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About Garincho

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  1. Jim Rickards reckons Hillary will get the Dem. nomination. He's not always accurate with political predictions, but he called the Brexit vote and Trump. His reasoning seems to be based around there being a large field of Dem. candidates with no clear favourite, so Hillary being a recognised name will pull her through. I'm not sure she'll pull it off, but we'll see what happens.
  2. Thanks for the info, I'll have a look at them both.
  3. I think they'll go for somebody 'fresh' after the train wreck last year. Harris could run purely on being a black woman and have a good chance.
  4. What is the best way to buy bitcoin in the UK and is the method of selling the same as buying?
  5. A lot of rumours that Kamala Harris will run at some point but not necessarily in 2020.
  6. Exit polls show Macron 65%, Le Pen 35%. Disappointing result in the end, but a good base for MLP to build on for 2022. If there's anything left of France by then. I ended up backing Hamon, MLP, Melenchon and Fillon so the gambling side didn't go well for me either. They were all in small accumulator bets though, so I didn't have any big losses.
  7. Daddy Dana - 7 hours ago macron said 1. "theres no such thing as french culture" 2. "you'll just have to put up with terrorism, it's part of our daily lives for years to come" Does that blow anybody elses mind how he can be leading the polls? It blows my mind that anybody saying that could make it past the 1st round. But too many people are hopelessly brainwased and easy to manipulate. That hey've presented Macron as the 'anti-establishment' candidate shows how stupid they think people are, he worked for Rothschild bank FFS. They're rubbing people's noses in it at this point. The 20+ terror attacks in France since '15 should be the wake up call that people need, but it's looking likely the French are going to vote for 5 more years of chaos. Except it's going to get a lot worse. The plus side is that win or lose, MLP has large support rather than being a fringe candidateso at least larger numbers of people are seemingly waking up.
  8. Le Pen has temporarily stepped down as FN leader to concentrate on her Presidential bid. Sounds like she's doing it so she can appeal to a wider range of voters as for some the FN is tainted. Interesting move anyway, I doubt many saw this coming.
  9. Macron now slightly in front after 70% of the vote counted. The urban centres declared later and he has more support in those areas so he'll probably take the 1st round. I didn't realise that's how they counted the votes.
  10. After 9 million votes (Approx. 25%) Le Pen is on 25% and Macron 21%, so if that pace keeps up the exit poll was relatively inaccurate. Better that she has a lead to take into the 2nd round.
  11. French exit polls: Macron - 23.7 % Le Pen - 21.7% Melenchon - 19.5% Fillon - 19.5% Exit poll so the figures may change but it looks like MLP is into round 2. I'd have liked to see her win round 1 but at least she's made it, there was no guarantee of that. I'm hoping Putin has some dirt on Macron that he's been saving for the home stretch. Macron's odds have been slashed to 1/6, they were evens earlier in the week.
  12. A different Belgian paper has Macron winning and Le Pen and Fillon neck and neck. No idea why it's Belgian papers that have these polls, maybe they're making them up to sell papers. We'll find out the official exit poll results in under an hour anyway.
  13. Belgian newspaper La Libre says it's got hold of leaked polls from one of the Presidential campaigns and it shows that the final matchup will be Le Pen (26 %) vs Fillon (22%). There has been a shooting in Rouen today with reports of 1 man injured. No confirmation as to whether it's terrorism yet.
  14. He looked doomed a few weeks ago. Assange posted a graphic showing 2nd choice voting intentions and Melenchon polled well, especially with people who had Hamon as 1st choice. I hope it's him vs Le Pen as theoretically that's the end of the EU, although he could be bluffing. Exit polls are due around 8pm, 9pm, but if it's super close they might not end up being accurate.
  15. Le Pen's odds have been slashed after the attack in Paris today, she was 4/1 but is now 11/4 on Sky Bet. It's bad timing for the other candidates, especially Macron, who pretty much denies there's even a problem with Islamic terrorism.