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drbubb

DrBubb's Diary - Jan. 2019 Trading - v.120

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Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H :

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : 24hr-euro-small.gif : t24_au_en_euoz_2.gif :

idx24_russell_en_2.gif : t24_ag_en_usoz_2.gif:: idx24_hui_en_2.gif :

3d : ag : au / Btc / 8yr: 12mo : 5m : 2m : 1m : 25 10 5d 2d / spiral

Goldstock : HK-2840 : GBS.L : GLD : GDX : NUGT : tza/faz -- HKpeg : DXY : StkX : 10-d : SPX : sjw : img :

HK 3081: 2899: 1051: hs / UK: POG / ABX : Sil : IAG : dba-etc. ... lot : PB : CVN : CC2 : BTC 1m 2d : SLV-lv

==========================================

GLD vs SIL ... update :

pB2E0c9.gif

SIL / Silver shares to Gold

RATIO

LgyHuMQ.png

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OIL SECTOR PORTFOLIO, which is Now up $12,289, +24.3%

OIH-etc ... update :

pxrE22l.gif

Sym. / Price :  x-Qty: $-Value: Strike : Pmt.: $Surplus -Cost-: Profit :
RDC  : $10.41: x2500= 26,025: $6.C : $15.0K: $11,025: $7,275: $3,750
MDR : $ 8.15 : x2500= 20,375: $5.C : $12.5K: $ 7,875 :  $6,400: $1,475
ESV  :  $ 4.44 : x5000= 22,200: $2.C : $10.0K: $12,200: $8,400: $3,800
Total: =========== > 68,600: ==== : $37.5K :  31,100 : 22,075 $9,025
OIH  : $15.94: x3700= 58,978: 20.C : $74.0K: (15,022): 21,120 $6,098 : $15,123
$9,025/3700: $2.44: $13.50
$6,098/3700: $1.65: $14.29
IV, J'20-$20Put: ($4.50-4.85): mid$4.68 -IV:$4.06 = TV:$0.62 : ($2,294)
Port.Gain: $15,123 -(TV: $2,294)= $12,829 // Buyback of Put: $17,316

I value this Portfolio against a Notional 3,700 shares of OIH at b/e $14.29 = $52,873
So +$12,289 is like a 24.3% gain, where I simply used "Buying Power" to create this portfolio

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I Used to Have a Coin Collection, so a Love this story

‘Holy Grail’ of Rare Pennies Valued at $1.7 Million Found in Boy’s Lunch Money

The lucky piece could fetch up to $1.7 million when it hits the auction block later this week, according to reports Tuesday.

The 1943 Lincoln penny — one of 20 accidentally pressed in copper that year — was discovered by 16-year-old Don Lutes Jr. in his school cafeteria in March 1947, according to Sarah Miller of Heritage Auctions in Dallas.

“This is the most famous error coin in American numismatics, and that’s what makes this so exciting,” Miller told Fox News.

In the ’40s, copper was a strategically valuable metal needed to make shell casings and other implements for World War II.

To preserve it, pennies in 1943 were made of zinc-coated steel — but a small number of blanks made primarily of copper were caught in mint presses and accidentally circulated.

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/retailer-stocks-take-a-broad-beating-led-by-macys-record-plunge

XRT / Retail etf ... update :

2SaC5Lt.gif

Retailer stocks take a broad beating, led by Macy’s record plunge

Macy’s stock leads the selloff as it heads for biggest one-day drop since going public 27 years ago

MW-GD400_Home_A_20180208144908_ZH.jpg?uuEverett Collection
 

Shares of retailers suffered broad, and in many cases sharp selloffs Thursday, as a number of downbeat holiday-period sales reports sparked concerns over the health of the sector and consumer.

The SPDR S&P Retail exchange-traded fund XRT, -1.83% slumped 1.9% in afternoon trade, with 71 of 95 equity components losing ground, to buck the gains seen in the broader market.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/retailer-stocks-take-a-broad-beating-led-by-macys-record-plunge-2019-01-10?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

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The DOLLAR seems to be rolling over

... despite yesterday's bounce

DXY ... update :

f8i4Y4m.gif

Dollar Continues to Dominate Gold Price Changes

The daily range in gold continues to compress, after trading to an intraday high of $1300.40, and an intraday low of $1278 on Friday of last week, each trading day this week can be characterized as a compressing range defined by the intraday range from Friday, January 4.Today is no exception as traders were able to push the market to a high of $1298 and as low as $1286.70.

1_10_19_c1.png

One predominant characteristic in recent price activity that we are witnessing lower highs, and higher lows, which is the definition of a compressing range. Today is no exception. As of 4:00 PM Eastern standard time spot gold is trading down by $7.40 on the day, and currently fixed at $1285.80. On closer inspection we can see that dollar strength resulted in a decline of $5.20, with the remaining decline of $2.20 directly attributable to selling pressure, this according to the KGX (Kitco Gold Index).

Given that day-to-day moves in the dollar index have been in oscillation between gains and losses, the overall trend in the dollar index has been to the downside. In fact, since December 11 of last year the dollar index has been slowly losing value.

1_10_19_c2.png

 

Although the dollar index has lost ground this week the most prominent characteristic is a defined oscillation between price gains followed by price dissents throughout the week. If this trend continues, we can expect the dollar index to trade lower on Friday. If this occurs, we would be left with a trading week that resulted in a total of three days with lower pricing separated by two days of price gains.

> https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2019-01-10/Dollar-Continues-to-Dominate-Gold-Price-Changes.html

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Dollar Crush Implemented

The Money Printing Pump is in gear. But it’s being driven by the lower dollar, not CB printing. It’s still getting the job done for now.

011019tinypump-450x319.gif

click chart to enlarge

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click chart to enlarge
Commentary in today’s video discussion.

121019spxAD-450x308.gif

121019combo-450x514.gif

Continue reading

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What has caused the US stock Market to Rally? The Fed !
A Very interesting chart - Will the Fed keep easing?

(he goes on...)

Will the FED pump a la 2016? 

010619pump-450x263.jpg

I doubt it.  It's going to be very interesting to see how quickly the market loses momentum at the next tidal turn.

010819pump-450x259.gif

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Falling Libor rates "saved" Philippine Property stocks

: Update : SMPH: P39.00 / ALI: P44.35 / MEG: P5.00 / DLBR: 18.80

QJTLumt.gif

SMPH: P39.00

tAH8N1r.gif

Foreign investors looking to invest in the Philippines will be very aware of Libor rates.

And there will be a correlation between US Libor and interest rate pressures in PHL.

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Weekly : The Bounce back in Stocks and Oil continues

==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  06/29  :  09/28 :  10/26 :  11/30  :  12/31 :  01/04  :  01/11 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1235.1 : 1220.2 : 1281.3 : 1285.8 : 1289.5 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 118.65 : 112.76 : 116.77 : 115.54 : 121.51 : 121.44 : 121.80 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 271.28 : 290.72 : 265.33 : 275.65 : 249.92 : 252.39 : 258.98 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2718.4 : 2914.0 : 2658.7 : 2760.2 : 2506.8 : 2531.9 : 2596.3 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 216.7%: 243.6%: 215.3% : 226.2%: 195.6%: 196.9% : 201.3% :
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $74.15 : $73.25 : $67.59 : $50.93 : $45.41 : $47.96 : $51.59 :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : - 4.09% :  $75.94: $75.74 : $66.48: $66.11: $57.35: $59.87: $62.01 :
OIH-: $33.35 : $26.05 : - 11.9% : $26.27: $25.19 : $21.14: $18.80: $14.03: $15.19: $16.38 :

OI/X :  44.3% : 36.06% : ====== : 34.59%: 33.25%: 31.80%: 28.44%: 24.46% : 25.37% : 26.42% :
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.920 : $3.010 : $3.220 : $4.600 : $2.940 : $3.044 : $3.099 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $2.970 : $2.810 : $2.740 : $2.790 : $2.630 : $2.650 : $2.660 :
Soyb : 1000.0 : 950.00 : ====== :  ---------> 845.50 : 857.75 : 895.00 : 895.00 : 921.50 : 910.25 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47%: 501.25 : 509.00 : 505.25 : 516.00 : 503.25 : 517.00 : 519.50 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 371.25 : 356.25 : 367.75 : 378.00 : 375.00 : 383.00 : 378.25 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 200.39 : 195.16 : 195.51 : 181.74 : 169.80 : 173.35 : 178.05 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : - 6.06% : $18.03: $16.91 : $17.72: $17.29 : $16.91: $16.94: $17.24 :
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ======:  r8.99% : r8.66% : r9.06% : r9.51% : R9.06% : R9.77%: R9.68%:
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $94.47 : $95.13 : $96.13 : $97.20 : $96.16 : $96.20 : $95.37 :
TLT- : 119.13 : 126.86 : + 6.49% : 121.72 : 117.27 : 114.99 : 115.33 : 121.51 : 122.11 : 120.46 :
=====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1235.1 : 1220.2 : 1281.3 : 1285.8 : 1289.5 :
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r-1.532 : r-1.612 : r1.64E : R1.602 : R1.61E : R1.611 : R1.617 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 819.04 : 742.23 : 755.est : 761.74 : 796.0E : 798.25 : 797.71 :
WPM : $19.32 : $22.27: +15.3% : $22.06 : $17.50 : $16.40 : $15.64 : $19.53 :  $19.36 : $19.31 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $22.31 :$18.52 : $19.06 : $19.09 : $21.09 : $21.30 : $21.08 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $32.70 : $27.36 : $28.27 : $26.59 : $30.22 : $31.28 : $30.69 :
SIL-- : $32.11 : $32.64 : +1.65% : $28.88 : $24.23 : $23.91 : $23.05 : $25.02 : $26.00 : $25.97 :
/SLV: R2.053 : R2.042 : - 0.54% : R1.910 : r1.765 : R1.731 :  r1.730 : R1.723 : R1.765 : r1.774 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $15.15 : $13.73 : $13.81 : $13.32 : $14.52 : $14.73 : $14.64 :
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% : 16.200 : 14.710 : 14.66? : 14.350 : 15.540 : 15.790 : 15.660 :
PHM : $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $28.75 : $24.77 : $23.93 : $26.52 : $25.99 : $27.20 : $28.58 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $43.33 : $42.92 : $38.67 : $41.08 : $39.06 : $39.69 : $40.73 :
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 2847.4 : 2821.3 : 2598.8 : 2588.2 : 2494.0 : 2514.9 : 2553.8 :
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 7193.7 : 7276.8 : 7076.2 : 7367.9 : 7476.0 : 7761.1 : 7904.1 :
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $26.59 : $27.58 : $25.26 : $26.83 : $23.82 : $24.26 : $24.50 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 163.77 : 168.55 : 147.48 : 151.83 : 133.90 : 137.19 : 143.68 :
F/iwm 17.24%: 17.84%: =====  : 16.24% : 16.36% : 17.13%: 17.67%: 17.79%: 17.68 %: 17.05% :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : $5,883 : $6,652 : $6,396 :  $3,979 : $3,770 : $3,747 : $3,643 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :   06/29  :  09/28 :  10/26 :  11/30  :  12/31 :  01/04  :  01/11 :

Some unusual pairings...

OIH as a way to hedge commodity inflation?

iHRA7Zd.png

Ratio: OIH -to DBA

22sRD0e.png

Ratio: SPX -toGold

AdPol5P.png

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PAIRING two of the Least favored, Most hated Assets

Ratio: SIL (silver shares) -to-TLT (Bonds)

1BXUQUO.png

By Simon Maierhofer. Published: Sept 6, 2018 5:40 p.m. ET. Share ... Silver.. Second-most-hated asset: Treasuries.
Commercial hedgers have never been more bullish ...

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"Most Important" Trump interview?

Judge Jeanine - Trump Says New Revelations Coming, 2523

==

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Gold prices - Banging on the Ceiling?

GLD : 10d :

3sonrZg.gif

Many precious metals related - are banging on the Ceiling

SLV -etc ... update : Ratio: 1.756/ SIL: 25.75/ SLV: 14.66/ GDX: 20.93/ GLD: 122.09- Ratio: 17.14%

lJpT6mB.gif

Ratio: 1.756/ SIL: 25.75/ SLV: 14.66

yONfEDF.png

==

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Gold MERGER - Now The BIG One !

GG/ Goldcorp vs NEM/ Newmont ... update:

Fbgwbb7.gif

Newmont To Acquire Goldcorp In $10 Billion Deal - Kitco News

Newmont’s Goldberg: Merger With Goldcorp Evolved From Past ... Kitco News

Newmont-Goldcorp Deal Continues Trend Of Mining Mergers - Kitco News

Newmont Mining Corp. (NYSE: NEM) will acquire Goldcorp Inc. (TSX: G, NYSE: GG) in a mostly all-stock transaction, the gold-mining giants announced Monday.

Under the deal, Newmont will acquire each Goldcorp share for 0.3280 of a Newmont share, which puts the total value of Goldcorp shares at $10 billion. This will represent a 17% premium for Goldcorp, based on the companies’ 20-day volume-weighted average share prices, officials said

. . . Goldberg said the merged company will have a “stable and profitable gold production” of 6 million to 7 million ounces annually over a decades-long time horizon. In 2017, Newmont output was 5.3 million ounces and Goldcorp’s was $2.6 million.

The merger announcement said the new company will prioritize project development based on returns and risk, while targeting $1 billion to $1.5 billion in divestitures.

“The strategic rationale for combining Goldcorp with Newmont is powerfully compelling on many levels, and both teams are fully committed to delivering on the transaction’s value proposition for all of our stakeholders,” said Goldcorp’s president and chief executive officer, David Garofalo.

. . . “One of our strongest connections has been with the Goldcorp team, based on our shared values and common cultures,” he continued. “We’ve looked at a number of opportunities to work together over the years, and today’s announcement would not have been possible without the solid connection and trust we’ve built through these interactions.”

Goldberg noted that he has frequently commented in the past that Newmont continuously evaluates various opportunities and whether they meet the company’s criteria for value and risk.

“Up until now, only one has met our criteria,” Goldberg said. “The transaction we are announcing today is another and one that positions our business as the gold-industry leader for decades to come.

“Simply put, this is not a deal we have to do. It is a deal we want to do. It is a deal that combines world-class assets and prospects in favorable mining jurisdictions.”

. . . The Newmont-Goldcorp merger continued a trend of mergers involving the giant companies within the precious-metals sector, although some smaller companies have combined as well.

Previously, Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE: GOLD; TSX: ABX) had the honor of being the biggest gold miner when it acquired Randgold Resources Ltd., with the acquisition closing at the start of the year.

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Ten Reasons Why Gold Will Remain Above $1250 in 2019

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UGLD - etc / still below $100 / Gold-$1300 ... update :

wB736JA.gif

 

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A bit more correction may still be ahead ... for Silver shares

SIL: $25.19 -0.56 / SLV: $14.60 -0.06 / R: 1.725

SIL vs-SLV... update : Ratio: 1.725

QPbeFyu.gif

JNUG needs to hold $9, or could quickly fall to $8 support

JNUG / Jr.Gold shs x3 Bull etf ... 3yrL : 1yr : 6mo : 10d / Last: $9.01 - 0.49 (yr.L: $6.13 / H: 20.50 )

bI8h29H.gif

==

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Elon Musk, says: "there are No Coincidences"... re: "Alien" reversal of Neil A (Armstrong)

DwBaLg6VYAAMeaJ.jpg

Elon Musk Spells Neil A Backwards as Alien and Gets Trolled; What ...

Jan 4, 2019 - Elon Musk posted a picture of an Alien and it said Neil Armstrong was the first person to land on the moon and Neil A. backwards reads alien.

Musk Tweets weird Neil Armstrong alien meme - Unexplained Mysteries

Musk Tweets weird Neil Armstrong alien meme. Posted on Friday, 4 January, 2019. No, Neil Armstrong is not an alien
. Image Credit: NASA The peculiar post ...
Jan 8, 2019 - But,as we grew up we heard that there were aliens first and then Neil Armstrong,who walked on the moon first.
These new contradictory theories ...

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Gran colombia gold / GCM - update: 1/16/19: if it breaks the old high, next stop is $4-ish (?)

jrwjaq1.gif

Presentation to be made this weekend.

GCM just announced: 2019 Guidance of : "210-225k : Mid-217.5K " ounces of Gold production

And: " At this level of production, we are also comfortably meeting our obligations with respect to servicing the gold notes, with the aggregate principal amount outstanding decreasing to $83.4-million (U.S.) following the quarterly payment coming up at the end of January."

" We have established a solid foundation of internally generated operating cash flow to fund our ongoing programs, including another 20,000 metres of exploration currently planned for 2019 at Segovia. The 2019 campaign will focus more on stepout drilling at El Silencio, Providencia and Sandra K along with brownfield drilling on the Cogote vein system as we increasingly shift our attention toward the blue-sky potential within our Segovia mining title "

Onwards & Upwards, eh?

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Oil Service to slow down, maybe dip? Or is the Dip done; ready to follow UK oil shs higher?

OIH - Jan.2020 $20 Puts - update : $4.15 -4.30: $4.23 OIH at $16.55 > IV: $3.45 / TV: $0.78

9KHOVEp.gif

Two UK Oil shares (Big & Small) seem to be leading XON & OIH : chart ... (+ XLE)

0FVN63s.gif

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Gold Coiled And Set To Break-Out?
| Daily US Market and Currency Reports Now Available (For 01/17/19)

_ says Elliottwave Analytics

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A Bunch of Stocks In Hong Kong Just FLASH CRASHED By 70%!

DON’T PANIC! Everything is fine. Go back to sleep, my little sheep. Papa government will take care of you. Right?

While the US stock market has been receiving the benefits of the global quantitative easing increase over the last few weeks, certain stocks haven’t been so fortunate. While China’s central bank injected the largest amount of money into the markets ever in history, something very wild happened in Hong Kong. The only issue is that nobody really knows why. But don’t worry because that couldn’t happen here, could it?

http://www.investmentwatchblog.com/a-bunch-of-stocks-in-hong-kong-just-flash-crashed-by-70/

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Crowder's Comeback... is a "Rocky" experience

CROWDER'S COLOSSAL COMEBACK! |

Matt Iseman and Jordan Peterson Guest | Louder With Crowder

Steven Crowder makes his triumphant return, hitting Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the government shutdown, and Gillette's disastrous ad. Matt Iseman sits third chair. Dr. Jordan Peterson guests

==

Cenk's face on the punching bag was a great touch

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Truth about the Mess in US Universities

A Top 10 Podcast - almost 1.5 Million views in just 2 weeks

"i have to teach to the most sensitive student"

Joe Rogan Experience #1221 - Jonathan Haidt

Jonathan Haidt is a social psychologist and Professor of Ethical Leadership at New York University's Stern School of Business. He's also the author of books such as "The Happiness Hypothesis" and "The Coddling of the American Mind"

Wow, that´s one of the best podcasts I´ve listened to in the recent past. Opened my eyes on a lot of things and crystallized some of the nebulous thoughts and suspicions I´ve had for some time. This guy Jonathan Haidt rocks
I feel I just gained 10 IQ points watching this. Very eye opening
Sandy A
I'd rate this in my top ten JRE podcasts for being 100% interesting from start to finish. I like how Haidt follows all the problems he identifies with proposed solutions.

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