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DrBubb's Diary - Apr. 2017 Trading - v.99

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Are "Legal Monopolies" the safest way to Huge, huge wealth?

 

Frisby's Bulls and Bears is still going strong - and here's an interesting recent interview from 2017

 

 

image.jpg?w=500&h=500 : 51PRa2GIupL._SX328_BO1,204,203,200_.jpg

Sam Wilkin: Wealth Secrets of the One Percent

Wealth Secrets of the One Percent sounds like one of the self-help books what will show you how to unleash your inner potential. Actually, it tells the story of some of history's richest - from Crassus of Rome to John D Rockefeller to Bill Gates - and shows how they earned their vast fortunes by, simply, eliminating competition so they enjoyed vast monopolies.

Its author is economist Sam Wilkin and he joins me on today's programme.

==

> https://www.acast.com/bullsandbears/samwilkin-wealthsecretsoftheonepercent

=

Are there Monopoly features in NY City real estate? (used by Donald Trump)

Do they apply also in the Philippines?

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GOLD and Bitcoins - will prices touch (or overlap) again soon?

BTX at 98% today... looks like the 4-6 months cycle for Gold is rolling over

 

Gold : $1277.5 ... GLD : 2-yr : 10d

gold_zpsqglp9eso.png

 

Bitcoins : $1253 (98.1% of Gold)

BTC-5mo_zpszl3tby90.png

 

I think both will drop, before heading higher.

The fundamental reason may be: Rising interest rates / Falling bond prices

 

TMF at $19.86 "and falling" as LT rates rise

The rise in TMF (3x Bull-on-Bonds) may be over ... 2yr : 10d-chart :

TMF-2yr_zpsyrq777tu.gif

 

Rising interest rates, may turnaround the falling dollar, and "put the Kabash" on the rise in Gold and Bitcoins

These prices move together : TMF, GDX, UGLD, SLV : Bonds, Gold stocks, Gold, and Silver.

And they have been moving in a shared 4-6 months cycle:

 

TMF -etc. ... 2-yrs : 5-yrs :

TMF-etc3_zpstrspmtlw.gif

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Bank FX Spreads - HK (from mid-day today)

.

Bank : GBP--------- : mid-pt: spread / MACE---- : mid-pt. : spread / EUR---- : mid-pt. : spread /

HSBC : 9.833-10.065 : 9.949 : 2.36% / 1177.5-1183.2 : 1180.4 : 0.48% /
HangS: 9.902-10.022 : 9.962 : 1.21% / 1180.1-1182.6 : 1181.3 : 0.21% / 8.402-8.513 : 8.458 : 1.32% /
Market: 1.280 x 7.784 : 9.960 ====== / $1272*1.215*7.784/10: 1203.0 / 1.088 x 7.784 : 8.469 ====== /
=====
MACE / "Paper Gold" has long been trading at a discount to Actual Gold. Here we see:
HSBC : 1180.4 - 1203.0 : -22.6 = -1.88%
HangS: 1181.3 - 1203.0 : -21.7 = -1.80%

Why deal with HSBC, and lose 0.5 - 1.0% of my money?

I have moved money from HSBC to Hang Seng Bank, and will exchange to HKD at some later stage.

 

If you move money in cash currency, you can only withdraw GBP2000/EUR2000 daily,

and deposit GBP1500/EUR1500 daily into Hang Seng Bank.

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DEEP STATE : I found this interview to be very revealing

 

Everyone should know by now (or soon) that Mark Gilbert is talking about the Reality of the control structure in the USA and Globally

 

"The United States is an Empire, and there is Huge money" (to be gained by controlling it)

 

Coast To Coast AM - April 23, 2017 The Deep State & More

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kigPzJAcGw

 

Profile of Presidents

=====

JFK : Fought the Deep state and was killed to make way for LBJ, whom the Deep state worked with
Nixon : As President, he started to become independent, and tried to reform the CIA. Watergate was a coup
Ford : Secret to him becoming President was his involvement in the JFK coverup. Half-hearted attempts to replace him
Carter : An honest guy, fighting corruption, but with backing of the Rockefellers; he had a lot of pushback
Reagan : A puppet of GHWB and the deep state; so old, he did not have the level of focus to check them
Bush : Pivotal character; a senior planner of JFK's assassination; behind watergate, drug trafficking; 9/11?
Clinton : Brilliant & charismatic, but protected drug transhipment in AK, to gain money & power

Obama : A tool of the Deep State, with some powerful forces helping him. Sexually compromised?
Trump : An outsider who may have upset the plans of some parts of the Deep state, operates w/ Deep state's themes

 

This helps to complete and Update the history here

 

America After the Coup: Leader of the Decaying World

Published on Oct 9, 2014

American After the Coup d'état / Part One: The Leader of the Decaying World -
The soul of America has been lost in a "silent coup d'état." The key virtues of: a Free Economy, competitive markets, a Free press, and the moral basis for society are no longer respected. The country's DECAY began with the assassination of JFK - Lee Oswald did not do it. The real crime was covered up by the FBI and LBJ. The worst thing was, getting away with the horrific crime, made BOLD the perpetrators of this crime, and they have pushed America further and further from the vision of the Free Country, envisioned by the Founders.

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The EURO may be a Sell here, near $1.09 / FXE-$1.054

 

EUR ... update fxe : 10-d fxe / Last: $1.089

EUR_zpsrvixasas.gif

==

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TOP of Page Header

 

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : idx24_russell_en_2.gif : idx24_hui_en_2.gif :

3d : ag : au

 

Bitcoin : The uptrend continues as money flees China:
=======
Charts: Bitcoins LIVE : BTC:1-year : 4-mos : 10d : Ticks : BtcWisdom : BTC-24hours : PB : aD : aF : aG : sjw :

chart.png?m=bitstampUSD&v=1&t=S&noheader

BTS - Frozen / Bitcoins, on Bitstamps ; 10-Days: http://tinyurl.com/bts-10d : 6-mos : 12-mos : 24-mos : 32-MOS

 

Over a week ago, I said: "Bitcoins Price may take another run at the Gold price - Now $1230"

 

BTC - 10d : 2mos : 32-months: Bitcoins : $1253 (98.1% of Gold)

BTC-5mo_zpszl3tby90.png

 

I think both will drop, before heading higher.

The fundamental reason may be: Rising interest rates / Falling bond prices :

TMF at $19.86 "and falling" as LT rates rise

The rise in TMF (3x Bull-on-Bonds) may be over ... 2yr : 10d-chart :

 

Rising interest rates, may turnaround the falling dollar, and "put the Kabash" on the rise in Gold and Bitcoins

These prices move together : TMF, GDX, UGLD, SLV : Bonds, Gold stocks, Gold, and Silver.

And they have been moving in a shared 4-6 months cycle:

 

TMF -etc. ... 2-yrs : 5-yrs : 6-mos / 10-d :

TMF-etc3_zpstrspmtlw.gif

===

(In edit: TOUCHED ! about 9pm HK time)

BTX: High $1270 / Gold: Low $1266 : 1.003X !

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I think the 4-6 months cycle has rolled over

 

au0365nyb.gif

 

-------- delay: 6 months-------> au0365nyb.gif

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Tucker to advocate: Do illegals have a right to be here?

Published on Apr 25, 2017

California judge on blocks President Trump's executive order seeking to withhold federal funds from sanctuary cities. Tucker asks one sanctuary advocate whether illegals have a constitutional right to be here #Tucker

 

Comment:

"What we stand for..." Some Leftist judge ignores the Constitution and tells us what HE thinks that should be. Time to sweep these traitors away! Legally, of course. If the Law allows, Federal troops can be sent in and put an end to this illegality. If a few judges get locked up, for breaking the law, so be it.

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Silver is rolling over, headed towards $16 or less*, within 2-3 months (if the cycle works)

 

*I think SLV could bottom just below $15 in about 6-8 weeks

 

SLV / Silver etf - trades at about XX% of Silver

 

SLV charts: All-data : 5-yrs : 2-yrs : 6-mo : 10d // Futures : Weekly : Daily

/ Last: $16.68 - 4/25/2017 : old chart :

SLV-all_zpsjvzstobo.gif

 

SLV vs SLW (Silver Wheaton) ... update - Cycle bottoms when SLW gets relatively cheap

SLV-vsSLW_zpsoi57vgdy.gif

 

SLV -to- Gold Ratio - a narrowing may signal a Low

SLV-toGLD_zps4f4sg1ee.png

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The Deep State (& its Black Budget) seem to be behind the manipulation of Trump

 

"It seems like Keystone Cops are doing WW3... Nothing makes any sense"

 

Jeff Rense & Catherine Austin Fitts - Is Blazing Nuclear War Imminent?

 

"This smacks of Cheney and the yellow cake ploy bring the US to war with Iraq"

JR : What are they keeping below the table... I'm not seeing it

 

CAF : There are trillions missing (and they want more)

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Major revelations, concerning the control structure

 

Top 5 Points - a nice (short) summary

 

8,500 People control the world... and "you need a mind like a freezer"

 

5 things an elite banking Dutch Whistleblower tells us #NWO

 

3 : The Terrorists and intelligence agencies are working together to control world events

 

2 : The Luciferians at the top, really do believe in Lucifer as a deity

 

1 : The breaking point for him was when he was asked to participate in Abuse of Children

 

Then, he could no longer perform his job effectively, and he started to refuse assignments.

These acts "put everyone in their pocket.. they are susceptible to blackmail."

==

> CMJ's thread: http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=21422

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GBP : 8 Year Cycle - the end of the drop?

GBP_zpsg7wnnzhe.gif

 

It is at the top of a downchannel, so maybe we will know soon

 

Dominic Frisby spoke of it, right near last year's low

 

Comedian & Author Dominic Frisby On Why Brexit Is Great For Business and For UK Independence

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pIIVlyM1oV

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GCM "survives" the consolidation - as shares trade 9% higher

 

"...on 4/27/2017 - GCM had an enterprize value of 134,000 oz., that's less that one year of its gold production"

 

GCM.t : Last: $1.55 + 0.125 : +8.77% / after 1:15 consolidation

.10-yrs : 5-yrs : 2-yrs : 12mos : 6-mos / 10-d / U-1%: V-6%: Previous: C$0.095 at 4/26/2017 x15= C1.425

GCM_zpsfdg5qvkb.gif

 

Debs : Int. : CvShs : x$1.55: *0.733: adj.* : Last : Prem.: maturity: time x Coupon : Total: adjPrem.
2018 : 1% : 513 shs : C$ 795= $583 : $662 : 65.0: -1.81%: 11Aug18 : 1+3mos : $12.5 : $683 : -4.84% :
2020 : 6% : 513 shs : C$ 795= $583 : $583 : 80.5: +38.1%: 02Jan20 : 2+7mos : $155. : $738 : +9.08% :
====
*Maturity value = $190 + 415.5 shs (x$1.55x0.733) = $190 + $xxx = US$662

 

Gran Colombia Gold Announces Trading of Its Common Shares on a Post-Consolidated Basis

Will Commence at Market Open on April 27, 2017

April 25, 2017

TORONTO, ON --(Marketwired - April 25, 2017) - Gran Colombia Gold Corp. (TSX: GCM) announced today that the consolidation of the Corporation's issued and outstanding common shares on a one post-consolidation share for every fifteen pre-consolidation shares (1:15) basis has been made effective and the common shares will commence trading on a post-consolidated basis on the Toronto Stock Exchange at market open on Thursday, April 27, 2017. The Company's name and trading symbols will remain unchanged.

 

As a result of the share consolidation, there are now approximately 20,450,401 common shares issued and outstanding on a post-consolidated basis, subject to rounding for fractional shares as no fractional shares will be issued. The number of post-consolidated common shares to be received will be rounded up to the nearest whole number for fractions of 0.5 or greater or rounded down to the nearest whole number for fractions of less than 0.5. The number of common shares on a post-consolidated basis underlying the issued and outstanding warrants of the Company and the exercise price thereof will be adjusted in accordance with the applicable warrant certificate and indenture. Similarly, the conversion prices of the Company's Senior Unsecured Convertible Debentures due 2018 (the "2018 Debentures") and Senior Secured Convertible Debentures due 2020 (the "2020 Debentures") will also be adjusted in accordance with the applicable indenture.

 

The following table summarizes the Company's capital structure following the share consolidation:

 

Security Issued and Outstanding Following the Share Consolidation

 

Common Shares (TSX: GCM) : 20,450,401 (subject to rounding for fractional shares)

 

2018 Debentures (TSX: GCM.DB.U) US$45,970,216 principal amount convertible at a conversion price of US$1.95 into approximately 23,574,470 common shares, representing a conversion rate of approximately 513 common shares for each US$1,000 principal amount of 2018

 

Debentures 2020 Debentures (TSX: GCM.DB.V) US$100,710,085 principal amount convertible at a conversion price of US$1.95 into approximately 51,646,197 common shares, representing a conversion rate of approximately 513 common shares for each US$1,000 principal amount of 2020 Debentures

 

Stock Options 1,931,333 Stock Options at an exercise price of $2.55 per common share expiring in 2021 and 2022 47,000 Stock Options at an exercise price of $27.60 per common share expiring in 2019

===========

 

Date------ : GCM.t : 7,692 : CAD$ : NotVal : 1% Deb. vol. : Db.O/S- Date : 6%Deb: Db.O/S- Date : TotDebt : Shs-OS : MktValue : Ent.Val. : Gold : OZ's
06/30/16 : $0.100 : 0,769 : 0.773 : 59.44 : $55.00. --------- : $67.7- 06/30 : $65.00 : 103.3 - 05/12 : $171.0 : 157.8m*: C$15.8M: $183.2M/ 1325= 138.3k
09/30/16 : $0.120 : 0,923 : 0.762 : 70.33 : $72.50, 154.0k : $49.8- 09/06 : $91.00 : 102.5 - 09/06 : $152.3 : 277.6m*: C$33.3M: $177.7M/ 1317= 134.9k
12/30/16 : $0.095 : 0,731 : 0.744 : 54.39 : $61.00, 20.00k : $49.7- 12/06 : $84.00 : 101.2 - 12/06 : $150.9 : 277.6m*: C$26.4M: $170.5M/ 1152= 148.1k

02/10/17 : $0.110 : 0,846 : 0.764 : 64.63 : $61.00, 625.0k : $49.7- 12/06 : $81.00 : 101.2 - 12/06 : $150.9 : 277.6m*: C$30.5M: $174.2M/ 1236= 140.9k

======

04/26/17 : $0.095 : 0,731 : 0.733 : 53.82 :
Date------ : GCM.t : 513sh : CAD$ : NotVal : 1% Deb. vol. : Db.O/S- Date : 6%Deb: Db.O/S- Date : TotDebt : Shs-OS : MktValue : Ent.Val. : Gold : OZ's

04/27/17 : $1.550 : 0,795 : 0.733 : 58.28 : $61.00, 78.00k: $45.97-04/28 : $80.50 : 100.7 - 04/28 : $146.7 : 20.45m*: C$31.7M: $169.9M/ 1266= 134.2k
===

> GCM thread : http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=20537

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Gold falling

 

Rising interest rates, may turnaround the falling dollar, and "put the Kabash" on the rise in Gold and Bitcoins

These prices move together : TMF, GDX, UGLD, SLV : Bonds, Gold stocks, Gold, and Silver.

And they have been moving in a shared 4-6 months cycle:

 

TMF -etc. ... 2-yrs : 5-yrs : 6-mos / 10-d :

TMF-etc3_zpstrspmtlw.gif

===

(In edit: TOUCHED ! about 9pm HK time)

BTX: High $1270 / Gold: Low $1266 : 1.003X !

BTX: still rising:

xx

 

=== ===

KITCO Articles

 

===

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200 Million views ... with multiple messages "in plain sight"

.

Katy Perry - Chained To The Rhythm (Official) ft. Skip Marley

 

"Taking over from Madonna as the new Queen of the Illuminati"

As she transports people to Oblivia

 

Jeff Rense & Tim Rifat - Hidden Meanings And Messages In Katy Perry's 'Chained To The Rhythm'

 

Published on Apr 26, 2017

Link To Download PDF (16.5 megs)http://www.rense.com/KatyPerryChained...

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Gentrification in Philadelphia?
Baltimore-Ave-West-70pct_zpsrbp9fouu.jpg

 

> Cedar park / new thread:

http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=21427

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NEW DATA --

 

Price : (06/26) (12/31) (04/01) Chg %: (07/01) : (09/30) : (12/30) / (01/27) (02/24) (03/31) : (04/07) (04/14) : (04/21) : (04/28)
Gold : 1173.8 : 1060.5 : 1223.2 === >: 1344.9 : 1317.1 : 1151.7 / 1188.4 : 1258.3 : 1251.2 : 1257.3 : 1288.5 : 1289.1 : 1268.3 :
GLD : 112.56 : 101.46 : 116.93 ----- z : 128.41 : 125.64 : 109.61 / 113.49 : 119.70 : 118.72 : 119.46 : 122.60 : 122.31 : 120.77 :
GDX : $18.09 : $13.72 : $20.12 ----- z : $29.05 : $26.43 : $20.95 / $23.22 : $24.13 : $22.81 : $23.50 : $24.54 : $23.61 : $22.23 :
Ratio: R6.222: R7.395 : R5.811 ----- z : R4.420 : R4.754 : r5.232 / R4.888 : r4.961 : R5.205 : r5.083 : R4.996 : r5.180 : r5.433 : (/10.?4)
Ratio 16.07%: 13.52%: 17.21% ----- z : 22.62%: 21.04%: 19.11%/ 20.45% 20.16%: 19.21%: 19.67%: 20.02%: 19.30%: 18.41% (GDx57.1 )
Gdxj : $24.86 : $19.21 : $28.40: ----- z: $45.38 : $44.29 : $31.55 / $36.87 : $40.09 : $35.98 : $36.56 : $36.70 : $34.54 : $32.23 :
Spdr : 706. E : 642.37 : 815.est ----- z : 953.91 : 947.95 : 822.17 / 803.0E : 841.17 : 834.EE : 836.49 : 848.92 : 848.92 : 853.26 = 27.44m
Au/S : R-1.66 : R-1.65 : R- 1.52 ----- z : R-1.41 : R-1.39 : r1.401 / R1.48E: R1.496 : R1.50E : R1.503 : R1.52 : R1.519 : R1.486
TLT - : 115.23 : 120.58 : 130.68 ----- z : 140.57 : 137.51 : 119.13 / 119.63 : 122.01 : 120.71 : 120.71 : 123.47 : 123.54 : 122.35 :
G/Tlt : R10.19 : r8.795 : R9.404 ----- z : R9.567: R9.578 : R9.668/ R9.993 : R10.26: R10.37 : R10.42 : R10.44 : R10.43 : R10.366 vs L: 8.65
====
AGS : Y3,409 : y3,210 : y3,367 ----- z : y4,157 : y4,209 : y3,988 / y3,943 : y4,167 : y4,124 : y4,199 : y4,212 : y4,134 : y4,--- 17.26:
SLV- : $15.11 : $13.19 : $14.34 ----- z : $18.74 : $18.20 : $15.11 / $16.22 : $17.40 : $17.25 : $17.03 : $17.53 : $17.02 : $16.30 :
SLW-: $15.11 : $12.42 : $16.40 ----- z: $24.78 : $27.30 : $19.32 / $21.42 : $21.15 : $20.84 : $20.94 : $21.84 : $21.09 : $19.97 :
SIL*- : $26.43 : $18.51 : $26.50 ----- z : $45.95 : $44.48 : $32.11 / $37.36 : $38.28 : $36.02 : $36.92 : $38.09 : $35.93 : $34.90 :
DBA : $22.71 : $20.61 : $20.50 ----- z : $21.98 : $19.98 : $19.97 / $20.57 : $20.29 : $19.78 : $19.58 : $19.70 : $19.29 : $19.74 :
XLE- : $76.08 : $60.32 : $61.06 ----- z : $68.60 : $70.61 : $75.32 / $74.23 : $70.99 : $69.90 : $70.36 : $69.31 : $67.79 : $67.84 :
Cop'r: $2.641 : $2.135 : $2.170 ----- z : $2.220 : $2.210 : $2.510 / $2.690 : $2.700 : $2.652 : $2.647 : $2.570 : $2.540 : $2.610 :
WTI- : $59.65 : $37.07 : $36.36 ----- z : $49.28 : $48.24 : $53.72 / $53.17 : $53.99 : $50.30 : $52.24 : $53.18 : $49.62 : $49.33 :
CRB : 224.90 : 176.27 : 168.03 ----- z : 194.26 : 186.30 : 192.51 / 193.43 : 190.93 : 185.88 : 187.11 : 187.77 : 181.87 : 181.73 :
Corn : 385.00: 358.00 : 353.50 ----- z : 360.25 : 336.30 : 352.00 / 362.50 : 370.75 : 364.40 : 359.50 : 371.00 : 363.75 : 366.50 :
Wheat 575.00: 468.50 : 474.00 ----- z : 496.25 : 402.00 : 408.00 / 420.50 : 448.00 : 426.50 : 424.00 : 429.75 : 421.00 : 432.25 :
Sugar 11.92c : 15.24c : 15.18C ----- z : 20.78C : 23.00c : 19.51c / 20.33c : 19.81c : 16.76c : 16.77c : 16.70c : 16.41c : 16.13c :
BTC : 250.00 : $433.5 : $420.0 ----- z : $680.0 : $604.5 : $948.5 / $920.0 : 1135.0 : 1041.1 : 1188.7 : 1170.0 : 1245.5 : 1315.0 :
B/G.: 21.30% : 40.88%: 34.34% ----- z: 50.56%: 45.90%: 82.36%/ 77.42%: 84.81%: 83.20%: 94.54%: 90.80%: 96.62%: 103.7%:
=====
EEM- : $39.93 : $32.19 : $34.15 ----- z : $34.69 : $37.45 : $35.01 / $37.47 : $38.48 : $39.39 : $39.37 : $39.14 : $39.29 : $40.06 :
FXI -- : $46.21 : $35.29 : $33.58 ----- z : $34.48 : $38.01 : $34.71 / $36.82 : $38.54 : $38.49 : $38.74 : $38.26 : $37.96 : $38.53 :
ShCm : 4192.9: 3519.2 : 3009.5 ----- z : 2932.5 : 3004.7 : 3103.6 / 3159.2 : 3253.4 : 3222.5 : 3286.6 : 3207.8 : 3126.8 : 3154.7 :
PHM- : $20.48 : $17.82 : $18.42 ----- z: $19.48 : $20.04 : $18.38 / $21.26 : $21.73 : $23.55 : $23.28 : $23.71 : $23.32 : $22.67 :
IYR -- : $72.49 : $75.08 : $77.91 ----- z : $82.33 : $80.64 : $76.94/ $76.97 : $80.31 : $78.49 : $79.14 : $79.79 : $80.58 : $78.93 :
IWM - : 127.50 : 112.62 : 111.12 ----- z : 115.39 : 124.21 : 134.85 / 136.19 : 138.65 : 137.48 : 135.52 : 133.72 : 137.21 : 139.06 :
XLF - : $24.89 : $23.82 : $22.70 ----- z : $22.74 : $19.30 : $23.25 / $23.65 : $24.42 : $23.73 : $23.52 : $22.90 : $23.16 : $23.53 :
XLF/S: 11.86%: 11.68% 10.97% ----- z : 10.83% V8.92% :10.31% / 10.33%: 10.31%: 10.47%: 10.00%: 9.849% : 9.87% : 9.883%
SPY- : 209.82 : 203.87 : 206.92: ----- z : 209.92 : 216.30 : 223.53 / 228.97 : 236.74 : 235.74 : 235.20 : 232.51 : 234.59 : 238.08 :
VIX-- : 14.02%: 18.21% 13.10%: ----- z :14.77%: 13.29%: 14.04% / 10.58%: 11.47% 10.96%: 12.87% : 15.96%: 14.63%: 10.82%
ShPut $06.15 : $6.670: $05.00: ----- z : $02.85 : /Sp210: $08.30 / $20.00 : $14.95 : $13.15 : $13.52 : $16.10 : $13.49 : $11.45 Ja$240p
DXY - : 95.399 : 98.693 : 94.608 ----- z : 95.720 : $95.42 : 102.38 / 100.56 : $99.77 : 100.22 : 101.13 : 100.46 : $99.75 : $99.04 :
H-gold: r12.30 : R10.75 : r12.93 ----- z : R14.05: R13.80 : R11.25 / R11.82: R12.26: R12.56 : R12.37 : R12.83 : R12.92 : R12.81 / 11.3-14.2
=====
Gold : 1173.8 : 1060.5 : 1223.2 === >: 1344.9 : 1317.1 : 1151.7 / 1188.4 : 1258.3 : 1251.2 : 1257.3 : 1288.5 : 1289.1 : 1268.3 :

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First direct London-China train completes 7,500 mile route...

 

BEIJING (AFP) -

The first freight train to link China directly to the UK arrived in the eastern Chinese city of Yiwu Saturday after covering over 12,000-kilometres (7,500 miles), making it the second-longest route in the world.

The journey is the latest effort in China's drive to strengthen trade links with western Europe along a modern-day "Silk Road" route.

The world's top trading nation launched the "One Belt, One Road" strategy in 2013, and has since poured millions into constructing vast infrastructure links.

The train -- loaded with whisky, baby milk, pharmaceuticals and machinery -- departed London on April 10 and passed through France, Belgium, Germany, Poland, Belarus, Russia and Kazakhstan during its 20-day trip before arriving in Yiwu in eastern Zhejiang province, a major wholesale centre for small consumer goods.

The new route is longer than Russia's famous Trans-Siberian railway, but about 1000 kilometres shorter than the record-holding China-Madrid link, which opened in 2014.

London is the 15th city to be linked to a new freight network offered by the state-run China Railway Corporation, which says its services are cheaper than air transport and quicker than shipping.

The journey should be 30 days faster than moving the goods by ship...

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Bitcoin is threatening to break to new highs above $1350

 

BTS : b5 BTC-1 mo 5d:

 

BTC-1mo_zps2u3igj1g.png

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Clif High MAY report came out early

 

REALIST NEWS - May 2017 Clif High's ALTA (Web Bot) Report Summary

 

(A second summary gets to the interesting stuff more quickly)

 

May 2017 Web Bot Predicts Le Pen Victory?, Precious Metals Breakout and "Crypto Scam of 2017".

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Singapore Housing Index
'14 > http://www.tradingeconomics.com/singapore/housing-index
Q3 : 149.7
Q4 : 148.6
'15 : 147.0
Q2 : 145.5
Q3 : 144.2
Q4 : 142.3
'16 : 141.6
Q2 : 140.6
Q3 : 140.0
Q4 : 137.9
'17 : 137.2
Q2 : 136.7 : that's 11.5% below a 154.5 peak *estimated 2013, 1st Half
---

 

SRX Property Index : a premature low? maybe not

- a second index shows a bounce after almost 4 years drifting lower
SG-property_zpsh9dyx3qi.png

 

> update : https://www.srx.com.sg/price-index

 

The SRX index got down to the mid-point in the channel, and is now bouncing.

The 18 year cycle is generally 14 years up, followed by 3-5 years down, so it is not impossible to see a bottom in 2017, after 4 years of decline.

But I reckon this cycle may take longer than 4 years, as the last one did. Especially since the up phase was terminated at 11-12 years by the government imposing taxes.

18 years from the last low (2003-4) might mean a low as late as 2020-22.

 

Meantime,

RENTS in Singapore are drifting lower: https://www.srx.com.sg/research/35542/non-landed-private-rents-decrease-by-10-hdb-rents-decrease-by-05-in-march-2017

The Rent index dropped from 113.1 (3/2016) to 108.7 (3/2017-flash est.) - that's 3.9% lower in 13 mos.

 

If we are seeing a major low now, then I would expect CapitaLand's stock continue to rally from here - Let's see if that happens.

BTW CC now sports a yield of 2.66%, and that's better than the net yield on most SG properties

 

SG:C31
CapitaLand Ltd. (SIN) : All-data : x :

SG-Capita_zpsvqryqvcw.gif

 

CapitaLand is a SG stock to watch.

==

SG Property thread: http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=19813

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Length of downturns - this was first posted on the Singapore thread

=

 

Haha. Yeah:

"The best time to buy a property is always 5 years ago"

 

Anyone who says something like that is unaware of cycles - which are real and observable - just look at prices over a long enough period.

 

Idiot estate agents will show you a graph going back 10-15 years, showing prices rising over the whole period, and think that this makes a case that prices will go on rising. When I see that, I have a model in my mind: "14 years up, 4 years down... the last 2-3 years of the up-phase are the most dangerous."

 

So if I see 10-12 years of rising market - worse yet: 14 years! - I will be very wary, and want to wait for the drop. That is my attitude towards Hong Kong and Manila right now. I would rather buy in a place like Singapore, after a 3-4 year drop. Even in Singapore, I am somewhat cautious, for reasons that I have described above.

 

"The best time to buy a property is always 5 years ago"

- was definitely not true in Detroit, where in 4-5 years, nearly a decade of gains were wiped out

 

slide05-624x468.jpg

And some houses went down to $100-$1000 in value.

Instead:

"The housing price index in Michigan hit its all time low in 2011. The housing index in Michigan is currently at 139.66, 40 percent higher than its value in 1991. This current index is approximately the same as that from 1997."

> source: http://www.drawingdetroit.com/michigans-housing-price-index-compared/

 

The US House price drop was widespread, and even San Francisco saw a drop of 72 months (= 6 years)

peak-prices-san-francisco-detroit-2.jpg

- so we cannot expect that the entire drop will always be confined to 3-5 years

=

Once the lows were in place, prices improved dramatically, even in Detroit

 

fredgraph.png?id=DEXRNSA&nsh=1

 

But they are still below the price levels of 10 years earlier

 

=

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TMF HAS dropped - that's Bonds, Gold, Gold shares, silver...

Approximately 1% per day (!), over 9-10 days

 

TMF-etf ... update

TMT-etc-10d_zps9w5fkrfv.gif

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