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CHARTS : #2 - for Everyday Viewing

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CH#2: #1ChGE : MP: PP: / GStk: LQD: News: kit: TonyC jk : EurSil  +kf: krFres uk: HkPh p2: h101 10: uG :

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Gold Gbs / Usd / AG3d Gld / iwm / CU wti / PreM / Live: SpyAft vSoxx etc F: SPX 12 inv: VIX Tza: DAX world: UKus 2 :

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : 24hr-euro-small.gif :t24_au_en_euoz_2.gif:

idx24_hui_en_2.gift24_ag_en_usoz_2.gif: spot-copper-1y.gif :

idx24_russell_en_2.gif idx24_usd_en_2.gif :

>News : DrRp tld rDT : AJo : Fox : WRH : Arc : TObs TWYS video: RenA : Rvd : FxN : BubleXmas :

chart.png?m=bitstampUSD&v=1&t=S&noheader

/ 8yr: 12m B : 5m 2m 1m : 25 10 5d 2d: bx: bch eth / SLV-lv: SILvG : ukAuStk wGbs  wGcm : Oils : uk:

 >6mo : Dxy : Tlt : Gbs Gld : Gdx J J3 Hui : Slv Sil: DXY 10d: Eur / SPY : 3mIwm+ go FL 10d F LT: sw :

#1 : 2 : 3 : 4 : 5 : X Y Z : Bells 10d :3mo/ ff mux gzz gdxj = N: 2: go: 5Top 10d U:2 ; gcm bb: wm: MUX :

Silver // OIH comp: 6mo Top5 : nxt5 : drlr : oth : bells o uo/ 10d Top5 : nxt5 : drlr : oth : bells O uo UK :

silver.gif?0.6058618726160527

Gold

gold.gif?0.6926577608530164

Larry P "said he thought he would buy back in 'soon', but did not want to stay long, while the EUR was so weak"

CNY (Yuan) vs. GLD & SLV : 10d : 3moCNY, EUR vs Gold etfs-... 5d : 5d-flip : 10d-flip : ugld+ :

ZKRAOmi.gif

GOLD vs Bonds, including TIPS (inflation protected bonds)

Made valuable discovery today, on what drives Gold price

Tips Led?: GLD ($132.14) vs TLT ($132.44) from 5.Jul.19 : 10d / GLD:$137.06 / TLT:$135.00= r-101.5%

EyVPart.gif

GLD ($125.15) versus TLT ($125.49) from 2.Jan.2018 : fr. 5.Jul.19 / GLD:$137.06 / TLT:$135.00= r-101.5%

dc6B1AF.gif

The SWINGS IN GOLD, & cyclical Turns become even more obvious, when you also monitor TIPS prices

TIPS (inflation protected securities) vs Bonds (TLT) & Gold (GLD) ... 5yrmirror : fr. X-2014 : 1yr:

wsqobVG.gif

==

Here's EUR vs. GLD & GBS & HK-2480-Gold  ... 10d : 2mo : wGDXJ / w/SLV : 10d : 2mo : wSIL

2 mo : 3mo +KF : 2018 w.SIL - Clearly they move together / / FRES+ 10d : KrFres

Gold may be waiting for a Rally in EUR & other non-USD fx ... update

UPDATE / with some NeoWv. charts - Late JULY 2019

Weak EURO, weak Gold - in recent days / Looking for an important LOW in the Euro?

EUR - in USD ... All-data : fr.2012 : fr.2015 : $1.115

ElAN8gC.gif

: fr.2012 :

0zIZtBV.gif

OqFsYVS.png

EUR-etc... 10d : $1.115

H9MpIJi.gif

Neowave's "Peaking Gold" forecast, might require breaking the historical correlation between Strong EUR / Strong Gold

Fcev3Wh.png

 

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UGLD (3x Gold) vs. Gold ets (1x) ... 10d SLV+: w/UGL : wSlv,Sil sil6/ 3m : 6m : 1yr : 2yr : 5yr :

wB736JA.gif

FXFX : EURO ... & other FX / Gold and SPX in EUR

Since 2010 : w/MA's : since 2014 : updated to July 2018

0Ks5ndZ.gif

2017-18 : 2017-19.Q1 :

nud5Z9m.gif

Gold versus Euro, Longer Term ... fr.July2014 : 10yr : 5yr : 4yr : 2yr : 12mo :

I9qVWrN.gif

Gold in EURO - very worthwhile to track

Short Term: t24_au_en_euoz_2.gif : gold_1d_o_EUR_z.png?0.08749488187703625 : silver_1d_o_EUR_z.png?0.0874948818770362 :

GOLD-in-EUR - a breakout may have started

K8Yhp23.png

SPX in EUR ... update

8eDbPCQ.png

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SIL / Global X Silver Miners ETF vs SLV / Silver etf

SIL vs SLV ... 2yr : 1yr : 6mo : From 12/6/17 ... SIL: $25.19 -0.56 / SLV: $14.60 -0.06 / R: 1.725: 5d :

QPbeFyu.gif

Ratio : SIL -to-SLV is "stuck" near 2.0 (but could break out again): SIL-$30.21 / SLV-$15.78 = R 1.914

QEe1NqO.png

== S: Jul15c $0.80 / Jul29c $1.60 : $11,200 : 30.6/15.8= R1.937 -locked!

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JNUG / Jr.Gold shs x3 Bull etf ... 3yrL : 1yr : 6mo : 10d / Last: $9.01 - 0.49 (yr.L: $6.13 / H: 20.50 )

bI8h29H.gif

SIL - Global X Silver miners etf - Top 5  : 5yr : 2yr : 6mo : 10d 5d / Last: $30.21 -0.31 : - 1.02% / KoZn-10d :

bAWgsCK.gif

KorZinc -etc- SIL, Fres.L, Poly.L / 5yr : 2yr : 10d ...

st98QbN.gif

FRES.L / Fresnillo PLC : 5yr : 2yr : 6mo : 10d / Last: GBP 1,216 - 83 : -6.39% : vol. 2.78 million

jfeqJN2.gif

08/6/2018:
14:48
It seems JP Morgan have reduced their price target for FRES from 1400 to 1350. HTtps://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/news/AN_1528451335662437800/winners--losers-summary-standard-life-down-as-lloyds-exits-holding.aspx They have done the same to HOC which has fallen in the same way.

Top 5 Holdings : Charts: 10d 5d : Top 10 : Full Holdings (.csv) :

As of 6/7/18
Net Assets % Sym / Name Market Price ($) Shares Held Market Value ($)
12.60 Poly.L / POLYMETAL INTL 8.91 6,034,946 53,770,653.00
12.43 WPM  / WHEATON PREC MET  22.03 2,407,875 53,045,486.25
11.73 kr:010130  / KOREA ZINC CO 403.16 124,165 50,058,570.69
11.67 Fres.L / FRESNILLO PLC 17.43 2,857,073 49,800,571.99
5.08 Paas   / PAN AMER. SILVER 17.77 1,218,877 21,659,444.29

53.51%

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SLV / Silver vs DBA / Agri ... from Oct.2011 : 5yr : 2yr : 6mo / +SIL : 6mo-w/SIL :

image.png

UPDATED - in edit... 7/27/2018

DBA vs. SLV /(Agri.etf vs. Silver etf) ... update fr. 2.14.2017 : fr. 5.14.2015 : fr. 5.24.2013 : w/Eur :

DBA vs. SLV ... update :

lbkhGw5.gif

update fr. 5.24.2013 : w/Eur :

cS8YCgM.gif

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Wow. 

Big sudden beat-down in BTC to about 7,200

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EURo versus Gold etf's

EUR vs GLD etc ... update

3yu9XpI.gif

EUR -etc ... 10d :

xc0VXLQ.gif

GLD / Gold on its own ... update :

t7tVGe6.gif

==

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A "useful" (?) look backwards in Time

Might there be more to gain from this old podcast than just nostalgia? 

(Big moves on high were important then, and they still are.)

OVER SIX YEARS AGO - we wondered if GLD / Gold had put in its Top - It had!

Dominic Frisby speaks with Jonathan Davis and Michael Hampton about gold

Geologic8
Seems like the "rubbish" in the podcast was far more accurate than the negative comments from the Gold bulls - who can only see things one way. No wonder those sorts of inflexible "cultists" lose money over time.
 
The Podcast was done in early March 2012, and you can see what happened after the $100 drop
wJxVGCU.gif
 

Gold - long term

516c25c46bb3f73c39000004-960-720.jpg

GLD / Gold etf - since inception : GBS.L starter earlier :

PCIg74c.gif

Gold - the last three years : GLD-4yr :

LHtpRyb.png

JUN 6, 2017

1496670758865-Screen+Shot+2017-06-05+at+

If we use the 1980 formula to measure inflation—the year gold peaked—you can see the current price is near all-time inflation-adjusted lows. In fact, gold is selling at roughly the same level as the early 1970s, when it was illegal to own in the US!

You can also see that the inflation-adjusted high would be a whopping $11,253 per ounce. Gold may or may not get to 5 figures, but this shows it certainly could if it repeated the performance from the 1970s. This data tells us that not only is gold dramatically undervalued at current prices, but the potential upside is enormous. If the gold price were to match the return from the past mania, it would have to rise 9 times from current levels!

Gold (GLD) vs. Resource related etfs, Energy shares (XLE) and Agricultural-Grains (DBA) ... from 2009 : all : 3yr : 6mo :

WokRgOV.gif

GBS / Gold Bullion Securites started trading earlier

Gold (GBS.L) vs. Resource related etfs, Energy shs (XLE) & Agricultural-Grains (DBA) ... > 3/2004 : 1/2008 : 3yr : 6mo :

5qAKQ8l.gif

/ since 2008 : Below is updated to 1/4/2019 : GBS-$120.83

DXa3TQ5.gif

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GLD / Gold vs possible inflation bellwethers : XLE (energy), DBA (grains/food) . update : 2yr : 6mo : 10d :

YtbOdsn.gif

GLD : turnDate : $-GLD- : $-XLE-  ( Pct. ) : $-DBA-  ( Pct. )
low - 11/12/08 : $70.00 : $44.60 (63.7 %) : $24.61 (35.2 %)
high- 08/22/11 : 184.59 : $62.73 (34.0 %) : $33.30 (18.0 %)
low - 12/17/15 : 100.50 : $60.38 (60.1 %) : $20.17 (20.1 %)
high- 04/11/18 : 128.11 : $70.64 (55.1 %) : $18.90 (14.8 %)
XLE
start 02/24/05 : $43.33 : $43.11 (99.5 %) : --N/A- (NA.0 %)
high- 05/20/08 : $90.90 : $90.39 (99.4 %) : $36.30 (39.9 %)
low - 03/05/09 : $91.99 : $38.37 (41.7 %) : $23.02 (25.0 %)
high- 06/23/14 : 126.85 : 101.29 (79.9 %) : $27.80 (21.9 %)
low - 01/20/16 : 105.37 : $51.77 (49.1 %) : $19.79 (18.8 %)
high- 05/21/18 : 122.48 : $78.91 (64.4 %) : $18.99 (15.5 %)

Ratio : XLE-to-GLD

PGSloqD.png

Ratio : DBA-to-GLD

VZCCNKv.png

==

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GLD / Gold vs possible inflation bellwethers :

XLE (energy), DBA (grains/food) . update : GBS : 2yr : 6mo : 10d :

YtbOdsn.gif

GLD : turnDate : $-GLD- : $-XLE-  ( Pct. ) : $-DBA-  ( Pct. )
low - 11/12/08 : $70.00 : $44.60 (63.7 %) : $24.61 (35.2 %)
high- 08/22/11 : 184.59 : $62.73 (34.0 %) : $33.30 (18.0 %)
low - 12/17/15 : 100.50 : $60.38 (60.1 %) : $20.17 (20.1 %)
high- 04/11/18 : 128.11 : $70.64 (55.1 %) : $18.90 (14.8 %)
XLE
start 02/24/05 : $43.33 : $43.11 (99.5 %) : --N/A- (NA.0 %)
high- 05/20/08 : $90.90 : $90.39 (99.4 %) : $36.30 (39.9 %)
low - 03/05/09 : $91.99 : $38.37 (41.7 %) : $23.02 (25.0 %)
high- 06/23/14 : 126.85 : 101.29 (79.9 %) : $27.80 (21.9 %)
low - 01/20/16 : 105.37 : $51.77 (49.1 %) : $19.79 (18.8 %)
high- 05/21/18 : 122.48 : $78.91 (64.4 %) : $18.99 (15.5 %)

Ratio : XLE-to-GLD

PGSloqD.png

Ratio : DBA-to-GLD

VZCCNKv.png

==

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Weak Gold has brought a Ratio to a New high

SPX-to-Gold resistance at 200% is long gone. 235% might be possible.

lteWah4.png

The TLT-to-Gold Ratio is something I rarely look at...

Weak gold has lifted this ratio.

ZYEuJkF.png

Silver has been weaker than Gold since mid-2016

NHXbKa1.png

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STOCKS VS GOLD – A VICIOUS FALL COMING

The chart I am talking about is the stock market compared to gold. I will take the US market as the example but the ratio chart gold versus stocks could be applied to most stock markets in the world.

If we first look at the Dow/Gold chart since 1997, we find that it topped in July 1999 at 45. This means that one unit of the Dow bought 45 ounces of gold. It then crashed by 87% to 6 in 2011. Since then there has been a steady recovery to the 20 level. In technical terms that means a very normal 38% correction.

dow_gold_ratio-532x450.jpg

So 19 years after the Dow/Gold top in 1999, the stock market is still extremely weak measured in real terms or real money which is gold. And this is in spite of a major recovery in stocks since the 2009 bottom. This bodes ill for stocks. Whether the correction goes a bit higher than the 20 level is irrelevant. The chart shows that stocks have recovered in nominal terms due to massive money printing. But in real terms, stocks are in a long term downtrend since 1999 and this downtrend will soon resume with a vengeance.

DOW GOLD – FOUR CRASHES SINCE 1837: 70%, 90%, 96%, 87%

To understand the longer trend we need to look at a long term chart since 1800. The chart below shows that stocks have been in a long term uptrend against gold for 200 years.

dow_gold_large_chart-600x426.jpg

> http://www.investmentwatchblog.com/dow-gold-a-98-fall-next/

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Gold etfs - Is an important bottom in?

GBS / GOLD Bullion Secs.: UK's Gold etf ... all data : Log :

4ycf0tP.gif

: Log :

Dcg6fRj.gif

==

aFBZhxB.gif

GLD  ... all data :

2DfxUeJ.gif

HK-2840 / gold etf ... All : Log :

0zYW2v0.gif

==

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Is SOXX beginning to Warn of A Downturn?

SOXX vs IWM & SPY ... fr. mid-Aug.2013 : 5yr : 2yr : 6mo : 10d

/Last: $179.56 /SPY-$285.67 = r-62.9%, IWM: 168.82

INBzU6Y.gif

IjRdyvv.gif

The Ratio (to / SPY) has started down already - but could stall at yesterday's close

TyS5ZEP.png

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SPX versus UKX (Ftse) & EEM (Emerging Mkt index) ... 10yr : 5yr : 2yr :

nj5k0bR.gif

SPX vs EEM (Emerging Mkts) ... update

2BarWRu.gif

Ratio: SPX-to-EEM

V8yOwuU.png

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SOXX-SPY : the Gap Widened... to the downside - maybe be signalling a stock Drop

Ratio Bounced off support at 62% yesterday

PBvRm4y.png

fr. 11/1/17 : SOXX: $172.09>183.10 -1.16%,wed

/ SPY: $257.49>289.12 +0.02%:= Ratio: 66.85% > 63.33% : 94.73% (-5.27%)

JHhTLGz.gif

10d

FqqIpT3.gif

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Dow Jones peaking area? Switch from Stocks to Gold?

DJIA / DJ Ind. Aver. ... all-data : 10-yr : 5-yr : 2-yr : 6mo : 10d/ Last: 26,743.5

Cgce4vs.gif

INDU / DJ Ind. Aver.

2SpLAPg.png

Dow-toGold

Os4vvSI.png

Dow /Gold Ratio

mbbWiMm.jpg

=

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UranOil / Uranium vs USO & CCO.t ... mid2010 : 2015 : 2018 :

1VMWcy5.gif

: 2018 :

O8E1lCM.gif

==

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The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond index, linked to trillions of dollars of fixed-income, is on track to post its second-worst showing in history.

TLT - versus GLD and SLV ... update :

uwuM7Fn.gif

Opinion: Is it time to buy the two most-hated assets?

Silver and Treasuries are in the doldrums, making them attractive according to contrarian investing

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Can DBA & GLD lead precious metal shares higher?

DBA-vs: GLD, GDX, SLV, SIL ... update : w/XLE, FCX :

tJoGhqT.gif

: w/XLE, FCX :

xjxUrgL.gif

On the longer term charts, the bounce in DBA hardly shows up

GBS-GoldBullion vs: DBA, XLE, EUR ... update :

WM3iUdC.gif

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Having fun... with the Hang Lung "Stock market predictor indicator"

I stumbled across this "indicator" by accident...

Hang Lung Properties (HK:101) trades in Hong Kong, and closes BEFORE New York stocks open.

Recently, it has been giving reasonably accurate predictions of how IWM / Russell 2000 etf will trade later

HK-101 vs IWM and SOXX ... HIS-10d : +HSI+UKX :

GuA7Fqy.gif

I have some ideas about why this is working, but I want to follow it for more days before talking about those theories

(added in Edit)

Longer term, the highs and lows in HLP lined up with some of the IWM turning points, but not all

HK-101 versus IWM and SOXX ... : weekly chart :

i8pcWqo.gif

The Magnitude of moves was massively different.  And there was one big MISS on the Low in the middle

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Tech Holders get Zvcked!

SPY vs SOXX, FB, etc ... 10d :

nIdLIMS.gif

Stock : --11/19-- : - Chg.  : - Pct.- : MktCap : Old.MCp: -1d.chg: SPYpt: income: PER:
FB----- : $131.44 : -$7.98 : -5.72%: $401.0B: $425.3B: -$24.3B: - 0.27 : $19.5B: 20.6 :
AMZN: 1512.29 : -81.12 : -5.09%: $779.1B: $820.9B: -$41.8B: - 0.47 : $08.9B: 87.5 :
AAPL : $185.86 : -$7.67 : -3.96%: $918.4B: $956.3B: -$37.9B: - 0.43 : $59.5B: 15.4 :
NFLX : $270.60 : -15.61 : -5.45%: $124.8B: $129.3B: -$04.5B: - 0.05 : $01.3B: 96.0 :
GOOG: 1020.00 : -41.49 : -3.91%: $740.6B: $770.7B: -$30.1B: - 0.34 : $18.8B: 39.4 :
==== 
Faang: $2963.9 : -138.6 : -4.68%: 2963.9B: 3102.5B:-138.6B: - 1.56 : $108.B: 27.4:
SPY- : $269.10 : - $4.63 : -1.69%: 23.88Tr*: 24.29Tr*: - 410.B: - 4.63 : $1.09Tr 22.0:
NDX- : 6642.92: - 224.1 : -3.26%:

=====

*SPX MktCap was $25.79Tr. at 9/30/18 ($290.72/269.10=1.080) = $23.88Tr

Faang's Drop of -138.6B was 33.8% ($1.56 spy pts) of the $410B drop in SPX

Faang's MarketCap was 12.4% of the $23.88 Trillion MarketCap of the SPX

Without the FAANG's SPX dropped from 21.19Tr to 20.92Tr : that's 1.27%, 3.44pts

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Socialism or Capitalism?

A TRUMP THANKSGIVING VS A OBAMA/CLINTON THANKSGIVING

apital

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US Stocks may have an UP Day on WED

HK: HSI : 25,971 + 131.13 : +0.51% / vs. LOD: 25,495 : +0.00%

UK: UKX: 6,993.4 + 45.48 : +0.65% / vs. LOD : 6,947.9: +0.00%

SPY - etc ... 10-d : flip-to-UKX

 

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