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Financial Planner

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Everything posted by Financial Planner

  1. Financial Planner

    GOLD

    To follow on from what I have interjected a few times over the past week or 3, gold is just above the Feb 09 and March 08 all-time highs yet $ is way way down on the early 09 value and around the same as early 08, a few months before it went wildly up. On 5 year chart GLD GLD at Yahoo! comparing early 09 high to this month's all-time high: RSI is down MACD is down Slow Stochastics down. Discuss. (BTW, $ rising...)
  2. Financial Planner

    G0ldfinger's GOLD Thread: Longer Term Aspects

    I know practically nothing of what he says. However, Nadeem Walyat at Market Oracle is a big follower and that says a lot to me. Positvely.
  3. I believe, in fact it is Jan 2011 for $1650 and he has a $1m wager on that (of course that will be c $750k by then...).
  4. I believe, from what I have read, his time period is 4 to 27 November, not exactly the 5th. During this period he expects $ to fall below 71 and...well you know the rest.
  5. Financial Planner

    Dollar may be done here - Be careful

    I put on Goldfinger's gold thread that technicals and action increase the probability of a $ bounce. A close below 74 is probably confirming the break down. Howwver, it doesn't even break below 75. With stock market looking very fragile and G not surging even though € goes above 1.5, there could well be something to the recent action. Few confirmations of 'what should obviously happen'. This means... And if you don't at least allow the possibility then you may regret it. I'm tilting towards $ rise. So we've lightened on stocks and comms. If we're wrong we'll just rebuy and incerase exposure. However, I am ready to reduce exposure further, after the massive rise this year.
  6. Financial Planner

    G0ldfinger's GOLD Thread: Longer Term Aspects

    Actually it was Inflation all the way DOWN from 1980 to 2000 and gold went CORRECTLY down.
  7. Financial Planner

    G0ldfinger's GOLD Thread: Longer Term Aspects

    As everyone knows, if $ rises then comms will be smoked, including G. Well, with a 0.5% rise in $ yesterday and many technicals indicating strength, there is an increasing probability of a significant move up in $. Granted G ought to be less affected than other comms, particularly S. However, 850 is still on the cards Gold chart US$ chart I am NOT saying it will happen however we must be cognisant of the real possibility. Thus, we've lightened our load in case $ strengthens. If $ falls through the floor, say below 74 and closes below, then we will simply rebuy and increase exposure. From the low, last October, our favourite G fund, Ruffer Baker Steel, is up c 120%. Though it fell massively in the rout.
  8. Financial Planner

    G0ldfinger's GOLD Thread: Longer Term Aspects

    Dollar falls again, but not through the floor and gold...not a lot. Be careful when prices do not do what they 'should' given expected outcomes. (Dow makes the 10 O'clock News. Excellent.)
  9. Financial Planner

    G0ldfinger's GOLD Thread: Longer Term Aspects

    Readers should know this: From Bedlam (one of our favourite investment companies (2 Oct 2009): There is fraud in ETFs - what will that do to gold?
  10. Financial Planner

    Apple Inc (AAPL) : Is it a great short now?

    It's done now. Sell the hell out of it.
  11. Financial Planner

    Apple Inc (AAPL) : Is it a great short now?

    Possibly but the volume is anaemic. It's going down though sure it could possibly go up first.
  12. Financial Planner

    Apple Inc (AAPL) : Is it a great short now?

    Malheuresuement, non!
  13. Financial Planner

    Apple Inc (AAPL) : Is it a great short now?

    Monster volume on Friday...
  14. Financial Planner

    Apple Inc (AAPL) : Is it a great short now?

    At $190 this could well be the 50% retracement seen in ABCs ($80 - $200 - $190) to $215? DYOR
  15. Financial Planner

    Apple Inc (AAPL) : Is it a great short now?

    Apple Inc (AAPL) : Is it a great short now? It's getting close. Anything above $200 and certainly above $205, with stop at $208.50. I've been long since c $183 and will close out v soon.
  16. Financial Planner

    Apple Inc (AAPL) : Is it a great short now?

    Great analysis DB. Wasn't that guy great? Inciteful. Passionate. Tee Hee.
  17. Financial Planner

    Next CWR - UK Property

    F Do you still think that? For the record, my money's on 30-40% national average fall over c 4 or 5 years, as you will know. fp
  18. TomO thinks mkt pencils in 0.5% cut on 18th. Fed will give 0.25% and $ will strengthen and be bad for comms and commstocks (inc XAU)
  19. Financial Planner

    DOW : The Great Dow Highs of Summer 2007

    Could you pls elaborate F? Thx
  20. Financial Planner

    Kaletsky

    I went to an investor forum 2 months ago - just before what's happening now - and I openly challenged Kaletsky and his rose tinted glasses. In his response from the podium he actually said during his b0llocks - 'Its different this time!' 4 weeks later...
  21. Financial Planner

    UK Property On Commodity Watch Radio

    Don't forget you can read her on-line each week in the Sunday Times - an excellent counter balance to David Smith.
  22. Financial Planner

    UK Property On Commodity Watch Radio

    Really brilliant F and DB. Extremely minor issue - lack of volume on recordings. Merryn is pretty cool, huh?
  23. Financial Planner

    CHARTS - for Everyday Viewing

    HPs: Some say that the US crash will then revert to a doubling of the previous high (namely Tom O). I believe this is because the US will allow inflation to run rampant. However, in ECB land and MPC land we have a stated target for inflation. What do you think will happen here after the crash?
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