DrBubb's Diary - Oct. 2018 Trading - v.117

[drbubb]

Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H :

: : :

: :: :

3d : ag : au / Btc / 8yr: 12mo : 5m : 2m : 1m : 25 10 5d 2d / spiral

Goldstock : HK-2840 : GBS.L : GLD : GDX : NUGT : tza/faz -- HKpeg : DXY : StkX : 10-d : SPX : sjw : img :

HK 3081: 2899: 1051: hs / UK: POG / ABX : Sil : IAG : dba-etc. ... lot : PB : CVN : CC2 : BTC 1m 2d : SLV-lv

==========================================

(on Sept.19th - pg.3 of my SEP DIARY, I wrote): THIS IS...

 "A very logical & Classic Set-up for a Bottom in Gold stocks" - IT WAS !

GDX/ VanEck Vectors Gold Miners  ... update : $18.43 +0.11 +0.60%, GDXJ: $27.46, SIL: $24.12, /SLV: $13.31= R1.81

NOW: TURNING Higher? Downtrend reversed?

EUR & Gold ets ... update : w/SIL & SLV : flipped :

: flipped :

hk10-etc-5yr : Oddly. SLV/ Silver seems to correlate with HK10/Hang Lung, as well as it does with GLD/ Gold

[hector]

Very tempting to say we've seen the low in gold/mining. We won't see $1200 gold ever again.

[drbubb]

That is possible.

We certainly are overdue on a good strong short-covering rally now

[drbubb]

Mike Maloney: The new index that screams “market bubble” … Peter Schiff: The bear begins as rising rates crash stocks … Michael Pento: “50% stock market crash coming”

By: alexmark

Read more: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED | The History The US Government HOPES You Never Learn! http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/#ixzz5U2uggsfZ

[drbubb]

Hong Kong Property Agent's Window

Note Discounts!
Harbour Green-- :  995/1050:-5.23% (/482=$20,643psf),
ImperialCullinan: 1400/1550:-9.68% (/524=$26,718psf)
The Long Beach: 1140 (/550= hk$20,727psf)
HKD$ 20,000psf: x10.73 x6.90 = PHP 976.1k per ssm

[drbubb]

Silver: SIL vs. SLV ... update : w/GDXJ :

GLD vs SIL ... update :

==

[drbubb]

Three Stock Indices & SPY Put Pricing

(added on Wed., in edit:

Dow drops 250 points as volatile trading continues...

IWM / Russell-2000 vs SPY ... 3mos : 10d :

==

Timeline
DD: -SPY- + chg. : Vol.- : -VIX- / InTM: Nov.5: Nov.9: ratio :.5itm: Nv9-.5 : as-%X: Days: sqr.T: %/sT*
01: 291.73 +1.01 56.1M: 12.00/ - 1.73: $2.30:
02: 291.56 - 0.17 43.8M: 12.05/ - 1.56: $2.20: $2.90: 75.9%: -0.78: $3.68: 1.27% : 38d :
03: 291.72 +0.16 56.5M: 11.61/ - 1.72: $2.28: $2.85: 80.0%: -1.72: $3.71: 1.28% : 37d : .318: 10.1%
04: 289.44 - 2.28 100.M: 14.22/ $0.56: $3.49: $4.10: 85.0%: +0.28: $3.82: 1.32% : 36d :
05: 287.82 - 1.62 00.0M: 14.82/ $2.09: $4.30: $5.20: 82.6%: +1.05: $4.15: 1.43% : 35d :
08: 287.82 Unch. 87.3M: 15.69/ $2.09: $4.12: $4.70: 87.7%: +1.05: $3.65: 1.26% : 32d : .296: 10.6%
09: 287.40 - 0.42 67.5M: 15.96/ $2.60: $4.36: $4.94: 88.3%: +1.30: $3.64: 1.26% : 31d : .291: 10.8%
10: 278.30 - 9.10 185.M: 23.08/ 11.70: 13.15: 13.18: 90.0%: +5.85: $0.00: 0.00% : 30d :
11: 272.17 - 6.13 254.M: 24.98/ 17.83: 17.80: 17.80: 100.%: +8.92: $0.00: 0.00% : 29d :
12: 275.95 +3.78 165.M: 21.31/ 14.05: 14.25: 14.40: 99.0%: +7.20: $0.00: 0.00% : 28d :
15: 274.40 -1.55 91.9M: 21.30/ 15.60:
16: 280.40 +6.00 101.M: 17.62/ $9.60: $9.41: $9.54: 98.6%: +4.80: $0.00: 0.00% : 24d :
17: 280.45 +0.05 99.3M: 17.70/
18: 276.40 - 4.05 123.M: 20.06/
19: 276.25 - 0.15 121.M: 19.89/

=========
*%/sT (09): 1.26% /.291= 4.33 x 2.5= 10.8% (/15.96= 67.8%)

[drbubb]

KITCO articles

Gold Holds Value as U.S. Equities Soar Kitco Commentary Oct 16

An Ounce Of Gold Has Always Cost The Same As A Suit, ... Oct 16

What Are The Biggest Drivers Of Gold Right Now? - World ... Oct 16

Dow Surges More Than 540 Points On Strong Bank Earnings; Nasdaq Gains 2.9%

Next Market Correction Could Be 2008 All Over Again Says ... Oct 16

==

[drbubb]

Tony C's E-wave comment

With the SPX/DOW joining the NDX/NAZ in confirmed downtrends, we can now count five waves up from early-2016. This suggests, as we have been noting the technical deterioration, that the Major wave 1 bull market ended at the recent highs. We are now expecting a shallow 15% to 20% bear market lasting several months into next year. Bear markets are often quite volatile. And a rally back to SPX 2900 at some point would not be a surprise. After the expected Major wave 2 bear market ends, the Primary III secular bull market will resume.

MEDIUM TERM: downtrend

> https://caldaro.wordpress.com/

SPX TARGETS---
2941 x 85%: SPX 2,500
2941 x 80%: SPX 2,350

[drbubb]

Brooks Agnew, Ph.D. - The Rise of Socialism in American and Other Historical Facts

 

/ 2 /

Brooks Agnew | Hollow Earth Updates, Secret Sciences, & Darpa

 

[drbubb]

SPY ... update :

SIL /Silver shares, SLV /Silver & GDXJ ... update

 

Expect Higher Gold Prices For The Rest Of The Year — Analyst Kitco News04:09PM

These Forces Could Push Gold Above $1,250 - Martin ... Kitco Video News

VIDEO NEWS: Last Week's Gold Breakout Wasn't "Real" - Bloomberg ... Kitco Oct 17

Dow Dives Sharply On Rates Fears, Tech Shares Sink Nasdaq The Street

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped 324 points, or 1.3%, to 25,382.37, the S&P 500 declined 1.4%, and the Nasdaq was down 2.1%. The declines today and yesterday mainly wiped the advances made on Tuesday. Tech stocks like Apple Inc. (AAPL - Get Report) , Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN - Get Report) and Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL - Get Report) fell between 2.3% to 3.5%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was at 3.2%. The Dow, which has fallen in eight of the past 11 trading sessions, is trading about where it was back on January 10. Gold for December delivery rose 0.1% to $1,228.20 an ounce.

[drbubb]

FaceGoogle set to test key support level

FBgoog ... update

==

[drbubb]

NEOWAVE : Big Bear Market... to start in 2019

(I have received this email from Glenn Neely, Neowave)

TIME TO INVEST IN THE NEOWAVE EQUITY FUND

Without doubt, 2018 has been the BEST year for NEoWave in a decade!  Our success has been the result of extremely high market predictability (which occurs near the end of major Wave patterns) AND our expansion into all major U.S. markets (instead of just the 4 we used to trade). Furthermore, to enhance returns, we now write options premium against Long positions (which allows us to reduce risk and increase income during volatile or less-trendy market conditions) and buy Puts to protect profitable positions. 

Because of these major improvements in the Fund's investment opportunitites and strategies, I'm SO confident in our future success that - next month - I'm ADDING $300,000 (from my IRA) to my NEoWave Equity Fund account. 

If you're already an investor, this is a great time to INCREASE your stake. If you're not part of the Fund, now is the time to act - before the S&P begins its final mania phase. Based on clear long-term Wave structure, the next 3-4 year bear market should begin in early 2019 and begin with the largest, fastest decline in stocks we've seen since 2007!

Capital PROTECTION will be the name-of-the-game in 2019.

For more information, contact Magelan (with NEoWave) or Christine O'Neill (with Financial Solutions Accounting)

Sincerely,
Glenn Neely
NEoWave, Inc.

[drbubb]

STRONG Friday Close

Small co Miner/Explorer Bells... ready to ring again

Some bellwethers I am watching ... update :

GDX ... update : Last: $20.01

[drbubb]

JOBS, Not MOBS

Exclusive — Scott Adams Predicts ‘Greatest Turnout by Republicans, Maybe Ever’ in Midterms

SANTA MONICA, California — Dilbert cartoonist Scott Adams looks thoughtful in in the lobby of a beachfront hotel on a sunny Thursday afternoon as he tells me that the phrase “jobs not mobs,” which he suggested on Twitter six days before, would be catchy — though he adds that Republicans had not yet used it.

Literally minutes later, President Donald Trump tells a rally in Montana: “Democrats produce mobs. Republicans produce jobs.” The president tweets soon afterwards: “#JobsNotMobs.”

#JobsNotMobs!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 19, 2018

Win Bigly is not just a review of the 2016 presidential election, but an argument for a new way of looking at the world, through the “persuasion” filter.

Adams predicted in August 2015 that Donald Trump would win the Republican nomination for president, based on his analysis of Trump’s persuasion skills. He also suggested that Trump had a chance of defeating Hillary Clinton.

At the time, few others agreed, but Adams was correct — and has made several other successful predictions since. His Twitter feed and his morning Periscopes have become essential reading and viewing — and are evidently followed closely by the White House.

 

[drbubb]

Looking at SPY movements & Put Pricing, #3

IWM / Russell-2000 vs SPY ... 3mos : 10d :

SPY ... 10-days :

(Change over one week):

SPY@290.Nov.Puts - FRI. Oct.12th
=====: ------------ Close- /Open: Low > High: ( -VIX- )
SPY---: ------------ 275.95 +3.78- 272.37>277.09 (21.31%)
SPY: 290p ITM  14.05/ ------- : 12.91> 17.63
====: Close, b-offer: mid./Open : Low > High : Vol.--- : Symbol Code-------
Nv5: 13.83-14.37 14.10/ 15.46:15.46>15.46 : 0,012 : SPYW05183290000
Nv9: 13.97-14.45 14.21/ 14.35:14.01>16.50 : 0,049 : SPYW09183290000
PCT---: 99% - 99%: 99% /  -NA- :  -NA- > -NA-  :

SPY@290.Nov.Puts - Fri. Oct.19th
=====: ------------ Close- /Open: Low > High: ( -VIX- )
SPY---: ------------ 276.25 -0.15- 275.47>279.30 (19.89%)
SPY--: 290p ITM: 13.75/------- : 10.60> 14.53
==== : Close, b-offer: mid./Open : Low > High : Vol.--- : Symbol Code-------
Nov5: 13.74-14.20 13.97/ 13.50:10.97>13.50 : 0,060 : SPYW05183290000
Nov9: 13.81-14.22 14.01/ 11.38:11.38>14.00 : 0,011 : SPYW09183290000
PCT--- : 99% : -99% : 99% / -NA- :  -NA-  > -NA- :
J285: 12.93-13.03 12.98/ 11.50:11.03>12.67 : 0,274 : SPYM18193285000
PCT--- : 94% : -92% : 93% /
=============

Timeline
DD: -SPY- + chg. : Vol.- : -VIX- / InTM: Nov.5: Nov.9: ratio :.5itm: Nv9-.5 : as-%X: Days: sqr.T: %/sT*
01: 291.73 +1.01 56.1M: 12.00/ - 1.73: $2.30:
02: 291.56 - 0.17 43.8M: 12.05/ - 1.56: $2.20: $2.90: 75.9%: -0.78: $3.68: 1.27% : 38d :
03: 291.72 +0.16 56.5M: 11.61/ - 1.72: $2.28: $2.85: 80.0%: -1.72: $3.71: 1.28% : 37d : .318: 10.1%
04: 289.44 - 2.28 100.M: 14.22/ $0.56: $3.49: $4.10: 85.0%: +0.28: $3.82: 1.32% : 36d :
05: 287.82 - 1.62 00.0M: 14.82/ $2.09: $4.30: $5.20: 82.6%: +1.05: $4.15: 1.43% : 35d :
08: 287.82 Unch. 87.3M: 15.69/ $2.09: $4.12: $4.70: 87.7%: +1.05: $3.65: 1.26% : 32d : .296: 10.6%
09: 287.40 - 0.42 67.5M: 15.96/ $2.60: $4.36: $4.94: 88.3%: +1.30: $3.64: 1.26% : 31d : .291: 10.8%
10: 278.30 - 9.10 185.M: 23.08/ 11.70: 13.15: 13.18: 90.0%: +5.85: $0.00: 0.00% : 30d :
11: 272.17 - 6.13 254.M: 24.98/ 17.83: 17.80: 17.80: 100.%: +8.92: $0.00: 0.00% : 29d :
12: 275.95 +3.78 165.M: 21.31/ 14.05: 14.25: 14.40: 99.0%: +7.20: $0.00: 0.00% : 28d :
15: 274.40 - 1.55 91.9M: 21.30/ 15.60:
16: 280.40 +6.00 101.M: 17.62/ $9.60: $9.41: $9.54: 98.6%: +4.80: $0.00: 0.00% : 24d :
17: 280.45 +0.05 99.3M: 17.70/ $9.55:
18: 276.40 - 4.05 123.M: 20.06/ 13.60:
19: 276.25 - 0.15 121.M: 19.89/ 13.75: 13.97: 14.01: 99.7% : --------- $0.00: 0.00% : 21d :

[drbubb]

WEEKLY Data

==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :   03/29  : 06/29 :   09/28 : 10/05 :  10/12 :  10/19 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1327.3 : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1205.6 : 1222.8 : 1228.1 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.79 : 118.65 : 112.76 : 113.90 : 115.23 : 116.01 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 263.15 : 271.28 : 290.72 : 287.82 : 272.95 : 276.25 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2691.3 : 2718.4 : 2914.0 : 2885.6 : 2767.1 : 2767.8 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 219.0%: 216.7%: 243.6%: 239.3%: 226.4% : 225.3% :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09% : $67.41: $75.94 : $75.74 : $77.16: $73.00: $71.53 :
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $64.94 : $74.15 : $73.25 : $74.34 : $71.34 : $69.28 :
Au/Wt:  r-21.4 :  r-21.7 : ====== : r-20.44 : r16.92 : r-16.33 : r-16.22 : r-17.13 : r-17.74 :
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.730 : $2.920 : $3.010 : $3.140 : $3.160 : $3.250 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.030 : $2.970 : $2.810 : $2.760 : $2.800 : $2.780 :
Soyb : 1000.0 : 950.00 : ---------------------------------------> 845.50 : 869.00 : 867.50 : 856.75 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47% : 451.00 : 501.25 : 509.00 : 521.00 : 517.25 : 514.75 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : -0.36% : 387.75 : 371.25 : 356.25 : 368.25 : 373.75 : 367.00 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 195.36 : 200.39 : 195.16 : 199.04 : 197.94 : 197.18 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.18: $18.03: $16.91 : $17.35 : $17.55 : $17.54 :
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ====== :  9.31% :   8.99% :  8.66% :  8.71% :   8.87% :  8.90% :
Xle/D: r-3.770 : r-3.850: +2.14%: R3.707 : R4.212 :  R4.479: R4.450 : R4.160 : R4.080 :
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $89.81 : $94.47 : $95.13 : $95.60 : $95.23 : $95.64 :
TLT- : 119.13 : 126.86 : + 6.49% : 121.90 : 121.72 : 117.27 : 113.04 : 114.47 : 113.71 :
=====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1327.3 : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1205.6 : 1222.8 : 1228.1 :
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r-1.569 : r-1.532 : r-1.612 : r-1.651: r-1.642 : r1.647 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 846.12 : 819.04 : 742.23 : 730.17 : 744.64 : 745.82
WPM: $19.32 : $22.27 : +15.3% : $20.37 : $22.06 : $17.50 : $17.05 : $17.38 : $17.41 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $21.98 : $22.31 :$18.52 : $18.65 : $19.73 : $20.01 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $32.15 : $32.70 : $27.36 : $27.62 : $29.30 : $29.61 :
SIL - : $32.11 : $32.64 : +1.65% : $30.72 : $28.88 : $24.23 : $23.93 : $24.79 : $25.06 :
/SLV: R2.053 : R2.042 : - 0.54% : R1.994 : R1.910 : R1.765 : R1.740 : R1.804: R1.824 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $15.41 : $15.15 : $13.73 : $13.75 : $13.74 : $13.74 :
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% : 16.268 :  16.200 : 14.710 : 14.650 : 14.640 : 14.650 :
PHM: $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $29.49 : $28.75 : $24.77 : $23.86 : $22.89 : $21.58 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $48.28 : $43.33 : $42.92 : $40.84 : $40.29 : $39.67 :
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56%: 3168.9: 2847.4 : 2821.3 : 2821.4 : 2606.9 : 2550.5 :
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 7979.8: 7193.7 : 7276.8 : 7078.2 : 7004.8 : 7151.5 :
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $27.57: $26.59 : $27.58 : $28.00 : $26.43 : $26.67 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 151.83: 163.77 : 168.55 : 162.16 : 153.60 : 153.36 :
F/iwm 0.1724 : 0.1784 : =====  : 0.1816 : 0.1624 : 0.1636 : 0.1727 : 0.1721 : 0.1 ???
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : $7,401 : $5,883 : $6,652 : $6,547 : $6,224 : $6,440?
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  03/29  :  06/29 :   9/28 :  10/05 :  10/12 :  10/19 :

Ratio : SPX -toGold ... Rolled over?

Inflation Watch - Gold may have bottomed with DBA

GBS/Gold, Oil shares, EUR, DBA/Agri ... update :

==

[drbubb]

BONDS testing bottom of the Long Term Upchannel

TLT / etf for TBonds ... update / TLT: 113.70, TNX:3.20-%

TLT-etc -vs- Gold & Silver etf ... update -on 530wk support / GLD: $116.01, SLV: $13.74

Investments shifting out of Bonds... and into Gold : 1.02

TYX - 30yr+ Rates ... update : 3.40%

[drbubb]

Bellwether for US Property - still sliding

PHM / Pulte Corp... update :

KBH / KB Homes ... update :

[drbubb]

The Dollar is key in the short term but the big cycles are turning cautious

In the last few weeks, we have mentioned the concept of the totality of monetary policy. Everyone focuses on interest rates, but monetary policy is more than that. We need to look also at money supply, the yield curve as well as rates, the Fed’s balance sheet and the direction of the US Dollar to get an overall sense of monetary conditions. A number of commentators will make the point that with US rates at only 2%, how can there possibly be bad times ahead; surely rates would have to reach 5% or more for something nasty to happen? Perhaps they are right, but if we accept the argument that we need to look at the totality of monetary policy, along with current conditions, then the situation has to be more nuanced that “ah, rates are too low for a recession to occur”.

Chart 1 below is from the excellent Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management. His thesis (and we are massively simplifying this) is that M2 money supply growth has decelerated into 17 of the last 21 recessions (since 1900) and that the totality of monetary policy can explain the four occasions when money supply did not decelerate into recessions.

Chart 1 – M2 Money Stock Annual % change

In chart 2 below, we plot the Fed Funds rate and the US yield curve alongside the year over year per cent change in M2 and stock prices (shaded areas = recessions). What we are trying to show here is a more complete look at monetary policy than purely interest rates, which of course remain at a low nominal reading of 2%. This shows that prior combinations of Fed tightening, as shown by Fed rate rises, decelerating money supply growth and a flattening of the yield curve are a powerful force and apparent prior to recent recessions. . .

Chart 3 – MSCI World Index ex. US with 40 week moving average (green)

> more: https://www.marketviews.com/rmg/the-dollar-is-key-in-the-short-term-but-the-big-cycles-are-turning-cautious/?utm_source=dianomi&utm_campaign=auto_ads

[drbubb]

Stocks gapped down

SPY ... update :

Jan 285p ,,, update :

[drbubb]

MIND the GAP

SPY Last: 273.66 -1.35, -0.49%

Stocks fell on Tuesday as corporate results from Caterpillar and 3M disappointed investors, but managed to recover most of their losses as McDonald's and defensive stocks like Procter & Gamble all rose.

As of 3:43 p.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 100 points lower while the S&P 500 was down 0.5 percent. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, traded 0.4 percent lower and was briefly positive. The small-caps Russell 2000 dropped 0.3 percent and turned negative for the year.

At its session lows, the Dow had fallen 548.62 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq had lost more than 2 percent each. The comeback was led by McDonald's, which rose more than 6 percent on strong earnings, and a half a percent gain in Procter & Gamble. Coca-Cola also rose 0.9 percent while the S&P 500 consumer staples sector climbed 0.6 percent.

 

"We broke below that 2,700 level on the S&P 500 and buyers came out of the woodworks," said Jeff Kilburg, CEO of KKM Financial. "I think people were waiting for this and are now more comfortable" buying at these levels. But while he finds the move to be impressive, Kilburg said there will be more volatility moving forward.

Shares of 3M fell as much as 8.4 percent before trading about 3.3 percent lower. Its quarterly earnings and revenue missed expectations. The company also trimmed its earnings outlook for 2018.

The latest bout of selling comes during the busiest week of the earnings season, with more than 150 members of the S&P 500 set to report. Of the companies that have reported thus far, 79.6 percent have topped analyst estimates for earnings, according to FactSet.

> https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/23/dow-set-for-triple-digit-losses-at-the-open-amid-rising-global-tensions.html

[drbubb]

IWM / Russell-2000 vs SPY ... 3mos : 10d :

==

Timeline
DD: -SPY-- + chg. : Day: low-high : -Vol.- : - VIX- / InTM$: Nov.5: Nov.9: Ratio : J285p
12: 275.95 +3.78: 000.00-000.00: 165.M: 21.31/ 14.05: 14.25: 14.40: 99.0%:
15: 274.40 - 1.55: 000.00-000.00: 91.9M: 21.30/ 15.60:
16: 280.40 +6.00: 000.00-000.00: 101.M: 17.62/ $9.60: $9.41: $9.54: 98.6%:
17: 280.45 +0.05: 000.00-000.00: 99.3M: 17.70/ $9.55:
18: 276.40 - 4.05: 000.00-000.00: 123.M: 20.06/ 13.60:
19: 276.25 - 0.15: 000.00-000.00: 121.M: 19.89/ 13.75:
22: 275.01 - 1.24: 000.00-000.00: 75.3M: 19.67/ 14.99:
23: 273.61 - 1.40: 268.61-274.81: 131.M: 20.71/ 16.39: 16.40: 16.47: 99.6%: 14.26: 3.57
DD: -SPY-- + chg. : Day: low-high : -Vol.- : - VIX- / InTM$: Nov.5: Nov.9: Ratio : J285p 285c
=========

[drbubb]

Caught the Top tick in the sale of half my puts - using order I left in while I slept

But SPY has not kept up with the Slide in IWM & SOXX

SPY -vs- IWM, SOXX ... 10d :

The Gap down on Tue. got retraced, but that merely carved out a channel, which has "allowed" a larger drop on Wed

Timeline

DD: -SPY- + chg. : Day: low-high: -Vol.- :- VIX-/ InTM$ Nov5: Nov9: Ratio : J285p: 285c: Strad= ITM$ + 2xC.= Value
10: 278.30 - 0.00: 277.88-286.91 215.M: 00.00/ 11.70: 00.00: 00.00: 99.-% : 00.00: $0.00: 00.00= $6.60+ ...
11: 272.17 - 6.13: 270.36-278.90 275.M: 00.00/ 17.83: 00.00: 00.00: 99.-% : 00.00: $4.30: 00.00= 12.83+$8.60= 21.43
12: 275.95 +3.78: 272.37-277.09 183.M: 21.31/ 14.05: 00.00: 00.00: 99.-% : 00.00: $4.85: 00.00= $9.05+$9.70= 18.75
15: 274.40 - 1.55: 274.30-277.04 102.M: 15.60/ 15.60: 00.00: 00.00: 99.-% : 00.00: $4.20: 00.00= 10.60+$8.40= 19.00
16: 280.40 +6.00: 276.60-280.82: 118.M: 17.62/ $9.60: $9.65: $9.77: 98.8% 10.30: $6.00: 16.30= $4.60+12.00= 16.60
17: 280.45 +0.05: 277.56-281.15: 111.M: 17.70/ $9.55: 00.00: 00.00: 99.-%: 10.25: $5.75: 16.00= $4.55+11.50= 16.05
18: 276.40 - 4.05: 274.97-280.07: 123.M: 20.06/ 13.60: 00.00: 00.00: 99.-%: 12.85: $4.45: 17.30= $8.60+$8.90= 17.50
19: 276.25 - 0.15: 275.47-279.30: 121.M: 19.89/ 13.75: 00.00: 00.00: 99.-%: 13.00: $4.45: 17.45= $8.75+$8.90= 17.65
22: 275.01 - 1.24: 274.41-277.36: 75.3M: 19.67/ 14.99: 00.00: 00.00: 99.-%: 13.60: $3.80: 17.40= $9.99+$7.60= 22.27
23: 273.61 - 1.40: 268.61-274.81: 131.M: 20.71/ 16.39: 16.40: 16.47: 99.6%: 14.26: $3.57: 17.83= 11.39+$7.14= 18.53
24: 265.32 - 8.29: 264.70-273.76: 152.M: 25.23/ 24.68: 24.70: 24.73: 99.9%: 21.50: $1.90: 23.40= 19.68+$3.80= 23.48
DD: -SPY-- + chg. : Day: low-high : -Vol.- : - VIX- / InTM$: Nov.5: Nov.9: Ratio : J285p: 285c: Strad.= ITM$ + 2xC.= Value

[drbubb]

Copper stock FCX has slid more than Copper

FCX / Freeport Copper vs Copper ... 10yr : 5yr : 3yr :

5yrs

10yr

Ratio : FCX-to-Copper

Ratio : FCX to SSO

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