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Ziknew

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Everything posted by Ziknew

  1. Does "take a 50% profit on half" = "Sell 25% of the total" ? You may find this article useful... http://www.zealllc.com/2012/silvseas2.htm
  2. My guess is: Silver is not going up before the Greek election (17 June). An austerity supporting mainstream party will win the election (or form a coalition) in Greece. 3 days later (20 June) the US FED will expand their QE programme or at least give a very strong hint that they are willing to print more. A temporary bottom in silver will happen around the 2 events. There will be a really lasting 6 weeks maximum, the $35 level will be taken out in this really. The rally ends when the new Greek government announce that they MUST re-negotiate the previous bailout. Silver will drop By September the pressure on Germany will cause them to announce some QE. The amount of QE will fail to meet the demands of the printing cheerleaders and the market will continue to bomb. However, the actual start of the QE will cause the market to turn and we will have another temporary bottom. We will get another rally, maybe 2 or 3 weeks. The rally will end when the market realises what’s really going on with the QE. Germany will insist the QE is used to buy government bonds in relation to their contribution to the ECB. This will mean Germany receives most of the QE money and Greece, Italy, Portugal, Ireland & Spain will receive less than they wanted. Market will drag down again. Following the US election, BarrrickO will care less about oil prices and the FED will launch a bigger QE with the BofE, BofJ, ECB, SNB etc. This QE programme will send us off for a 2 -3 year rally.
  3. You are doing better than me. I have all of those shares (all bought within 1 year) and I am well down... SVM -17.02% SSRI -36.95% PAAS -20.38% KGC -32.28% GPL -24.74% FSM -17.58% I wish I had a valuation model
  4. Thanks, I was trying to steal another members avatar and I couldn't. Sorted now
  5. It's not necessary. I saw the part deleted post and was able to have a good guess at the blanks. I would like you to consider moving my account in to the members group so I can choose my own avatar, signature and use the search (I am currently restricted)
  6. Moderation in public is a positive development. We can all see who was banned and for how long in this case. I know I am too late... but maybe such comments should not be deleted so we can all see what is deemed unacceptable.
  7. The chart shows the ratio of quarterly nominal GDP to the quarterly average of M2 money stock. I don’t believe it is possible to conclude “People, banks, and companies are not spending as fast as they once did” from the chart And the chart definitely does not show “That is partly because banks are not lending money as easily as before, I suppose.” This chart must be read in conjunction with the M2 Money Supply chart and the GDP chart to draw meaning full conclusions.
  8. I’m not really a thread starting sort of guy but I will contribute to other threads… maybe I will start a political thread or something later if I feel there are enough people interested. But, at the moment, I’m just going to hold back a little to see how phase 2 plays out (adding new moderators)
  9. I'm smiling now It's good to see the moderator list slimmed down (no disrespect to those who have helped you in the last few years, I am sure they've always done what they thought was right). I've seen some of the action here in the last few days but I have missed the build up and therefore I am not really in a position to comment... ...but I'm going to comment anyway. In my mind, GEI is a forum where people discuss and share. And on that forum there are gold, silver, hyperinflation and Major Derivative... threads on the first page. Romans Holiday, G0ldfinger and DrBubb are three of the heavy weights. Is GEI the same in your head without the Gold forum on the first page and G0ldfinger away? Obviously you can’t make G0ldfinger come back but you can control the where the Gold thread sits. It's probably been a really long day for you today so take a break and think about it tomorrow.
  10. Your PM box is full. I think a changeover of moderators would be positive for the site. May I suggest that future moderators only hold the post for a 4-6 month period and therefore remember what it is like to be a poster here. I think other members would be interested in returning also if there was a changeover of moderators. Maybe G0ldfinger would also return when he see’s there has been a misunderstanding and all the mods have been changed.
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