Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
drbubb

DrBubb's Diary - Feb. 2017 Trading - v.97

Recommended Posts

Dr.B's Trading Diary : 2017. The Diary's 9th Year

 

Diary-2017_zpsmnvqxcki.jpg

 

Noble-Place_View-from-Plaza-Cervantez-Ni

 

: 1_1_1_GEI-2016_zpsq7xy2nqg.jpg

 

: "A Year of Growing Discernment" ?

-------> Link to here/Mar. : http://tinyurl.com/DrB-Apr-15

 

DrBubb's Diary - Feb. 2017 Trading - v.97

 

================

The Fed's Racetrack: Gold (GLD) vs Stocks (SPY) ... update :vs.CRB : GLD-hr : SPY-hr : GLD/SPY-Ratio //: sjw :

FEB-FRT_zpsx4ee6oir.gif

 

The Fed's money-printing has maintained confidence in markets - but the money has gone not only into stocks, but also into other areas. For many months, money flowed into commodities like Gold, pushing prices higher even faster than stocks, as the chart above shows. But since Gold's peak in Aug.2011, stocks have outperformed gold. These two now seem to trade counter-cyclically to each other.

 

"US Stocks-in-Euros" ... SPX-to-FXE or SPY-to-FXE Ratio ... update

FEB-SPX-inFXE_zps8xgunhf2.png

 

This Ratio seemed to move in a nice clear channel - Moved above it, and may soon break down, leading SPX down.

 

DrBubb's "Early Warning System"

Leading Ratio ... LQD:TLT-Weekly-3yrs : TLT-vsLQD : Copper : HG price : CU price : SPY-10/11 : SMH-6mos

FEB-LQDetc_zpsace8vjn1.png

 

I reckon that the LQD-to-TLT ratio should move in harmony with stocks, or maybe LEAD stock moves. If they are moving in different directions, then one should be cautious. By the end of 2014, we saw a FULL YEAR of decline in this would-be bellwether, yet SPY has gone on rising. So the value of this indicator has become suspect.
=====
Bullish Percentages :
BPNYA- : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
BPGDM : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
NASIT - : NAMOT : Summation Indices

"Big Three" Charts (SPY, GLD, DXY) ... 10d-Intraday : 6mos-D : 2yrs-D : 5yrs-D // CUvsGLDvsCRB

CU-etc_zpshxrrnyf4.gif

 

 

RECORD : CU may lead GLD and SPY lower
======

US Fed'l Debt // Formula: (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100

 

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
end07: $09.23 > 0,722 : 072.2 : $082.46 : $146.21 : -63.75: 56.398% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 17.05: ==== : $ 32.99 :
end08: $10.70 > 0,897 : 089.7 : $086.52 : $090.24 : -$3.72: 95.878% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 29.09: ==== : $ 26.18 :
end09: $12.31 > 1,089 : 108.9 : $107.31 : $111.44 : -$4.13: 96.294% : $30.0e: XX.X% :: $ 42.26: ==== : $ 26.44 :
end10: $14.03 > 1,294: 129.4 : $138.74 : $125.75 : $12.99: 110.34% : $43.71: 31.51%: $ 43.09: $0.62: $ 32.35 : $ 00.29 :
Date--: DebtTr.> G.Eqv: /10.40:
end11: $15.22 > 1,435: 138.0 : $151.99 : $125.50 : $26.49: 121.11% : $29.29: 19.27%: $ 34.87: -5.58: $ 28.88 : $ 04.60 :
end12: $16.43 > 1,570: 151.0 : $162.02 : $142.41 : $19.61: 113.77% : $30.34: 18.73%: $ 40.45:-10.11: $ 27.95 : $ 13.48 :
end13: $17.35 > 1,689: 162.4 : $116.12 : $184.69 : -68.57 : 062.87% : $22.27: 19.18%: $ 38.37:-16.10: $ 24.25 :$815.00 :

(2014)

01/31: $17.29 > 1,682 : 161.7 : $120.09 : $178.18 : -58.09 : 67.40% :: $21.15: 17.61%: $ 34.58:-13.43: $ 24.65 : $935.00 :
02/28: $17.46 > 1,702 : 163.7 : $127.62 : $186.29 : -58.67 : 68.51% :: $21.84: 17.11%: $ 35.39:-13.55: $ 27.37 : $540.00 :
03/31: $17.60 > 1,718 : 165.2 : $123.61 : $187.01 : -63.40 : 66.10% :: $21.88: 17.70%: $ 35.78:-13.80: $ 28.33 : $456.00 :
04/30: $17.51 > 1,708 : 164.2 : $124.22 : $188.31 : -64.09 : 65.97% :: $22.68: 18.25%: $ 34.93:-12.25: $ 29.27 : $450.00 :
05/31: $17.52 > 1,709 : 164.3 : $120.43 : $192.68 : -72.25 : 62.50% :: $23.20: 19.26%: $ 36.85:-13.65: $ 27.71 : $615.41 :
06/30: $17.63 > 1,721 : 165.5 : $128.04 : $195.72 : -67.68 : 65.42% :: $24.01: 18.75%: $ 37.04:-13.03: $ 27.46 : $650.47 :
07/31: $17.69 > 1,729 : 166.3 : $123.39 : $193.09 : -69.70 : 63.90% :: $25.27: 20.48%: $ 40.47:-15.20: $ 26.81 : $588.00 :
08/31: $17.77 > 1,739 : 167.2 : $123.86 : $200.71 : -76.85 : 61.71% :: $23.74: 19.17%: $ 40.47:-16.73: $ 26.46 : $505.65 :

09/30: $17.85 > 1,748 : 168.1 : $116.21 : $197.02 : -80.19 : 58.98% :: $21.19: 18.23%: $ 38.26:-19.07: $ 25.55 : $382.00 :

10/31: $17.94 > 1,759 : 169.1 : $112.66 : $201.66 : -89.00 : 55.87% :: $19.72: 17.50%: $ 39.93:-20.21: $ 25.66 : $326.00 :

11/28: $18.00 > 1,766 : 169.8 : $112.11 : $207.20 : -95.09 : 54.11% :: $19.39: 17.30%: $ 40.60:-21.21: $ 25.54 : $369.40 :

12/31: $18.14 > 1,783 : 171.4 : $113.58 : $205.54 : -98.04 : 55.26% :: $18.09: 15.93%: $ 41.62:-23.53: $ 24.89 :$316.20 :
(2015)
01/31: $18.08 > 1,776 : 170.8 : $123.45 : $199.45 : -76.00 : 61.90% :: $15.18: 12.30%: $ 43.75:-28.57: $ 23.14 :$230.80 :
02/27: $18.16 > 1,785 : 171.6 : $116.16 : $210.66 : -94.50 : 55.14% :: $17.92: 15.43%: $ 43.76:-25.84: $ 23.70 :$248.50 :
03/31: $18.15 > 1,784 : 171.5 : $113.66 : $205.74 : -92.08 : 55.24% :: $16.45: 14.47%: $ 44.40:-27.95: $ 22.14 :$250. E
04/30: $18.15 > 1,784 : 171.5 : $113.08 : $208.46 : -94.62 : 54.25% :: $19.62: 17.35%: $ 51.33:-31.71: $ 22.29 :$237.00 :
05/29: $18.49 > 1,817 : 174.2 : $113.91 : $211.14 : -98.23 : 53.95% :: $17.77: 15.60%: $ 48.76:-30.99: $ 21.83 :$232.30 :
06/30: $18.57 > 1,825 : 175.5 : $112.31 : $205.85 : -92.54 : 54.56% :: $16.77: 14.93%: $ 46.10:-29.33: $ 23.35 :$261.10 :

07/31: $18.15 > 1,784 : 171.5 : $104.93 : $210.50 :-105.57: 49.85% :: $13.74: 13.09%: $ 40.48:-26.74: $ 21.46 :$280.00 :
08/31: $18.15 > 1,784 : 171.5 : $108.82 : $210.50 :-101.68: 51.70% :: $13.03: 11.97%: $ 35.91:-22.88: $ 20.88 :$234.00 :
09/30: $18.15 > 1,784 : 171.5 : $106.86 : $191.62 :-084.76: 55.77% :: $10.94: 10.24%: $ 35.47:-23.50: $ 20.88 :$237.60 :

10/30: $18.15 > 1,784 : 171.5 : $109.30 : $207.93 :-098.63: 52.57% :: $12.85: 11.76%: $ 38.27:-25.38: $ 21.28 :$309.20 :
11/30: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.92 : $208.69 :-106.77: 48.84% :: $10.80: 10.60%: $ 37.45:-26.65: $ 20.51 :$375.00 :

12/31: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.46 : $203.87 : -102.41: 49.77% :: 2.135 : 2.140%: $ 35.29:-00.00: $ 20.61: $433.50 :

(2016)
01/29: $19.01 > 1,886 : 180.0 : $108.05 : $193.65 : - $85.60: 55.80% :: 2.060 : 1.907% $ 31.20:-00.00: $ 19.99: $375.00 :
02/29: $19.13 > 1,900 : 181.3 : $118.64 : $193.56 : - $74.98: 61.29% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 30.00: -00.00: $ 20.00: $434.00 :
03/31: $19.26 > 1,916 : 182.8 : $117.64 : $205.52 : - $87.88: 57.24% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.77: -13.17: $ 20.60: $415.00 :
04/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $123.65 : $206.33 : - $82.68: 59.93% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.53: -12.45: $ 21.08: $4 ??.00 :
05/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $116.06 : $209.84 : - $93.78: 55.31% :: 2.080 : 1.792% $ 33.65: -12.34: $ 21.31: $526.10 :

06/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $126.47 : $209.48 : - $83.01: 60.37% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
07/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $128.98 : $217.12 : - $88.14: 59.40% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
08/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $124.78 : $217.38 : - $92.60: 57.40% :: 2.080 : 1.667% $ 37.08: -16.85: $ 20.23: $570.00 :

=====
ye'16 : $20.0E > 1,8 xx : 18x.x :

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
======
"GOLD Formula" is : (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 : US Govt Debt :: http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

The FED must be pleased with the way that money has flowed into stocks, away from Gold. / notes : a b cox cvn

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

DAILY MONITOR

Month: -SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY-- -Chg- : --TLT-: Chg : Posts/Views cum'l
03-31: 206.43 - 1.82: 127.M: 15.29 : 18.24 - 0.23: 113.66 - 0.09: 4.38M: 1,185.5 $47.49* 98.406 +0.432: 130.69 +0.28: 00: 000/ 000: 2800
06-30: 205.85 +0.43: 155.M: 18.23 : 17.76 - 0.14: 112.31 - 0.70: 7.54M: 1,172.1 $59.09* 95.516 +0.541: 117.46 -0.82 : 11, 118/ 086, 1887
09-30: 192.13 +0.50: 142.M: 24.50 : 13.74 +0.33: 106.86 - 1.12: 7.19M: 1,114.5 $45.34* 96.282 +0.384 : 123.54 - 0.43: 04: 133/ 104, 2853
12-31: 203.87 - 2.06: 91.2M: 18.21 : 13.72 +0.06: 101.46 +0.04 : 3.81M: 1060.5 $37.07*  98.693 +0.413: 120.58 +0.54 : 02, 086/ 051, 1,913
01-29: 193.72 +4.61: 182.M: 20.20 : 14.21 +0.35: 106.95 +0.41 : 7.92M: 1118.4 $33.74*  99.531 +0.950 : 127.30 +1.07 :
02-29: 193.56 - 1.53: 109.M: 20.55 : 19.38 +0.69: 118.64 +1.53 : 11.5M: 1239.3 $33.90* 98.150 - 0.030 : 130.98 +0.57 : 00, 075/ 000 , 2,143
03-31: 205.52 - 0.50 : 79.4M: 13.95 : 19.97 - 0.26: 117.64 +0.54 : 9.17M: 1233.9 $38.11* 94.630 -0.0.99 : 130.61 +0.92 : 01 ,094/ 055 , 2,950
04-29: 206.33 - 1.11 : 124.M: 15.70 : 25.83 +1.55: 123.65 +2.36 : 18.2M: 1294.9 $45.90* 93.018 - 0.448 : 129.38 +0.33 : 0?, 060/ ??? , 2800
05-31: 209.84 - 0.40 : 88.7M: 14.19 : 22.58 +0.30: 116.06 +0.44 : 8.06M: 1217.5 $48.83* 95.861 +0.161 : 130.16 +0.31 : 0?, 088/ ??? , 2651
06-30: 209.48 +2.82 : 143.M: 15.63 : 27.71 +0.56: 126.47 +0.63 : 15.1M: 1324.7 $48.40* 95.809 +0.046 : 138.90 +0.51 : 0?, 055/ ??? , 1941
07-29: 217.12 +0.35 : 70.1M: 11.87 : 30.59 +0.84: 128.98 +1.32 : 12.9M: 1357.9 $41.60* 95.517 - 1.044 : 141.56 +1.17 : 0?, 064/ ??? , 2781

08-31: 217.38 - 0.62 : 71.9M: 13.42 : 25.42 -0.42 : 124.78 -0.25 : 13.2M: 1311.4 $44.70* 95.985 - 0.050 : 139.87 +0.20 : 03, 067/ 237 , 5200

09-30: 216.30 +1.62 : 98.7M: 13.29 : 26.43 - 0.26: 125.64 - 0.43: 10.8M: 1317.1 : $48.24* $95.42 - 0.10 : 137.51 - 1.24 / 04, 096 : 412 , 5556

10-31: 212.55 +0.01 : 55.9M: 17.06 : 24.52 +0.71: 121.94 +0.36: 7.09M: 1273.1 : $46.86* $98.44 +0.10 : 131.25 +0.80 / 10, 094 : 620 , 5200
====
. .
---: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l:
Nov.

==

30: 220.38 - 0.53: 92.0M: 13.33 : 20.83 - 0.40: 111.75 - 1.52 10.9M: 1173.9 : $49.44* 101.54 +0.59 : 120.24 - 1.98 / 02, 107: 311, 5561

Dec

30: 223.53 - 0.82: 86.9M: 14.04 : 20.92 - 0.83: 109.61 - 0.68 8.79M: 1151.7 : $53.72* 102.38 - 0.27 : 119.13 +0.18 / 03, 96 : 360, 4840

==

---: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l:
Jan.

03: 225.24 +1.69: 00.0M: 12.85 : 21.76 +0.78: 110.47 - 0.14 0.00M: 1162.0 : $52.33* 103.21 - 0.17 : 119.64 +0.51 /
04: 226.58 +1.34: 70.3M: 11.85 : 21.92 +0.16: 110.86 +0.39 4.86M: 1165.3 : $53.26* 102.52 - 0.69 : 120.10 +0.46 / 00, 17 : 000, 0284
05: 226.40 - 0.18: 66.8M: 11.67 : 23.20 +1.28: 112.58 +1.72 8.37M: 1181.3 : $53.76* 101.61 +0.21 : 121.98 +1.98 / 10, 27 : 200, 0484

06: 227.21 +0.81: 64.1M: 11.32 : 22.39 - 0.81: 111.75 - 0.83 6.75M: 1173.4 : $53.99* 102.20 +0.80 : 120.86 -1.12 / 08, 35 : 280, 0764

#

09: 226.46 - 0.75: 41.7M: 11.56 : 22.46 +0.07: 112.67 +0.92 5.25M: 1184.9 : $51.96* 101.86 - 0.34 : 121.83 +0.97 / 00, 43 : 000, 1230
10: 226.46 - 0.00: 56.2M: 11.49 : 22.62 +0.16: 113.15 +0.48 5.98M: 1185.5 : $50.82* 102.02 - 0.02 : 121.75 - 0.08 /
11: 227.10 +0.64: 66.6M: 11.26 : 22.57 - 0.05: 113.50 +0.35 9.84M: 1196.6 : $52.25* 101.62 - 0.11 : 122.16 +0.41 /
12: 226.53 - 0.57: 68.0M: 11.54 : 22.62 +0.05: 113.91 +0.41 8.44M: 1199.8 : $53.01* 101.45 - 0.17 : 121.89 - 0.27 / 00, 50 : 000, 1700
13: 227.05 +0.52: 49.1M: 11.23 : 22.74 +0.12: 114.21 +0.30 6.81M: 1196.2 : $52.37* 101.19 - 0.26 : 121.31 - 0.58 / 10, 60 : 300, 2000
#

17: 226.25 - 0.90: 54.1M: 11.87 : 23.36 +0.62: 115.85 +1.64 7.92M: 1212.9 : $53.26* 100.30 - 0.89 : 122.58 +1.27 / 00, 74 : 000, 2950
18: 226.75 +0.50: 48.2M: 12.48 : 23.01 - 0.35: 114.87 - 0.98 6.06M: 1212.1 : $51.89* 101.29 +0.99 : 121.02 - 1.57 / 02, 76 : 120, 3070
19: 225.91 - 0.84: 00.0M: 12.78 : 22.88 - 0.13: 114.78 - 0.09 0.00M: 1201.5 : $52.12* 101.17 - 0.12 : 120.18 - 0.24 /
20: 226.74 +0.83: 108.M: 11.54 : 23.12 + 0.24: 115.05 +0.28 10.9M: 1204.9 : $53.22* 100.81 - 0.36 : 119.94 - 0.24 /

#
23: 226.15 - 0.59: 65.7M: 11.77 : 23.81 +0.69: 115.79 +0.74 6.13M: 1215.60 : $52.75* $99.97 - 0.66 : 121.14 +1.20 /
24: 227.60 +1.45: 81.2M: 11.07 : 23.83 +0.02: 115.27 - 0.52 5.55M: 1210.80 : $53.19* 100.24 +0.27 : 120.31 - 0.83/ 00, 098 : 000, 4482

25: 229.57 +1.97: 67.2M: 10.81 : 23.47 - 0.36: 114.32 - 0.95 6.67M: 1197.80 : $52.75* $99.88 -0.36 : 118.80 - 1.51/ 06, 104 : 312, 4800

26: 229.33 - 0.24 53.0M: 10.63 : 22.87 - 0.60: 113.26 - 1.06 5.34M: 1189.8 : $53.78* 100.64 +0.76 : 119.20 +0.40/ 02, 106 : 250, 5050
27: 228.97 - 0.36 46.2M: 10.58 : 23.22 +0.35: 113.49 +0.23 6.36M: 1188.4 : $53.17* 100.56 - 0.08 : 119.63 +0.43/ 03, 109 : 270, 5320
#

30: 227.55 - 1.42 70.0M: 11.88 : 23.15 - 0.07: 113.97 +0.48 6,.87M: 1196.0 : $52.63* 100.36 - 0.20 : 119.27 - 0.36/ 00, 112 : 000, 5,700

31: 227.53 - 0.02 00.0M: 12.09 : 23.93 +0.78: 115.55 +1.68 0.00M: 1211.8 : $52.80* $99.74 - 0.62 : 119.84 +0.57/

==
01: 227.62 +0.09 70.2M: 11.81 : 23.85 - 0.08: 115.20 - 0.35 6.88M: 1208.3 : $53.89* $99.60 - 0.14 : 119.10 -0.74/
02: 227.77 +0.15 64.5M: 11.93 : 24.38 +0.53; 115.84 +0.64 7.06M: 1219.4 : $53.54* $99.89 +0.29 : 119.05 -0.05/ 00, 008 : 000, 0,057
03: 229.34 +1.57 00.0M: 10.97 : 24.60 +0.22: 116.13 +0.29 0.00M: 1220.8 : $53.83* $99.72 - 0.17 : 119.00 -0.05/

#
06: 228.93 - 0.41 53.1M: 11.37 : 25.40 +0.80: 117.70 +1.57 8.43M: 1232.1 : $53.01* $99.90 +0.18 : 119.72 +0.72/ 00, 022 : 000, 0400
07: 228.94 +0.01 52.7M: 11.29 : 25.29 - 0.11: 117.46 - 0,24 8.55M: 1236.1 : $52.17* 100.31 +0.41 : 120.60 +0.88/ 02, 024 : 200, 0600
08: 229.24 +0.30 45.1M: 11.45 : 25.57 +0.28: 118.19 +0.73 9.57M: 1239.5 : $52.34* 100.33 +0.02 : 122.24 +1.64/ 03, 027 : 107, 0706 :

09: 230.60 +1.36 00.0M: 10.88 : 24.91 - 0.66: 117.29 -0.90 0.00M: 1235.0 : $53.00* 100.67 +0.34 : 120.83 - 1.41/
10: 231.51 +0.91 53.7M: 10.85 : 25.29 +0.38: 117.60 +0.31 8.62M: 1235.9 : $53.86* 100.71 +0.04 : 120.76 - 0.07/ 00, 040 : 000, 1000 :

#
13: 232.77 +1.26 48.5M: 11.07 : 24.95 - 0.34: 116.80 - 0.80 7.32M: 1225.8 : $52.93* 100.89 +0.18 : 120.38 - 0.38/ 00, 046 : 000, 1150

14: 233.70 +0.93 63.2M: 10.74 : 24.92 - 0.03: 116.93 +0.13 6.92M: 1225.4 : $53.20* 101.20 +0.20 : 119.51 +0.??/ 01, 047; 177; 1227
15: 234.92 +1.22 74.9M: 11.97 : 24.93 + 0.01: 117.45 +0.52 7.05M: 1233.1 : $53.11* 101.10 - 0.10 : 118.96 -0.55/ 02. 049; 073, 1300
16: 234.72 - 0.20 78.9M: 11.76 : 25.20 +0.27: 118.08 +0.63 6.30M: 1000.0 : $00.00* 100.50 - 0.60 : 119.61 +0.65/ 01, 050; 083, 1383

17: 235.09 +0.37 63.3M: 11.49 : 24.79 - 0.42: 117.68 - 0.40 6.97M: 1238.1 : $53.78* 100.90 +0.40 : 120.32 +0.71/ 01, 051; 117, 1500
#

21: 236.49 +1.40 68.6M: 11.57 : 24.62 - 0.17: 117.75 +0.07 5.80M: 1238.9 : $54.33* 101.44 + 0.54 : 120.11 - 0.21/ 00, 061; 000, 2,011
22: 236.28 - 0.21 00.0M: 11.74 : 24.33 - 0.29: 117.91 +0.16 0.00M: 1233.3 : $53.59* 101.33 - 0.11 : 120.31 +0.20/ 02, 063; 159, 2,170
23: 236.44 +0.16 67.7M: 11.71 : 24.37 +0.04: 118.94 +1.03 7.19M: 1251.4 : $54.45* 100.98 - 0.35 : 120.67 +0.36/ 02, 065; 160, 2,330
24: 236.74 +0.30 68.1M: 11.47 : 24.13 - 0.24: 119.70 +0.76 9.47M: 1258.3 : $53.99* 101.12 +0.14 : 122.01 +1.34/ 02, 067; 370, 2,700
#

27: 237.11 +0.37 48.4M: 12.09 : 22.84 - 1.29: 119.12 - 0.58 8.99M: 1258.8 : $54.05* 101.16 +0.04 : 121.29 - 0.72/ 00, 076; 000, 3,525

28: 236.47 - 0.64 69.6M: 12.92 : 22.85 +0.01: 119.23 +0.11 8.29M: 1253.9 : $54.01* 101.48 +0.32 : 121.74 +0.45/ 07, 083; 216. 3,741

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Long Term Charts updated from time-to-time, to at least: Dec.31, 2016 )

 

IWM / etf for Russell-2000 - to 12/31/16 : $134.85, 2016 range: $93.64 to 138.82 : +48.25% - beta 1.845

... All : 10-yrs : 12mos // SPY ... : To-End-2015 : last-12mos

IWM-2016D_zpsvczsgleh.gif


EIGHT KEY CHARTS
=================

- Watch for the 76d-MA (blue) Crossing the 987d-MA (yellow), or

- The 52wk MA crossing the 330wk-MA -on Weekly chart

Updates: (updated at end Dec. 2016) - some updates still needed
=====

SPY / S&P500 etf - (UP) ...SPY: to 12/31/16 : $223.53, 2016 range: 181.02 to 228.34 : +26.14% - beta 1.00

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but may be rolling over soon

SPY-2016D_zpsbw9fjuai.gif

 

.
TLT / T-Bonds etf - (DOWN) ... TLT: to 12/31/16 : $119.13, 2016 range: 116.80 to 143.62 : +22.96% - beta 87.8%

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Made an important Peak in 2016 (?) identified in prior chart here !

TLT-2016D_zpswgazwznt.gif

 

.
UUP / USDollar x2 etf - (Peaking?) ... to 12/31/16 : $26.46, 2016 range: $23.96 to $26.77 : +11.73% - beta 44.9%

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but looking very tired

UUP-2016D_zpsbbmd6if7.gif

 

.
USO / Oil etf - (Battling DOWNtrend) ... to 12/31/16 : $11.72, 2016 range: $07.67 to $12.45 : +62.32% - beta 2.38

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : 10yrL : Price is battling that old Downtrend

USO-log-2016D_zps6lkbrkzg.gif

 

.
XLE / Oil stocks - (Fighting back UP) ... to 12/31/16 : $75.32, 2016 range: $49.93 to $78.45 : +57.11% - beta 2.185

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is DOWN, reversing?

Old-trend-was-accelerating ... as the uptrend ended

XLE-2016D_zpslfvxasu2.gif

.
OIH / Oil service - (Fight DOWNtrend) ... $11.72, 2016 range: $07.67 to $12.45 : +62.32% - beta 2.38

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Major Bottom in place?

OIH-2016D_zpsk0ng8zdi.gif

.
GLD / Gold etf - (Reversing Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : 109.61, 2016 range: 102.49 to 131.15 : +27.96% - beta 1.07

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversing to Up?

GLD-2016D_zpspggb8zw9.gif

 

.
GDX / Gold stocks - (Breaking Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : $20.92, 2016 range: $12.40 to $31.79 : +156.4% - beta 5.98

GDX ... All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversed to Up in 2016 maybe?

GDX-2016D_zpsh4dqzeel.gif

 

HUI Chart - price data goes back further ... 12/31/16 : 182.31, 2016 range: $99.19 to 286.05 : +199.4% - beta 7.64

All-data-update :

HUI-2016D_zpsuihvykng.gif

 

China's Shanghai index last bounced of a support level near 2,600
ShComp 12/31/16 : 3103.6, 2016 range: 2638.3 to 3538.7 : +34.12% - beta 1.305

CN : SHcomp ... All-Log : All-Data

ShCompL-2016D_zps5mdil9ec.gif

 

===== Links to other CHARTS =====

10yrs : SLV : GDXJ : / log : AGQ : PSLV : UGL : ??

PHM +, GDXJ -, RGLD -, HK:HSI +, HK:12 -new,

=====

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
BRADLEY Model : Could be Upside-down in 2016 and 2017
TURN dates
2015 : May 10, May 25, June 8, Sept. 23, Oct. 17
2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29
2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, -Jan.4, +Jan.17
====
Model for 2017:
SP_500_Bradley_Siderograph.png
2016;

2016-SP-500-Bradley-Siderograph-Turn-Dat

The Bradley model predicted a Top formation: in April thru June in 2015, and in early July 2016

SPY... 2015-2017: Dec.31, 2016: $223.53,

2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29

2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, -Jan.4, +Jan.17

Brad-SPY-224_zps1jqkp4xi.gif

 

Bonds peaked first in 2015, then the Dollar, then stocks... In early July (when the Bradley model peaked), TLT hit new highs.

TLT... 2015-2017 : Dec.31, 2016: $119.13

Brad-TLT-119_zpscs29uqrk.gif

 

USD trade-weighted:

DXY ... 2015-2017 : DXY-all-data : 10d : 12/31/16: $102.36

Brad-DXY_zpschqel2tu.gif

 

 

OTHER Indices : USO : GLD : GDX : PHM : IYR :

Brad-USO_zpsh1pin4pl.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The current cycle may tell us a lot about where Gold is headed in 2017-18

 

Gold's 4-6 months Cycle:

 

GLD: update: end-may: $116.06 +0.44/ UK:GBS: $115.50/ HK-2840: $ 898.5 /7.76= $115.80 : HK-3081: $29.35 r-30.61

GLD-12mos_zpsxmqnwhs4.gif

 

Cycles since GLD started trading

GLD-all_zpskcw6caud.gif

 

What we saw for GLD and other Gold etfs in 2016:

Mo.: Prior.Mo : End-Mo: change: + Pct./ GBS.uk: hk2840: hk3081: r-HK- :

Jan. : $101.46 : $106.95 : +$5.49 : +5.41%/ 106.34 : 829.50 : $27.10 : r30.61 :
Feb. : $106.95 : $118.64 : +11.69:+10.93%/ 117.56 : 915.00 : $30.15 : r30.35 :
Mar. : $118.64 : $117.64 : - $1.00 : - 0.84%/ 117.69 : 912.00 : $29.75 : r30.66 :
Apr. : $117.64 : $123.65 : +$6.01 : +5.11%/ 123.29 : 947.00 : $30.95 : r30.60 :
May : $123.65 : $116.06 : - $7.59 : - 6.14%/ 115.50 : 898.50 : $29.35 : r30.61 :
Jun. : $116.06 : $126.47 : +10.41 : +8.97%/ 125.58 : 974.00 : $31.90 : r30.53 :
July : $126.47 : $128.98 : + $2.51 : +1.98%/ 128.23 : 988.00 : $32.50 : r30.40 :
Aug. : $128.98 : $124.78 : - $4.20 : -3.26%/ 124.31 : 971.50 : $31.90 : r30.45 :
Sep. : $124.78 : $125.64 : +$0.86 : +0.69%/ 125.57 : 981.50 : $32.20 : r30.48 :
Oct. : $125.64 : $121.94 : - $3.70 : - 2.94%/ 120.98 : 944.00 : $31.00 : r30.45 :
Nov. : $121.94 : $111.75 : - 10.19 : - 8.36%/ 111.28 : 879.00 : $28.85 : r30.47 :
Dec. : $111.75 : $109.61 : - $2.14 : - 1.91%/ 109.61 : 859.00 : $28.30 : r30.35 :

====

 

I managed to pick up some GLD calls the last day of 2015, ie 12/31.

(I went for the GLD March $103-calls, paying $2.14 per call.)

I also bought Jan.18 GLD and Feb.17 NUGT Calls on the Dec. 2016 Low.

 

Gold-toUSD_zps2zk6n4gi.png

 

... continues: Low, Dec.15th: 1129.8 / $103.04 = 10.96 / intraday: 1123/$103= 10.90

 

Gold-toDXY_zpsehk68ypw.png

 

 

Gold may have bottomed in mid-Dec. at around $1,125 (/?? = ??.) That's a 75% retracement of the gain from $104- to $13--

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Get Ready, Cycle Analysis Indicates The Market Will Drop In The 3rd Quarter Of 2017:Charles Nenner

 

COMMENTS

 

He thinks the Euro will split into a northern and southern Euro.

He's long EUR now, think No-EUR could be the strongest part of global economy.

He expects stocks to slide in Q3-2017, and over several years to 2021, will fall to Dow-5,000.

 

The drop in Q3-2017 will be "much more than 10%"

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

(since I am now in the Philippines, I will copy these notes here too as well as in the section under: http://MakatiPrime.com)

 

Shift towards Office Space?

This is being talked about more and more, as the realty of OVERSUPPLY becomes more apparent in the Residential sector.

The ads and articles will not tell you this, but the Vacancy rate for Residential flats in Makati is now probably over 10% -

versus maybe 1% of Office space. And this comes at a time, when Residential completions are running at record levels:

 

In 2017, perhaps 25-30% will be added to Residential condo supply. Even a remarkable take-up rate of more than 20%, is likely to push up the vacancy rate to 15% or more by the end of 2017. This does not bode well for Rents and prices of residential flats. As developers are seeing resistance to further price rises, they are beginning to push the concept of Home-Offices, Small-Office/Home-Office (SOHO), and mixed use.

 

So we are seeing articles with headlines like this: ( SS-53, in Manila Bulletin, 2/2/2017)

 

Lack of space in metro pushes developers to go 'mixed use'

 

"For decades, the term 'mixed use' was utilized by developers to inform buyers that a home or unit the are purchasing is not only for residential use but may be for commercial use too."

 

... most prominent reason... the traffic situation is not getting better... cars on the roads are doubling or tripling on roads that are not expanding...

... moving from Makati to Quezon City takes over an hour when it should be a 20 minutes drive

 

Considering this, developers have encouraged the rise of SOHOs or the "small office, home office" concept. With their buildings equiped with Internet fiber connections, working at home suddenly seems possible. Online conferencing is doable and online selling becomes a lucrative endeavor.

 

... everything a resident needs is just a few steps - or even an elevator ride - away

... For relaxation, there's a roof deck; for personal needs, there's a coffee shop, a courier, a clinic at ground level.

... For businesses, the mixed use building even has spaces such as conference rooms, audio-visual rooms, even a private theater

 

Some projects mentioned in the article include:

 

+ Rockwell Primaries' The Vantage at Kapitolyo in Pasig : with a 2-storey retail area

+ Greenfield's Zitan Residences, which is directly connected to the metro, and has fiber connectivity

+ Ayala Quezon City development has been called "a city within the city", where mixed use living is highly practical

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ALL THE PEOPLE

Wow, As promised Trump's Press secretary, Sean Spicer, is taking questions from Skype

 

Sean Spicer Takes FIRST EVER Skype Questions At White House Daily Briefing

 

During the press conference, he took FOUR questions via Skype.

And there were from broadcasters in places like Cleveland and Appalachia, which are OUTSIDE the Washington Bubble.

 

Are we really starting to see government for ALL the people?

 

(it must have been a wakeup for the Washington Compost and the NY Slimes reporters, whose jobs are now under threat)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

More from Antarctica - announcements pending?

 

Visit to Antarctica Confirms Discovery of Flash Frozen Alien Civilization

only authorized narration of the article "Visit to Antarctica Confirms Discovery of Flash Frozen Alien Civilization", which was published on Exopolitics.org on January 24, 2017. The article is narrated by its author, Dr Michael Salla.

 

News of findings to be "a distraction for trials of pedophile elites".

Goode was taken there himself, to view the excavations (by an Anchara spacecraft.)

 

Pre-Adamite bodies are tall and thin. Some with tails, and with elongated skulls

Many bodies were twisted, suggest a flash-freezing disaster - as per Charles Hapgood.

 

More info coming in Endgame-3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This interview is going to be a classic

 

The Pizzagate references near the beginning are essential for those not yet read in on PGte

 

Warning - it is over 3 hours!

 

Alex Jones on Joe Rogan Experience

 

Published on Feb 1, 2017

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

OPTION FOLLOW-UP

 

A good suggestion from six weeks ago - let's see how it worked out...

 

IF BRAVE enough, Buy some Calls on Gold shares

 

Gold could break down here, or it might be a terrific buying opportunity.

It might be worth a gamble

 

GDX / Gold Mining etf ... Two years / 10-d

 

GDX-2yrs_zpsusl6bbab.gif

 

(And then two days later, I posted this / Posted 19 December 2016 - 02:27 PM):

On Thursday, I bought Calls on GLD and NUGT

I am in profit (so far)

Let's recap - at 1/11:

Action : Option---------------------- : Date - Price - UL-cls / Last - Price - UL-cls / Gain + Pct.- /
BOT - GLD Call- Jan.2018-$110c : 12/15- $7.15 - 107.3 / 01/11- 10.32 - 113.5 / +$3.17 +44.06%
BOT - Nugt Call- Feb2017-$4.0 c : 12/15- $2.13 - $5.93 / 01/11- $5.55 - $9.48 / +$3.42 +160.6%
SLD - Nugt Call- Feb2017- $9.0 c : 01/05- $2.20 - 10.32 / 01/11- $1.86 - $9.48 / +$0.34 +15.45%
BOT - Nugt Call- Feb2017-$8.0 c : 01/12- $2.00 - $8.80*/ 01/11- $2.35 - $9.48 / +$0.35 +17.50%

==============
Wow! Look how much bigger the gains are on the Nugt calls (+161%) versus the gain on the GLD calls (+44%)

 

Another recap - at 2/02:

Action : Option---------------------- : Date - Price - UL-cls / Last - Price - UL-cls / Gain + Pct.- /
BOT - GLD Call- Jan.2018-$110c : 12/15- $7.15 - 107.3 / 02/02- 11.35 - 115.8 / +$4.20 +58.74%
BOT - Nugt Call- Feb2017-$4.0 c : 12/15- $2.13 - $5.93 / 02/02- $7.70 - 11.70 / +$5.57 +261.5%
SLD - Nugt Call- Feb2017- $9.0 c : 01/05- $2.20 - 10.32 / 02/02- $3.00 - 11.70 / -$0.80 -15.45%
BOT - Nugt Call- Feb2017-$8.0 c : 01/12- $2.00 - $8.80*/ 02/02- $3.80 - 11.70 / +$1.80 +90.00%

==============

NUGT
nugt_zpsmqyabdkw.gif

I did not let the whole position run.

I have sold down 2/3rds of the Nugt-$4-calls: 1/3 at $6.50, and 1/3 yesterday at $7.70.

There was a nice profit of over 260% on the latest sale.

It is rare to make more than 2-3x your money on at-the-money, and in-the-money calls that I like to trade

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

KITCO articles

 

=== ===
Trading the job print suggested a sell print, with January jobs well above consensus estimates of 180,000. The number north of 200,000 should have prompted traders to sell, as it would have placed a March Fed hike firmly on the table. Prices, however, reacted higher, likely because of downward revisions in previous months and a slight reduction in the wage index. Traders took it as a set-up for an excuse for the Fed to wait in March, which hurt the dollar and pushed traders to cover some shorts. I don’t think the Fed is watching employment that closely any more. They are focused on inflation and Trump’s fiscal policies. Suggest that this is a kneejerk reaction in the metals, but will be more inclined to be optimistic should gold close above the $1,222 level, at least from a technical perspective. The Dow has recaptured 20,000 and it feels like there is good momentum behind the move.
. . .

A bullish brew of fundamentals are simmering in the pot for gold and other precious metals prices this year. Industrial metals have stormed out of the starting gates and are already racing around the track – leading the charge for metals bulls this year, and gold and silver aren't far behind.

Year-to-Date Gains Platinum + 10.83% Palladium + 10.55% Silver + 9.51%; Gold +5.88% S&P 500 + 2.50% Source: barchart.com, cnnmoney.com through Feb. 3, 2017


The first and foremost support for the precious metals complex may well come from the new Trump administration that has spearheaded a reversal of a decades long strong dollar policy. Let's take a look at what that means.

kitco_Feb3.png


President Trump is talking down the U.S. dollar and so far it's working. For decades U.S. government officials have attempted to "jawbone" the dollar higher in a strong dollar policy.

  1. The Death of the Decades Long Strong Dollar Policy

. . .

While the “US Dollar is too strong” rhetoric continues from the new US Administration, the record long hedge fund position from last month in the US Dollar continues to unwind. This is bringing more longs into bullion as the very important 100 level on the USD Cash Settle Index has now been broken, even before a dovish Fed voted 10-0 to leave rates un-changed this week. Uptrend line support is at 97 on the index and could possibly get there on this move down, which began on the very first trading day of the year.

I am now looking for gold to hit the $1250-$1270 area on this move with the GDX possibly hitting 28-30 before a correction of 15-20% in the index takes place. Sentiment in the sector has remained weak as the miners continue to climb a wall of worry, while leading the gold price higher. Many of the quality miners have been breaking out of individual consolidation patterns as well during this rebound off of strong support in the GDX at $22.50. As mentioned a few weeks ago in this column, I believe $1225 gold should get the GDX to the $25 region. A weekly close above the $25-$26 level in the GDX and $1225 in gold will further solidify the case for a major bottom being in place for the sector.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

TRUMP on the Stay:

 

'When a country is no longer able to say who can, and who cannot , come in & out, especially for reasons of safety &.security - big trouble!' Trump tweeted.

'Interesting that certain Middle-Eastern countries agree with the ban. They know if certain people are allowed in it's death & destruction!'

'The opinion of this so-called judge, which essentially takes law-enforcement away from our country, is ridiculous and will be overturned!'

3CD3200600000578-4191110-U_S_District_ju
The state's attorney general, Bob Ferguson, said: 'This decision shuts down the executive order right now. No one is above the law - not even the President'.

While judges have ruled against previous presidents in the past, including Barack Obama and George W. Bush, they were not known to have personally criticized judges for their decisions.

The White House slammed the judge's ruling as 'outrageous' and vowed to appeal as soon as possible on Friday night. The temporary restraining order represents a major challenge to Trump's ban on immigrants from seven predominantly Muslim countries.

Judge Robart made his ruling effective immediately on Friday, and Customs and Border Protection immediately alerted major US airlines that it will begin to reinstate visas.

==
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4191110/Donald-Trump-slams-decision-halt-immigration-order.html#ixzz4XoTsoAb2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Coast To Coast AM - February 3, 2017 New World Order, Ritual Abuse & Open Lines

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vKS7USKmPbI

 

(I will comment after listening.)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Guess what: Not ALL Black People have the same opinions

 

Black Trump Supporter Destroys False MSM Narrative

 

Some (a growing number) want to get past the "victim mentality"

 

Obama was a wax banana.

People voted from him as President, because they hoped he would bring the country to a higher state,

beyond racism. Instead, he promoted Black Racism, and the Victim mentality, pandering to the worst

attitudes within the black community

 

This guy seems to be different

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Raging Bull-sh/tters - Democrats are hurting themselves

 

Party Of Outrage Wonders If They've Gone Too Far

Published on Feb 4, 2017

As violent protests break out across the country in perpetual resistance of Donald Trump, Democrats wonder if this is the right move. Will it prove that they really don't have the best interests of the nation in mind and aren't just being sore losers hellbent on destruction?

 

"If you protest everything with Outrage... the message gets lost"

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Kevin MacDonald & Andrew Joyce - Leftist Violence in Trump’s America

Published on Feb 3, 2017

Dr. Kevin MacDonald has a Ph.D. in Biobehavioral Sciences and is an expert on Jewish influence and identity. He is also the editor and chief contributor of The Occidental Observer, an online publication that focuses on White identity, White interests, and the culture of the West. Dr. Andrew Joyce is a scholar, speaker, and writer with academic expertise on immigration, ethnic and religious conflict, and philosophy. Andrew sits on the editorial advisory board of The Occidental Quarterly and is also a regular contributor to The Occidental Observer.

 

Kevin and Andrew return to Red Ice for a fascinating discussion on escalating Leftist violence, Trump’s presidency, and much more. We begin by looking back on Trump’s first two weeks in office. Kevin discusses the hysteria on the Left, while Andrew tells us that he is pleasantly surprised to see Donald Trump deliver on his promises. We talk about the Trump administration’s plans to cease monitoring “White supremacist” organizations, and instead direct its counter-extremism efforts towards radical Islamists. Later, we switch gears to consider the increasingly violent nature of the Left and the future of civil unrest in America. We discuss the recent riots at UC Berkeley, Black Lives Matter, and Inauguration Day violence. The first hour also covers the petition to ban Trump from the UK and the specifics of his 90-day travel ban.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

To Those Worried About So Many World Leaders Visiting Antarctica Lately

 

Published on Feb 5, 2017

Antarctica was once temperate and contains an enormous amount of energy and mineral wealth probably worth many trillions of dollars.

 

He is not informed (or in agreement) with David Wilcock and Corey Good's revelations

 

Styx thinks the thawing of Antarctica will open up untold Mineral Wealth, and might also expose people to new viruses

 

"I don't think there are elder ones, and crashed space ships there."

 

He also refers to an HP Lovecraft quote

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

THE STREET ARTIST of Don Bosco

 

A mentioned this woman at the last Meetup. Almost every morning, she sits with her art outside the Don Bosco church.

Though she has a tough life, she lives by sharing the beautiful dreamy images from the inside of her head.

 

Artist-40pct_zps1ug3woow.jpg

 

Look at these pictures - They are Joyful! (despite her hard life.)

Artist-MessagesX3_zpsdp9qs4hu.jpg

 

I cannot read her messages, which are written in her own language,

but I am told they tell of an illness, and her need for money.

And also maybe some past documentaries that she was in, or was involved in making.

 

I give her a little money everytime I see her. And she gave me permission to take the above photo.

I pass other beggars, and sometimes I give them money too. But not always. This one, I always give her something.

Why? Because she wants to share something. She does not just want money. And it is inspiring that whatever challenges

that she may be facing, she can still find beauty in life... and wants to share that.

 

I would buy a picture too, if I had a place to hang it.

 

> Philosophy Club thread: LINK : http://tinyurl.com/FNPHIC

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Is UNU really as smart as they say?

 

 

Haven't these guys heard of Group think? (problems asscociated with a consensus)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Top of Page Charts: Gold / USD / china gold // Russell / Copper / china silver

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : 24hr-euro-small.gif : t24_au_en_euoz_2.gif : AuTD1.png?id=11409261605

idx24_russell_en_2.gif : t24_ag_en_usoz_2.gif:: idx24_hui_en_2.gif : AgTD0.png?id=11409221912

3d : ag : au

 

China/SGE: 4,200 RMB/kg / 6.150 = $ 683 / 35.274 = $19.36 (discount of about 20-25 cents?)

10/08-10am: Rmb3,846 /6.140 = $ 626.4 / 35.274 = $17.76 (prem. 57 cents)

10/13-9.am : Rmb3,884 /6.136 = $ 633.0 / 35.274 = $17.94 -$17.39= prm-$0.55

Goldstock : HK-2840 : GBS.L : GLD : GDX : NUGT : tza/faz -- HKpeg : DXY : StkX : 10-d : SPX : sjw :

HK 3081: 2899: 1051: hs / UK: POG / ABX : Sil : IAG : dba-etc. ... lot : PB : CVN : CC2 : BTC : SLV-lv

=================================================

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

(Tony C):

 

LONG TERM: uptrend

The Primary wave III bull market continues to unfold, but has spent the most part of the last two months trading above and below the OEW 2270 and 2286 pivots. For the year, which is about 5 weeks old, the SPX is up 2.6%. The wave pattern/labeling we have been tracking remains unchanged.

spxweekly.png?w=640&h=485

Since we are expecting a relatively long Major wave 1 of Primary III, we started the first waves with an Intermediate labeling i and ii. The second set of waves is a subdivision of Intermediate wave iii: Minor waves 1 and 2. From the Minor 2 low in early November, just before the election, we have been expecting a Minor wave 3 to unfold. Thus far it still looks too short to be all of Minor 3, as it is barely longer than the previous Minor 1 uptrend (216 pts. v 202 pts.). In the meantime while the market sorts itself out there are a couple of more important points that should be noted.

 

Should the market enter a correction soon we are likely to see only a 5% decline. Should the market clear SPX 2336, the last potential B wave count, then we can expect 1 – 3 years of bull market activity with the SPX reaching 3000+. Should the market drop below SPX 2084, then the B wave has topped and we are likely in a C wave bear market.

==

> https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2017/02/04/weekend-update-590/

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Jeff Rense & Catherine Austin Fitts - Brilliant Explanation Of What Trump…And We…Are Now Facing

 

Published on Feb 1, 2017

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Price : (06/26) (12/31) (04/01) Chg. %: (07/01) : (09/30) (10/28) : (11/25) (12/30) / (01/06) (01/13) : (01/20) (01/27) : (02/03)
Gold : 1173.8 : 1060.5 : 1223.2 === >: 1344.9 : 1317.1 : 1276.8 : 1178.4 : 1151.7 : 1173.4 : 1196.2 : 1204.9 : 1188.4 : $1,220.8 :
GLD : 112.56 : 101.46 : 116.93 ----- z : 128.41 : 125.64 : 121.58 : 112.61 : 109.61 : 111.75 : 114.21 : 115.05 : 113.49 : 116.13 :
GDX : $18.09 : $13.72 : $20.12 ----- z : $29.05 : $26.43 : $23.81 : $20.61 : $20.95 : $22.39 : $22.74 : $23.12 : $23.22 : $24.60 :
Ratio: R6.222: R7.395 : R5.811 ----- z : R4.420 : R4.754 : R5.106 : r5.464 : r5.232 : R4.991 : r5.022 : r4.976 : r4.888 : r4.-- (/10.---)
Ratio 16.07%: 13.52%: 17.21% ----- z : 22.62%: 21.04%: 19.58%: 18.30%: 19.11%: 20.04%: 19.91%: 20.10%: 20.45% : 20.-- (GDX-x5-.1 )
Gdxj: $24.86 : $19.21 : $28.40: ----- z: $45.38 : $44.29 : $39.61 : $33.80 : $31.55 : $35.40 : $36.66 : $37.01 : $36.87 : $39.26 :
Spdr : 706. E : 642.37 : 815.est ----- z : 953.91 : 947.95 : 942.59 : 885.00 : 822.17 : 813.59 : 807.96 : 809.15 : 8-- : 8--- = 26.--m
Au/S : R-1.66 : R-1.65 : R- 1.52 ----- z : R-1.41 : R-1.39 : r-1.355 : R-1.33 : r1.401 : r1.442 : R1.481 : r1.489 : R1.=-- : R1.---
TLT - : 115.23 : 120.58 : 130.68 ----- z : 140.57 : 137.51 : 130.45 : 120.82 : 119.13 : 120.86 : 121.31 : 119.94 : 119.63 : 119.00 :
G/Tlt : R10.19 : r8.795 : R9.404 ----- z : R9.567: R9.578 : R9.788: R9.753 : R9.668 : R9.709 : R9.861 : R10.05 : R9.993 : R9.-- /R10.05 vs L: 8.65
====
AGS : Y3,409 : y3,210 : y3,367 ----- z : y4,157 : y4,209 : y4,016 : y0,000 : y0,000 : y0,000 : y0,000 : y0.000 : y0.000 : y0,000 17.14
SLV- : $15.11 : $13.19 : $14.34 ----- z : $18.74 : $18.20 : $16.87 : $15.63 : $15.11 : $15.64 : $15.94 : $16.19 : $16.22 : $16.57 :
SLW-: $15.11 : $12.42 : $16.40 ----- z: $24.78 : $27.30 : $23.44 : $18.07 : $19.32 : $20.30 : $20.47 : $21.22 : $21.42 : $22.21 :
SIL*- : $26.43 : $18.51 : $26.50 ----- z : $45.95 : $44.48 : $39.85 : $34.16 : $32.11 : $35.50 : $36.61 : $37.16 : $37.36 : $39.18 :
DBA : $22.71 : $20.61 : $20.50 ----- z : $21.98 : $19.98 : $20.63 : $20.30 : $19.97 : $20.34 : $20.73 : $20.83 : $20.57 : $20.57 :
XLE- : $76.08 : $60.32 : $61.06 ----- z : $68.60 : $70.61 : $69.37 : $72.72 : $75.32 : $75.89 : $74.38 : $74.54 : $74.23 : $73.50 :
Cop'r: $2.641 : $2.135 : $2.170 ----- z : $2.220 : $2.210 : $2.190 : $2.670 : $2.510 : $2.550 : $2.690 : $2.620 : $2.690 : $2.650 :
WTI- : $59.65 : $37.07 : $36.36 ----- z : $49.28 : $48.24 : $48.70 : $46.06 : $53.72 : $53.99 : $52.37 : $53.22 : $53.17 : $53.83 :
CRB : 224.90 : 176.27 : 168.03 ----- z : 194.26 : 186.30 : 189.21 : 185.73 : 192.51 : 193.54 : 194.54 : 194.02 : 193.43 : 193.20 :
Corn : 385.00: 358.00 : 353.50 ----- z : 360.25 : 336.30 : 355.00 : 349.25 : 352.00 : 358.00 : 358.50 : 369.75 : 362.50 : 365.25 :
Wheat 575.00: 468.50 : 474.00 ----- z : 496.25 : 402.00 : 408.50 : 419.50 : 408.00 : 423.25 : 426.00 : 428.25 : 420.50 : 430.25 :
Sugar 11.92c : 15.24c : 15.18C ----- z : 20.78C : 23.00c : 22.16C : 19.84c : 19.51c : 20.75c : 20.52c : 20.18c : 20.33c : 21.17c :
BTC : 250.00 : $433.5 : $420.0 ----- z : $680.0 : $604.5 : $699.0 : $738.0 : $948.5 : $820.4 : $822.2 : $900.0 : $920.0 : 1020.0
B/G.: 21.30% : 40.88%: 34.34% ----- z : 50.56%: 45.90%: 54.75%: 62.63%: 82.36%: 70.00%: 68.73%: 74.69%: 00.00%: 00.00% /17-98%
====
EEM- : $39.93 : $32.19 : $34.15 ----- z : $34.69 : $37.45 : $36.93 : $34.25 : $35.01 : $35.94 : $36.68 : $36.42 : $37.47 : $37.75 :
FXI -- : $46.21 : $35.29 : $33.58 ----- z : $34.48 : $38.01 : $36.85 : $37.09 : $34.71 : $35.75 : $36.57 : $36.29 : $36.82 : $36.63 :
ShCm : 4192.9: 3519.2 : 3009.5 ----- z : 2932.5 : 3004.7 : 3104.3 : 3277.0 : 3103.6 : 3154.3 : 3112.8 : 3123.1 : 3159.2 : 3,156.9 :
PHM- : $20.48 : $17.82 : $18.42 ----- z: $19.48 : $20.04 : $18.51 : $19.27 : $18.38 : $18.46 : $19.19 : $19.12 : $21.26 : $21.39 :
IYR -- : $72.49 : $75.08 : $77.91 ----- z : $82.33 : $80.64 : $75.52 : $75.18 : $76.94 : $78.41 : $77.10 : $77.43 : $76.97 : $77.50 :
IWM - : 127.50 : 112.62 : 111.12 ----- z : 115.39 : 124.21 : 118.03 : 134.07 : 134.85 : 135.69 : 136.26 : 134.44 : 136.19 : 136.87 :
XLF - : $24.89 : $23.82 : $22.70 ----- z: $22.74 : $19.30 : $19.77 : $22.41 : $23.25 : $23.54 : $23.51 : $23.15 : $23.65 : $23.72 :
XLF/S: 11.86%: 11.68%: 10.97% ----- z : 10.83%: V8.92% : r9.30%: 10.54%: 10.31%: 10.40%: 10.36%: 10.21%: 10.33%: 10--- Warning?
SPY - : 209.82 : 203.87 : 206.92 ----- z : 209.92 : 216.30 : 212.54 : 221.52 : 223.53 : 227.21 : 227.05 : 226.74 : 228.97 : 229.34 :
VIX-- : 14.02%: 18.21%: 13.10% ----- z : 14.77%: 13.29%: 16.19%: 12.24%: 14.04%: 11.32%: 11.23%: 11.54%: 10.58% : 11.37%
ShPut $06.15 : $6.670: $05.00: ----- z : $02.85 : $01.69 : $02.65 / Sp210 : $08.30 : $06.65 : $06.50 : $00.00 : $00.00 : $00 Sp$210p
DXY - : 95.399 : 98.693 : 94.608 ----- z : 95.720 : $95.42 : $98.34 : 101.55 : 102.38 : 102.21 : 101.19 : 100.81 : 100.56 : $99.89
H-gold: r12.30 : R10.75 : r12.93 ----- z : R14.05: R13.80 : R11.93 : R11.69 : R11.25 : R11.48 : R11.82 : R11.95 : Rng: 11.3-14.2
=====
Gold : 1173.8 : 1060.5 : 1223.2 === >: 1344.9 : 1317.1 : 1276.8 : 1178.4 : 1151.7 : 1173.4 : 1196.2 : 1204.9 : 1188.4 : 1220.8 :

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ART from Space?

 

'Space capsule' in desert stops traffic

 

/ 2 /

Space capsule found along Arizona freeway?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

×