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drbubb

DrBubb's Diary - Jan. 2018 Trading - v.108

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/ all data: 8yr: 32mo:12mo : 5m 2m 12-mo  BTC 10 5d / SLV-lv

========

Panicky Bitcoin investors struggle to withdraw cash...

H45exZr.png

THERE are mounting fears that Bitcoin investors will struggle to get their cash out after the cryptocurrency's value fell 40 per cent in a single month.

Many are looking to put their money in gold instead, with some European gold traders reporting a "five fold increase" in demand amid fears Bitcoin could collapse entirely.

But it could be bad news for investors tied up in Bitconnect who fear they will lose their money after the controversial trader announced it was shutting down. It assured customers they would be able to withdraw at a "recent exchange rate" but "continuous cyber-attacks" have prevented them from doing so, Fortune reports.

Concerned investors have since taken to social media to complain they fear losing anything from a few thousand dollars to their entire "family savings". Adding to fears, some panicked investors have reportedly been tricked into handing over the contents of their cryptocurrency wallets by scammers presenting themselves as Bitconnect "customer support".

Wall Street veteran Peter Boockvar has warned of an impending "epic crash" which could slash 90 per cent off Bitcoin, currently valued at around £8,300. He told CNBC the cryptocurrency's value could fall to between $1,000 (£718) and $3,000 (£2,154) over the next year.

This uncertainty is driving Bitcoin owners to invest in the more reliable gold, according to Daniel Marburger, director of Coininvest.

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THE ELECTION FIXERS - must pay now

http://investmentwatchblog.com/donald-trump-won-a-rigged-election/

EXCERPT:

There is a four-page memo just made available to the entire House of Representatives. Congressmen who have seen the memo call it “shocking” “explosive” “alarming” “mind-blowing.” They say it shows conspiracy and collusion between the Obama administration, the FBI, the DOJ, and the Clinton campaign, to stop Trump from reaching the White House.

Rep. Scott Perry said, “Is this happening in America, or is this the KGB? That’s how alarming it is.”

North Carolina Rep. Mark Meadows said, “Part of me wishes I didn’t read it, because I don’t want to believe that those kinds of things could be happening in this country…”

Rep. Matt Gatetz said, “Not only will the release of this memo result in DOJ firing, but people will go to jail.”

Former Secret Service Agent Dan Bongino said, “Take it to the bank, the FBI/FISA docs are devastating for the Dems…the real Obama, the vengeful narcissist, is going to be exposed for all to see.”

Rep Steve King said, “I have read the memo. The sickening reality has set in…it is worse than Watergate.”

This is a political earthquake. Before this is over, the Democrat Party will be in shambles. The legacies of Hillary and Obama will be in ashes. The FBI may never recover. And dare I say it, Hillary herself could wind up in prison- along with many of her closest friends and confidants

Joe diGenova – Brazen Plot to Frame Trump, 1990

An excellent and clear summary

"This is corrupt as it gets!"

"They turned to a Series of Narratives, to replace the Truth"

"There was a scheme... to help Hillary, by exonerating her in the email scandal. The problem is, she lost."

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BACK OPEN AGAIN

GOP leaders in both Congress and the White House want nothing to do with immigration negotiations as long as the federal government’s doors are closed.

“The Democrats are turning down services and security for citizens in favor of services and security for non-citizens. Not good!” President Donald Trump tweeted Monday morning. “Democrats have shut down our government in the interests of their far left base. They don’t want to do it but are powerless!”

Senate votes to end shutdown

Chuck Schumer and Mitch McConnell announce a deal to re-open the government after a three-day standoff.

In a dramatic turnaround, Senate Democrats voted to re-open the government on Monday after receiving a commitment from Republicans to hold a vote on immigration legislation — paving the way to end the three-day shutdown.

The Senate voted 81-18 to move forward on a bill to fund the government through Feb. 8 after Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) agreed to end the shutdown and continue to negotiate on immigration and spending matters. Without a broader deal, the Senate would take up legislation to protect hundreds of thousands of young undocumented immigrants who are losing legal protections, as long as the government remains open.

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/01/22/government-shutdown-2018-senate-vote-354966

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"She was Talking against Who-she-thought-I-was"

JP talks about HIS experience of the epic interview - fascinating

Full video: Jordan Peterson on the Channel 4 Controversy and Philosophy of "How to be in the World"

"She was fabricating-on-the-fly the Villain she hoped I would be."

"She wanted me to be the proper foil... and was insistent of that."

"I was watching her like a clinician after the first minute or so."

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DING DONG ! (after Tick Tock)

A COVER-UP WORSE THAT WATERGATE!
 

"They knew ahead of time, that Hillary would go free"

Sean Hannity 1/22/18 - Hannity Fox News Today January 22, 2018

 

Ding-Dong the wicked witch ... is caught!

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BTS ... update

1K1YWyj.png

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FX / Currencies ... update

Qcpt22G.gif

Dollar Dumps Below Key Level - Worst Start To A Year Since 2003

20180123_USD.jpg?h=3730d035&itok=1KIdx3s

For the first time since December 2014, the Dollar Index has tumbled below 90.00 tonight as the greenback-bloodbath continues in early Asian FX trading...amid US trade policy concerns.

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On 1/13/2018 at 10:17 AM, drbubb said:

Latest trade- I bought a straddle, for Jan'19

BOUGHT the SPY Jan.'19 $285 Straddle at $27.70

(I could not get it at Mid-prices, $27.70/ $277 = 10%)

Closing prices: 285C: 10.91-11.13 (11.02) / 16.46-16.71 (16.59) = 27.61 /277.92: 9.93%

Jan19: 285C / SPYA18193285000 ... update

Jan19: 285P / SPYM18193285000 ... update

This is a way to lock-in VIX (implied volatility) when it is cheap ... VIX: 5-yr : 12mo : 10d :

wJxkc1s.png

Changes : -SPY / - VIX  / 285-str.
01/12 :  277.92 / 10.16 : $27.70 :
01/23 :  283.29 / 11.10 : $29.76 :
11day : +1.93% / $0.94 : $02.06 :
changes -------->   9.25% :  7.44% :
======
was:  01/12: 285C: 10.91-11.13 (11.02) / 16.46-16.71 (16.59) = 27.61 /277.92: 09.93%
now:  01/23: 285C: 14.61-14.88 (14.70) / 14.94-15.18 (15.06) = 29.76 /283.29: 10.51%
$27.70 > $29.76 : + 7.44%

My current strategy is to Sell the call, when it hits $27.70,  so I can recover my cost.
I am estimating this will happen if/when SPY hits about $300.00
Then, I can retain the $285p, as "free" downside protection.

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THE MEMO ! ??

EXCLUSIVE: Infowars Has Obtained And Is Now Releasing The Secret FISA Memo

Comments:

infowars does not have the recent 4 page memo. they have a memo from april 2017 which isnt the one everybody wants
 
justpassingthroughthistime
do you people NOT pay attention to the news at all? the 4 page memo is a summary on this 99 page fisa warrant. try to keep up. this is more information the the 4 page summary. do you understand?
 
/ 2 /

Former Head Of NSA: People Need To Go To Jail For Crimes Documented In Secret FISA Memo

 

Published on Jan 23, 2018
William Binney joins Alex Jones live via Skype to give his take on why the FISA memo has been released, and he believes it is an indication that Trump is cleaning up our intelligence agencies.

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SOOO MANY scary metrics now !

/ 1 / "you need to believe impossible things"

Chris Martenson – Rising Oil Price Will Pop this Bubble

"There has to be some SANE relationship between the markers of wealth... and the debt"

"Without primary wealth, you cannot have secondary & tertiary wealth - The Debt claims are just too high"

Published on Jan 23, 2018
What is going to cause this financial bubble to pop? Economic researcher and futurist Chris Martenson says, “The price of oil is likely going to be the pin that pricks these bubbles. No central banker is going to do it. They are deathly afraid of these markets they have created. . . . They are afraid of a downturn in the markets, and they won’t willingly go there. What could force that is the price of oil. . . . The higher price of oil is going to really harm some weak players out there. . . . The chain reaction always starts with somebody not being able to pay their debt back.”

/ 2 /

Nomi Prins - Debt Will Ultimately be Destructor of the System

 

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Dollar Tumbles After Mnuchin Endorses Weaker Currency, Ross Speaks Of Trade Wars

bloomberg%20dollar%20index.jpg?h=2f2f099

Caught in a relentless downward spiral which has puzzled many a trader, it wasn't as if the US Dollar needed any help in accelerating its decline, yet that's precisely what happened this morning in Davos when none other than Steven Mnuchin endorsed the dollar’s decline as a benefit to the U.S. economy.

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A WAR may be about to begin in "Tech Heaven" :

FAANG giants may soon be in trouble (?)

How much longer can the FAANG companies levitate as they become less & less popular with the public?

Anti-trust / anti-competitive troubles ahead??

FAANG stocks ... update-since YrE-2015 : '16 : '17 / FB, AMZN, AAPL, NFLX, GOOG

Tth46oK.gif

FAANG Stock statistics  :

Symbol Company : YrE.' 15 :  YrE. '16 :  +1yr.chg : YrE. '17 : +2yr.chg : $-Last- : +change : P/ER : earn.ps
FB      / Facebook  : $104.66 : $115.05 : +  9.93% : $176.46 : +68.60% : $189.35 : +80.92% : 36.70 : $5.16 :
AMZN / Amazon  : $675.89 : $749.87 : +10.95% : 1169.47 : +73.03% : 1362.54 : +101.6% : 345.8 : $3.94 :
AAPL / Apple-----  : $105.26 : $115.82 : +10.03% : $169.23 : +60.77% : $177.04 : +68.19% : 19.24 : $9.20 :
NFLX / Netflix---   : $114.38 : $123.80 : +   8.24% : $191.96 : +67.83% : $250.23 : +118.8% : 200.2 : $1.25 :
GOOG / Alphabet : $758.88 : $771.82 : +   1.71% : 1046.40 : +37.89% : 1169.97 : +54.17% : 39.10 : 29.92 :
=====
SPX- / S&P 500   : 2043.94 : 2238.83 : + 9.54% : 2673.61 : +30.81%: 2839.13 : +38.90% : 00.00 : $0.00F
IWM- / Rus'l2000 : $112.62 : $134.85 : +19.74% : $152.46 : +35.38% : $159.96 : +42.04% : 00.00 : $0.00F
DJIA/ DowJones : 17,425.  : 19,763.  : +13.42% : 24,719. : +41.86%: 26,210.8: +50.42% : 00.00 : $0.00F
VIX-- / Volatility--  :  18.21%  : 14.04%  : - 22.90% :  11.04% : - 39.38% :  11.06% :
TLT-- / T-Bonds--- : $120.58 : $119.13 :  -  1.20% : $126.86 :  + 5.21% : $123.17 : +  2.15% :
GLD-- / Gold etf-- : $101.46 : $109.61 : +  8.03% : $123.65 : +21.87% : $127.28 : +25.45% :
GDX- / GoldStocks $ 13.72 : $  20.92 : +52.48% : $  23.24 : +69.39% : $  24.10 : +75.66% :
DXY-- / US Dollar : $  98.69 : $102.21 : +  3.57% : $  92.12 :  -  6.66% : $  89.60 :  - 9.21% :
==============

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Peak Hubris? Ray Dalio Mocks "Stupidity Of Holding Cash"

20180123_dalio.jpg?itok=HROfn4dR

Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio says investors in cash are going to feel pretty stupid...

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MJ4a36C.png

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"Not the Real memo" - say the Hagmanns of what Infowars released yesterday

But the Dems have out-done themselves protecting Criminals, once again !
So may of these scumbags need to be locked up, I want to cry !

LETTER FOR USEFUL IDIOTS - see below !

Missing Texts, Missing Memos: Tracy Beanz, Field McConnel, Peter Barry Chowka

INTERESTING - "This letter can from Feinstein and Schiff... and it went to Mark Zuckerberg & Jack Dorsey

- LISTEN to Tracy Benz at just over the 35 minute mark:

"Seek your company's assistance...

Accounts related to the Russians... Are trying to manipulate Public Opinion"

Di-Fi requests : "FIND accounts... De-activate accounts"

WHAT UTTER interfering-obstructing HORSESH/TE THIS IS!

FEINSTEIN & SCHIFF ARE TRAITORS TO AMERICA

IMPEACH FEINSTEIN!!!

feinsteindianne_040317gn_lead.jpg

I am so tired of these Lies

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Telling the Truth - about the plight of Young Men

Alienating Young Men is Deeply Sad - Jordan Peterson - UK Interview 15 01 2018

JBP's passion here is magnificent ... Concerned, Noble & Touching

He was also on Hannity's show last night

Jordan Peterson on Tucker Carlson

Tucker now knows why people binge-watch Peterson videos

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I sold some SLV $14 calls yesterday that I bought in early Dec.

Profits was just over 100%

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Race For First $1 Trillion U.S. Company...

NFLX, AMZN, etc ... Update from 1-2017

xgBDVnr.gif

Symbol Company : YrE.' 15 :  YRE '16 :  YrE. '17 :   $-LAST : +chg'16  : P/ER : Earn.F : ShsMn : $MktCap : Pr/B :
FB      / Facebook : $104.66 : $115.05 : $176.46 :  $187.48 : +62.96% : 28.01 : $19.4B : 2,910.  : 542.08B : 7.61 :
AMZN / Amazon  : $675.89 : $749.87 :  1169.47 : 1377.95 : +83.76% : 149.3 : $4.38B : 481.87 : 654.16B : 26.5 :
AAPL / Apple-----  : $105.26 : $115.82 :  $169.23 : $171.11 : +47.73% : 15.34 : $57.8B : 5,090.   : 886.27B : 6.61 :
NFLX / Netflix---   : $114.38 : $123.80 :  $191.96 : $269.70 : +117.9% : 116.3 : $0.97B : 432.73 : 113.07B : 34.0 :
GOOG / Alphabet : $758.88 : $771.82 : 1046.40 : 1170.37 : +51.64% : 39.10 : $20.7B : 694.80 : 811.35B : 7.82 :
Faang / 5 TechCo: $1000.0 : $1000.0 : $1000.0 : $1000.0 : +00.00$ : 29.13 : 103.2B : ====== : 3006.9B :
======
SPX- / S&P 500  : 2043.94 : 2238.83 : 2673.61 : 2839.25: +26.81% : 23.08: 1101B : ====== : $25.42Trillion
SPX MarketCap : $18.77Tr : $20.22Tr: $23.94Tr : $25.42Tr: +25.72% :
> source: http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/quote?symbol=fb

AAPL ($886.3B), GOOG ($811.4B), and AMZN ($654.2B) are the ones with the best chances of making it to $1 Trillion.
NFLX & AMZN have the highest Price/Book ratios
The FAANG-5 stocks have 11.8% of the SPX MktCap, and only 9.4% of the Earnings.

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This was excellent - FREE at Last !

FULL Panel Talk: How The Left Creates Conservatives

=

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Important resistance at GLD $130.  Can Gold make it through?
GLD / Gold etf -  ... 12/31/16 : 109.61,  12/31/17 : $123.65

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversing to Up?

u2uJPgi.gif

HK:3081 / Value Gold... update : 10d : last : $ 32.95 on 1/26/18

Phzz1tf.gif
=======
NOTES :
1 HK tael = 1.203 troy ounces

Date=== : Kitco--: Nugget-Gold- : midpt/HKD =gold+prem: Passbook-HS : 99% Gold-HS- : Mid-pt./size-xHKD :
03-13-17 : $1,202: $9,705-$9,755: $9,730/7.76=$1254-$52: 1112.4-1114.9 : 11,090-11,130 : 11,110/1.21x7.765= $1,182/-$20
08-14-17 : $1,281 : 10,435-10,485 10,460/7.82=$1338-$57: 1192.9-1195.4 : 11,920-11,960 : 11,940/1.21x7.822= $1,261/-$20
01-26-18 : $1,351 : 10,930-10,970 10,950/7.82=$1400-$49: 1257.7-1260.2 : 12,550-12,590 : 12,570/1.21x7.818= $1,329/-$22

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THE WORLD IS STARVING for this... Or at least some of it is...

JBP on the "inversion of reality" - and NOT Apologizing

Christ vs the Crowd: Jordan Peterson, David Gornoski on 12 Rules for Life, Sacrifice, Rene Girard

"Pathological things are happening"

/ 2 /

An excellent and wise dissection of THE interview

Channel 4 Jordan Peterson Interview, my thoughts

"An astonishing lack of empathy" by Cathy Newman

She shows: "just naked self-interest"

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THE UPTHRUST in stock prices... has increased the Value of my Straddle

ORIGINAL: 285C: 10.91-11.13 (11.02) / 285P: 16.46-16.71 (16.59) = 27.61 /277.92:   9.93%

Changes : -SPY / - VIX  / 285-str. (see C & P, below)
01/12 :  277.92 / 10.16 : $27.70 :  9.93% of SPY
01/23 :  283.29 / 11.10 : $29.76 : 10.51%
11day chg---->    9.25% :  7.44% :  
01/26 :  286.58 / 11.08 : $30.95 : 10.80%
14day : +3.12% / $0.92 : $03.25 :
14day chg---->    9.06% :11.73% :
======
was:  01/12: 285C: 10.91-11.13 (11.02) / 285P: 16.46-16.71 (16.59) = 27.61 /277.92: 09.93%
now:  01/23: 285C: 14.61-14.88 (14.70) / 285P: 14.94-15.18 (15.06) = 29.76 /283.29: 10.51%
now:  01/26: 285C: 17.01-17.29 (17.15) / 285P: 13.75-13.88 (13.80) = 30.95 /286.58: 10.80%
$27.70 > $29.76 > $30.95: + 7.44%

My current strategy is to Sell the call, when it hits $27.70,  so I can recover my cost.
I am estimating this will happen if/when SPY hits about $300.00
Then, I can retain the $285put, as "free" downside protection.

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SPY Rally may slow soon ... update

Ub2H7dj.gif

The the longer chart (update, back to 2011) shows a somewhat different, &more bullish?, picture

cLFz021.gif

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