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drbubb

DrBubb's Diary - Jan. 2019 Trading - v.120

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TOP ... : Chan-GE : MP : PP : Charts2Acore : Fringe :

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : idx24_russell_en_2.gif : idx24_hui_en_2.gif :

3d : ag : au : 10d-Gvs.UK : >News : DrRp : AJo : Fox : WRH : Arc : RenA : Rvd : FxN :

chart.png?m=bitstampUSD&v=1&t=S&noheader

BTC all data: 8yr: 4yr: 3yr: 12mo: 6mo 1mo 10d 10d 5d / SLV-lv

=====

Gold Coiled And Set To Break-Out?
| Daily US Market and Currency Reports Now Available (For 01/17/19)

_ says Elliottwave Analytics

It is Still possible.

DXY has risen to a resistance level.  If it falls from here... then Gold should rise

DXY ... update : last: $96.36 +0.29, +0.30%

0juAcVl.gif

GLD ... update : last: $121.02 - 1.09, -0.89%

iTktUj9.gif

GDXJ ... update : last: $29.33 - 0.91, -3.11%

BFcwPJ8.gif

==

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Jan 19 10:48

Corrections In Bear Markets Are Up?

Grantham, Who Forecast 2000 and 2008 Declines: "The Bubble Is Bursting"

By: alexmark

Grantham, Who Forecast 2000 and 2008 Declines: “The Bubble Is Bursting”

A multiyear bubble in American stocks is now deflating as sentiment turns negative despite solid fundamentals, and investors should own as few U.S. equities as possible, according to GMO LLC.

The size and duration of the moves in stock prices in the final three months of 2018 toward their long-term average valuation is consistent with the moves linked with the bursting of the technology boom in early 2000 and the crash of 1929, according to Martin Tarlie, part of the asset-allocation team at the firm overseeing about $70 billion.

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Weekly : Oil continues to Rise, as Gold stalls

==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  06/29  :  09/28 :  12/31 :  01/04  :  01/11 :  01/18 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1281.3 : 1285.8 : 1289.5 : 1282.9 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 118.65 : 112.76 : 121.51 : 121.44 : 121.80 : 121.02 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 271.28 : 290.72 : 249.92 : 252.39 : 258.98 : 266.46 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2718.4 : 2914.0 : 2506.8 : 2531.9 : 2596.3 : 2670.7 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 216.7%: 243.6%: 195.6%: 196.9% : 201.3%: 208.2%:
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $74.15 : $73.25 : $45.41 : $47.96 : $51.59 : $54.05 :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : - 4.09% :  $75.94: $75.74 : $57.35: $59.87: $62.01: $63.84:
OIH-: $33.35 : $26.05 : - 11.9% : $26.27: $25.19 : $14.03: $15.19: $16.38: $17.24:

OI/X :  44.3% : 36.06% : ====== : 34.59%: 33.25%: 24.46% : 25.37%: 26.42%: 27.00%:
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.920 : $3.010 : $2.940 : $3.044 : $3.099 : $3,482 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $2.970 : $2.810 : $2.630 : $2.650 : $2.660 : $2.720 :
Soyb : 1000.0 : 950.00 : ====== :  ---------> 845.50 : 895.00 : 921.50 : 910.25 : 916.75 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47%: 501.25 : 509.00 : 503.25 : 517.00 : 519.50 : 517.75 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 371.25 : 356.25 : 375.00 : 383.00 : 378.25 : 381.75 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 200.39 : 195.16 : 169.80 : 173.35 : 178.05 : 182.21 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : - 6.06% : $18.03: $16.91 : $16.91: $16.94: $17.24: $17.28 :
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ======:  r8.99% : r8.66% : R9.06%: R9.77%: R9.68%: R9.48%;
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $94.47 : $95.13 : $96.16 : $96.20 : $95.37 : $95.99 :
TLT- : 119.13 : 126.86 : + 6.49% : 121.72 : 117.27 : 121.51 : 122.11 : 120.46 : 119.56 :
=====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1281.3 : 1285.8 : 1289.5 : 1282.9 :
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r-1.532 : r-1.612 : r1.61E : R1.611 : R1.617 : R1.584:
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 819.04 : 742.23 : 796.0E : 798.25 : 797.71 : 809.76 :
WPM : $19.32 : $22.27: +15.3% : $22.06 : $17.50 : $19.53:  $19.36 : $19.31 : $19.01 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $22.31 :$18.52 : $21.09 : $21.30 : $21.08 : $20.31 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $32.70 : $27.36 : $30.22 : $31.28 : $30.69 : $29.33 :
SIL-- : $32.11 : $32.64 : +1.65% : $28.88 : $24.23 : $25.02 : $26.00 : $25.97 : $24.73 :
/SLV: R2.053 : R2.042 : - 0.54% : R1.910 : r1.765 : R1.723 : R1.765 : R1.774 : R1.721 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $15.15 : $13.73 : $14.52 : $14.73 : $14.64 : $14.37 :
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% : 16.200 : 14.710 : 15.540 : 15.790 : 15.660 : 15.400 :
PHM : $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $28.75 : $24.77 : $25.99 : $27.20 : $28.58 : $26.59 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $43.33 : $42.92 : $39.06 : $39.69 : $40.73 : $41.55 :
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 2847.4 : 2821.3 : 2494.0 : 2514.9 : 2553.8 : 2596.0 :
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 7193.7 : 7276.8 : 7476.0 : 7761.1 : 7904.1 : 8047.1 :
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $26.59 : $27.58 : $23.82 : $24.26 : $24.50 : $26.00 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 163.77 : 168.55 : 133.90 : 137.19 : 143.68 : 147.33 :
F/iwm 17.24%: 17.84%: =====  : 16.24% : 16.36% : 17.79%: 17.68 %: 17.05%: 17.65% :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : $5,883 : $6,652 :  $3,770 : $3,747 : $3,643 : $3,606 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :   06/29  :  09/28 :  12/31 :  01/04  :  01/11 :  01/18 :

Ratio : WTI Crude to- Gold - xx%

B0VuvEl.png

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Excellent - Much needed Truth here !

Watch Company Launches Response To Gillette ‘Toxic Masculinity’ Ad; It Goes Viral

On Tuesday, Egard Watch Company released an advertisement on YouTube in response to Gillette’s controversial ad regarding alleged "toxic masculinity."
 

The video features footage of men in various situations — from fighting fires to hugging their children — while the company’s founder, Ilan Srulovicz, narrates. The footage and narration are accompanied by sobering statistics relating to men.
"What is a man?" Srulovicz asks as a fireman carries a child from a burning building. "Is a man brave?" The on-screen text reads: "Men account for 93% of workplace fatalities." The number comes from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
"Is a man a hero? Is a man a protector? Is a man vulnerable? Is a man disposable? Is a man broken? Is a man trying?"
As each of the above questions are asked, the statistics are shown on the screen:

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EUR weakness is not helping

Here's EUR vs. GLD & GBS & HK-2480-Gold  ... 10d : 2mo : wGDXJ / w/SLV : 10d : 2mo : wSIL

2 mo : 3mo +KF : 2018 w.SIL - Clearly they move together / / FRES+ 10d : KrFres

xWSBcHq.png

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Rally from 52week / 252d MA - now near resistance

SPX ... 10-yr : 2-yr : 1-yr : 6mo : Last: 2,670.71 +34.75IjhgTZI.gif

VIX could Bounce from here - as stocks may slide from the Resistance Level ... update :

QTjERUm.gif

SPY ... 6mo /

xx

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10 hours ago, drbubb said:

EUR weakness is not helping

Here's EUR vs. GLD & GBS & HK-2480-Gold  ... 10d : 2mo : wGDXJ / w/SLV : 10d : 2mo : wSIL

2 mo : 3mo +KF : 2018 w.SIL - Clearly they move together / / FRES+ 10d : KrFres

xWSBcHq.png

I thought that GBP was weaker than EUR going into 2019 but after UK parliament rejected the Brexit deal the outlook for EU seems a bit more cloudy. Maybe EUR will be weaker than GBP in the medium term. Perhaps we will see another of the EU's cyclical crises soon. Not receiving that £39 billion from the UK has gotta hurt. So I think gold will outperform no matter what EUR does.

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Gold-in-EUR

IqK0V0C.png

Gold-in-GBP

TIDtkP1.png

FRES / Fresnillo (in GBP) ... update : GBP 905.76 +9.96, +1.11%
O: 895.40 / H: 910.00 / L: 886.20 / Vol.: 200,157

2LbvSLZ.gif

==

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KITCO

Silver to Climb to $20, Outperform Gold in 2019 / The Street

http://stream2.kitco.com/19_01_20a_Hug_liferay.mp4

Gold’s uptrend so far in 2019 has been more than seasonal, and the same macroeconomic forces that have been driving it up could push the yellow metal higher still, said Peter Hug, global trading director of Kitco Metals.
“If the Fed reverses course again because the economy is slowing down, then I think we could have the same liquidity event we had [in 2011], maybe not the same extreme, but I think you do see gold at maybe $1,450, $1,500 [an ounce],” Hug told Kitco News on the sidelines of the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference.

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HK-quoted Gold & Copper shares : 2899, 3330, 2099, 1818... 358

HK-2899 / Zijin Mining Group - etc ... update: HK$2.70 / L-$2.57 - H$4.37

kkQ5kpI.gif

HK-358 / Jiangxi Copper Co - etc ... update: HK$9.36 / L-$8.15 - H$14.24

RVFdOyP.gif

HK-1818 / Zhaojin Mining Industry- etc ... update: HK$7.33 / L-$5.74 - H$8.35

4V9freD.gif

HK-2099 / China Gold Int'l Resources Corp- etc ... update: HK$9.05 / L-$8.81 - H-$19.44

poiiQK9.gif

HK-3330 / Lingbao Gold Group Co - etc ... update: HK$1.33 / L-$1.22 - H$2.20

vCcCidT.gif

HK-2899 - update . Zijin Leads!

DThJGGc.gif

Symbol-- / Company------ : $-Price / PE-R : Yield%: MktCap / 12mos.Range: L-H ( diff.) : %Chg.

HK-2899 / Zijin Mining------: HK$2.70 / 11.1 : 4.12% : $75.1B / L-$2.57 - H$04.37 ($1.80) : 7.22%
HK-0358 / Jiangxi Copper: HK$9.36 / 13.0 : 2.62% : $ 45.0B / L-$8.15 - H$14.24 ($6.09) : 19.9%
HK-1818 / Zhaojin Mining: HK$7.33 / 36.4 : 1.00% : $ 23.9B / L-$5.74 - H$08.35 ($2.61) : 60.9%
HK-2099 / China Gold Int'l: HK$9.05 / 27.6 : 0.00% : $ 3.54B / L-$8.81 - H$19.44 (10.63) : 2.26%
HK-3330 / Lingbao Gold---: HK$1.33 / 00.0 : 0.00% : $ 1.15B / L-$1.22 - H$02.20 ($0.98) : 11.2%

Zijin Presentation : http://www.zijinmining.com/upload/file/2018/09/10/99f26b3e8e1e4f09a651e5b593715bf0.pdf

Mined gold, copper and zinc production ranks in the top three in China,
and various indicators maintain the industry's advanced

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About Time ... Here's Larry King, taking an important subject seriously

Alien Pictures, Why Aliens Visit, & Element 115 - Answering Your Questions

/ 2 /

BOB LAZAR : UFO PRESENTATION BY JEREMY KENYON LOCKYER CORBELL

UFOs, warp drives, stargates: Secret Pentagon projects revealed...

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She's NEXT... (after SugarBorg's sweet demise, if we see that)

For "leaning in" and pushing for restrictions at FB against Free Speech

Sheryl-Sandberg-300x169.jpeg

Sheryl-SandBorg, Face-Borg's top female

da098318cbfb284fffb91ea8ce785de8--star-t

Lean in far enough at FB, and you will be absorbed

Fascistbook Censorship Queen Sheryl Sandberg Tries to Justify Social Media Giant’s War on Conservatives/Christians: ‘We Don’t Want An Internet Where Anything Goes’

===

*The Borg are a fictional alien group that appear as recurring antagonists in the Star Trek franchise. The Borg are cybernetic organisms, linked in a hive mind called "the Collective". The Borg co-opt the technology and knowledge of other alien species to the Collective through the process of "assimilation": forcibly transforming individual beings into "drones" by injecting nanoprobes into their bodies and surgically augmenting them with cybernetic components. The Borg's ultimate goal is "achieving perfection".[1][2] Aside from being recurring antagonists in the Next Generation television series, they are depicted as the main threat in the film Star Trek: First Contact. In addition, they played major roles in the Voyager series and serve as the way home to the Alpha Quadrant for the isolated Federation starship USS Voyager. The first encounter between humans and the Borg is depicted in the 2nd season of the series Enterprise in the episode "Regeneration" in which the phrase "you will be assimilated; resistance is futile" is heard by the crew of the Enterprise for the first time.

The Borg have become a symbol in popular culture for any juggernaut against which "resistance is futile".

> Wiki : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Borg

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The Awakening Is Now Going World Wide, The Movement Has Started:Charles Hugh Smith

https://youtu.be/G1l9q91jqGU

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Potential BOMBSHELL : SugarBorg's BIG LIE Exposed ?

10aphi_cardboard-cutouts-facebook-founde

Report Claims That Up to Fifty Percent of Facebook Users Could Be Fake

A recent report from the legal research group Plainsite claims that as many as half of Facebook’s users are fake.

A report from Aaron Greenspan of the legal research initiative Plainsite claims that as many as half of the users on the social media platform Facebook are in fact fake accounts. Greenspan’s report alleges that Facebook has lied to the public about just how large the site’s fake news problem is, how many bot accounts exist on the platform and that the company has “lost control of its own product.”

Greenspan writes that the world has changed significantly since Facebook’s founding and that despite Silicon valley’s optimism, the company is facing huge issues:

What seems too good to be true often is. The zeitgeist has changed markedly since 2007, when the company was the obsession of virtually every Silicon Valley investor, having built its Platform to make the world “more open and connected.” Yet as bad as things have been of late for Facebook, with endless privacy breaches and Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election hanging over Menlo Park like a spectre, we believe that the situation is far worse than investors realize. Facebook has been lying to the public about the scale of its problem with fake accounts, which likely exceed 50% of its network. Its official metrics—many of which it has stopped reporting quarterly—are self-contradictory and even farcical. The company has lost control of its own product.

Greenspan further explains the effects of fake accounts operating on the platform and how this can affect not just the public perception of Facebook, but could damage investors also:

Fake accounts affect Facebook at its core in numerous ways:

  • Its customers purchase advertising on Facebook based on the fact that it can supposedly target advertisements at more than 2 billion real human beings. To the extent that users aren’t real, companies are throwing their money down the drain.

  • Fake accounts click on advertising at random, or “like” pages, to throw off anti-fraud algorithms. Fake accounts look real if they do not follow a clear pattern. This kind of activity defrauds advertisers, but rewards Facebook with revenue.

  • Fake accounts often defraud other users on Facebook, through scams, fake news, extortion, and other forms of deception. Often, they can involve governments.

Greenspan notes that while Facebook has long prioritized user growth and expansion over everything else, the company is failing to generate new users in recent years. Greenspan alleges that Facebook is currently only being kept afloat by millions of fake bot accounts inflating user metrics:

. MORE: https://www.breitbart.com/tech/2019/01/24/report-claims-that-up-to-fifty-percent-of-facebook-users-could-be-fake/

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Looks like the USD sell-off due to the ongoing shutdown is finally underway. DXY should touch 94 at the very least.

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On 1/20/2019 at 9:13 AM, drbubb said:

TOP ... :

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : idx24_russell_en_2.gif : idx24_hui_en_2.gif :

Gold Coiled And Set To Break-Out?

 Daily US Market and Currency Reports Now Available (For 01/17/19)

_ says Elliottwave Analytics

It is Still possible.

DXY has risen to a resistance level.  If it falls from here... then Gold should rise

DXY ... update : last: $96.36 +0.29, +0.30%

0juAcVl.gif

GLD ... update : last: $121.02 - 1.09, -0.89%

iTktUj9.gif

GDXJ ... update : last: $29.33 - 0.91, -3.11%

BFcwPJ8.gif

Gold up $17 to $1298.

'Ere we go ?

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Amazingly, with the "half of accts may be fake" News:

FB: 148.16 +2.33
Might watch for a Put-buying window

(in edit)

FB / facebook ... update / Last: $149.01 + $3.18

zGkNX9w.gif

==

 

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Scary: 100% Mortgage Loans in the UK !

The banks continue to be trouble,trouble,trouble

Under the new Lloyds Bank “Lend A Hand” deal, a first-time buyer will be able to borrow up to £500,000 for a new home, without putting down a penny of deposit.

Why is this necessary? It is because the establishment have played the same old song of higher house prices and telling people they are better off via wealth effects. Meanwhile the claims of no inflation are contradicted by the increasing inability of first-time buyers to afford housing even with ultra-low mortgage rates to help.

In this instance the mortgage is 100% of the loan for the people taking it out but payments are backed for 3 years by a family member or members.

The Lloyds deal requires that a member of the family – such as parent, grandparent or close relative – helps out. The bank will only grant the 100% mortgage if the family member puts a sum equal to 10% of the value of the property into a Lloyds savings account.

I have looked it up and their liability is limited to the first 3 years.

At the end of the 3 years, you will be able to take out your savings plus interest. That’s as long as the buyer hasn’t missed any payments or their home hasn’t been repossessed.

Frankly if payments are in danger of being missed it may suit the family member to fund them. But unless things go dreadfully wrong after 3 years we have what it a mortgage with only a little equity as not much is repaid in the first 3 years.

But as ever we see something of a round-tripping cycle between the central bank which pushes cheap liquidity to the banks who then pump up the housing market.

Vim Maru, group director of Lloyds Banking Group, which also controls Halifax, said: “We are committed to lending £30bn to first-time buyers by 2020 as part of our pledge to help people and communities across Britain prosper – and ‘Lend a Hand’ is one of the ways we will do this.

> source: https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/the-banks-continue-to-be-troubletroubletrouble/

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Despite the bad publicity & ex-CEO Schulz showing interest in being President

Starbucks / SBX stock ... update . has recovered to a New High

lrdaktD.gif

==

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Hang Lung Properties / HK101 is rising fast... HK10 is lagging (recently by 3%, about $0.65)

HK10-etc ... 10d / Last: $21.95 ... hk101-$16.64 x 1.369= $22.78! /$21.95= 103.8%

gVzZE2z.gif

HK10-etc ... since 9.1.2018 / hk10: 21.95/19.12= 114.8% / hk101: $16.64/13.90= 119.7% … hk101+4.9% more

XPfSxrn.gif

Hang Lung ... updated to 10/12/18 midday:

Symbol : Co.----- : Price-- /hk101: tBkVal: P-BV. : PE-R. : Yield% : Div. ? : Earn? :
87001  : Hui Xian- :  03.08 : 21.6% : # 4.71: 65.4% : 11.85 : 9.09% : #0.28 : #0.26 :
HK10- : HL-Group: $19.50 : 1.369 : $62.87: 31.0% : 5.000: 4.10% : $0.80 : $3.90 :
HK101 : HL-Prop.: $14.24 : 1.000 : $30.59: 46.6% : 7.867 : 5.26% : $0.75 : $1.81 :
HK778 : FortuneR : $ 8.67 : 60.9%: $14.07: 61.6% : 10.84 : 0.00% : $0.00 : $0.80 :
H2823 : A50china : 11.40 : 68.5% :
=====> Data-WSJ :

Hang Lung ... updated to 1/29/19 midday:

Symbol : Co.----- : Price-- /hk101: tBkVal: P-BV. : PE-R. : Yield% : Div. ? : Earn? :
87001  : Hui Xian- :  03.29 : 19.8% : # 4.71: 69.8% : 12.65 : 8.51% : #0.28 : #0.26 :
HK10- : HL-Group: $21.95 : 1.319 : $62.87: 34.9% : 5.628: 3.64% : $0.80 : $3.90 :
HK101 : HL-Prop.: $16.64 : 1.000 : $30.59: 54.4% : 9.193 : 4.51% : $0.75 : $1.81 :
HK778 : FortuneR : $9.75 : 58.6%: $14.07: 69.3% : 12.19 : 0.00% : $0.00 : $0.80 :
H2823 : A50china : 12.44 : 74.8% :
=====> Data-WSJ :

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8 hours ago, drbubb said:

Scary: 100% Mortgage Loans in the UK !

The banks continue to be trouble,trouble,trouble

Under the new Lloyds Bank “Lend A Hand” deal, a first-time buyer will be able to borrow up to £500,000 for a new home, without putting down a penny of deposit.

Why is this necessary? It is because the establishment have played the same old song of higher house prices and telling people they are better off via wealth effects. Meanwhile the claims of no inflation are contradicted by the increasing inability of first-time buyers to afford housing even with ultra-low mortgage rates to help.

In this instance the mortgage is 100% of the loan for the people taking it out but payments are backed for 3 years by a family member or members.

The Lloyds deal requires that a member of the family – such as parent, grandparent or close relative – helps out. The bank will only grant the 100% mortgage if the family member puts a sum equal to 10% of the value of the property into a Lloyds savings account.

I have looked it up and their liability is limited to the first 3 years.

At the end of the 3 years, you will be able to take out your savings plus interest. That’s as long as the buyer hasn’t missed any payments or their home hasn’t been repossessed.

Frankly if payments are in danger of being missed it may suit the family member to fund them. But unless things go dreadfully wrong after 3 years we have what it a mortgage with only a little equity as not much is repaid in the first 3 years.

But as ever we see something of a round-tripping cycle between the central bank which pushes cheap liquidity to the banks who then pump up the housing market.

Vim Maru, group director of Lloyds Banking Group, which also controls Halifax, said: “We are committed to lending £30bn to first-time buyers by 2020 as part of our pledge to help people and communities across Britain prosper – and ‘Lend a Hand’ is one of the ways we will do this.

> source: https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/the-banks-continue-to-be-troubletroubletrouble/

Looks like the next banking crisis in the UK is all but a certainty. Exactly what you expect given the psychology of the participants in the system, too big to fail, no criminal prosecution of bankers etc. I still maintain a long term bearish view of sterling and uk stocks and bullish on gold and Ethereum.

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