com/Dn6YWa5otJ — Alastair Williamson (@StockBoardAsset) March 25, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 27, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 27, 2019 APC / Anadarko Petroleum versus USO / Oil ... update : 10d : $43.60 -0.86% / $12.25 +0.16% = Ratio: 3.56 Ratio .next day: $44.94 +3.07% / $12.47 +1.80% = Ratio: 3.60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 27, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 27, 2019 A Uranium MISS? So far... My Bullish attitude towards Uranium is a MISS so far U-t/ Uranium... 4-yr : w/URA : at C$4.40, broke the 252d.MA. may be headed to 377d MA, nr. $?? U-t, etc: ... update : 10d : $4.40 -$0.06, vs. URA ($12.64), CCJ ($11.92), etc LAM fell to C$0.335 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 27, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 27, 2019 ENERGY: Pushing from both sides! Oil, UP!, Uranium, Down! Uranium-URPTF (U.t in USD) vs Oil (USO) ... 4yr : fr. 3/18/2015 : $3.27 & $12.47 : r-26.2% Ratio: $3.27 & $12.47 : r-26.2% == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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