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ARIS (ex.GCM) 200k > 350k+ oz/yr Gold miner


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Updated, Last: C$2.60 (US$2,01) at 10/05/2018 - Versus 200d : 377d.ma : 610d : 987d. : 700-945d : Mkt.Depth :

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Date------- : GCM.t: CAD$: $Price: ShOS MktVal : 8%-Debs: Date: Cash: EntVal. / $Gold : OZ's/ Prd. years.: 221wtx$inTM
08/10/18: $2.44 x.761= $1.857 48.2M $89.5M: $98.0M: Est.: $28.0: $159.5M /$1219: 131k/200: 0.660: 12.2Mx$0.23
09/12/18: $2.27 x.769= $1.745 48.2M $84.1M: $98.0M: Est.: $28.0: $154.1M /$1206: 128k/212: 0.604: 12.2Mx$0.06
10/02/18: $2.40 x.780= $1.872 48.2M $90.2M: $93.1M: Est.: $28.0: $155.3M /$1204: 129k/212: 0.609: 12.2Mx$0.19
11/01/18: $2.51 x.763= $1.915 48.2M $92.3M: $88.3M: Est.: $28.0: $152.6M /$1239: 123k/215: 0.572: 12.2Mx$0.30
11/12/18: $2.34 x.756= $1.769 48.2M $85.3M: $88.3M: 11/13 $29.0: $144.6M /$1201: 120k/217: 0.553: 12.2Mx$0.13
========

Gold linked Notes, Total Value Estimate: with Wt.Btprxf : US$0.90 @ C$3.06 / TPRFF : GCM.NT.U

UNITS:
Date : Gold: GCM : Ratio: G/1250 x57%+104%= Debs : Wt2.21: CAD : $USD : 124wt: Comb.: USD$: x512.8:
05/31: 1305: $3.03 : 431. : 104.4 : 59.5 +44.7= 104.2 : $1.40*x0.772 = $1.08 : 13.4% : 117.6 : $2.34: 1200 :
06/29: 1255: $2.88 : 436. : 100.4 : 57.2 +44.7= 101.9 : $1.30*x0.761 = $0.99 : 12.3% : 114.2 : $2.19: 1123 :
07/31: 1234: $2.53 : 488. : 100.0 : 57.0 +44.7= 101.7 : $1.18*x0.769 = $0.91 : 11.3% : 113.0 : $1.95: 1000 :
08/03: 1223: $2.52 : 485. : 100.0 : 57.0 +44.7= 101.7 : $1.17*x0.770 = $0.90 : 11.2% : 112.9 : $1.94: $995 :
09/12: 1206: $2.27 : 531. : 100.0 : 57.0 +44.7= 101.7 : $0.95 x0.769 = $0.73 : 9.05% : 110.8 : $1.75: $897 :
10/02: 1204: $2.40 : 502. : 100.0 : 57.0 +44.7= 101.7 : $1.14 x0.780 = $0.89 : 11.0% : 112.7 : $1.88: $964 :
=====: ==================================== : *est. Wt. value, x124 wts/deb
Last Col.: $1000/ 1.95= 512.8shs xC%2.52= C$1,292 x0.770= $995, Value of 1% Debs if Converted

GCM etc - vs. GDXJ & MNT.t ... update : GCM.t only : 9/21/2018: c$2.30 : c$16.29 : $28.08 :

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Date-----: GCM.t : MNT.t : 12.9%L// GDXJ  x10.0%H cad= GJcad: x7.7%
12/30/16: $1.40 : $16.48 : $2.13 //: $31.55 : $3.16 x1.350= 42.59: 3.28
12/29/17: $1.96 : $17.39 : $2.24 //: $34.13 : $3.41 x1.257= 42.90: 3.30
05/28/18: $3.29 : $17.71 : $2.28 //: $32.89* $3.29 x1.299= 42.72: 3.29 - High
06/14/18: $3.16 : $17.95 : $2.32 //: $33.20 : $3.32 x1.311= 43.53: 3.35
06/30/18: $2.88 : $17.44 : $2.25 //: $32.70 : $3.27 x1.314= 42.97: 3.31
08/17/18: $2.13 : $16.35 : $2.11 //: $27.49 : $2.75 x1.306= 35.90: 2.76 - Low
09/21/18: $2.30 : $16.29 : $2.10 //: $28.08 : $2.81 x1.292= 36.28: 2.79
10/04/18: $2.60 : $16.37 : $2.11 //: $27.83 : $2.78 x1.292= 35.59: 2.74
11/01/18: $2.51 : $16.91 : $1.92 //: $28.14 : $2.81 x1.310= 36.86: 2.84
*5/25-FRI. since monday was US holiday

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Canadian Markets closed yesterday.
So in the USA, we got THIS... but only on 100 shares
TPRFF / Gran Colombia Gold Corp. (OTC)
10/8/2018 : Last: US$2.13 +0.12
> $2.13 x 1.296 = CAD $2.76 ... 6-Months :

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Down Day, despite some decent news - Zancudo progress

Shares: GCM: $2.54 -0.06, -2.31%, vs. GDXJ: $27.33 -$0.54, -1.94% (r: 9.29%)
Shares: WM: $0.265 -0.03, -10.2%, vs. GDXJ: $27.33 -$0.54, -1.94% (r: 0.97%)

Gran Colombia Gold Provides Exploration Update on Its Zancudo Project

GCM-Attachment-1-Zancudo-Plan-View-(2018

TORONTO, Oct. 09, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gran Colombia Gold Corp. (TSX: GCM, OTCQX: TPRFF) provided an update today regarding the ongoing diamond drilling program on the Zancudo Project, Colombia (the “Project”). Exploration and drilling on the Project is being carried out by IAMGOLD Corporation (“IAMGOLD”) under an option agreement (the “Option Agreement”) for the exploration and potential purchase of an interest in the Project as announced on March 16, 2017.

Serafino Iacono, Executive Co-Chairman of Gran Colombia Gold, commented, "IAMGOLD appears to be getting results thus far that are consistent with our earlier exploration work on the Project. We are pleased with their approach in the drilling to-date and encouraged by the identification of a new manto structure in the North Zone and a potential ore shoot on both the Manto Antiguo and Manto Inferior structures in the South Zone, all of which merit further evaluation. IAMGOLD has approximately 2,000 meters of drilling to complete for the remainder this year to confirm the continuity of the new manto structure in the North Zone."

The Project, located in the Titiribí mining district of Antioquia, Colombia, comprises a historical gold mine (the Independencia Mine) set in the Middle Cauca Gold Belt, with an estimated total historical production of 1.5 Mozs to 2.0 Mozs of gold equivalent with recovered grades of 14.6 g/t Au and 108 g/t Ag. The Independencia Mine mined an epithermal intermediate sulphidation type vein system that was exploited over 3.5 kilometers strike length and known depths of approximately 300 meters. Gran Colombia acquired the Project in 2010 and completed a total of 14,000 meters of drilling in 2011 and 2012... In March 2017, Gran Colombia announced it had signed an Option Agreement with IAMGOLD.

Under the Option Agreement, IAMGOLD was granted an option to acquire an initial undivided 65% interest (the "First Option") in the Project by incurring an aggregate of US$10 million of mineral exploration expenditures over a six-year period, subject to meeting specified annual work commitments during the First Option period, of which the first US$1 million incurred within the first year was a firm commitment and IAMGOLD has the right to cease its obligations at any time thereafter. IAMGOLD was also granted an additional option (the "Second Option") to acquire a further 5% ...

Drilling Update

IAMGOLD commenced drilling at the Project in September 2017 and has had one diamond drill rig in operation since that time. The 2017 exploration diamond drilling program from surface was mainly focused on testing the continuity along strike and down dip of the stacked mantos and the Santa Catalina structure in the north and west sectors of the project. A total of 3,905 meters was completed in 11 drill holes.
The diamond drilling program for 2018, also from surface, is aimed to test the zone where the stacked mantos merge into the Santa Catalina fault, which usually shows wider and higher-grade intercepts. To-date, 12 drill holes have been completed, totaling approximately 4,017 meters of the 6,000 meters planned for 2018, with results received for the first 10 holes which are reported here.

Key Highlights and Intercepts

SUMMARY of "Boxers / from 12 drillholes (AG/72= AU eqv) x$1200

+ 17PZ-068: (4.1gtAU+681gtAG=13.6) x6.7= 91.1 Boxer : $109.3k
+ 17PZ-075: (6.0gtAU+2.9gtAG = 6.1) x2.7 = 16.5 Boxer : $ 19.8k
+ 17PZ-073: (6.1gtAU+61.3gAG = 6.9) x2.5 = 17.3 Boxer : $ 20.7k
+ 17PZ-075: (2.7gtAU+89.0gAG = 4.0) x5.5 = 22.0 Boxer : $ 26.4k
+ 17PZ-086: (5.2gtAU+87.3gAG = 6.4) x4.6 = 29.4 Boxer : $ 35.3K
+ 17PZ-067: (3.7gtAU+17.7gAG = 4.0) x1.3 = 05.2 Boxer : $  6.2K
==========> 6 hole intercept, Boxer total = 181.5 Boxer: $217.8K

  • Drill hole 17PZ-068 successfully extended the Santa Catalina structure for 300 meters to the north. Assays received include 4.1 g/t Au and 681.0 g/t Ag (13.6 g/t Au Eq) over 6.7 meters.
  • In the South Zone of the project, multiple higher-grade intercepts outline a potential ore shoot on both the Manto Antiguo and Manto Inferior structures. This is corroborated by some high-grade intercepts from the previous drilling campaigns. Some of the best intercepts are as follows:
    • Santa Catalina: drill hole 17PZ-075 includes 6.0 g/t Au and 2.9 g/t Ag (6.1 g/t Au Eq) over 2.7 meters.
    • Manto Antiguo: drill hole 17PZ-073 includes 6.1 g/t Au and 61.3 g/t Ag (6.9 g/t Au Eq) over 2.5 meters.
    • Manto Inferior: drill hole 17PZ-075 includes 2.7 g/t Au and 89.0 g/t Ag (4.0 g/t Au Eq) over 5.5 meters.
  • In the North Zone of the Project, old mining workings on the Manto Antiguo structure were intercepted with the wall rock showing good grades, such as 5.2 g/t Au and 87.3 g/t Ag (6.4 g/t Au Eq) over 4.6 meters (hole 17PZ-086). With this grade, the North Zone of the Project, which was exploited by artisanal miners, takes a higher exploration interest.
  • In the North Zone of the Project, a new manto structure was intersected at a vertical depth of approximately 200 meters, below the Manto Inferior structure, with drill hole 17PZ-067 which returned 3.7 g/t Au and 17.7 g/t Ag (4.0 g/t Au Eq) over 1.3 meters. The remaining drill holes of the 2018 diamond drilling program have been designed to confirm the continuity of this new manto to the north.

> MORE: http://www.grancolombiagold.com/news-and-investors/press-releases/press-release-details/2018/Gran-Colombia-Gold-Provides-Exploration-Update-on-Its-Zancudo-Project/default.aspx

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On the day of a 500pt.+ Drop in the Dow...

GCM.t : Gran Columbian Gold : + 7.1% ! My favorite Gold producer, still "cheap" at C$2.70

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Next Day ... update :

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GCM's DEBT OUTSTANDING IS FALLING

TORONTO, Oct. 16, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gran Colombia Gold Corp. (TSX: GCM, OTCQX: TPRFF) announced today the details for the forthcoming quarterly repayment of its 8.25% Senior Secured Gold-Linked Notes due 2024 (the “Gold Notes”) (TSX: GCM.NT.U) as follows:

     
Payment date:   October 31, 2018
Record date:   October 24, 2018
Cash payment amount:   Approximately US$0.052349 per US$1.00 principal amount of Gold Notes representing only an amortization payment of the principal amount issued and outstanding. No gold premium is applicable for this quarterly payment as the London P.M. Fix on October 15, 2018 was below US$1,250 per ounce, the floor price applicable to the quarterly repayments. The aggregate principal amount of the cash payments on the Payment Date will be US$4,875,000. The Company sold the 3,900 ounces accumulated in the gold trust account during the past quarter against a put option contract at US$1,250 per ounce to realize the proceeds required for this cash payment.
Principal amount issued
and outstanding:
  As of today’s date, there is a total of US$93,125,000 principal amount of Gold Notes issued and outstanding. After this quarterly repayment, the aggregate principal amount of the Gold Notes will be reduced to US$88,250,000.

Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard#hM43aOY2DVJ4LPuL.99

/ 2 /

Mode of payment

«The Company sold the 3,900 ounces accumulated in the gold trust account during the past quarter against a put option contract at US$1,250 per ounce to realize the proceeds required for this cash payment.»
The company has ''just'' to sell 3900 ounces/quarter due 2024 out of 57 000 ounces production /quarter .
Just to say a small obligation for a company having just 48 000 000 shares issued.
A real bargain price  at today's  $ 2,65 /share.
 
/ 3 /
the 2018 holders were paid in shares. those extra shares caused share selling as we saw recently.
the 2024 holders will be paid in cash which makes a big difference.
with the volume of gcm shares so low, any non zero amount of that freed up cash going toward buying shares will make a big difference.
to any 2024 gold link holders on this board: what will you do with the cash you get from the repayment?
will you use any of that cash to buy some gcm shares?
 

/ 4 /

It would be nice to do both, but at this point I think it is important to lower debt level. It is literally the only reason I see for us trading this low. People can't still think Columbia is an issue, so it has to be debt level. Few quarters from now we could have a perfect storm with lower debt, less interest payments, more production and higher POG. At that point if we still are down here I would say buy, buy, buy to the company. In the meantime I am telling friends and family buy, buy, buy. 
Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard#vTgveohPlxfQtXZb.99

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=== : PRODUCTION
Mo. : Prod'17:  Prod'18:
Q1- :  39,008 :  52,672 /3= 17,557 ave.
Q2- :  46,075 :  52,906 : + 14.8%
H1  :  85,084 : 105,578 : + 24.1%
July :  00,000 :  19,296 :
Aug.:  00,000 :  18,747 :
Sep :  00,000 :  19,120 :
Q3- :   37.1 K :  57,163 > +54%
9mos: 122. K : 162.7k > +33%
12mo: 174. K : 214.4k > +23% vs 2017 Total
Target: Now 210-220k oz in 2018

https://www.stockwatch.com/News/Item.aspx?bid=Z-C%3aGCM-2669834&symbol=GCM&region=C

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The Gap up in Gold & Gold stocks,

was matched by a gap down in stocks.

It took the energy out of the moves, and is being retraced

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Yup.

I have been thinking exactly that way for most of the year.

That's why I loaded up on GCM's 8.25%+ Gold linked Bonds (with wts attached) - my largest position!

and then I also loaded up on GCM stock when the price fell.

Recently, I have been aggressively buying shares in HK10 (Hang Lung Group) at 4% yield, which (bizarrely!)

have been historically correlated to Silver & Gold property, without any obvious relationship (I have my theories)

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GRAN COLOMBIA GOLD ANNOUNCES UPGRADE FROM FITCH RATINGS TO B; OUTLOOK STABLE

Fitch Ratings has upgraded Gran Colombia Gold Corp. to B from B minus with a stable outlook. In its commentary regarding the rating action, Fitch Ratings stated that the upgrade reflects Gran Colombia's successful refinancing of its 2020 and 2024 debentures through its $98-million (U.S.) senior secured gold-linked notes due 2024, the settlement of its 2018 debentures with shares, and the enhanced mine plan at its Segovia operations focused on cost reductions and high-grade orebodies which are driving cash flow generation. The removal of the sinking funds, which captured essentially 100 per cent of Gran Colombia's excess cash flow under its previous senior debentures, has allowed Gran Colombia to improve its liquidity position, which has enabled the company to invest in its business and conduct drilling programs in its Segovia operations in order to optimize its mining plan. Additional information with respect to this rating may be found on Fitch Ratings' website.

 

...and yet the stock doesn't move. LOL

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B Rating at last!

Should get better as debt levels keep coming down.

I have been disappointed by the performance of Gold & Silver miners.

But the set-up now looks like early 2016 to me

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GCM ... 6mos - Last: C$ 2.40 / in edit: Closed at $2.51 +0.19, +8.2%

zzj6ZVm.gif

CEO Iacono, a subject of bullboard commentary

Credit rating upgrade/ Iacono Holdings

insider report shows Iacono currently has 1.1M shares + 906k warrants which is 4% of 48M shares outstanding. and $7.7M in gold linked notes.

his gold linked notes are being redeemed at a rapid rate of over $1M per year. his dollar amount invested is dropping, so he is allowed to buy back, and at some point soon he will run out of gold linked notes available to buy back at par, leaving buying shares as the only other option.


Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard#sdfCeL9GvYOvjYL5.99

ROOM TO DOUBLE?

Could hit $4.50-$5.00

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> PRESENTATION : http://s21.q4cdn.com/834539576/files/doc_presentations/GCM-Silver-and-Gold-Summit-Corporate-Presentation-October-2018.pdf

 

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Gran Columbia Gold vs. Junior Gold Stock index

GDXJ -vs: GCM.t ... 3-yrs : from 11/4/2015 : Last: GDXJ: $28.14 / GCM.t: $2.51 = 8.92% :: 10.5%= $2.95 @ hi.ratio

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Ratio: GCM -to-GDXJ - GCM has been "gaining on" GDXJ since Feb. 2017 .

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Ratio : GCM.t -to-MNT.t

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The Largest Underground Gold And Silver Producer In Colombia

- Gran Colombia Gold Corp

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fvFlrAOCKQ

One of the TOP 5 HIGHEST GRADE underground mines !

Mining on only Three veins, with 24 more to go ... Now stepping out

And Drilling Down, below the existing Mine

"We are getting about HALF the Valuation of our Peers"

==

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Seeking Alpha Article

Gran Colombia Gold: Extremely Deep-Value Gold Miner
 
Stockhouse Comment:
For those of us (few) that invest in and follow GCM, this is a well written article that summarizes the reasons for such a low stock price and the significant upside potential.
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GCM continues to outperform GDXJ

GCM -vs-GDXJ ... update :

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Ratio : GCM.t to GDXJ

aT9rojA.png

Playing with "cycles"

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STELLAR !! (JUMP in Cash, for a Quarter with weak Gold prices)

Gran Colombia Gold Reports Third Quarter and First Nine Months 2018 Results; Increases Cash Position to $29 Million; Trailing 12-Months’ Adjusted EBITDA Reaches $105 Million

T.GCM
“We are very pleased with the continuing improvements in our operating and financial results and the strengthening of our financial position we are reporting today. Our senior debt is now down to $88 million and our cash position increased further in the third quarter to reach $29 million at the end of September.9
( $88M - $29M = Only $59M net Debt! )
Total gold production of 57,163 ounces in the third quarter of 2018, up 54% over the third quarter of 2017, brought the total gold production for the first nine months of 2018 to 162,741 ounces, up 33% over the first nine months last year. The Company followed this up with a further 18,065 ounces of gold produced in October 2018...
the Company’s trailing 12-months’ total gold production increased to 215,509 ounces as of October 2018, up 24% over the total for 2017 of 173,821 ounces.
+
The Company reported adjusted EBITDA(1) of $24.7 million for the third quarter of 2018, up from $13.8 million in the third quarter of 2017, bringing the first nine months 2018 adjusted EBITDA to a total of $78.7 million, up 62% over the first nine months last year. The trailing 12-months adjusted EBITDA at the end of September 2018 stood at $105.4 million, up 40% over 2017’s annual adjusted EBITDA of $75.5 million, driven by production growth, better realized gold prices and continued efforts to control operating costs.
+
The Company reported net income for the third quarter of 2018 of $12.4 million, or $0.31 per share, compared with a net loss of $1.0 million, or $0.05 per share, in the third quarter last year. For the first nine months of 2018, the Company reported a net loss of $13.0 million, or $0.43 per share, compared with net income of $32.0 million or $1.58 per share, in the first nine months last year... Adjusted net income(1) for the third quarter of 2018 was $9.9 million, or $0.25 per share, up from $3.8 million, or $0.19 per share, in the third quarter last year, bringing the adjusted net income for the first nine months of 2018 to $28.0 million, or $0.93 per share, compared with $13.8 million, or $0.69 per share, in the first nine months last year.
Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/news/press-releases/2018/11/13/gran-colombia-gold-reports-third-quarter-and-first-nine-months-2018-results#B2lFZTfu6TiIkIE2.99
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=== : PRODUCTION
Mo. : Prod'17:  Prod'18:
Q1- :  39,008 :  52,672 /3= 17,557 ave.
Q2- :  46,075 :  52,906 : + 14.8%
H1  :  85,084 : 105,578 : + 24.1%
July :  00,000 :  19,296 :
Aug.:  00,000 :  18,747 :
Sep :  00,000 :  19,120 :
Q3- :   37.1 K :  57,163 > +54%, 9mos +33%
Oct :  00,000 :  18,065 :
10mo: ???. K : 180.8k > (aver.18.1k oz)
12mo: 173.8k : 215.5k > +24% vs Yr.Earlier Total
Target: Now 214-220k oz in 2018 : 217k oz. Mid

A slight disappointment: was that Oct.production was just in line with the average of the fits 9 months, ie No Advance. Part of the reason for the rise in earnings pay be a reduction in heavy financial charges as old Debs got replaced by a smaller number of new Debs.

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Q3-Results were announced AFTER close, so could be a nice Pop on Wed

GCM Close-up ... update : 10days :

49zIYqB.png

Comments : SH

"Maybe they really need to look at paying us a nice dividend??? "

Outstanding Q3 Financial

The Company reported net income for the third quarter of 2018 of $12.4 million, or $0.31 per share, On an annual basis we may expect 4 x 0,31 =1,21 for a company trading today at $ 2,34 
Only 48 100 000 isued shares...
Improved guidance to 214/220 000 oz for 2018
Total 2017 173 821 for an increase of 23,6 % Y/Y
Total cash costs $ 657 ; AISC $888
Cash on hand $ 29,5 M  Debt $ 88M

Including the 2024 Warrants, the Company's fully diluted common shares would total approximately 60.3 million.
Could not be better and clouds are clearing.
It is a matter of time before being taken out at 3 times the actual share price.
/ 2 /
jump in cash to $29M even after paying down debt and investing cash in Sandspring.
net debt down to $59M. $100M ebitda, $888 aisc
eps $0.31, adj eps 0.25. it gets better and better!
/ 3 /
WOW ..extremely good numbers...   AISC down again , cash+investments up , liabilities down ....      the company is cashed up and money contines to flow in ... 18000 oz produced in october...
.....this company is out of the woods ...  cash 29,5 million USD , accounts receivable 15,6 million USD , inventories  18,1 million USD , investments 3 million USD , gold trust Account 3,1 million usd  ...
...they are swimming in cash now ;) .....     now lets drill the hell out of Segovia and Marmato and deliver a strong Marmato-PEA ;)
/ 4 /
the Company’s focus will centre on taking its Segovia Operations to the next level. Capital
investment in 2018 at the Segovia Operations amounted to $23.1 million in the first nine months of 2018 and is expected to total about $30 million this year. Emphasis continues to focus on exploration, including the additional 10,000 meters of drilling announced in early August at the deepest levels of the El Silencio mine
which will get underway in November, and ongoing mine development at its Providencia and El Silencio mines...
At Marmato, the Company completed a conceptual study in 2017 to consider the potential for underground mining operations combining the existing operating mine with the new mineralization identified below the existing mine (“Deeps”). In 2018, the Company is following up with further technical studies and, in mid-June,
commenced a drilling program of up to 8,500 meters to gather additional data related to the Deeps mineralization to support the technical studies. These efforts are intended to provide further analysis of the underground mine expansion opportunity at Marmato, leading toward the expected completion of a preliminary economic assessment in 2019.
/ 5 /
Maybe they really need to look at paying us a nice dividend??? They can afford it, 10 cents would only cost them approx 4.8 million, turn some heads, make some noise which should push the SP up!!! Let’s see what surprise tomorrow will bring. - GLTA
Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard#yUiGSldAUeWveATQ.99
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GCM jump 20cents ... update

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Would be great to see a close on $2.50 or more

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