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DrBubb's Diary - Sep. 2017 Trading - v.104

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Dr.B's Trading Diary : 2017. The Diary's 104th Month : Peak watch?

cWtz2j0.jpg // Will stocks Breakout in Sept ? - see post#xx //

A Major Victory for Common Sense, against AntiFa & the forces of darkness - see thread

 

================

 

DrBubb's Diary - Sep. 2017 Trading - v.104

 

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The Fed's Racetrack: Gold (GLD) vs Stocks (SPY) .. update :vs.CRB : GLD-hr : SPY-hr : GLD/SPYratio / 2 : ab8x5

FLbA40u.gif

 

The Fed's money-printing has maintained confidence in markets - but the money has gone not only into stocks, but also into other areas. For many months, money flowed into commodities like Gold, pushing prices higher even faster than stocks, as the chart above shows. But since Gold's peak in Aug.2011, stocks have outperformed gold. Since then, these two assets have tended to trade counter-cyclically to each other.

 

Ratio: SPX-to-GLD - there's resistance at 200% : ie 2x th3 Gold Price

WP0f2Rw.png

 

 

Date----- : - SPY- : - GLD- : Ratio : Comment------------
12-29-08 : $86.91 : $86.35 : 1.006 : Chart period begins
09-06-11 : 116.99 : 182.90 : 0.640 : near Gold peak (of $1800
12-02-15 : 208.53 : 100.69 : 2.071 : near Gold low (of $1045.40; GLD: 100.23)
02-11-16 : 182.86 : 119.05 : 1.535 : near SPX low (of $1810.10; SPY: 181.09)
06-30-17 : 241.80 : 118.02 : 2.049 : Latest: may retest R-2.07+ and rollover
=======
Notes: R-0.64 at Gold peak x 1.618= 1.035 / x 1.618 x2 = 2.070 Target for Ratio & SPY peak?

 

"US Stocks-in-Euros" ... SPX-to-FXE or SPY-to-FXE Ratio ... update

eagBsfa.png

 

This Ratio - SPX to Euros seems to move in a nice clear channel

 

DrBubb's "Early Warning System"

Leading Ratio ... LQD:TLT-Weekly-3yrs : TLT-vsLQD : Copper : HG price : CU price : SPY-10/11 : SMH-6mos

 

I reckon that the LQD-to-TLT ratio should move in harmony with stocks, or maybe LEAD stock moves. If they are moving in different directions, then one should be cautious. (However, the value of this indicator has become suspect in recent years, after giving some false warnings.)
=====
Bullish Percentages :
BPNYA- : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
BPGDM : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
NASIT - : NAMOT : Summation Indices

"Big Three" Charts (SPY, GLD, DXY) ... 10d-Intraday : 6mos-D : 2yrs-D : 5yrs-D // CUvsGLDvsCRB

aBob45X.gif

 

 

RECORD : CU may lead GLD and SPY lower
======

US Fed'l Debt // Formula: (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100

 

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
end07: $09.23 > 0,722 : 072.2 : $082.46 : $146.21 : -63.75: 56.398% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 17.05: ==== : $ 32.99 :
end08: $10.70 > 0,897 : 089.7 : $086.52 : $090.24 : -$3.72: 95.878% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 29.09: ==== : $ 26.18 :
end09: $12.31 > 1,089 : 108.9 : $107.31 : $111.44 : -$4.13: 96.294% : $30.0e: XX.X% :: $ 42.26: ==== : $ 26.44 :
end10: $14.03 > 1,294: 129.4 : $138.74 : $125.75 : $12.99: 110.34% : $43.71: 31.51%: $ 43.09: $0.62: $ 32.35 : $ 00.29 :
end11: $15.22 > 1,435: 138.0 : $151.99 : $125.50 : $26.49: 121.11% : $29.29: 19.27%: $ 34.87: - 5.58: $ 28.88 : $ 04.60 :
end12: $16.43 > 1,570: 151.0 : $162.02 : $142.41 : $19.61: 113.77% : $30.34: 18.73%: $ 40.45:-10.11: $ 27.95 : $ 13.48 :
end13: $17.35 > 1,689: 162.4 : $116.12 : $184.69 : -68.57 : 062.87% : $22.27: 19.18%: $ 38.37:-16.10: $ 24.25 :$815.00 :
end14: $18.14 > 1,783 : 171.4 : $113.58 : $205.54 : -98.04 : 55.26% :: $18.09: 15.93%: $ 41.62:-23.53: $ 24.89 :$316.20 :
end15: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.46 : $203.87 :-102.41: 49.77% :: 2.135 : 2.140%: $ 35.29:-00.00: $ 20.61: $433.50 :
end16

(2016)
01/29: $19.01 > 1,886 : 180.0 : $108.05 : $193.65 : - $85.60: 55.80% :: 2.060 : 1.907% $ 31.20:-00.00: $ 19.99: $375.00 :
02/29: $19.13 > 1,900 : 181.3 : $118.64 : $193.56 : - $74.98: 61.29% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 30.00: -00.00: $ 20.00: $434.00 :
03/31: $19.26 > 1,916 : 182.8 : $117.64 : $205.52 : - $87.88: 57.24% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.77: -13.17: $ 20.60: $415.00 :
04/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $123.65 : $206.33 : - $82.68: 59.93% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.53: -12.45: $ 21.08: $4 ??.00 :
05/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $116.06 : $209.84 : - $93.78: 55.31% :: 2.080 : 1.792% $ 33.65: -12.34: $ 21.31: $526.10 :

06/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $126.47 : $209.48 : - $83.01: 60.37% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
07/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $128.98 : $217.12 : - $88.14: 59.40% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
08/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $124.78 : $217.38 : - $92.60: 57.40% :: 2.080 : 1.667% $ 37.08: -16.85: $ 20.23: $570.00 :

=====
ye'16 : $20.0E > 1,8 xx : 18x.x :

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
======
"GOLD Formula" is : (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 : US Govt Debt :: http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

The FED must be pleased with the way that money has flowed into stocks, away from Gold. / notes : a b cox cvn

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DAILY MONITOR

Month: -SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY-- -Chg- : --TLT-: Chg : Posts/Views cum'l
03-31: 206.43 - 1.82: 127.M: 15.29 : 18.24 - 0.23: 113.66 - 0.09: 4.38M: 1,185.5 $47.49* 98.406 +0.432: 130.69 +0.28: 00: 000/ 000: 2800
06-30: 205.85 +0.43: 155.M: 18.23 : 17.76 - 0.14: 112.31 - 0.70: 7.54M: 1,172.1 $59.09* 95.516 +0.541: 117.46 -0.82 : 11, 118/ 086, 1887
09-30: 192.13 +0.50: 142.M: 24.50 : 13.74 +0.33: 106.86 - 1.12: 7.19M: 1,114.5 $45.34* 96.282 +0.384 : 123.54 - 0.43: 04: 133/ 104, 2853
12-31: 203.87 - 2.06: 91.2M: 18.21 : 13.72 +0.06: 101.46 +0.04 : 3.81M: 1060.5 $37.07* 98.693 +0.413: 120.58 +0.54 : 02, 086/ 051, 1,913

2016
01-29: 193.72 +4.61: 182.M: 20.20 : 14.21 +0.35: 106.95 +0.41 : 7.92M: 1118.4 $33.74* 99.531 +0.950 : 127.30 +1.07 :

02-29: 193.56 - 1.53: 109.M: 20.55 : 19.38 +0.69: 118.64 +1.53 : 11.5M: 1239.3 $33.90* 98.150 - 0.030 : 130.98 +0.57 : 00, 075/ 000 , 2,143
03-31: 205.52 - 0.50 : 79.4M: 13.95 : 19.97 - 0.26: 117.64 +0.54 : 9.17M: 1233.9 $38.11* 94.630 -0.0.99 : 130.61 +0.92 : 01 ,094/ 055 , 2,950
04-29: 206.33 - 1.11 : 124.M: 15.70 : 25.83 +1.55: 123.65 +2.36 : 18.2M: 1294.9 $45.90* 93.018 - 0.448 : 129.38 +0.33 : 0?, 060/ ??? , 2800
05-31: 209.84 - 0.40 : 88.7M: 14.19 : 22.58 +0.30: 116.06 +0.44 : 8.06M: 1217.5 $48.83* 95.861 +0.161 : 130.16 +0.31 : 0?, 088/ ??? , 2651
06-30: 209.48 +2.82 : 143.M: 15.63 : 27.71 +0.56: 126.47 +0.63 : 15.1M: 1324.7 $48.40* 95.809 +0.046 : 138.90 +0.51 : 0?, 055/ ??? , 1941
07-29: 217.12 +0.35 : 70.1M: 11.87 : 30.59 +0.84: 128.98 +1.32 : 12.9M: 1357.9 $41.60* 95.517 - 1.044 : 141.56 +1.17 : 0?, 064/ ??? , 2781

08-31: 217.38 - 0.62 : 71.9M: 13.42 : 25.42 -0.42 : 124.78 -0.25 : 13.2M: 1311.4 $44.70* 95.985 - 0.050 : 139.87 +0.20 : 03, 067/ 237 , 5200

09-30: 216.30 +1.62 : 98.7M: 13.29 : 26.43 - 0.26: 125.64 - 0.43: 10.8M: 1317.1 : $48.24* $95.42 - 0.10 : 137.51 - 1.24 / 04, 096 : 412 , 5556

10-31: 212.55 +0.01 : 55.9M: 17.06 : 24.52 +0.71: 121.94 +0.36: 7.09M: 1273.1 : $46.86* $98.44 +0.10 : 131.25 +0.80 / 10, 094 : 620 , 5200
11-30: 220.38 - 0.53: 92.0M: 13.33 : 20.83 - 0.40 : 111.75 - 1.52: 10.9M: 1173.9 : $49.44* 101.54 + 0.59 : 120.24 - 1.98 / 02, 107 : 311 , 5561
12-30: 223.53 - 0.82: 86.9M: 14.04 : 20.92 - 0.83: 109.61 - 0.68: 8.79M: 1151.7 : $53.72* 102.38 - 0.27 : 119.13 + 0.18 / 03, 096: 360 , 4840

2017
01-31: 227.53 - 0.02 00.0M: 12.09 : 23.93 +0.78: 115.55 + 1.68: 0.00M: 1211.8 : $52.80* $99.74 - 0.62 : 119.84 +0.57 / 08 120: 4554, 10,254

02-28: 236.47 - 0.64 69.6M: 12.92 : 22.85 +0.01: 119.23 +0.11 8.29M: 1253.9 : $54.01* 101.48 +0.32 : 121.74 +0.45/ 07, 083; 216. 3,741

03-31: 235.74 - 0.55 56.2M: 12.37 : 22.81 +0.26: 118.72 +0.25 8.14M: 1251.2 : $50.60* 100.22 - 0.07 : 120.71 +0.35/ 05, 115 : 210, 5,967

04-28: 238.08 - 0.52 50.4M: 10.82 : 22.23 +0.42: 120.77 +0.38 8.86M: 1268.3 : $49.33* $99.04 - 0.15 : 122.35 +0.27/ 04, 90 : 530, 7,267

05-31: 241.44 - 0.06 00.0M: 10.41 : 22.69 +0.10: 120.62 +0.48 0.00M: 1264.8: $48.32* $97.21 +0.00 : 124.14 +0.05/ 00, 106 : 600, 6,542

06-30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13: 118.02 - 0.30 6.79M: 1242.3: $46.04* $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/

====

---: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l:

June

29: 241.35 - 2.14 98.8M: 11.44 : 21.95 - 0.48 : 118.32 - 0.58 7.62M: 1245.8 $44.93: $95.55 - 0.46 : 125.41 - 1.06/ 02, 091 : 237, 4297

30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13 : 118.02 - 0.30 6.79M: 1242.3 $46.04: $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/

July

28: 246.91 - 0.29 41.3M: 10.29 : 22.91 +0.34 : 120.69 +0.90 6.64M: 1275.3 $49.75 : $93.33 - 0.60 : 123.89 +0.73/ 00, 084 : 000, 4000

#

31: 246.77 - 0.14 42.9M: 10.25 : 22.86 - 0.05 : 120.75 +0.06 3.82M: 1273.8 $50.17 : $92.90 - 0.43 : 124.04 +0.15/ 00, 094 : 000, 4,570

AUG

01: 247.32 +0.55 40.5M: 10.04 : 22.83 - 0.03 : 120.65 - 0.10 7.03M: 1279.4 $49.16 : $92.93 - 0.03 : 124.64 +0.60/ 12, 012 : 100, 0,100

02: 247.44 +0.12 40.6M: 10.28 : 22.77 - 0.06 : 120.40 - 0.25 5.82M: 1278.4 $49.59 : $92.98 +0.05 : 124.71 +0.07/ 02, 014 : 105, 0,205
03: 246.96 - 0.48 35.6M: 10.44 : 22.70 - 0.07 : 120.59 +0.19 4.19M: 1274.4 $49.03 : $92.80 +0.01 : 126.00 +1.29/ 06, 020 : 180, 0,385
04: 247.41 +0.45 48.1M: 10.03 : 22.32 - 0.38 : 119.65 - 0.94 8.31M: 1264.6 $49.58 : $93.49 +0.70 : 124.93 - 1.07/ 05, 025 : 117, 0,502

#
07: 247.87 +0.46 26.9M: 9.93% : 22.20 - 0.12 : 119.51 - 0.14 2.93M: 1264.7 $49.39 : $93.28 - 0.21 : 125.07 +0.14/ 00, 036 : 000, 0920
08: 247.26 - 0.61 52.5M: 10.96 : 22.25 + 0.05 : 119.86 +0.35 6.75M: 1262.8 $49.17 : $93.67 +0.39 : 124.62 - 0.45/ 08, 044 : 197, 1,117
09: 247.25 - 0.01 00.0M: 11.01 : 22.60 +0.35 : 121.31 +1.45 0.00M: 1279.3 $49.56 : $93.41 - 0.26 : 125.30 +0.68/ 03, 047 : 153, 1,270
10: 243.76 - 3.49 105.M: 16.04 : 23.08 +0.48 : 122.21 +0.90 9.41M: 1290.1 $48.59 : $93.42 +0.01 : 126.37 +1.07/ 04, 051 : 120, 1,390

11: 244.12 +0.36 65.0M: 15.51 : 23.15 +0.07 : 122.79 +0.58 7.58M: 1294.0 $48.82 : $93.10 - 0.32 : 126.43 +0.06/ 03, 054 : 119, 1509
#

14:
15: 246.51 +0.00 00.0M: 12.04 : 22.55 +0.00 : 120.98 +0.00 0.00M: 1279.7 $47.55 : $93.47 - 0.00 : 125.24 +0.00/
16: 246.94 +0.43 50.3M: 11.74 : 23.08 +0.52 : 121.87 +0.89 7.85M: 1282.9 $46.79 : $93.32 - 0.15 : 125.71 +0.46/ 00, 062 : 000, 2050

17: 243.09 - 3.85 115.M: 15.55 : 23.03 - 0.05 : 122.49 +0.62 8.08M: 1292.4 $47.08 : $93.60 +0.28 : 126.65 +0.94/ 02, 064 : 150, 2200

18: 242.17 - 0.92 137.M: 14.26 : 22.93 - 0.10 : 122.30 - 0.19 13.7M: 1291.3 $48.65 : $93.43 - 0.17 : 126.62 - 0.03/ 04, 068 :
#
21: 242.90 +0.73 00.0M: 13.19 : 23.31 + 0.38 : 122.76 - 0.00 0.00M: 1296.7 $47.53 : $93.49 +0.00 : 126.93 +0.31/ 00, 071 : 000, 3000
22: 245.44 +2.54 57.5M: 11.35 : 23.09 - 0.22 : 122.21 - 0.55 6.38M: 1291.0 $47.83 : $93.61 +0.12 : 126.44 - 0.49/ 00, 074 : 153, 3153

23: 244.56 - 0.88 43.1M: 12.25 : 23.26 +0.17 : 122.67 +0.46 4.51M: 1294.7 $48.41 : $93.28 - 0.33 : 127.30 +0.86/ 04, 078 : 200, 3353

24: 243.99 - 0.57 00.0M: 12.23 : 23.35 +0.09 : 122.29 - 0.38 0.00M: 1292.0 $47.43 : $93.22 - 0.06 : 126.83 - 0.47/ 02, 080 : 247, 3,600
25: 244.56 +0.57 52.2M: 11.28 : 23.41 +0.06 : 122.74 +0.45 12.3M: 1297.9 $47.87 : $92.55 - 0.67 : 127.32 +0.49/ 02, 082 : 250, 3850

#

28: 244.57 +0.01 00.0M: 11.32 : 24.26 -0.15 : 124.69 +0.00 00.0M: 1315.3 $46.57 : $92.20 - 0.35 : 124.69 +0.37/
29: 244.85 +0.28 47.8M: 11.70 : 24.42 +0.16 : 124.42 - 0.27 9.74M: 1316.9 $46.44 : $92.33 +0.13 : 124.42 - 0.27/ 00, 085 : 000, 4,285

30: 246.01 +1.16 00.0M: 11.22 : 24.16 -0.26 : 124.36 - 0.06 0.00M: 1314.1 $45.96 : $92.56 +0.00 : 127.61 +0.19/ 03, 088 : 250, 4,535
31: 247.49 +1.48 75.8M: 10.59 : 24.72 +0.56 : 125.82 +1.46 11.3M: 1322.2 $47.23 : $92.62 +0.06 : 127.99 +0.38/ 03, 091 : 231, 4,766

01: 247.84 +0.35 49.6M: 10.13 : 24.78 +0.06 : 126.06 +0.24 11.3M: 1330.4 $47.29 : $92.85 +0.17 : 126.75 - 0.98/ 08, 008 : 040, 0040
#

05: 246.06 -1.78 81.8M: 12.31 : 25.31 +0.53 : 127.46 +1.40 11.3M: 1344.5 $48.66 : $92.29 -0.56 : 128.76 +2.01/ 00, 015 : 000, 0220

06: 246.90 +0.84 52.9M: 11.63 : 24.92 -0.39 : 126.81 -0.65 8.53M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $92.21 -0.64 : 127.97 - 0.79/ 00, 019 : 000, 0,275

07: 246.87 -0.03 52.0M: 11.55 : 25.49 +0.57 : 128.13 +1.32 9.94M: 1350.3 $49.09 : $91.54 -0.67 : 129.28 +1.31/ 04, 023 : 110, 0,385

08: 246.58 -0.29 51.0M: 12.12 : 25.24 - 0.25 : 127.97 - 0.16 8.71M: 1351.2 $47.48 : $91.33 -0.21 : 129.00 - 0.28/ 05, 028 : 165, 0,550

#

11: 249.21 +2.63 59.5M: 10.62 : 24.56 - 0.68 : 126.19 - 1.78 8.48M: 1335.7 $48.07 : $91.83 +0.50 : 127.46 - 1.54/ 05, 033 : 000, 1000
12: 250.05 +0.84 50.1M: 10.58 : 24.67 +0.11 : 126.56 +0.37 7.64M: 1332.7 $48.23 : $91.81 - 0.02 : 126.79 - 0.67/ 05, 038 : 200, 1200
13: 250.17 +0.12 43.0M: 10.50 : 24.22 - 0.45 : 125.61 - 0.95 8.26M: 1328.0 $49.30 : $93.39 - 0.01 : 126.29 - 0.50/ 00, 038 : 080, 1280

14: 250.09 - 0.08 95.4M: 10.44 : 24.37 +0.15 : 126.16 +0.55 5.33M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $92.12 - 1.27 : 126.81 +0.52/ 00, 000 : 000, 0000
15: 249.19 - 1.00 95.4M: 10.17 : 24.13 - 0.24 : 125.53 +0.00 8.38M: 1325.2 $49.89 : $91.87 +0.75 : 126.88 +0.07/
x
18: 249.72 +0.80 46.2M: 10.15 : 23.73 - 0.40 : 124.36 - 0.17 0.00M: 1310.8 $50.35 : $92.02 +0.15 : 126.12 - 0.00/ 00, 043 : 000, 1625

19: 249.97 +0.25 00.0M: %9.78 : 23.85 + 0.12 : 124.62 +0.26 0.00M: 1310.6 $49.90 : $91.84 - 0.18 : 125.82 - 0.30/ 01, 044 : 050, 1675
20: 250.06 +0.09 51.0M: %9.67 : 23.50 - 0.35 : 123.62 - 1.00 11.2M: 1316.4 $50.69 : $92.44 +0.60 : 125.91 +0.09/ 03, 047 : 132, 1807

21: 249.39 - 0.67 41.8M: %9.79 : 23.21 - 0.29 : 122.68 - 0.94 7.71M: 1294.8 $50.55 : $91.95 -0.49 : 125.84 - 0.07/ 01, 048 : 136, 1243

22: 249.44 +0.05 37.9M: %9.59 : 23.47 +0.26 : 123.24 +0.56 5.62M: 1294.1 $50.66 : $92.14 +0.19 : 126.20 +0.36/ 00, 048 : 090, 2034

#

25: 248.93 - 0.51 50.8M: 10.33 : 23.83 +0.36 : 124.53 +1.29 10.1M: 1311.5 $52.22 : $93.05 +0.91 : 126.99 +0.79/ 00, 055 : 000, 2330

26: 249.08 +0.15 43.6M: %9.81 : 23.35 - 0.48 : 123.14 - 1.39 8.30M: 1301.7 $51.88 : $93.42 +0.37 : 126.76 - 0.23/ 00, 055 : 163, 2493
27: 250.05 +0.97 63.4M: %9.99 : 22.99 - 0.36 : 121.98 - 1.16 6.77M: 1287.8 $52.14 : $93.28 - 0.14 : 124.85 - 1.91/ 02, 057 : 189, 2682

28: 250.35 +0.30 00.0M: %9.55 : 23.16 +0.17 : 122.21 +0.23 0.00M: 1288.7 $51.56 : $93.13 - 0.15 : 124.73 +0.25/ 02, 059 : 207, 2889

29: 251.23 +0.88 60.7M: %9.51 : 22.96: -0.20 : 121.58 -0.63 8.77M: 1284.8 $51,67 : $93.07 - 0.06 : 124.76 +0.28/ 01, 060 : 081, 2970

===

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Long Term Charts updated from time-to-time, to at least: June 30, 2017

 

IWM / etf for Russell-2000 - to 12/31/16 : $134.85, 2016 range: $93.64 to 138.82 : +48.25% - beta 1.845

... All : 10-yrs : 12mos // SPY ... : To-End-2015 : last-12mos

Eum0OSz.gif

 


EIGHT KEY CHARTS
=================

- Watch for the 76d-MA (blue) Crossing the 987d-MA (yellow), or

- The 52wk MA crossing the 330wk-MA -on Weekly chart

Updates: (updated at end Dec. 2016) - some updates still needed
=====

SPY / S&P500 etf - (UP) ...SPY: to 12/31/16 : $223.53, 2016 range: 181.02 to 228.34 : +26.14% - beta 1.00

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but may be rolling over soon

91oi1Lu.gif

.
TLT / T-Bonds etf - (DOWN) ... TLT: to 12/31/16 : $119.13, 2016 range: 116.80 to 143.62 : +22.96% - beta 87.8%

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Made an important Peak in 2016 (?) identified in prior chart here !

vQgDVPr.gif

 

update

TLT / 5 years of Bond market action ... update: 130 is a 50% retracement of the drop

1Jh7UfT.gif

.
UUP / USDollar x2 etf - (Peaking?) ... to 12/31/16 : $26.46, 2016 range: $23.96 to $26.77 : +11.73% - beta 44.9%

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but looking very tired

we0MnPN.gif

.
USO / Oil etf - (Battling DOWNtrend) ... to 12/31/16 : $11.72, 2016 range: $07.67 to $12.45 : +62.32% - beta 2.38

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : 10yrL : Price is battling that old Downtrend

3KjXXv8.gif

.
XLE / Oil stocks - (Fighting back UP) ... to 12/31/16 : $75.32, 2016 range: $49.93 to $78.45 : +57.11% - beta 2.185

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is DOWN, reversing?

Old-trend-was-accelerating ... as the uptrend ended

6jhe9mD.gif

.
OIH / Oil service - (Fight DOWNtrend) ... $11.72, 2016 range: $07.67 to $12.45 : +62.32% - beta 2.38

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Major Bottom in place?

y8duvmx.gif

.
GLD / Gold etf - (Reversing Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : 109.61, 2016 range: 102.49 to 131.15 : +27.96% - beta 1.07

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversing to Up?

g5HatzJ.gif

.
GDX / Gold stocks - (Breaking Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : $20.92, 2016 range: $12.40 to $31.79 : +156.4% - beta 5.98

GDX ... All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversed to Up in 2016 maybe?

Yxg6cVX.gif

.

HUI Chart - price data goes back further ... 12/31/16 : 182.31, 2016 range: $99.19 to 286.05 : +199.4% - beta 7.64

All-data-update :

qov4i26.gif

.

China's Shanghai index last bounced of a support level near 2,600
ShComp 12/31/16 : 3103.6, 2016 range: 2638.3 to 3538.7 : +34.12% - beta 1.305

CN : SHcomp ... All-Log : All-Data

joDAcWU.gif

 

 

===== Links to other CHARTS =====

10yrs : SLV : GDXJ : / log : AGQ : PSLV : UGL : ??

PHM +, GDXJ -, RGLD -, HK:HSI +, HK:12 -new,

=====

 

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Gold's 4-6 months Cycle:

 

The next cycle Low is due any day now /or overdue - and may have come already in early May.

 

GLD: update: end-may: $116.06 +0.44/ UK:GBS: $115.50/ HK-2840: $ 898.5 /7.76= $115.80 : HK-3081: $29.35 r-30.61

GLD.gif : ImgHst.co

 

The longer history of the cycles looked like this: 2013-15 :

 

: Low, Dec.15th,2016: 1129.8 / $103.04 = 10.96 / intraday: 1123/$103= 10.90
Gold-toUSD_zp.png

 

Look what happened after that Dec.2015 Low - a Nice Rally ! And then once again after a Dec. 2016 Low:Gold-toUSD.png

 

In April'17, I said: The Rally "may be petering out in April, and Gold (gold shares and silver), turned lower with bonds."

I anticipated this - and went short, selling Gold positions, and buying puts on TMF, a 3X etf linked to Bond prices.

But this anticipated cyclical low (May/June) either came early, or is coming late - It does not look as distinct (yet!) as prior lows.

So I am relunctant to bet on the Low and Buy at this stage.

 

TMF - this chart was from mid-April

"Rising interest rates, may turnaround the falling dollar, and "put the Kabash" on the rise in Gold..."

These prices tend to move together : TMF, GDX, UGLD, SLV : Bonds, Gold stocks, Gold, and Silver.

And they have been moving in a shared 4-6 months cycle - but this latest dip in Gold has not been accompanied by TMF until this week

 

TMF... 2-yrs : 5-yrs : 6-mos / 10-d : this chart was from mid-April7nuMzVn.gif

:

TMF HAS finally dropped - & with it Bonds, Gold, Gold shares, silver...

TMY is approximately about 9% lower, over just four days

TMF-etc.10d ... update

: Chart below is updated to 9/01/2017

m46u6D2.gif

: ImgHst.co

 

....prices may be beginning to decouple.

A GAP is opening up between higher Gold, and lower Bond prices - the gap is now about 6% ($100 on Gold) in 10 days

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BRADLEY Model :
TURN dates
2015 : May 10, May 25, June 8, Sept. 23, Oct. 17
2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29
2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, -Jan.4, +Jan.17
====

SPY... 2015-2017: Dec.31, 2016: $223.53 / May.01, 2017: $ 238.77 +$15.24 : + 6.82% on the Year

2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29

2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, / -Jan.4, +Jan.17

2017-SPY.gif : IMGHST.co

 

Model for 2017: 2016 : 2015 :
SP_500_Bradley_Siderograph.png
===

 

Bonds peaked first in 2015, then the Dollar, then stocks... In early July (when the Bradley model peaked), TLT hit new highs.

TLT... 2015-2017 : Dec.31, 2016: $119.13 / Mar.01, 2017: $119.47 : + $0.34 : + 0.29% on the Year

 

2017-TLT.gif : IMGHST.co

 

USD trade-weighted:

DXY ... 2015-2017 : DXY-all-data : 10d : Dec.31, 2016: $102.36 / Mar.01, 2017: $101.77 : - $0.59 : - 0.57% on the Year2017-DXY.gif : IMGHST.co

 

 

OTHER Indices : USO : GLD : GDX : PHM : IYR : UGLD-vsGDX : : IMGHST.co2017-UGLDetc.gif : IMGHST.co

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Relative Valuations : Resistance at 200% - Not so futile? Apparently!

 

SPX -toGold Ratio seems to pull back when it hits 2.0 -

"May happen again soon," I said in early May, and it pulled back from 1.977 ! and then again at 2.012 !

 

WP0f2Rw.png

 

 

SPX -toTLT / Bonds floating at high level (on cheap money) - may have put in an RS / Right Shoulder

SPX-toTLT.png : imghst.co

 

TMF (2x bonds) vs. UGLD, GDX, SLV ... 5-years

bBIZ3kl.gif

=

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Was I wrong?

In any case, I have bought No Puts yet... Did not pull the Trigger

 

Might we get the exact opposite, and Tony Caldaro believes?

 

STOCKS are very near a Logical Peak

 

In July, U said: "Stocks are... approaching my 'Ideal' Targets"

 

They may have peaked already - as some like Tony Caldaro have suggested.

But ideal looking targets are just ahead :

+ SPX : 2500

+ IWM : $144

 

IWM.png: imghst

 

Caldaro thinks a 3rd-of 3rd POWERFUL UP MOVE may have begun:

 

> https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2017/08/31/thursday-update-596/

 

Since Tuesday morning’s gap down SPX 2428 opening low the market has now rallied 47-points with only two 6-point pullbacks along the way. The market’s best rally in over a month. The NDX/NAZ are +2.5% for the week, the TRAN/R2K +2.0%, SOX +3.0%, and Biotech +8.0%. Does this broad/steady participation suggest an SPX hourly chart third wave? Despite lots of short-term counts floating around, the market currently appears to be on cruise control. Short term support is at the 2456 and 2444 pivots, with resistance at the 2479 and 2525 pivots. Short term momentum ended the day quite overbought. Best to you NFP trading!

MEDIUM TERM: market inflection point

LONG TERM: uptrend

CHARTS: https://stockcharts.com/public/1269446/tenpp

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ARMSTRONG Fans?

 

DGaqDuoXYAExZ6Y.jpg

 

allen kimble says:

Looks like you’re a fan of Martin Armstrong?

I suggest you listen to him on the coming correction/scare(this fall) and then the slingshot higher thereafter. I hope you’d change your losing short position after this.

Allen,
I’m confused. Armstrong’s business cycle shows a peak (in November 2017?) and then a big decline all the way in 2020. How do you read the slingshot higher and when will it be?

I have trouble understanding the Armstrong charts.

Thanks in advance,

Joseph

allen kimble says:

Hi Joseph,

Martin Armstrongs cycles are not used to be in 100% correlation with the stock market, even though the last crisis(2007-2008)did. According to Martin. Late 2015 was a turning point in people around the world starting to wake up and distrust government. Thus people will be putting their money into private assets (stocks) to shield themselves from the impending government downtrend. Again, according to Martin, in order to start the “REAL” bubble in assets prices there must be a fake move down. That fake move down appears to be some time this fall. After the fake move there should be a slingshot move higher created by the energy from the down move. So in conclusion his thesis is that once government starts to crack, bond yields from around the world will go higher as investors start to flee these instruments in fear governments might collapse. In turn the stock market will go for awhile until it’s unsustainable and then they have to sell private assets(stocks..etc)to maintain or satisfy margin calls. Then…and only then will this time be met with a massive crash. After the bubble rise.

Now……This is what should happen but things have a strange way of just never crashing….banks get bailout…people are continuing buying government debt…etc……Even Martin says it might be delayed until 2030. Tricky..tricky…as always lol

  • tony caldaro says:

    The 2030’s fit precisely with our work.
    The Protest secular cycle, like the late-1960’s to early-1980’s.
    Rising inflation, rising rates, distrust of gov’t big time, and nearly two decades of sideways stock markets.

    • mjtplayer says:

      Tony, according to Martin, the next crisis will be 2018-2020, a monetary crisis in Europe. This is the beginning of the loss of confidence in government. Europe first, the US last closer to 2032

  • Perfect! Thanks so much for explaining that well Allen.I could never get that from the small bits and snippets I heard/read from Armstrong before, likely because I only had access to disconnected bits. This clears it up for me. Now I only need the actual times

==

> comments from Tony Caldero's Blog: https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2017/08/31/thursday-update-596/#comments

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DATA UPDATED to Friday, 9/01 - but with some gaps

/

Price: (YrE'15): (07/01): (YrE'16)/ (03/31): (04/28) (05/26) : (06/02) (06/30) : (07/28) (08/04) : (08/11) (09/01) :
Gold : 1060.5 : 1344.9 : 1151.7 / 1251.2 : 1268.3 : 1268.1 : 1280.2 : 1242.3 : 1275.3 : 1264.6 : 1294.0 : 1330.4 :
GLD : 101.46 : 128.41 : 109.61 / 118.72 : 120.77 : 120.54 : 121.61 : 118.20 : 120.69 : 119.65 : 122.79 : 126.06 :
GDX : $13.72 : $29.05 : $20.95 / $22.81 : $22.23 : $22.94: $22.76 : $22.08 : $22.91 : $22.32 : $23.15 : $24.78 :
Ratio: R7.395: R4.420 : R5.232 / R5.205 : r5.433 : r5.255 : R5.343 : r5.353 : R5.268 : r5.361 : R5.304 : r5.087 (/10.55)
Ratio 13.52%: 22.62%: 19.11% / 19.21%: 18.41%: 19.03%: 18.72%: 18.68%: 18.98%: 18.65%: 18.85%: 00.00% (GDx5?.7)
Gdxj : $19.21 : $45.38 : $31.55 / $35.98 : $32.23 : $31.92 : $31.88 : $33.38 : $33.64 : $32.39 : $33.63 : $36.26 :
Spdr : 642.37: 953.91: 822.17 / 834.EE : 853.26 : 847.45 : 865Est : 852.50 : 791.88 : 786.EE : 786.87 : 831.21 = 26.72M oz.
Au/S : R-1.65 : R-1.41 : r1.401 / R1.50E : R1.486 : R1.496 : r1.480 : R1.457 : r1.610 : r1.61E : r1.644 : r1.601 :
TLT : 120.58 : 140.57 : 119.13 / 120.71 : 122.35 : 123.48 :: 125.62 : 125.12 : 123.89 : 124.93 : 126.43 : 126.75 :
G/Tlt : r8.795 : R9.567: R9.668/ R10.37 : R10.37: R10.27 : R10.19 : R9.929 : R10.29 : R10.12 : R10.23 : R10.50/vs L: 8.65
====
AGS : Y3,210 : y4,157 : y3,988 / y4,124 : y4,094 : y3,??? : y3,???? : Y3,??? : y3,000 : y3,000 : y3,000 : y3,000 >17.07 :
SLV- : $13.19 : $18.74 : $15.11 / $17.25 : $16.30 : $16.40 : $16.59 : $15.71 : $15.81 : $15.38 : $16.17 : $16.73 :
WPM: $12.42 : $24.78 : $19.32 / $20.84 : $19.97 : $20.89 : $20.38 : $19.89 : $20.51 : $19.56 : $19.04 : $20.96 :
SIL*- : $18.51 : $45.95 : $32.11 / $36.02 : $34.90 : $35.93 : $35.19 : $33.95 : $34.57 : $32.73 : $33.83 : $35.14 :
DBA : $20.61 : $21.98 : $19.97 / $19.78 : $19.74 : $19.83 : $19.90 : $19.85 : $19.94 : $19.66 : $19.20 : $18.60 :
XLE- : $60.32 : $68.60 : $75.32 / $69.90 : $67.84 : $66.61 : $65.09 : $64.92 : $66.47 : $65.64 : $63.94 : $63.58 :
Cop'r: $2.135 : $2.220 : $2.510 / $2.652 : $2.610 : $2.570 : $2.570 : $2.710 : $2.910 : $2.880 : $2.910 : $3.120 :
WTI- : $37.07 : $49.28 : $53.72 / $50.30 : $49.33 : $49.80 : $47.66 : $46.04 : $49.75 : $49.58 : $48.82 : $47.29 :
CRB : 176.27 : 194.26 : 192.51 / 185.88 : 181.73 : 182.00 : 177.96 : 174.78 : 182.12 : 180.68 : 179.61 : 180.85 :
Corn : 358.00 : 360.25 : 352.00 / 364.40 : 366.50 : 374.25 : 372.75 : 381.00 : 374.25 : 366.50 : 360.75 : 355.25 :
Wheat 468.50 : 496.25 : 408.00 / 426.50 : 432.25 : 438.25 : 429.50 : 526.00 : 481.00 : 454.75 : 439.25 : 438.75 :
Sugar 15.24c : 20.78C : 19.51c / 16.76c : 16.13c : 15.05ct : 13.74c : 13.81c : 14.37c : 14.14c : 13.20c : 13.75c :
BTC : $433.5 : $680.0 : $948.5 / 1041.1 : 1315.0 : 2290.0 : 2500.0 : 2521.0 : 2770.0 : 2800.0 : 3610.0 : 4900.0 :
B/G.: 40.88%: 50.56%: 82.36%/ 83.20%: 103.7%: 180.6%: 195.3%: 202.9%: 217.2%: 2------- : 279.% : 368. % :
N.A.V. : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------->: $3,800. : $3,300 : $3,610 :
Hedge: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------->: $4,000. : $0,300 : $3,750 :
====
EEM- : $32.19 : $34.69 : $35.01 / $39.39 : $40.06 : $41.74 : $41.76 : $41.39 : $43.75 : $43.95 : $42.92 : $45.16 :
FXI -- : $35.29 : $34.48 : $34.71 / $38.49 : $38.53 : $40.23 : $40.52 : $39.71 : $42.42 : $42.84 : $41.81 : $44.26 :
ShCm : 3519.2 : 2932.5 : 3103.6 / 3222.5 : 3154.7 : 3110.1 : 3105.5 : 3192.4 : 3272.2: 3264.1 : 3208.5 : 3000
PHM- : $17.82 : $19.48 : $18.38 / $23.55 : $22.67 : $22.84 : $23.71 : $24.53 : $24.35 : $25.60 : $24.84 : $25.87 :
IYR -- : $75.08 : $82.33 : $76.94/ $78.49 : $78.93 : $79.13 : $79.94 : $79.77 : $80.67 : $80.50 : $78.99 : $81.21 :
IWM - : 112.62 : 115.39 : 134.85 / 137.48 : 139.06 : 137.54 : 139.85 : 140.92 : 141.96 : 140.21 : 136.47 : 140.52 :
XLF - : $23.82 : $22.74 : $23.25 / $23.73 : $23.53 : $23.61 : $23.45 : $24.67 : $24.91 : $25.39 : $24.73 : $24.77 :
XLF/S: 11.68%: 10.83%: 10.31% / 10.47%: 9.883%: 9.768%: 9.600%: 10.20%: 10.09%: 10.26%: 10.13%: 9.999% :
SPY- : 203.87 : 209.92 : 223.53- / 235.74 : 238.08 : 241.71 : 244.17 : 241.80 : 246.91 : 247.41 : 244.12 : 247.84 :
VIX-- : 18.21%: 14.77%: 14.04% / 10.96%: 10.82%: 09.77% : 09.75%: 11.18%: 10.29%: 10.03%: 15.15%: 10.13%:
ShPut $6.670 : $02.85 : $08.30 / $13.15 : $11.45 : $09.58 : $08.62 : $08.31 : $05.44 : $05.39: $07.45 : $0 -Ja$240p
DXY - : 98.693 : 95.720 : 102.38 / 100.22 : $99.04 : $97.40 : $96.67 : $95.64 : $93.33 : $93.49 : $92.96 : $92.66 :
H-gold: R10.75 : r14.05: R11.25 / R12.56 : R12.81 : R13.02 : R13.24: R12.99 : R13.66: R13.53 : r13.92 : R14.36 / 11.3-14.2
=====
Gold : 1060.5 : 1344.9 : 1151.7 / 1251.2 : 1268.3 : 1268.1 : 1280.2 : 1242.3 : 1275.3 : 1264.6 : 1294.0 : 1330.4 :

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PH PESO has been one of the weaker currencies

- there has been a Big move UP in the Euro in 2017:

(down in the USD value of EUR)

 

(The US dollar hit its peak at the end of 2016, after Trump's election)

 

USD in Euros ... update : Peak: Eur.$0.967 / Latest: Eur.$0843 - 12.8%

OrKMxEg.gif

 

EUR in PHP Pesos ... update : Recent Low: Eur.$0.967 / Latest: Eur.$0843 - 12.8%

eraM8PD.gif

 

 

Peso-euro rate weakens 17% year-to-date

By Wilson Sy (The Philippine Star) | September 4, 2017 - 12:00am
peso-B.jpg

 

The main reason why the peso has weakened substantially against the euro this year is because of the extraordinary strength of euro. The euro is one of the best performing currencies this year.

Reasons why euro is strong

There are a number of reasons why the euro is surprisingly strong this year. We enumerate them below:

1) Broad-based economic recovery in the Eurozone – Led by Germany which expanded 2.1 percent in 2Q17, the Euro area is growing at its fastest pace since the 2012 EU sovereign debt crisis.

2) Growth continues to surprise to the upside – The euro area economy is poised to achieve above potential growth over the next two years, according to Moody’s. In contrast to the upgrades in EU growth outlook, the US growth outlook has revised downwards.

3) Unemployment at eight-year lows – Unemployment rate in the Euro area is at an eight-year low of 9.1 percent in July 2017. In the case of Germany, the unemployment rate of 4.1 percent is at multi-decade lows.

4) Exports hit record highs – Exports grew eight percent in the first six months of 2017 on the back of vehicle and machinery exports. EU enjoys a trade surplus of EUR 107.7 billion vs. its trading partners

==

> more: http://www.philstar.com/business/2017/09/04/1735490/peso-euro-rate-weakens-17-year-date

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Hedging Rules okay?

 

Bitcoin $4800-5000? Looks possible now ... 6-mos :

BH964Cb.png

==

 

 

Bitcoin prices hit my Target on Bitmex, and I am now fully hedged (again).

Unfortunately, I got thrown out of my previous "hedged position" at the wrong time, and experienced heavy "rollcosts".

Thus, over the last 2-3 months saw an erosion in my NAV from $4000 to $3100. It has since recovered to $3600.

But I now have some doubts about the ability to hedge effectively through Bitmex

of my NAV down from

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Reading DANGEROUS-ly ! - and putting the book in front of the PTB

 

Gentle Art of subversion - as practiced by fans of Milo.

In front of the Lie-Stream media, and their vile allies in Silicon Valley

 

Reading DANGEROUS at Silicon Valley and in front of the MSM

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Why gold is up today ... +$13. to $1337

 

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif

 

This could explain it.

 

Kim’s regime claimed on Sunday it successfully detonated a hydrogen bomb that can fit onto an intercontinental ballistic missile, advancing its quest to be able to hit the U.S. with a nuclear weapon. Earlier in the day it said it now had a bomb with a maximum force topping 100 kilotons -- more than six times the magnitude of what the U.S. detonated over Hiroshima.

Regardless of whether it was actually a hydrogen bomb, the explosion was big enough to “pretty much end an American city” if strapped on an ICBM, according to Vipin Narang, an associate professor of political science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who focuses on nuclear issues. That makes it harder for either the U.S. or China to force Kim to back down, he said.

==

> more:

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Tony C on stocks - the importance of Trannies

 

trandaily.png?w=1000&h=

 

We have spent the past two-three weeks reviewing various indices for potential market headwinds to our long-term bullish scenario. The Transports, which we will continue to track in the weekly update, displays a potential completed 5/9 wave bull market at the recent TRAN 9764 high. Since this index often tops months before the general indices, a completed bull market would suggest there are only months left in the general bull market. To confirm the bearish scenario a drop below TRAN 8744 would have to occur. There is the possibility, however, that Major wave 5 (8744-9764) was only Intermediate wave i of Major 5. An uptrend confirmation, then rally to new highs in the TRAN, would suggest the general bull market will not end soon, but continue to extend.

==

> https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2017/09/02/weekend-update-620/

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INDU to Gold still in Long term Slide?

 

Hmm if gold clears $1400, then that's a 2 year new high. North Korea's H-bomb detonation today could be the catalyst. This could be the end of the stock bull run, and a resumption of the dow/gold run to 1-1 ratio.

 

Untitled.png

 

11111.png

update

7JuA75b.png

==

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YouTube Alternatives - Rated !

 

RATED

===

T10 : T-7 : T- 5 : Alternative

----- : ---- : ---- :

#01 : #01 : #01 : Vimeo

#02 : #03 : #02 : Dailymotion

#03 : #--- : #--- : Zippcast ..... (site dead?)

#04 : #--- : #--- : Google Video (GOOG = EVIL)

#05 : #04 : #04 : Metacafe

#06 : #--- : #--- : Vevo ..... "I honestly don't understand why everyone hates Vevo"

#07 : #--- : #--- : Twitch

#08 : #--- : #--- : Xbox Video

#09 : #--- : #--- : Revver ..... "Porn"

#10 : #--- : #--- : Blip.TV

#?? : #02 : #--- : Flickr

#?? : #--- : #--- : Bitchute

#?? : #05 : #--- : Photobucket (model changed, cost higher)

#19 : #06 : #--- : Veoh

#23 : #--- : #03 : Interactive Archive : "Not only does it have YouTube videos, it has removed YouTube videos, movies"

#?? : #--- : #05 : 9GagTV

===: ===: ===:

??? : 5/17: 7/17: DATE

 

Top 10 Best Alternatives To YouTube - TheTopTens®
https://www.thetoptens.com/best-alternatives-youtube/

I'm Anti-Google due to their "privacy policy" and all the info they collect from every individual that uses any of their services.
So I choose Vimeo because, although they also collect "certain" information about you (as do most sites) it's not a fraction of what YouTUBE does merely because they form part of Google.M+91

Vimeo has been around just as long as YouTube, except it's much better, and much less popularity. They deserve the amount of users YouTube has.M+75

Vimeo shows high quality shows that aren't cluttered

loganruckmanman YouTube is going downhill with its 10 minute time limit, suspending users for no reason, and you can't get your account back. It wouldn't ...

 

Where Would You Go If YouTube Died? 7 YouTube Alternatives

https://www.shoutmeloud.com/youtube-alternatives.html

There a few drawbacks of YouTube and that is where its competitors come into the picture. Here’s a run-down of few things that went wrong in YouTube:

  • Suspending users for no reason and after suspending, you can’t get your account back in any conditions.
  • Infamous comment section of YouTube,
  • and the notorious DMCA takedown system.

May 6, 2017 - Where would the internet herd head to if YouTube were to die?! Here we provide you with the best 7 alternatives for the internet video ...

 

5 YouTube Alternatives That You Must Try - Guiding Tech

https://www.guidingtech.com/65044/youtube-alternatives/

  1. Jul 11, 2017 - YouTube is the most popular video platform on the internet right now but at times you need some variety in your life. Here are 5 alternatives to ...
YouTube Alternatives: 7 Best Video Sharing Sites | Beebom
https://beebom.com › Social Media

Feb 28, 2017 - Looking at the options, here are some of the best video sites like YouTube, where you can either upload or watch videos, check these ...

==

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Top or Dip?

 

It is very possible we HAVE seen a Major Top

 

 

$5000-ish was an obvious "ultimate" target - which I identified when the price rose thru $4600.

Now the sell off is heavy

 

BTS - 6-mos

lxe2TCk.png

==

 

Bitcoin dips another $300 after China’s cryptocurrency crackdown

  • Bitcoin hit a low of $4,037 Tuesday - falling by more than $300 - as it continued to digest a Chinese clampdown on cryptocurrencies
  • The latest drop indicates a 20 percent fall following the coin's $5,000 high over the weekend
  • Several Chinese regulators announced a ban on initial coin offerings (ICOs) on Monday

Bitcoin fell by another $300 on Tuesday after the fallout of a Chinese ban on cryptocurrency crowdfunding methods saw the price of the digital coin slump earlier this week.

The virtual currency fell from $4,584 to $4,350 on Monday...

"The price action has certainly been led by this Chinese salvo - but healthy profits and moving traders to take gains off the table too until the panic calms," Charles Hayter, chief executive and founder of digital currency comparison website CryptoCompare, told CNBC via email.

The bitcoin analyst said that the cryptocurrency crackdown was expected due to "irrational excesses" in the Chinese market.

==

> https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/05/bitcoin-dips-another-200-after-chinas-cryptocurrency-crackdown.html

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"Echo Chamber" (Verrit)

I love the way that Styx frames this... and explains this

 

Clinton Still Feebly Trying to "Resist" Something, Spouts Off about Laughable Meme Website

 

This (new) attempt to the Left to control things may (again) backfire.

Styx finds much humor in the Left's ham-fisted efforts

 

"I'm still not seeing anyone, apart from Bernie Sanders maybe, who can take on Trump"

 

"You've got an echo chamber they built...

This goes with all the other echo chambers at Youtube, Facebook, Google, etc.

But it is less user friendly. Who is going to use it?

What about being for all people? This is only for those who voted for Hillary"

 

See, Hillary's new Propaganda machine, Verrit:

> http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=21671

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Let HER do it!

She can virtue-signal after six months or so of real-life experience

 

CherDACA-200x150.jpg

Cher: House and Protect DACA Dreamers in Your Homes

 

... but NOT before that, I suggest

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Top of Page Charts: Gold / USD / china gold // Russell / Copper / china silver

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : 24hr-euro-small.gif : t24_au_en_euoz_2.gif : AuTD1.png?id=11409261605

idx24_russell_en_2.gif : t24_ag_en_usoz_2.gif:: idx24_hui_en_2.gif : AgTD0.png?id=11409221912

3d : ag : au

 

China/SGE: 4,200 RMB/kg / 6.150 = $ 683 / 35.274 = $19.36 (discount of about 20-25 cents?)

10/08-10am: Rmb3,846 /6.140 = $ 626.4 / 35.274 = $17.76 (prem. 57 cents)

10/13-9.am : Rmb3,884 /6.136 = $ 633.0 / 35.274 = $17.94 -$17.39= prm-$0.55

Goldstock : HK-2840 : GBS.L : GLD : GDX : NUGT : tza/faz -- HKpeg : DXY : StkX : 10-d : SPX : sjw : img :

HK 3081: 2899: 1051: hs / UK: POG / ABX : Sil : IAG : dba-etc. ... lot : PB : CVN : CC2 : BTC : SLV-lv

===============================================

 

GLD / Gold etf ... 5-yrs :

HvHcIu9.gif

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Kitco's Gold-related articles

 

PRECIOUS-Gold gains after Trump's debt ceiling agreement hurts dollar Reuters07:14AM

=== ===
Gold clawed higher on Thursdayafter President Donald Trump agreed a deal with opposition Democrats to temporarily extend the U.S. debt limit, helping toweaken the dollar.    Continuing tensions with North Korea over its nuclear testsprovided further support for safe-haven gold ahead of a meetingof the European Central Bank.

. . .

The 15 Minute Spot Gold chart looks to be setting up for another $5 move now. And if that were lower we'd be below that hourly gap respected, filled and then reaffirmed as support recently. Second time through would probably be worse.

 

IMG_4619.PNG

Debt ceiling can be kicked to December, Trump gets more power to reshape the Fed, and U.S. seeks to cut off North Korea's oil access

. . .

An inevitable global government crackdown on cryptocurrencies will trigger a new rush to gold, said emerging markets guru Mark Mobius.

Digital currencies are bound to catch the eyes of lawmakers, largely due to their popularity among illicit segments of societies, the executive chairman at Templeton Emerging Markets Group, told Bloomberg in an interview on Monday.

“Cryptocurrencies are beginning to get out of control and it’s going to attract the attention of governments around the world,” Mobius said. “You’re going to get a reversion back to gold because people are going to wonder, can I really trust these currencies?”

The famed investor pointed out that digital currencies like bitcoin are often used by terrorist groups and drug dealers, making a crackdown on them unavoidable.

.

IMG_4617.JPG?itok=Id1_m0FB

We have made it clear we are big fans of Enda Glynn's Elliot Wave work and continue to be. Enda is still enthusiastic about $1550 prospects for Gold and we can't argue. It was his analysis that corroborated our work and started the "Project $1550" posts. It was our own risk parameters that took us out of longs, not his.

Here is his latest. Note well that the wave counts in both Gold and the Yen are bullish. Something may have to give here, unless there is an

event that strengthens gold, the dollar, and weakens (increases yen per USD) we don't see both in reading in the same time frame. But we also aren't taking into account that maybe Japanese inflation is coming. Stranger things have happened for sure.

Maybe just be long the Euro?

Anyway, we'll have a question on that into Enda shortly and let you know the feedback. In the meantime, the Gold

work has been spot on all summer. And it again aligns with our seeing a pullback in the cards for ourmuch beleaguered, but never beaten store of value.

In short, we are ok with any selloff above $1292 , and so is the wave count shown here.

. . .

Gold was going up regardless of the political tensions in North Korea. Gold has been rising and it’s not because of a safe haven,” Peter Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, recently told RT.

“If there was really geopolitical fear out there, the stock markets would be falling but they’re not. They are rising so people are not buying gold because they need a safe haven at least not from geopolitical events, I think they’re buying gold to get out of the U.S. dollar.”

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== ==

rLvq2Tb.jpg

 

LINK :: http://tinyurl.com/verrit

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"Nuclear" storm Irma?
204937_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Maximum sustained winds remain near 175 mph (280 km/h) withhigher gusts.  Irma is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-SimpsonHurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likelyduring the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain apowerful category 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days.Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) fromthe center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185miles (295 km).

Miami Beach Mayor Says Residents Must Leave: 'This Is A Nuclear Hurricane'...
OFFICIAL WARNINGS ISSUED; UP TO 10-FT STORM SURGE PALM BEACH, FT LAUDERDALE... MORE
'No Buildings We Can Guarantee To Keep People Safe'...
Storm tightens aim on Florida...
Could impact EVERY major city...
FEMA Chief: Will be 'devastating'...
Thousands of troops deployed...
Supplies cleaned out...
Gas Stations Run Dry...

 

Say some prayers for the people in its pathway

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Fed Head: List? : http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=21675

 

The White House is considering at least a half-dozen candidates to be the next head of the Federal Reserve, including economists, executives with banking experience and other business people, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The breadth of the search goes against the narrative that has taken hold in Washington and on Wall Street that the Fed chair nomination is a two-horse race between National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn and current Fed Chair Janet Yellen, whose term expires in February.

 

TLT / 5 years of Bond market action ... update: 130 is a 50% retracement of the drop

1Jh7UfT.gif

 

Some of the other possible contenders include former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, Columbia University economist Glenn Hubbard and Stanford University professor John Taylor, one of the people familiar said. Lawrence Lindsey, a former economic adviser to President George W. Bush, has been discussed. Former US Bancorp CEO Richard Davis and John Allison, the former CEO of BB&T Corp., have also been considered.

 

TLT - All data

vQgDVPr.gif

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