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The Most important election in US History?

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"And yet the pollsters failed to see it coming."

 

Maybe they are paid or instructed not to "produce" certain results

 

Here's an exception:

And yet the pollsters failed to see it coming.

 

Donald Trump maintains slim lead over Hillary Clinton in tracking poll ...

www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/08/26/...poll...Trump.../4311472221679/

 

WASHINGTON, Aug. 26 (UPI) -- The UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll released Friday shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by less than 1 percentage point.

The online poll shows Trump with 48.52 percent to Clinton's 47.73 percent after both candidates edged up slightly overnight. Correspondingly, the percentage of "other" voters, defined as anyone who did not select Trump or Clinton, fell to its lowest level to date, 3.74 percent.

Friday is the second-consecutive day the poll shows Trump leading Clinton by a slim margin. Clinton had led in the poll since the conclusion of the Democratic National Convention.

The UPI/CVoter online tracking poll surveys about 200 people each day, leading to a sample size of roughly 1,400 people during any seven-day span.

Over the course of a full seven-day sampling, Trump has gained 4 points, while Clinton has dropped 3.3 points.

Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 percentage points. This seven-day span includes data collected from Aug 18-24, when 1,720 individuals were surveyed. Of them, 1,187 identified themselves as likely voters.

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"And yet the pollsters failed to see it coming."

 

Maybe they are paid or instructed not to "produce" certain results

 

Here's an exception:

And yet the pollsters failed to see it coming.

 

Donald Trump maintains slim lead over Hillary Clinton in tracking poll ...

www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/08/26/...poll...Trump.../4311472221679/

 

WASHINGTON, Aug. 26 (UPI) -- The UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll released Friday shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by less than 1 percentage point.

The online poll shows Trump with 48.52 percent to Clinton's 47.73 percent after both candidates edged up slightly overnight. Correspondingly, the percentage of "other" voters, defined as anyone who did not select Trump or Clinton, fell to its lowest level to date, 3.74 percent.

Friday is the second-consecutive day the poll shows Trump leading Clinton by a slim margin. Clinton had led in the poll since the conclusion of the Democratic National Convention.

The UPI/CVoter online tracking poll surveys about 200 people each day, leading to a sample size of roughly 1,400 people during any seven-day span.

Over the course of a full seven-day sampling, Trump has gained 4 points, while Clinton has dropped 3.3 points.

Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 percentage points. This seven-day span includes data collected from Aug 18-24, when 1,720 individuals were surveyed. Of them, 1,187 identified themselves as likely voters.

I think the bulk of polls in the USA are phone polls...I could be wrong.When polling Trump or Farage you really need online as people lie less.

 

The problem with the UPI iirc is that the participants are self selecting.

 

My basic maths at the minute is to take the phone polls,discount the outliers and add 3-5 to Donalds score.Still a large margin for error.

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The Presidential debates will finish Hillary. There's no getting away. She will have to debate Trump live, one on one.

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The Presidential debates will finish Hillary. There's no getting away. She will have to debate Trump live, one on one.

Agreed,and crucially shes out of practice unlike donald whos been facing a hostile press every day.

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A sick woman in trouble?

 

No Press conferences, and now no campaigning either

 

The Kelly File 8/26/2016 : Clinton Takes A Break From Campaigning As Troubling Headlines Pile Up

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dgNBpdarfRs

 

Maybe she should go straight into exile, or the hospital

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Smack! Smack! Trump hits back at Hillary's race-baiting

 

His new ads are effective, bringing some history into the the battle - per this Hannity video

 

Trump counter-punches against Clinton's racism accusations

 

+ Hillary called blacks "super predators"

+ She was a big backer of Robert Byrd, a KKK leader

(Trump never backed Duke, who was a KK leader 40 years ago)

 

The black guy (pastor Scott) interviewed says: "I deplore that period of real racism"

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Alex Jones : A Marked Man ?

 

After having been shouted out by Hillary,

Alex Jones sounds worried, and maybe slightly drunk here

 

Hillary Clinton, Please Stop Killing People

 

Who can blame him?

He says:

"It's surreal to realize that little old me, Alex Jones, a little talk show host, is one of the principle people opposing these monsters"

 

Comment:

FOLKS, THIS VIDEO HAS GOT TO GO VIRAL. YOU ALL KNOW GOING FORWARD, HE IS A MARKED MAN. I DON'T USUALLY CONCUR WITH EVERYTHING HE SAYS ON ALL OF HIS SHOWS AND VIDEOS. BUT ON THIS ELECTION, HE IS ABSOLUTELY RIGHT. HILLARY AND HER CRONIES, MUST BE PREVENTED FROM TAKING THIS MAN OUT. TO THE CLINTONS, THEY SEE ONLY A 200LB CARCASS OF FLESH AND BONES, STANDING IN THEIR WAY, AS THEY HEAD TO THE WHITE HOUSE. HE NEEDS OUR SUPPORT MORE THAN EVER. PLEASE SHARE ON ALL SITES YOU CAN.
(This is NO JOKE!):

Alex Jones said here:
"Whatever I do, I am NOT WITH Hillary. And I will not commit suicide. If I die, then supporters of Hillary Clinton are the main suspects."
There's a vast difference between being an enemy of Trump (if he has any) and an enemy of the Clintons

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Smack! Smack! Trump hits back at Hillary's race-baiting

 

His new ads are effective, bringing some history into the the battle - per this Hannity video

 

Trump counter-punches against Clinton's racism accusations

 

 

+ Hillary called blacks "super predators"

+ She was a big backer of Robert Byrd, a KKK leader

(Trump never backed Duke, who was a KK leader 40 years ago)

 

The black guy (pastor Scott) interviewed says: "I deplore that period of real racism"

Good to see him punch back.

 

His ad spend is increasing.He's timing his run in well.

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http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-08-29/trump-plans-to-bring-outreach-to-black-audience-in-detroit

'Donald Trump is planning to visit Detroit next weekend to make his first appearance before a predominantly African-American audience as his campaign makes a bid for support from black voters.

Trump will visit the Great Faith Ministries on Saturday in Detroit, a predominantly black church located in the heart of the city, said Pastor Mark Burns, a Trump supporter who arranged a meeting between the Republican presidential nominee and the church’s leader, Bishop Wayne T. Jackson.'

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Monday polls 29/8/16

 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html

Don closes to 3 down in Penn...........stunning but needs a few more

 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5970.html

Ohio-tie............wow..

 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6008.html

Michigan,,,down 5.....but still better than a week or two back

 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/az/arizona_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6087.html

Arizona he's lost some ground.

 

All in all there's some really good news in there if hes sustained around those levels given the way hell be underreported

 

Trumpnow 4.3 on Betfair.

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Wouldn't if be something if Trump won 20% or more of the black voters - up from 8% that Romney got

 

This might actually prove to be the factor that would get him the White House

 

And Hillary can lose them, thanks to her neglect, and taking them for granted

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(I call Bullfeathers on this garbage! How can having a criminal ridden with scandals be good for the market?)

 

The stock market has already picked the next U.S. president

Published: Aug 29, 2016

Market strategist says history favors Clinton; ‘investors like landslide victories’

MW-EU915_clinto_20160829160301_ZH.jpg?uu
The stock market is predicting Hillary Clinton to win in a landslide.
sueChang2_100.png

By

SueChang
Markets reporter

The GOP is traditionally known as the party of Wall Street, but this year investors, for the most part, are betting against the Republican standard-bearer.

“The market appears to have decided not only that [Hillary] Clinton will win, but that it won’t be close,” David Woo, a strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said in a report distributed Monday. “Investors like landslide victories.”

Woo noted that the S&P 500 has risen more than 4% since July 5, which marks the beginning of the 90-trading-day countdown to the election on Nov. 8. During years when presidential candidates won by a margin of more than 80% of Electoral College votes, the S&P 500 posted average returns of 8.4% in the 90 days leading up to the election, as this chart illustrates:

MW-EU914_BAMLel_20160829155202_NS.png?uu

The last time stocks outperformed the current rally at the halfway point was when Ronald Reagan won in a landslide against Walter Mondale in 1984.

“To us, this implies that the market is expecting Hillary Clinton to either maintain or increase her already sizeable lead over Donald Trump in the opinion polls,” Woo said, citing the Iowa Electronic Markets, an indicator giving Clinton an 80% chance of beating Trump.

The IEM is a futures market operated for research purposes by the University of Iowa Tippie College of Business.

Earlier this year, Sam Stovall, U.S. equity strategist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, noted that the S&P 500 SPX, +0.52% has a fairly good track record of predicting election results.

Since 1944, the incumbent person or party was reelected 82% of the time when the S&P 500 rose between July 31 and Oct. 31, according to Stovall. The only exceptions were in 1968 and 1980, when there were popular third-party candidates in the picture.

“Whenever the S&P 500 fell in price during these three months, however, it signaled the replacement of the incumbent 86% of the time,” he said.

The latest polling numbers show Clinton leading Trump in most voter surveys, according to news and data aggregator RealClearPolitics.

The S&P 500 hit a record high of 2,193.81 on Aug. 15 and is poised to extend its rally to six straight months.

Meanwhile, the market is also expecting a split Congress and very little change in policy, according to Woo.

The volatility of the euro-dollar pairing EURUSD, -0.0357% , which the strategist views as a good proxy to measure the risk of change in the U.S. versus the rest of the world, is at a 2016 low, implying subdued expectations for policy change.

“The combination of a Democratic president and a split Congress likely means gridlock,” Woo said. “If this scenario materializes, the experience of the past six years suggests there is little chance of a major change in the fundamental economic policies of the most important country in the world in the foreseeable future.”

As a result, investors could expect lower interest rates and a weaker dollar. But in the event the same party wins the White House and control of Congress, the greenback will strengthen and rates will rise, Woo said.

==

> http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-already-picked-the-next-us-president-2016-08-29?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

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Strong Trump ads

 

(homemade?)

DONALD TRUMP HILLARY CLINTON 60 SECOND COMMERCIAL AD - NEW !!!!

 

(the Ad the Trump campaign is using on TV):

Donald Trump finally hits Hillary Clinton with new attack campaign ads

 

More of the same (from the Dems)... But worse !

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THIS VIDEO is just over 12 months old - Prophetic? What do you think?

 

Donald Trump : The Boss Meets the Real Boss

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Alex Jones interviews Nigel Farage

 

" Over the course of the last few decdes all of their plans..piece by piece..to build these new structures. They've won every single battle...After Brexit they're in trouble....

 

These American elections...this could be a result far bigger than even Brexit. If America leader of the Western world once again becomes leader of the FREE world then I think basically ...we have done away with the globalists "...

 

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If America leader of the Western world once again becomes leader of the FREE world then I think basically ...we have done away with the globalists "...

 

THIS is why they are in such a panic

 

God save Mr Trump

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Last week: "the Mexican President extended an invitation to both major candidates", says Pence

 

Laura Ingraham Show (8/31/16) Gov. Pence: Trump's visit with the Mexican president

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XuLVYHH1tI8

 

Published on Aug 31, 2016

Gov. Pence: Trump's visit with the Mexican president is 'the beginning of a conversation'

 

 

THE REACTION of the satanic one, to Trump's meeting with Nieto is predictably clumsy

 

Clinton: Trump’s a threat to national security, potential embarrassment MarketWatch

 

Hillary Clinton offered a withering attack on Republican rival Donald Trump’s approach to foreign policy Wednesday, casting him as a figure who could jeopardize U.S. alliances and embarrass the country if elected president.

In a speech to the American Legion’s national convention, Clinton also was dismissive toward Trump’s meeting Wednesday with the president of Mexico, Enrique Pena Nieto.

Invoking Trump’s past criticism of Mexican immigrants who settle in the U.S., she said that it “certainly takes more than trying to make up for a year of insults and insinuations by dropping in on our neighbors for a few hours and then flying home. That’s not how it works.”

Clinton’s campaign believes her tenure as secretary of state is an advantage that is magnified by Trump’s comparative inexperience in the foreign policy realm. Her campaign TV ads have mocked Trump for contending that his military judgment is superior to that of U.S. generals.

=== ===

 

Has Hillary forgotten that she was perhaps the worst Secretary of State in History,

and has many wars "to her credit" and no real achievements?

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A Major speech by Trump

.
LIVE Stream: Donald Trump Immigration Speech in Phoenix, AZ 8/31/16

.
A great and inspiring speech!
Mexican President Nieto agrees to stop flow of drugs and illegal immigrants
He has a plan. Hillary does not. He crafted his with the help of immigration authorities
"We will build a wall. Mexico will pay for it. (Though they do not know it yet.)"
"Mexico will work with us. I really believe they will... after meeting Mexico's great President."
We will end catch and release - they will be removed... we will take them to the countries they came from
Zero tolerance for Criminal aliens ! (There are at least 2mn criminal aliens within our borders.)
"Day one, my first day in office, those people are gone."
We will issue detainers, for illegals arrested for any reason. (we will end Obama's non-detention policies)
We will identify deportable aliens in local jails. (this successful program was drop.)
I will ask Congress to pass Kate's Law - criminal aliens will be quickly and safely deported.
A new Deportation task force will be created. 5,000 more Border patrol agents to be hired.
Terminate illegal amnesty programs (for 5 million illegals) - and Enforce the existing Laws.

 

No one will be immune and exempt from enforcement !
Will suspend visas to anywhere where adequate screening cannot be done.
We will turn off the Jobs and Benefits magnet !
Those who abuse our welfare system, will be targets for immediate removal
Jobs to be offered to American workers first, including African-Americans & Hispanics
We have been living under outdated laws - Let's "sunset" the immigration laws.
There will be NO AMNESTY ! We will break the cycle of immigration and amnesty

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tshirtpicture3_zpse9wxapdt.jpg

 

Maybe ICE can deport Hillary!

Trump compares Clinton's legal luck with her email scandal to illegal-immigrant criminals as he says both 'have evaded justice'

  • Donald Trump outlined a comprehensive immigration policy Wednesday
  • Speech featured hid promise to create a new 'deportation task force'
  • It would deport the most violent 'criminal aliens' who have evaded justice
  • Trump told his audience that Hillary Clinton could be on the deportation list since she has also evaded justice by skating on her email scandal

By David Martosko, Us Political Editor For Dailymail.com In Phoenix, Arizona

Published: 02:54 GMT, 1 September 2016

 

It may be time to deport Hillary Clinton, a half-joking Donald Trump told a teeming mass of Arizonans on Wednesday night, and he's just the man for the job.

Trump pledged to create 'a special deportation task force' within the existing Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency if he becomes president, and said he would use it to eject the most violent felons who are in the United States illegally.


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3768216/Maybe-ICE-deport-Hillary-Trump-compares-Clinton-s-legal-luck-email-scandal-illegal-immigrant-criminals-says-evaded-justice.html#ixzz4J2zdiQhW

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I want to share the news of the way the debates have been reformated, to protect Mrs Clinton, who now appears

to be coming apart at the seams. I think she must be very seriously ill now

 

The Non-Debates! ... and the Cowardly Clinton

 

The ailing one seems to be unwilling to appear on the same stage with Trump

 

Trump Hit WIth Total Psyop

 

How will she do as a world leader, if she is so cowardly?
Will she just have killed those she does not want to talk to, or negotiate with?

 

Hillary Clinton "We Came, We Saw, He Died" (Gaddafi)

 

Mrs Clinton is a dangerous criminal, who must leave public life ASAP, it seems to be killing her anyway

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According to Rasmussen’s latest polling, Trump is at 40 percent, Clinton is at 39 percent, Libertarian Gary Johnson is at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein is at 3 percent. Three percent in the poll are supporting someone else while 7 percent say they are still undecided.

Most recent national polls have Clinton, the Democratic nominee, ahead of Trump, the Republican nominee. Rasmussen’s poll released last week had Clinton leading Trump 42 percent to 38 percent.

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https://twitter.com/BraddJaffy/status/772104571921412097

 

Sorry if already posted somewhere.HT Drudge.

 

Incredible Trump speech at Black church in Detroit.

 

Humble,admitting there's problems and looking for solutions.

 

Incredible.Hilary should be very worried.Once minorities realise that Wall St shill Hilary is their enemy and not their friend,it's over.

 

The MSM should hang their heads in shame.

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