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Troubled Tech stock Heaven : FAANG giants struggling?

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A WAR may be about to begin in "Tech stock Heaven" :

Biteback? Prices up, but hungry FAANG giants may soon be in trouble

Style-y0493_2_Gold_Caps_2_medium_fangs__

How much longer can the FAANG companies levitate as they become less & less popular with the public?

A nice "tax cut pop" is underway for US companies.  But what comes later?

Anti-trust / anti-competitive troubles ahead??

FAANG stocks ... update-since YrE-2015 : '16 : '17 : 10d/ FB : AMZN : AAPL : NFLX : GOOG : SPX

Tth46oK.gif

FAANG Stock statistics  :

Symbol Company : YrE.' 15 :  YrE. '16 :  +1yr.chg : YrE. '17 : +2yr.chg : $-Last- : +change : P/ER : earn.ps
FB      / Facebook  : $104.66 : $115.05 : +  9.93% : $176.46 : +68.60% : $189.35 : +80.92% : 36.70 : $5.16 :
AMZN / Amazon  : $675.89 : $749.87 : +10.95% : 1169.47 : +73.03% : 1362.54 : +101.6% : 345.8 : $3.94 :
AAPL / Apple-----  : $105.26 : $115.82 : +10.03% : $169.23 : +60.77% : $177.04 : +68.19% : 19.24 : $9.20 :
NFLX / Netflix---   : $114.38 : $123.80 : +   8.24% : $191.96 : +67.83% : $250.23 : +118.8% : 200.2 : $1.25 :
GOOG / Alphabet : $758.88 : $771.82 : +   1.71% : 1046.40 : +37.89% : 1169.97 : +54.17% : 39.10 : 29.92 :
=====
SPX- / S&P 500   : 2043.94 : 2238.83 : + 9.54% : 2673.61 : +30.81%: 2839.13 : +38.90% : 23.08 : $123.F*
IWM- / Rus'l2000 : $112.62 : $134.85 : +19.74% : $152.46 : +35.38% : $159.96 : +42.04% : 142.8 : $1.12 F*
DJIA/ DowJones : 17,425.  : 19,763.  : +13.42% : 24,719. : +41.86%: 26,210.8: +50.42% : 26.12 : 1001.F*
VIX-- / Volatility--  :  18.21%  : 14.04%  : - 22.90% :  11.04% : - 39.38% :  11.06% :
TLT-- / T-Bonds--- : $120.58 : $119.13 :  -  1.20% : $126.86 :  + 5.21% : $123.17 : +  2.15% :
GLD-- / Gold etf-- : $101.46 : $109.61 : +  8.03% : $123.65 : +21.87% : $127.28 : +25.45% :
GDX- / GoldStocks $ 13.72 : $  20.92 : +52.48% : $  23.24 : +69.39% : $  24.10 : +75.66% :
DXY-- / US Dollar : $  98.69 : $102.21 : +  3.57% : $  92.12 :  -  6.66% : $  89.60 :  - 9.21% :
==============

*F = Forward earnings, 12mos - estimated here: http://www.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3021-peyield.html

TECH GIANTS GIVEN COLD SHOULDER AT DAVOS...

Silicon Valley billionaire Marc Benioff has compared the current crisis of trust facing the tech giants to the financial crisis of a decade ago, urging regulators to wake up to the threat from Google, Facebook, and the other dominant firms.

The outspoken entrepreneur accused some of the industry's most influential bosses of "abdicating responsibility" and being ignorant to how powerful and sophisticated they had become. Regulators now had "have no choice" but to intervene, he said.

"We are in a new world. A decade ago, you had the banks talking about collaterised debt obligations and credit default swaps, saying they were great for the economy but regulators weren’t paying attention...

The call was backed by Sir Martin Sorrell, who said the "Seven Sisters" - Apple, Facebook, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and China's Alibaba and Tencent - had become too big. Comparing Amazon founder Jeff Bezos to a modern-day John D Rockafeller, the chief executive of WPP, said "we are now in a position where they need to be regulated".

However, Ruth Porat, finance director of Google parent Alphabet, fought back, claiming that the company's recent shake-up, which had resulted in it being carved up into a series of a subsidiaries, "allows us to keep investing and improving the lives of billions of people".

Mr Benioff hit out at Uber, whose new boss Dara Khosrowshahi was also on the panel, claiming it had pursued growth above customer trust. "It was built for speed at any cost", which was "unacceptable in a world of connected products".

World must 'wake up to threat'...

Backing the cry for greater regulation against Silicon Valley's biggest names, he said: "As Google and others get larger... it is not a fair fight."

Echoing similar calls from media mogul Rupert Murdoch, Sir Martin said the time had come for Google and Facebook to acknowledge that they have become media companies. The key issues were privacy and the impact that technology is having on jobs, he said.

Earlier this week, Mr Murdoch called on Facebook to pay trusted media organisations a fee for content. “If Facebook wants to recognise ‘trusted’ publishers, then it should pay those publishers a carriage fee similar to the model adopted by cable companies,” said Mr Murdoch, executive chairman of News Corp. 

His comments followed a spate of criticism of Facebook and other social networks over the spread of fake news and allegations that Russian agents spread misinformation ahead of the US election.

Mr Benioff claimed that some tech giants had become so powerful that their own bosses were unaware of the extent to which their services were being "used nefariously".

=====

HMM.

GOOG may be the first to be carved up.  But AMZN and others may need the treatment too

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On Friday Jan.12th - I bought a straddle, for Jan. 2019

BOUGHT the SPY Jan.'19 $285 Straddle at $27.70 = $285C : $285P :

(I could not get it at Mid-prices, $27.70/ $277 = 10%)

This is a way to lock-in VIX (implied volatility) when it is cheap / see below... VIX: 5-yr : 12mo : 10d :

wJxkc1s.png

=====
ORIGINAL "cost": 285C: 10.91-11.13 (11.02) / 285P: 16.46-16.71 (16.59) = 27.61 /277.92:   9.93% / actual $27.70

-Date-: Days- : -SPY- , change / -VIX-, change / 285-str., chg.:  (see C & P, below)
01/12 : 000d : 277.92 , 0.00% / 10.16, 0.00% / $27.70, 0.00% :  9.93% of SPY
01/23 : 011d : 283.29 , 1.93% / 11.10, 9.25% / $29.76, 7.44% : 10.51%
01/26 : 014d : 286.58 , 3.11% / 11.08, 9.06% / $30.95, 11.7% : 10.80%
======

Original
01/12: SPY-J'19 :285C: 10.91-11.13 (11.02) / 285P: 16.46-16.71 (16.59) = 27.61 /277.92: 09.93%
Later :  
01/23: SPY-J'19 :285C: 14.61-14.88 (14.70) / 285P: 14.94-15.18 (15.06) = 29.76 /283.29: 10.51%
01/26: SPY-J'19 :285C: 17.01-17.29 (17.15) / 285P: 13.75-13.88 (13.80) = 30.95 /286.58: 10.80%
straddle: $27.70 > $29.76 > $30.95: + 11.73 %
======

My current strategy is to Sell the call, when it hits $27.70,  so I can recover my cost.
I am estimating this will happen if/when SPY hits about $300.00
Then, I can retain the $285put, as "free" downside protection.

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APPLE may be Killing X?

Apple has plans to discontinue the current iPhone X model once the company introduces its 2018 iPhone lineup later this fall. The news comes courtesy of reputed analyst Ming Chi-Kuo who relays that Apple’s next-gen iPhone lineup will feature two brand new devices with edgeless displays, one being 6.5-inch iPhone with an OLED display and the other a 6.1-inch iPhone with an LCD display. The current 5.8-inch iPhone X, meanwhile, will be discontinued.

Following up on his initial investor note, Kuo released a new report today (via MacRumors) which sheds a bit more light on Apple’s strategy here. As Kuo details, Apple is of the mind that if the current iPhone X is available at a discount, it would eat into sales of Apple’s brand new devices.

=====

AAPL / Apple ... from 1/2013 :

jF7aEMU.gif

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Opposition to FB, GOOG and other FAANG companies is popping up all over the place - even in unexpected places.

I see a rising tide of dis-satisfaction set to tear these companies apart

Normie Pushback: Google's algorithm's need to be made public

Jordan Peterson, why are you dangerous?

Who cannot agree with this good and fine man

"Someone's who is trying to be good should be dangerous"

Normal people, if they have courage and tell the Truth, can help bring down Google & other Tech Monsters

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Race For First $1 Trillion U.S. Company...

NFLX, AMZN, etc ... Update from 1-2017

xgBDVnr.gif

Symbol Company : YrE.' 15 :  YRE '16 :  YrE. '17 :   $-LAST : +chg'16  : P/ER : Earn.F : ShsMn : $MktCap : Pr/B :
FB      / Facebook : $104.66 : $115.05 : $176.46 :  $187.48 : +62.96% : 28.01 : $19.4B : 2,910.  : 542.08B : 7.61 :
AMZN / Amazon  : $675.89 : $749.87 :  1169.47 : 1377.95 : +83.76% : 149.3 : $4.38B : 481.87 : 654.16B : 26.5 :
AAPL / Apple-----  : $105.26 : $115.82 :  $169.23 : $171.11 : +47.73% : 15.34 : $57.8B : 5,090.   : 886.27B : 6.61 :
NFLX / Netflix---   : $114.38 : $123.80 :  $191.96 : $269.70 : +117.9% : 116.3 : $0.97B : 432.73 : 113.07B : 34.0 :
GOOG / Alphabet : $758.88 : $771.82 : 1046.40 : 1170.37 : +51.64% : 39.10 : $20.7B : 694.80 : 811.35B : 7.82 :
Faang / 5 TechCo: $1000.0 : $1000.0 : $1000.0 : $1000.0 : +00.00$ : 29.13 : 103.2B : ====== : 3006.9B :
======

SPX- / S&P 500  : 2043.94 : 2238.83 : 2673.61 : 2839.25: +26.81% : 23.08: 1101B : ====== : $25.42Trillion
SPX's Market Cap : $18.77Tr : $20.22Tr : $23.94Tr: $25.42Tr : +25.72% :
> source: http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/quote?symbol=fb

AAPL ($886.3B), GOOG ($811.4B), and AMZN ($654.2B) are the ones with the best chances of making it to $1 Trillion.
NFLX & AMZN have the highest Price/Book ratios
The FAANG-5 stocks have 11.8% of the SPX MktCap, and only 9.4% of the Earnings.

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DOW SETS ANOTHER RECORD...
STOCKS +44% SINCE ELECTION...

As of yesterday, with the Dow reaching another all time high, the Dow reached its 98th all time high since the election.

Dow-1-17-18.png

President Trump’s stock markets hit many records in his first year in office as noted in many previous posts here at TGP.  The stock market on Wednesday, January 17th, 2018, says it all. On that day the Dow broke 26,000 points for the first time in its history.  As a result the Dow broke the record for the fastest 500, 1,000, 2,000, 3,000, 4,000, 5,000, 6,000 and 7,000 point increases between major milestones in the history of the Dow.  All of these increases occurred since Donald Trump was elected President.  Yesterday the Dow landed at 26,392.


Can Anything Stop the Good Times?

YES !

Rising inflation, and higher rates

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(From Neowave) - Market Internals are "Deteriorating..."

/ 1 /

Stock OPTIONS (Calls & Puts)
To assist in our transition to world markets, I now have Tradestation scanning approximately 10,000 stocks every morning. Normally, I don't get any stocks to Short. Today, for the first time in months, I'm getting a eight (8). Despite the big indexes (Dow, S&P, Nasdaq) continuing to rise, this growing list suggests market internals are beginning to decay. 

SPSC (SPS Commerce) - this provider of chain management solutions is priced at 100x's earnings, is in a monthly and weekly downtrend, shows signs of significant distribution and on Monday it reached a daily overbought condition. It has no dividend growth and is not holding on to its earnings. Let's buy some April $60 Puts now (trading around $8.6) - buy 3 for each $100k in your account. 

/ 2 /

Symbol Company :  YrE.' 15 :  YRE '16 :  YrE. '17 :   $-LAST : +chg'16  : P/ER : Earns.F : ShsOS : MktCap : Pr/B :
SPX-  / S&P 500     : 2043.94 : 2238.83 : 2673.61 : 2872.87 : +28.32% : 23.20: $1101B : 8,895b : $25.54Tr : ? ? ? :
NFLX / Netflix-----   : $114.38 : $123.80 : $191.96 : $274.60 : +121.8% : 116.3 : $1.00B : 432.73 : 118.83B : 35.1 :
ALK   / Alaska Air  : $080.51 : $088.73 : $073.51 : $064.54 : - 27.26% : 9.285 : $855.M: 125.0M : $7.94.B : 2.19 :
PZZA/ PapaJohns : $055.87 : $085.58 : $056.11 : $065.39 : - 23.60% : 24.04 : $95.3M: 35.04M : 2,290M : ---- :
======
QAChUeT.gif

viSm2i7.gif

Stock OPTIONS (Calls & Puts)
PZZA (Papa John's) - this international pizza company has seen its total equity collapse from $137 million down to a negative $3.9 million! It recently turned the monthly central MOAT trend negative. The weekly trend has been dropping for a year with signs of distribution along the way. Early this week, PZZA was very overbought on daily charts; so, let's buy the $75 July Puts (currently at $13.30). Spend 3% of capital ($3k for each $100k in your account). We will risk about 1/3 of what we spend; so, approximately 1% of our capital is at risk.  
 
Current SHORT:
ALK Apr $80 Puts @ $7.85
ALK Apr $60 Call @ $3.70
---------------------
DORM May $80 Puts @ $12.30
PZZA July $75 Puts @ $13.30

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NEOWAVE PICKS for Shorting (ALK & PZZA)

waiting.jpg

Notice that WHEN Neowave has suggested buying Puts - They do Not try to pick Tops!! They wait...

Instead, they suggest buying puts well AFTER the peak, and AFTER Moving Averages have already ROLLED OVER.

(In the case of the PZZA chart: MA's have crossed, with 252d, falling below the 377d MA, suggesting LT trend is down.)

And we can see, Neowave is Buying Puts on Stocks with Volatility well above that of the SPX:

01/26: ALK- : $64.54 /July $75C : $1.65- $1.85 ($1.75) / $75P: 12.00-12.50 (12.25) = $14.00 /$64.54: 21.69%
01/26: ALK- : $64.54 /July $65C: $4.90- $5.20 ($5.05) / $65P: $5.30- $5.70 ($5.50) = $10.55 /$64.54: 16.35% > 28.8% Vol.
01/26: ALK- : $64.54 /July $55C : 10.90- 11.70 (11.30) / $55P: $1.75-$1.80 ($1.78 ) = $13.08 /$64.54: 20.27%
-----
01/26: PZZA : $65.39 /July $75C : $3.50-$4.00  ($3.75) / $75P: 13.00-13.40 (13.20) = $16.95 /$65.39: 25.92%
01/26: PZZA : $65.39 /July $65C: $7.10- $7.80 ($7.45) / $65P: $6.90- $7.10 ($7.00) = $14.45 /$65.39: 22.10% > 39.1% Vol.
01/26: PZZA : $65.39 /July $55C : 13.30-13.90 (13.60) / $55P: $3.10-$3.30  ($3.20) = $16.80 /$65.39: 25.69%
-----
01/26: NFLX : 274.60 /June 310C : 12.65-12.95 (12.80) / 310P: 45.80-46.20 (46.00) = $58.80 /274.54: 21.42%
01/26: NFLX : 274.60 /June 275C: 25.65-25.90 (25.78) / 275P: 23.75-24.05 (23.90) = $49.68 /274.54: 18.10% > 32.0% Vol.
01/26: NFLX : 274.60 /June 240C : 46.55-46.95 (46.75) / 240P: $9.90- 10.10 (10.00) = $56.75 /274.54: 20.67%

----------- SPY Options are Far Cheaper ! --------
01/26: SPY- : 286.58 /July 305C: $1.88- $2.14 ($2.01) / 305P: 19.69-20.02 (20.86) = $22.87 /286.58: 07.98%
01/26: SPY : 286.58 /July 287C: $9.56- $9.66 ($9.61) / 287P: $9.13- $9.30 ($9.27) = $18.88 /286.58:  6.59% > 11.65% vol.
01/26: SPY : 286.58 /July 285C: 10.83-11.05 (10.94)  / 285P: $8.40- $8.55 ($ 8.48) = $19.42 /286.58:  6.78% > 11.98% vol.
01/26: SPY- : 286.58 /July 265C: 24.57-28.15 (26.36) / 265P: $3.92- $3.99 ($ 3.96) = $30.18 /286.58: 10.53%
-----
01/26: SPY- : 286.58 /Ja19 305C: $6.65- $6.76 ($6.70) / 305P: 23.26-23.67 (23.47) = $30.17 /286.58: 10.53%
01/26: SPY : 286.58 /Ja19 290C : 13.95-14.23 (14.09) / 290P: 15.64-15.88 (15.76) = $29.85 /286.58: 10.42% > 13.02% vol.
01/26: SPY : 286.58 /Ja19 285C 17.01-17.29 (17.15) / 285P 13.75-13.88 (13.82) = $30.97 /286.58: 10.81% > 13.51% vol.
01/26: SPY- : 286.58 /Ja19 265C: 31.22-31.73 (31.48) / 265P: $8.23- $8.41 ($8.32) = $39.80 /286.58: 13.89%
=====

SPY straddles may be the cheapest way to play a possible Pop & Drop scenario with little risk (since they were so cheap at/near 10% vol.)

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THE BAD GUYS had a Big Plan.... and only some of it is in shambles

"Good luck in you battle against 'The Borg' "

Tyrants of Facebook, Google, Amazon, PayPal Exposed

=

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Billionaire investor Soros to Google and Facebook: 'Your days are numbered'

'The fact that they are near-monopoly distributors makes them public utilities and should subject them to more stringent regulations,' says the Hungarian-born financier

afp-012618-soros_154BCEDC11F447D8AC6E18F

"Facebook and Google effectively control over half of all internet advertising revenue," the 87-year-old told diners during a speech.

"They claim that they are merely distributors of information. The fact that they are near-monopoly distributors makes them public utilities and should subject them to more stringent regulations, aimed at preserving competition, innovation, and fair and open universal access."

He predicted that tech giants would "compromise themselves" to access key markets like China, creating an "alliance between authoritarian states and these large, data rich IT monopolies."

"This may well result in a web of totalitarian control the likes of which not even Aldous Huxley or George Orwell could have imagined," he warned.

Predicting governments would start to more heavily regulate the sector he said: "Davos is a good place to announce that their days are numbered."

Known for his legendarily successful currency trading, Soros dismissed bitcoin as a "typical bubble".

But he said the cryptocurrency would likely avoid a full crash because authoritarians would still use it to make secret investments abroad.

He described Russia's Vladimir Putin as presiding over a "mafia state" and called Trump a "danger to the world".

But he predicted that the US president's appeal would not last.

"I regard it as a purely temporary phenomenon that will disappear in 2020 or even sooner."

> https://www.rappler.com/technology/news/194566-billionaire-investor-soros-to-google-and-facebook-your-days-are-numbered

Bizarre comments, given...

These social media giants generally support the Soros agenda.

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Tony Caldaro's Latest E-wave comments

(Last weekend's Update);

LONG TERM: uptrend

Back in 2016, with the SPX trading around 2000-2100 very few expected a SPX 3000 in the next couple of years. Our analysis, at that time, suggested a SPX 3000-3600 in the next 2-4 years. With the SPX hitting 2800 this week, a 1000 points above the 2016 low, SPX 3000 is no longer that far away.

A Major 1 bull market underway with five Intermediate waves. Intermediate waves i and ii completed in the spring of 2016. Intermediate iii then started to divide. Minor waves 1 and 2 completed in the fall of 2016, and Minor waves 3 and 4 completed in the spring of 2017. Minor wave 5 has been underway since then.

(This weekend's Update): 1/28/18 : spx-2,873

The relentless rally continues. The last time the market had a downtrend was in March/April. Since then the market has experienced one solid 9-month uptrend, with pullbacks of 3% of less along the way. In fact, when reviewing the weekly chart, this uptrend looks entirely different than any other uptrend since 2009. Something new began after the February 2016 low, which fits with our Secular Primary III bull market scenario.

Short term support is at the 2858 and 2835 pivots, with resistance at the 2884 pivot.

spxwkly3.png?w=640&h=485

The wave count remains unchanged. Major wave 1 of Primary III began at the February 2016 low. Intermediate waves i and ii completed in the spring of 2016. Intermediate iii then divided into Minor waves. Minor waves 1 and 2 completed in the fall of 2016, and Minor waves 3 and 4 completed in the spring of 2017. Minor wave 5 has been under since the April 2017 low at SPX 2329. When Minor 5 ends, so too does Int. iii. Then after a short, and probably small, Int. iv correction, Int. v will take the market to new highs again.

Comment:

The following chart shows a trendline that intersects on the daily chart around the 2885ish area from the 666 low in ’09. One would think that a reaction of some kind would be due there.

2018-01-27-tos_charts.png?w=640

FANG Stocks with T Caldaro's E-wave counts

FB / Facebook ... 10-yr : 5-yr :

2tsfN0Q.png

AMZN / Amazon ...10-yr : 5-yr :

kXzYGXH.png

AAPL / Apple ... 10-yr : 5-yr :

L2x7VLA.png

NFLX / Netflix ... 10-yr : 5-yr :

TWnwOGY.png

GOOG / Alphabet (Google) ... 10-yr : 5-yr :

IQNkwgp.png

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Facebook is a ‘living, breathing crime scene,’ says one former tech insider

Tue, Jan 16

Three silicon valley insiders are accusing Facebook of prioritizing profits over people, pointing to Russia’s 2016 misinformation campaign against American voters through targeted ads. Facebook has announced plans to change its newsfeed, prioritizing updates from friends and families and limiting ads from companies. They also tells NBC News that they “have more work to do, and we’re heads down on getting it done.”

> https://www.nbcnews.com/nightly-news/video/facebook-is-a-living-breathing-crime-scene-says-one-former-tech-insider-1138394691972

/ 2 /

Google Home couldn't tell users who Jesus Christ is — here's why it matters

  • Anger broke out on social media after people created videos showing that Google's smart speaker, Home, couldn't answer the question "Who is Jesus Christ?" but could provide answers for Buddha and Muhammad.

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US stocks in EUR... "kinda boring" ... SPX: 10yr : 5yr :

IocKzZL.png

But not so - NFLX in EUR

XqsQO6S.png

==

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Still there... the Fake Victims / But we rarely hear about the real ones
GOOGLE employees: We're harassed, threatened...

The firing of Google engineer James Damore for suggesting men are more suited to technical roles than women has triggered a culture war inside the Internet giant, with some Google employees saying the company is not doing enough to protect them from a harassment campaign that has subjected them to hateful comments and violent threats. 

These employees, many of whom volunteer as diversity advocates, say they've been targeted by some of their own coworkers for fighting to bring greater diversity to Google's 78,000-plus staff of mostly white and Asian men.

 

Googleplex office with Google logo on side of building
 
Googleplex office with Google logo on side of building 

Their personal information and comments expressed in internal company forums have been leaked to the public and published on far-right websites, leading to mistreatment by online vigilantes. What's more, they say they've been subjected to doxing on 4Chan and Kiwi Farms after screenshots were included in the 161-page lawsuit Damore filed in January alleging Google discriminates against whites, conservatives and men.

Too little action from Google management drove them to speak publicly for the first time this week when they told their stories to Wired magazine. They say they are hopeful they can pressure the company into taking a stronger stance against the growing abuse and that they can help stop this kind of intimidation and bullying from happening at other tech companies.

Members of the far right have escalated their campaign against Google and the tech industry in recent weeks....

For the far right, Google, with its progressive views and policies, is an enticing target.

==

FAR right, eh?   I think we know the attitude of this reporter - perhaps he was asked to write this story as a reaction to another one:

My Google should be called a company with extreme far left bias - that would be true, at least

Valley, pledges to expose bias against conservatives

Last week, former Google engineer James Damore, who was embraced by conservatives after he was fired last year for distributing a memo that questioned whether women were biologically suited to technical roles, filed a lawsuit claiming the Internet giant discriminates against white men and conservatives. That same day, right-wing journalist-turned-entrepreneur Charles C. "Chuck" Johnson sued Twitter, alleging the company violated his right to free speech when it permanently suspended his account in 2015.

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(Warning signs were already evident - at the end of 2017):

FAANG Executives Selling Their Stock Is a Warning Signal

December 27, 2017 / BY JARED DILLIAN

Nobody has a better insight into the future prospects of a company than its top-tier employees. Executives will always boast about their businesses, but it’s what they do with their own money that really matters.

I’m talking about insider trading. Not the illegal kind, but rather planned buys and sells of stock by the company’s insiders—the directors, executives, and founders. If they are buying their own stock, they’re confident about their company’s prospects. Future potential may not be fully priced in. That’s a good sign for investors. But when executives hit the sell button, it’s time to be careful. They may believe their company stock is fully valued.

Let’s look at what’s happening with FAANG stocks.

FAANG Executives Are Getting Out

Over the past year, FAANG executives have been selling their stock en masse.

Take a look at these sales. In September, Facebook announced that CEO Mark Zuckerberg will sell between 35 million and 75 million shares over the next 18 months. At the current share price, that’s between $6.1 billion and $13.1 billion worth of stock, which is one of the biggest insider sales ever. And that’s on top of the $1 billion worth of stock he’s sold in the last 18 months.

Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos recently sold a million shares in the retailer for $1.1 billion. That adds to the million shares he sold in May this year. The size of Bezos’ sales can’t compare to Zuckerberg’s massive sell-off, but it’s big enough to pay attention.

171227_OP_FAANG_image1small.jpg

Source: Mauldin Economics

In August 2016, CEO Jeff Bezos sold one million shares, raking in over $757 million. While shares moved higher for a few months, they dropped by 12% in October.

In August, Apple CEO Tim Cook sold 268,623 shares in Apple, raising $43 million. This follows on the $65 million worth of shares he sold in 2016.

It was a tiny sale in this context, but are you seeing the trend yet?  Of course, there are many legitimate reasons for a company executive to sell shares. But here’s the thing—executives don’t like to cash out on the lows.

Top Tick?

> more: http://www.mauldineconomics.com/editorial/faang-executives-selling-their-stock-is-a-warning-signal

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Maybe $1 Trillion as a Top - & Maybe not - will AAPL get there first?

Apple, Google, Amazon will reach $1T within 12 months: Market expert

 

/ 2 /

xx

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AMZN-etc ... 10d

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Why Amazon needs to be broken up

 

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FB broke a support level ... update : FB-chart :

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FACEBOOK loses daily users for first time...

Getting Aggressive With Those Who Stopped Using...

Facebook lost daily users for the first time ever in the U.S. and Canada

It was a small but negative change to daily active users in Facebook’s most valuable market.

Here’s a troubling data point if you’re a Facebook investor: The company may have finally tapped out its most valuable market, the U.S. and Canada.

Facebook’s daily active user base in the U.S. and Canada fell for the first time ever in the fourth quarter, dropping to 184 million from 185 million in the previous quarter.

It’s a very small decline in a market that Facebook already dominates. But it’s also Facebook’s most valuable market, and any decline in usership — even a small one — isn’t a great sign.

Each user accounted for $26.76 worth of revenue for the company last quarter, and it went up by 35 percent over the same quarter last year.
It’s not clear why that segment got smaller. But it has been a tough year for Facebook in the U.S., and most of the company has been grappling with the fact that Facebook’s service was used by Russian actors to try and sway the 2016 presidential election. Perhaps U.S users are grappling with that, too.

Overall, Facebook’s daily active user audience was up 32 million people in Q4. But it was the smallest quarter-over-quarter increase in two years.

==

" the company has been grappling with the fact that Facebook’s service was used by Russian actors to try and sway the 2016 presidential election"

?? WTF ? haha

No!.  People dislike the company's enormously strong political bias, its heavy-handedness, and its greediness.

And it is tone-deaf in seeing and addressing its real problem - it is a puppet of the deep state, & Zuck is a virtue-signaling Cuck

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FAANG stocks, 10d :

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GOOGLE MISS

Tim+Cook+Apple+Debuts+New+Watch+e6xja5ax
APPLE BEST QTR IN HISTORY OF BIZ

APPLE SELLS LESS IPHONES

APPLE's cash pile hits $285.1 billion, a record...

Apple has posted the biggest quarterly profit of all time despite a fall in iPhone sales.

The world's biggest company posted profits of $20.1bn (£14bn) in the crucial final three months of the year, breaking its own record set two years ago.

It came after the release of the £999 iPhone X in November, the biggest update of the handset to date, as well as the release of the iPhone 8 in September.

"We’re thrilled to report the biggest quarter in Apple’s history, with broad-based growth that included the highest revenue ever from a new iPhone lineup," Mr Cook said. He added that 1.3bn Apple devices are now in use, up from 1bn two years ago.

Cook said there had been a record year for the App Store, with augmented reality apps a particular area of growth. Sales of the new Apple Watch Series 3 were double those of the Series 2 last year.

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5 Tech ETFs That Crushed FAANG stocks & SPY in 2017

SOCL vs SPY ... update //

 Versus: 5 FAANG stocks : SOCL : PNQI : FDN : IYW :

a5ljsUq.gif

Facebook and Netflix have solid weights in PowerShares NASDAQ Internet Portfolio PNQI and First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index FDN . Facebook has a solid weight in iShares U.S. Technology ETF IYW and Global X Social Media Index ETF SOCL . Now, PNQI is up 37.8%, FDN has gained 35.3%, IYW is up 33.8% and SOCL has jumped 53.1% (as of Dec 14, 2017).

SOCL / Global X Social Media ETF ... update

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But investors would be excited to know that there is a lot of winning tech ETF ways to make profits. These ETFs have proven more efficient that FANG funds so far this year.

ARK Web x.0 ETF ARKW - Up 84.9%

The ARK Web x.0 ETF is an actively-managed ETF that invests primarily at least 80% of its assets in domestic equity securities and U.S. exchange traded foreign equity securities of companies that are relevant to the fund's investment theme of Web x.0. The fund charges 75 bps in fees.  Cloud Computing & Cyber Security takes about 23% of the fund followed by Big Data & Machine Learning that accounts for about 20% (read: 4 Reasons Why Investors Love Passive ETFs ).

ARK Innovation ETF ARKK - Up 83.8%

The fund seeks long-term growth of capital. Bioinformatics takes about 9.1% of the fund followed by 3D Printing (8.3%) and Autonomous Vehicles (7.5%). The fund charges 75 bps in fees.

Guggenheim China Technology ETF CQQQ - Up 68.3%

> http://www.nasdaq.com/article/5-tech-etfs-that-crushed-fang-etfs-in-2017-cm892583
 

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Apple & Amazon Juiced by profit reports ?

Tim+Cook+Apple+Debuts+New+Watch+e6xja5ax
TECH ROARS: APPLE BEST QTR IN HISTORY OF BIZ
BEZOS MAKES BILLIONS IN DAY!

Jeff Bezos, the world’s richest man, added another couple of billion to his fortune on Thursday as Amazon, the company he founded, announced it had made close to $2bn in profits in the three months running up to Christmas.

The news, which came as Apple and Google’s parent Alphabet, also reported results, sent Amazon’s share price soaring over 4%. Bezos owns about 16% of the company and has already added $20bn to his fortune this year, bringing his total net worth to more than $119bn.

Apple and Google were less fortunate. Apple’s shares wobbled in after hours trading despite announcing its best ever quarterly revenues. Investors have become spooked that sales of its flagship iPhone have stalled.

Amazon posted revenues of $60.5bn for the three months to the end of December, up from $43.74bn in the same period a year earlier.

The Seattle-based company reported net income of $1.9bn as it sold more voice-activated Echo devices and added more Prime members. The strong results were helped by consumers’ greater willingness to do their holiday shopping online and by Amazon’s cloud business, Amazon Web Services, a profit engine for the corporation that is growing at 40% despite increasing competition from Microsoft and Google.

> https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/feb/01/amazon-earnings-exceed-expectations-while-apple-alphabet-google-falter

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FDN
First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund ... vs. SPY, PNQI, IYW, SOCL ... update

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Comparing Straddle prices - and volatilities

SPY: 281.58 / Vix: 14.7%
Mo./Strike : Apr.Call + Put / Jul. Call + Put / J'19.Call + Put :
$310strike : $0.13 + 28.73 / $0.65 + 28.79 / $3.64 + 30.66 :
Strike /Pct : 28.86 :  10.2% / 29.44 :  10.5% / 34.30 : 12.2% :
$285strike : $4.42 + $7.44 / $8.14 + 10.86 / 14.35 + 16.15:
Strike /Pct : 11.86 :  4.21% / 19.00 :  6.75% / 30.50 : 10.8% :> 13.5%
$250strike : 32.58 + $1.03 / 35.42 :  $3.00 / 39.61 + $6.71 :
Strike /Pct : 33.61 : 11.9% / 38.42 :  13.6% / 46.32 :  16.5% :

FDN: 120.80 / Vix: 14.7%
Mo./Strike : Apr.Call + Put / Jul. Call + Put /
$120strike : $5.80 + $3.75 / $7.90 + $5.90 /
Strike /Pct : $9.55 : 7.91% /  13.80 :  11.4% /> 20.1% Vol.
$125strike : $3.08 + $5.90 / $5.60 + $8.10 /
Strike /Pct : $9.98 : 8.26% /  13.70 :  11.3% /

Jun-July
Stock: $-Price : Mo./Strike: /Call / + / Put / = Straddle : Pct. : Vol. %
FB ---- : 193.09 : Jun $195 : $12.05 + $11.90 = $23.95 : 12.4% : 21.9%
AMZN: 1390.0 : Jul. 1380 : 138.45 +102.25 = 240.70 : 17.3% : 30.6%
AAPL : 167.78 : Jul. $170 : $12.00 + $12.20 = $24.20 : 14.4% : 25.5%
NFLX : 265.07 : Jun $265 : $25.50 + $23.20 = $48.70 : 18.4% : 32.5%
GOOG: 1167.7 : Jun 1170: $71.65 + $66.90 = 138.55 : 11.9% : 21.0%
======

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Big DOWN Day in stocks!, after the spike in Yields

DJIA : 25,521. - 665.7 : - 2.54%
TLT  : $119.58 - $1.12 : - 0.93%
FDN : $119.73 - $2.07 : - 1.70%
SPX : 2,762.1 - 59.85 : - 2.12% ... update
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Tony C's Thursday update / Awaiting his weekend update

The market gapped down at the open for the third time this week, missed yesterday’s low by one point (2813), and then rallied to SPX 2836 in early afternoon. After that the market headed south again, hitting yesterday’s low in the last hour of trading. Double bottom? Since the week began every rally to the 2835 pivot has been sold. We now have five waves up from the SPX 2557 Minute iv low. But the last wave is kind of lopsided: 2590-2578-2658-2606-2873. This suggests the count posted on the hourly chart may be correct. And the five waves will end up as nine waves up before the uptrend ends. Short term support is at the 2798 and 2780 pivots, with resistance at the 2835 and 2858 pivots. Short term momentum ended the day below neutral. Best to your trading!

> THU: https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2018/02/01/thursday-update-611/#comments

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JANUARY JOBS: +200K...

WAGES RISE MOST SINCE '09...

INFLATION FEARS HIT STOCKS...

YIELDS SPIKE...

U.S. stock-index futures added to losses on Friday after January jobs report showed the economy added 200,000 jobs last month. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, while wages grew by 0.3%. The report was better than expected and underlines the Federal Reserve's willingness to raise interest rates three more times this year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures YMH8, -1.31% were 255 points, or 1%, lower at 25,920. The S&P 500 index futures ESH8, -0.99% were down 22 points, or 0.8% to 2,801, while the Nasdaq-100 futures NQH8, -0.78% declined 32 points, or 0.5% to 6,867.

> https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-02/u-s-added-200-000-jobs-in-january-wages-rise-most-since-2009

SPY friday:
12pm  : $278.31 -3.27: -1.17%/ VIX : 15.10%/ Jan2019 $285p : $17.77-18.03: $17.90 ..update +Call: $12.60 = Strad.: $30.50 (11.0%)
Close-: $275.45 -6.13: -2.18%/ VIX : 17.31%/ Jan2019 $285p : $19.43-19.85: $19.64 ..update +Call: $11.25 = Strad.: $30.89 (11.2%) Jun 285 280

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