Financial crash? : 2017-18 peak / lasting until 2020 -21 ?

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Growing deficits to push debt to almost 100% of GDP...

XLF / Financials ... update

Bank Stocks On Historic Losing Streak...

• S&P 500 Financials Index falls for 12th straight day
• Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF sees 8 days of outflows

Bank stocks just hit a record -- a record of losses.

The S&P 500 Financials Index fell for the 12th straight day Tuesday, the longest losing streak on record. Coming into the year, many cited the tax overhaul and a rising rate environment as reasons for banks to rally. Instead, they’ve endured pressure from a flattening yield curve. The losses also come ahead of the final phase of the Federal Reserve’s annual stress tests and waning consumer confidence.

“They’re facing a rising rate environment, which historically has been fairly positive for banks,” Mona Mahajan, U.S. investment strategist at Allianz Global Investors, said on Bloomberg Television. “What we’re seeing here is the shrinking yield curve is actually not a good sign for the banks. Obviously, they like to borrow short, lend long, and if that yield curve is shrinking, that margin goes down as well.”

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Lynette Zang: Look For These Two Patterns Just Before The Crash

THE PATTERN SHOWS THE BREAKDOWN

By comparing past financial crisis patterns become obvious. My goal is to teach you how to recognize those patterns, so you can make independent, educated choices that supports YOUR best interest.

Typically, just before a crash what you hear is that this time is different. What you see is a hockey stick. This is where we are in 2018, you can hear it and see it, but do you believe it? I do.

What you hear is how gold and silver are a bad investment, but what you see is a double cup in spot gold, which is the strongest accumulation pattern I’ve ever seen. While the elite do not want you to own real money, they are accumulating it. So am I.

 

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Investor Alert: USD curve flattening, third reflation attempt failed, global slowdown, stock market utilization rate reverses...

The recent $USD curve flattening indicates that markets are in a late-cyclical mindset.

But what happens during the 6 months that precede a curve inversion in the US? See picture$NZD usually suffers a lot, while $JPY performs!

More in our FX weekly -> t.co/9IeHUvJYJl pic.twitter.com/cQTMWtfkVg

— AndreasStenoLarsen (@AndreasSteno) September 3, 2018

.@neelkashkari, has the third reflation attempt by the Fed failed? pic.twitter.com/NzJoD9FswC

— Alastair Williamson (@StockBoardAsset) September 2, 2018

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XLF / Financials ... update : w/SPY :

: w/SPY :

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Dow Jones peaking area? Switch from Stocks to Gold?

DJIA / DJ Ind. Aver. ... all-data : 10-yr : 5-yr : 2-yr : 6mo : 10d/ Last: 26,743.5

INDU / DJ Ind. Aver.

Dow-toGold

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The BEAR argument... could be seen in this comment about the 90 YEAR CYCLE :

"The 90 year cycle peaked on 9/3/1929 and now provides a reference point stop loss for traders on short position trades. If the cycle is active, DJI should now not violate the September 2019 high. If the 90 year cycle fails, risk is manageable at these levels. Whether the decline becomes a correction or bear market remains to be seen, but the technicals (finally) favor the downside. False breakouts across key sectors tend to be the Kiss of Death. We shall see. As a wise man said, “Monitor and adjust.”

~WD Gann 90-Year Cycle: “When we start from Sunrise or the Horizon and measure to Noon, we get an arc of 90 degrees, which is straight up and down starting from the bottom. 90 months or 90 years is a very important time period. The 90-Year Time Cycle is one of the very important ones because it is two times 45. This time period must always be watched at the end of long time periods. For example: 1932 was 90 years from 1842. Study the Wheat prices around this time. 1850-1851 – add 90 years and we get 1940-41. Note low prices of Wheat around that time.
1855, June, high for Wheat 170. 90 years from this period gives 1945. Wheat reached high in June, selling at 170, some contracts at 168 and 169. 1850-51, extreme lows for Wheat. Add 45 years and we get 1895 when extreme low was reached. From 1895 we again add 45 years and get 1940.”~ > https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2019/09/30/weekend-report-24/comment-page-3/#comments

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WHEN will they all GO BUST?  "Slowly, then all at once"

(sometime in 2021?  Why? Because many indebted people & corps have impaired Cash Flow, and it is not getting better.  Banks are unwilling to lend money.)

Gold Shares-to-Banks Spread: XLF/ Financials vs GDX/ Gold Miners - 85% Gap ... YTD: 1yr: 5yr: / Last XLF: $25.51. GDX: $40.67

From Hope to Insolvency: Has Everything Changed? (w/ Raoul Pal) >  Very Clear explanation!

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