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drbubb

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  1. China stocks may hit their low earlier, because they started so much lower Ten Years - of Shanghai Composite vs SPY, etf for S&P 500 ... 10-years : All-data : Spy-265 / 2821 = 9.4% Big difference, eh? Which system is creating wealth better, do you suppose? FREEDOM & INCENTIVES MATTER ! Or do they? Look at these two indicies over a Longer period : All-data : w/PSEI.ph : When they moved apart, it often signaled a trading opportunity. Next one? maybe US's SPY at end 2022
  2. RESET: Debt-fueled Growth ending?... A New Currency ahead? Price Targets SPX chart shows 40+ years of Debt fueled growth, when "Buy the Dip" always worked NOW we may have 5-10 years of "Sell the Rally" for stocks, as funds flow to Precious metals and elsewhere PRICE TARGETS? Scroll down Steps coming for an FX RESET within months may be 1. Peak in Bonds (Done? Or Ahead? maybe "US Rates will go to negative", as Raoul Paul thinks) 2. More deflation, but many prices are already below production costs, so limited downside 3. Inflation measures bottom, then prices will start to rise. The Fed may fear raising rates. 4. Inflation recovers fast, & rages out of control, & eventually the Dollar weakens? 5. Dollar weakness may lead to a currency reset, perhaps using govt backed Cryptos SHORT TERM UPDATES: 10-day Chart: GLD: $146.30 +4.4% / TLT: $166 +4.1% / SLV: $12.31 +5.9%/ (old1) Showing SLV/Silver's Low: GLD/Gold, SLV/Silver: ====== SPX - since 1978 / Last: 2,305 -4.3% vs. YrH (3,394) : -32.1% Bonds. TLT/ Long term Treasuries etf : All / Last: $159.43 +7.5% vs. YrH (179.70) : -11.3% The previous spike on TLT ($121.9 on 12.30.08) came almost 100 days before the Low in SPX ($676.5 on 03.09.09) INFLATION Measures - Crashing Fast... but for how long? USO / Oil ... All : Last: $4.94 -8.0% / $xx vs. Yr.H: ($13.85 / $xx) : - 64.3% DBA / Agriculture ... All : Last: $13.99 +0.8% vs. Yr.H: ($16.99) : -17.7% GLD / Gold... All : Last: $140.11 +1.5% vs. Yr.H: ($159.37) : -12.1% ==
  3. Another great interview by Joe Rogan. This with Congressman Dan Crenshaw - Notes follow > Joe Rogan Experience #1454 - Dan Crenshaw 00:00 Dan’s room setup. Also, his book „Fortitude“ came out today! 01:38 What’s your take on this Corona situation? 05:59 The media criticizing Trump, outrage culture and freedom of speech 18:11 Joe Biden and the Democratic Party moving further to the left 27:00 Democratic Socialism, healthcare and the affordability of pharmaceuticals 39:35 Healthcare as a right – socialistic institutions vs. public goods 55:00 Financing healthcare, insurance companies and the free market 01:01:25 The problem with socialism / housing and homelessness 01:12:53 Personal responsibility and the value of suffering 01:29:45 The missing shame of undeserved comfort and victimhood culture 01:39:52 Inequality does not equal injustice – mental toughness, David Goggins 01:51:38 Handling Corona – the difference between Europe and the USA 02:01:00 The media prevents us from having the right discussion: exit strategies 02:09:45 China’s responsibility 02:15:04 Will we become less dependent on China? 02:21:10 When will you be running for president?
  4. FORTITUDE "Effective Men", & women. Not Snowflakes Men, seek out Wise Women, not whiny feminists (this will make for good solid partnerships... & long-lasting ones) Women do you really want a pencil-neck with a degree in Social Justice? The Candace Owens Show: Jocko Willink ===
  5. HOPE index moves higher, (to new high at +2%) as Recoveries Jump +8.5% New CASES, growth per day == Hope : Recovs. + % + / Cases : NonCh +%—/ USA — : +%-/ Philippines +% (recv,D’s) / U.K., +cases, +% (recvs, D’s) 30: - 4% : +9,540: +6.7%/ +61.3k: +61.2k +11%/ +18.3k +15%/ 1418 +343 +32%/ (42, 71)/ 19.5k +2.4k +14% (135, 1228) 31: - 1% : +14.0k : +9.3%/ +63.0k: +63.0k +10%/ +20.0k +14%/ 1646 +128 + 9%/ (42, 78)/ 22.1k +2.6k +13% (135, 1408) 01: - 3% : +11.9k : +7.2%/ +69.6k: +69.5k +10%/ +21.5k +13%/ 2084 +538 +33%/ (49, 88)/ 25.2k +3.0k +14% (135, 1789) 02: +0% : +17.0k : +9.6%/ +80.0k: +79.9k +10%/ +25.7k +14%/ 2311 +227 +11%/ (50, 96)/ 29.5k +4.3k +17% (135, 2352) 03: +0% : +18.1k : +9.3%/ +75.9k: +75.9k + 9% / +26.9k +12%/ 2633 +322 +14% (51, 107)/ 33.7k +4.2k +14% (135, 2921) 04: - 1% : +16.1k : +7.6%/ +80.6k: +80.6k + 9% / +30.6k +12%/ 3018 +385 +15% (52, 136)/ 38.2k +4.4k +13% (135, 3605) 05: +0% : +18.0k : +7.9%/ +81.8k: +81.8k + 8% / +32.2k +12%/ 3082 + 76 +2.5% (57, 144)/ 41.9k +3.7k +10% (135, 4313) 06: +1% : +18.4k : +7.5%/ +74.0k: +74.0k +6.6%/ +25.3k + 8%/ 3246 +164 +5.3% (65, 142) 47.8k +5.9k +14% (135, 4934) 07: - 1% : +13.6k : +5.1%/ +69.9k: +69.9k +5.9%/ +27.6k + 8%/ 3660 +414 +13% (73, 163)/ 51.6k +3.8k +7.9% (135, 5373) 08: +2% : +23.5k: +8.5%/ +78.3k: +78.3k +6.2%/ +28.6k + 8%/ 3764 +104 +2.8%/ (84, 177)/ 55.2k +3.6k +7.0% (135, 6159) ====
  6. Corona - Super Virus: 50 Million plus Quarantined OUTBREAK OVERWHELMS 'SPREADS THROUGH EYES' : CASE IN CHICAGO : 22 STATES ON ALERT (STATS - from Feb.5th, below)= LATEST CORONAVIRUS STATS / > https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Coronavirus Cases: 24,619 / China cases: 24,387 (99.1%) of which 3,223 (13%). in critical condition Deaths: 493 / Recovered: 989 / ratio: 49.8% UPDATED Feb #Cases: #Chg.: #CHINA: C.Pct.: Critical: %-: Death: Recov: %Rec: Non-C: #chg. 05: 24,619 ; ===== : 24,387 : 99.1%: 3,223 : 13%: 494 : 0,989 : 49.8% : 232 : 06: 28,276 : +3,657 : 28,018 : 99.1%: 3,863 : 14%: 565 : 1,173 : 48.2% : 258 : + 26 07: 31,482 : +3,206 : 31,161 : 99.0%: 4,824 : 15%: 638 : 1,563 : 40.8% : 321 : + 63 === > CORONAVIRUS STATS / > https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
  7. Communist China-Loving World Health Organization Declares Killing Babies Via Abortion is “Essential” During Chi-Com Virus Panicdemic US Army Colonel: Chi-Com Virus Was Leaked From a Chinese Lab Steve Bannon Flames Henry Kissinger, Globalist ‘Devils’ for Being Puppets of Communist China, Vows ‘Nuremburg-Type Trial’ Against Chinese Communist Party For Unleashing Virus: ‘It’s All Gonna Come Out’ Globalist George H.W. Bush Foundation Sent 2 Million Masks to Communist China Despite Domestic Shortages
  8. AROUND THE WORLD PHOTOS: Virus haunts destitute living on margins... Paris Bans Exercise as Lockdown Tightens... Dubai requires police permits to leave house... New Zealand isn't just flattening curve. It's squashing it... Denmark Joins Austria in Easing Virus Curbs... Riding out pandemic, Rio surfers catch wave of controversy... Sex. Drugs. Virus. Venezuela elites still party...
  9. 14 votes against only 1 vote in favor! US proposal rejected, Britain, France, Germany and Italy all choose to support China 2020/04/01 Source: Zhuge Military Division According to US media reports, high-level US leaders, led by US President Trump, requested the UN Security Council to add wording in the resolution on the new coronavirus, emphasizing the untrue content of the new coronavirus originating from China. This US practice was rejected by the Security Council. In fact, the United States started pushing the Security Council for this matter a few weeks ago, but because of the disagreement of representatives of many countries, the resolution has been unable to pass. In the latest Security Council vote, the United States has been trying to join in the similar wording that “the new corona virus originated in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China” was overwhelmingly rejected. Fifteen countries participated in the vote, and the United States received only one vote, and they voted for it. In other words, except for the United States, the remaining 14 countries voted for China, opposing the United States to add wording in the resolution of the new crown virus, China won by an overwhelming advantage. Even the old American allies such as Britain, France, Germany and Italy no longer stand on the side of the United States this time. They chose to support China. The people are fair and free. Through this epidemic, these countries can clearly see the true colors of the United States. They also have a new understanding and understanding of China, and China really helps these countries. Expert analysis said that this time the US allies suddenly turned against the water and chose to support China, which had a lot to do with China's strong support for them in this outbreak. China has made great contributions to the global fight against the epidemic. We know how much we have paid through a set of data. China sent more than 500,000 masks and a considerable amount of virus reagents to Spain, as well as protective clothing and disinfectants. The European Union President expressed his sincere gratitude to China through video dialogue. Immediately after, China assisted Europe with more than 50 tons of relief supplies, including urgently needed supplies such as masks and protective clothing. China has sent three batches of medical experts and medical personnel to Italy to help them fight the epidemic. Later, a large amount of materials were donated to Japan, Serbia, South Korea and Germany. So far, China has donated more than 10 billion US dollars to the world to help them fight the epidemic. Viruses are the common enemy of mankind. They should be united as a "war epidemic", but they have been broken by American politicians. They continue to make false statements to smear China, but they have not made a little contribution to the world's fight against the epidemic. It is a delusion to let more people's countries and the United States join forces to contaminate. I believe that in the face of right and wrong, many countries can still distinguish between black and white. Justice will eventually defeat evil, and this United Nations vote is the best proof. After the results of the vote were announced, the U.S. representative turned pale on the spot, saying that the U.S. side suffered such humiliation for the first time in history and no country supported them.
  10. AGENDA WARS: Global Pandemic, Is Covid just Cover for a grander Agenda? "Something is going to happen under this cover, Not sure of it is good or bad yet. but do not fear, God is still in Heaven" (i want to look at this from various angles, but start with DW's controversial narrative, which may be partly true...) When we go deeper, we may see a WAR OF AGENDAs, strikes, & counter-strikes... SUPER PANDEMIC VIDEO, v1 : The "Mass Arrests" theory of David Wilcock I think there is an Agenda, and they may be using Covid for cover to roll that out now. Certainly, the virus is real. We know that from the tragic and rising Death count. Maybe it was unleashed, to give room for another agenda. Or maybe there was an old agenda waiting for COVER like this. There is a guy called DAVID WILCOCK, whom people may know from a show called Ancient Aliens. Wilcock claims to have contact with certain Deep State insiders. And they have revealed to him Certain things that are going on Behind the Scenes. He claims there is a group called “the Alliance” That wants to take back power from the “1%” who run things behind the scenes and are thoroughly Corrupt. They are now making their move, he claims, unrolling an Agenda that will soon lead to MASS ARRESTS of some evil people. David Wilcock on The Great Pandemic II: What's Really Going On? (SLIDES WORKING!) Comment which introduced it on a Viber chat I wanted to post his Video as soon as I heard it, but it sounds so crazy, than many would simply Just reject it after listening for 3-5 minutes. I suggest you give it longer than that. I don’t thing it is all accurate, but some of it is - I have some confirmations that I sought out before posting. One is about the Harvard professor Chas. Lieber who was arrested. This is true. And he lied About his ties to China, where he set up a lab for them in Wuhan. Wilcock claims this guy was Carrying vials with Corona virus in his socks when arrested. I have no support for that part. There is MUCH MUCH more than this in the video. A Mass arrest, using US troops under the cover of the lockdown would be a huge game changer. If that really comes. I did get some confirmation that some big US military operation may be underway. And I will share that later. Meantime you may want to have a listen for yourself (Video link to follow.) ====== SUMMARY: AGENDA WARS (from below) Icke thinks the 1% are likely to win, grabbing control. Wilcock thinks the Good guys (led by the Alliance & Trump) are about the make Mass Arrests, putting the leaders of the 1% in Jail. And there may be other secret agendas they may be played out, using Covid as a cover Too many investors were super bullish at the top---expanding businesses, borrowing heavily, investing in real estate, etc. The system was too fragile to go on... with all that Debt. By collapsing it, they can do a controlled reset. (see: RESET). This controlled reset may lead to a new currency, probably a digital currency backed by governments... Likely we will see a Govt sponsored Crypto. One idea is, it will be linked to SDR's. If it is done that way, they may try to buy out BTC, and ETH. perhaps at 80-120% of market price (after a slide?) to get those folks onside with the govt crypto. ( I am investing a big share of my own time in building discernment on this big topic, and then sharing it with all that I can. We need to work together to stop the worst Agendas )
  11. China Checkmate, part 2 / Pillars of China’s Dominance WWIII just happened and most of the rest of the world did not notice. No shots were fired, no bombs dropped, no major explosions. In the words of Sun Tzu, The Art of War: • “Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak.” ... • “The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting.” ... • “Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.” The CCP are great students. In about 5 short months they won a war that others did not know they were fighting. What did the CCP win, what are the pillars of their dominance? 1. They took or bought control of, at very reduced prices, foreign companies operating in China. Several CEO reported that they found their China branches not listening to commands from HQ outside China 2. They grabbed stocks for strategic companies listed on other exchanges again at very reduced prices. Australia has been trying to stop this. Expect many other companies to realize in the coming months just how much of their stocks have been grabbed the CCP controlled entities 3. CCP’s long term strategic plan is to be the technology leader of the world. Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen are firmly established as the country's leading tech hubs, and these are outpacing Silicon Valley. There are several You Tube videos about this. But the one area most important to the CCP is to lead the world in 5G. To be the major supplier of the base communications network and to lead in supplying associated technology. But many countries resisted because of security concerns. Now in order to get vital corona fighting supplies, PPE’s, PCR machines and test kits, countries are being forced to drop their 5G concerns and contract with CCP controlled Huawei. 4. As other have reported, China’s economy has strengthen while the US and others has weakened and the CCP is now pushing for the Yuan to be a reserve currency China wants its currency, the Yuan, to replace the U.S. dollar as the world's global currency. That would give it more control over its economy. As China's economic might grows, it's taking steps to make that happen. A slim majority of institutional investors see it as inevitable, but don't say when. See https://www.thebalance.com/yuan-reserve-currency-to-global-currency-3970465 and other reports. It is likely that the corona war victory will lead to this happening sooner rather than later. The CCP gets, ownership or control of foreign companies operating in China, big chunks of strategic companies and resources from around the world, dominance of 5G and supporting technology, the Yuan as the reserve currency. Much of this the rest of the world does not really see or realize what happened in the background, we are too busy saving the citizens of our countries. In another 6 months we will look back and say “Ho SHIT”. > https://www.thebalance.com/yuan-reserve-currency-to-global-currency-3970465
  12. cc Millennials, Burdened With Debt, Now Facing Crisis... Third of Young Have Lost Jobs...
  13. ( i can be more specific than that - don't think the Close OVER 263 gives an sign of the rally continuing): STALL COMING here? And a slide down to a retest the Lows coming? SPY fell by 35.7%, 120.82 points, from 218.26 to 339.08 Rally of 38.12% of that drop ... 120.82 x.3812= 46.05 pt./ + L-218.26 = SPY 264.31 Yesterday we saw: 264.86 +16.67, +6.72%. No gtees, of course ! VIX is 47% off its Yr.High of 85.47/ Last: 45.24 -1.56, -3.33% ===
  14. STALL COMING here? And a slide down to a retest the Lows coming? SPY fell by 35.7%, 120.82 points, from 218.26 to 339.08 Rally of 38.12% of that drop ... 120.82 x.3812= 46.05 pt./ + L-218.26 = SPY 264.31 Yesterday we saw: 264.86 +16.67, +6.72%. No gtees, of course ! VIX is 47% off its Yr.High of 85.47/ Last: 45.24 -1.56, -3.33% ===
  15. CHINA's YUAN gets Acceptance he IMF officially green-lighted the acceptance of China’s currency – the Yuan – into the IMF’s foreign exchange basket. According to Reuters, this move paves the way for the IMF to place the yuan on a par with the US dollar. This is the latest in a series of global developments that threatens to eliminate the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Experts predict this announcement will trigger one of the most profound transfers of wealth in our lifetime. So if you want to protect your savings & retirement, you better get your money out of US dollar investments and into the one asset class that rises as currencies collapse. *The IMF Holds Supreme Power* The International Monetary Fund, or IMF, is one of the most secretive and powerful organizations in the world. They monitor the financial health of more than 185 countries. They establish global money rules and provide “bail-out” assistance to bankrupt nations. Some are warning that any move by the IMF to supplant the US dollar could be catastrophic to American investments. And now, the IMF has made the first move. As reported by The Wall Street Journal, the IMF officially green-lighted the acceptance of China’s currency – the Yuan – into the IMF’s foreign exchange basket. This marks the first time in history the IMF has expanded the number of currencies in the foreign exchange basket. This means that the Chinese currency will now become a viable global alternative to the US dollar. According to Juan Zarate, who helped implement financial sanctions while serving in George W. Bush’s Treasury department, “Once the [other currency] becomes an alternative to the dollar, rules of the game begin to change.” Leong Sing Chiong, Assistant Managing Director at a major central bank, said this dollar alternative “is likely to transform the financial landscape in the next 5-10 years.” Currency expert Dr. Steve Sjuggerud warned, “I’ve been active in the markets for over two decades now, but I’ve never seen anything that could move so much money, so quickly. The announcement will start a domino effect, that will basically determine who in America gets rich in the years to come, and who struggles. Dr. Sjuggerud says if you own any US “paper” assets - and that includes stocks, bonds, or just cash in a bank account – you should be aware of what’s about to happen and know how to prepare. A number of experts believe a recent spike in gold and silver prices is a direct result of the IMF’s action. Precious metals notoriously rise when the US dollar falls. *The Death of the US Dollar in One Frightening Graph* For the last 600 years, there have been six different global reserve currencies controlled by world superpowers. The latest – the US dollar – has dominated world currency for over 80 years. The alarming fact is, global reserve currencies have collapsed every 80-90 years for the last six centuries! What does this mean for America and the dominance of the US dollar? Based on recent evidence and long-standing historical trends, experts predict the imminent collapse of the US dollar! What’s more alarming? Many Americans aren’t yet doing the one thing that will save their savings & retirement from US dollar collapse. Just take a look at the graph below. It shows the lifespan of dominant currencies going back 600 years. Notice that the US dollar has now been the dominant currency for 88 years, about the same length of time as its predecessors. It’s obvious why experts say that the US dollar’s days as the world’s reserve currency are coming to a climactic end. *All Fiat Currencies Collapse* “Fiat” currency is paper currency backed by nothing tangible. As opposed to “sound money” which is backed by gold or some other valuable commodity, a fiat currency is backed by nothing more than faith in the government. The US dollar has been a fiat currency since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971 in what was the greatest heist in American history. The scary fact is, the average life span of a fiat currency is 40
  16. STALL COMING here? And a slide down to a retest the Lows coming? SPY fell by 35.7%, 120.82 points, from 218.26 to 339.08 Rally of 38.12% of that drop ... 120.82 x.3812= 46.05 pt./ + L-218.26 = SPY 264.31 Yesterday we saw: 264.86 +16.67, +6.72%. No gtees, of course ! VIX is 47% off its Yr.High of 85.47/ Last: 45.24 -1.56, -3.33% ===
  17. Dr.B's Trading Diary : 2020: Diary's 132nd Month = 12 years. Almost 11 years since 3/09 Low : of Dow: xx Dow closed 2017@ 24,719, 2018@ 23,327, 2019@ 28,538 +22.3% (YrH: 28,701.66, L: 23,301.59, -18.2% under Yr.H) Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H : Featured Video - Deep & thoughtful ideas here Vitalik Buterin (of ETH) on "The Portal", Ep. #012 - The Ethereal Prince and His Virtual Machine =============== DrBubb's Diary - Jan. 2020 Trading - v.132 FRT/ Fed Racetrack: Gold (GLD) vs Stocks (SPY) : GLD-SPY : FRTw/SLV : vs.CRB : GLD-hr : SPY-hr : GLD/SPYratio The Fed's money-printing has maintained confidence in markets - but the money has gone not only into stocks, but also into other areas. For many months, money flowed into commodities like Gold, pushing prices higher even faster than stocks, as the chart above shows. But since Gold's peak in Aug.2011, stocks have outperformed gold. Since then, these two assets have sometimes tended to trade counter-cyclically to each other. Gold in EURO - very worthwhile to track Short Term: Gold-in-EUR>: Gold-in-USD> Medium Term - 3 Years: Gold-inEUR or GLD-toEUR: US Stocks: "SPX-in-Euros" .. SPX-to-EUR or SPY-to-FXE .. update : A Rising Wedge ?? DrBubb's "Early Warning System" Leading Ratio ... LQD:TLT-Weekly-3yrs : TLT-vsLQD : Copper : HG price : CU price : SPY-10/11 : SMH-6mos I reckon that the LQD-to-TLT ratio should move in harmony with stocks, or maybe LEAD stock moves. If they are moving in different directions, then one should be cautious. (However, the value of this indicator has become suspect in recent years, after giving some false warnings.) ===== Bullish Percentages : BPNYA- : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G BPGDM : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G NASIT - : NAMOT : Summation Indices INFLATION Watch / "Drivers" (SPY, GLD, DXY) .. 10d : 6mo-D : 2yr-D : 5yr-D // CU-etc : w/XLE : w/OIH : COMMS / Gold leading Commodity bounce-back?: Copper. XLE-Oil, FCX, DBA USO - vs GLD, Ngas, Oilb .... fr. Feb.2009 : 2.17.16 : 9/2017 : end2018 : 10d : RECORD : CU may lead GLD and SPY ====== US Fed'l Debt // Formula: (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - : end07: $09.23 > 0,722 : 072.2 : $082.46 : $146.21 : -63.75: 56.398% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 17.05: ==== : $ 32.99 : end08: $10.70 > 0,897 : 089.7 : $086.52 : $090.24 : -$3.72: 95.878% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 29.09: ==== : $ 26.18 : end09: $12.31 > 1,089 : 108.9 : $107.31 : $111.44 : -$4.13: 96.294% : $30.0e: XX.X% :: $ 42.26: ==== : $ 26.44 : end10: $14.03 > 1,294: 129.4 : $138.74 : $125.75 : $12.99: 110.34% : $43.71: 31.51%: $ 43.09: $0.62: $ 32.35 : $ 00.29 : end11: $15.22 > 1,435: 138.0 : $151.99 : $125.50 : $26.49: 121.11% : $29.29: 19.27%: $ 34.87: - 5.58: $ 28.88 : $ 04.60 : end12: $16.43 > 1,570: 151.0 : $162.02 : $142.41 : $19.61: 113.77% : $30.34: 18.73%: $ 40.45:-10.11: $ 27.95 : $ 13.48 : end13: $17.35 > 1,689: 162.4 : $116.12 : $184.69 : -68.57 : 062.87% : $22.27: 19.18%: $ 38.37:-16.10: $ 24.25 :$815.00 : end14: $18.14 > 1,783 : 171.4 : $113.58 : $205.54 : -98.04 : 55.26% :: $18.09: 15.93%: $ 41.62:-23.53: $ 24.89 :$316.20 : end15: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.46 : $203.87 :-102.41: 49.77% :: 2.135 : 2.140%: $ 35.29:-00.00: $ 20.61: $433.50 : end16 (2016) 01/29: $19.01 > 1,886 : 180.0 : $108.05 : $193.65 : - $85.60: 55.80% :: 2.060 : 1.907% $ 31.20:-00.00: $ 19.99: $375.00 : 02/29: $19.13 > 1,900 : 181.3 : $118.64 : $193.56 : - $74.98: 61.29% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 30.00: -00.00: $ 20.00: $434.00 : 03/31: $19.26 > 1,916 : 182.8 : $117.64 : $205.52 : - $87.88: 57.24% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.77: -13.17: $ 20.60: $415.00 : 04/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $123.65 : $206.33 : - $82.68: 59.93% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.53: -12.45: $ 21.08: $4 ??.00 : 05/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $116.06 : $209.84 : - $93.78: 55.31% :: 2.080 : 1.792% $ 33.65: -12.34: $ 21.31: $526.10 : 06/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $126.47 : $209.48 : - $83.01: 60.37% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0 07/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $128.98 : $217.12 : - $88.14: 59.40% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0 08/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $124.78 : $217.38 : - $92.60: 57.40% :: 2.080 : 1.667% $ 37.08: -16.85: $ 20.23: $570.00 : ===== ye'16 : $20.0E > 1,8 xx : 18x.x : Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - : ====== "GOLD Formula" is : (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 : US Govt Debt :: http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/
  18. INTERNET SHUTDOWN Coming? Got is message today / Is this a real development?? Forwarding as received : Dear All , There are reports that due to increased WFH , internet may crash . Already many European countries have issued guidelines to switch to SD mode on streaming platforms such as Netflix etc. In Kenya the issue could be more serious. May be we can do our bit on Whatsapp, to avert a complete collapse. 1. Stop sending Good Morning images - text could be fine. 2. Stop forwarding Videos. 3. Don't forward huge files. 4. Dont send corona messages. 5. Try sending only text messages. A humble request to one and all. There is another crisis looming large, world over. Due to the compulsion of working from home, home schooling and needs to connect with relatives and friends, the Internet has come under tremendous load which is unprecedented. INTERNET SHUTDOWN Coming? Whodathunkit? Haha. Maybe for about three days? Starting, well, maybe Friday? hmm > SEE: AGENDA WARS !
  19. INTERNET SHUTDOWN Coming? Got is message today / Is this a real development?? Forwarding as received : Dear All , There are reports that due to increased WFH , internet may crash . Already many European countries have issued guidelines to switch to SD mode on streaming platforms such as Netflix etc. In Kenya the issue could be more serious. May be we can do our bit on Whatsapp, to avert a complete collapse. 1. Stop sending Good Morning images - text could be fine. 2. Stop forwarding Videos. 3. Don't forward huge files. 4. Dont send corona messages. 5. Try sending only text messages. A humble request to one and all. There is another crisis looming large, world over. Due to the compulsion of working from home, home schooling and needs to connect with relatives and friends, the Internet has come under tremendous load which is unprecedented. INTERNET SHUTDOWN Coming? Whodathunkit? Haha. Maybe for about three days? Starting, well, maybe Friday? hmm (in edit) DEBUNKED ! This Is from Mike Toledo OF Smart :: My reply to about the Viber message going around about global internet crashing due to high usage: Not true ! Although some countries’ telcos approached their respective regulatory bodies ( like our NTC) to advise the public to temper internet usage. Since lockdown, PLDT/Smart traffic has increased about 18% but our network is in good shape. Our network investments starting last year are working for us now. We might see some sites hitting thresholds but as a whole we are good. Since our content is mainly from abroad, we have also expanded capacities in our submarine cables. We continue to invest and expand our capacity. We continue to monitor, ES, but all good now. Maraming Salamat. Mike
  20. WHO: Why? Tucker & Rick Scott are on the case: Sen. Scott calls for investigation into World Health Organization > Largest private donor to WHO... is?... The Gates Foundation Gates is 2nd largest funder AFTER the US govt, says David Icke - in this incendiary podcast, with Brian Rose CHINA KNOW EVERYTHING ABOUT YOU! The Hidden Truth Of The Coronavirus Pandemic In China | David Icke
  21. HOPE index, Hanging near Zero... Recoveries slowed New CASES, growth per day == Hope : Recovs. + % + / Cases : NonCh +%—/ USA — : +%- / Philippines +% (recv,D’s) / U.K., +cases, +% (recvs, D’s) 24: - 11%: +3,948: +4.0%/ +40.0k: +39.9k +15%/ +9,454 +28%/ 462 + 82: +22%/ (18, 33)/ 6650 + 967 +17% (135, 335) 25: - 7 %: +6,739: +6.6%/ +42.6k: +42.6k +14%/ +11.1k +25%/ 552 + 90: +19%/ (20, 35)/ 8077 +1427 +21% (135, 422) 26: - 9% : +5,486: +5.1%/ +50.0k: +50.0k +14%/ +13.4k +24%/ 636 + 84: +15%/ (26, 38)/ 9,529 +1452 +18% (135, 465) 27: - 7% : +9,571: +8.4%/ +61.1k: +61.1k +15%/ +17.2k +25%/ 707 + 71: +11%/ (28, 45)/ 11.7k +2129 +22% (135, 578) 28: - 7% : +9,140: +7.4%/ +63.2k: +63.2k +14%/ +18.7k +22%/ 803 + 96: +14%/ (31, 54)/ 14.5k +2885 +25% (135, 759) 29: - 6% : +8,942: +6.7%/ +63.8k: +63.8k +12%/ +19.5k +19%/ 1075 +272 +34%/ (38, 68)/ 17.1k +2.5k +17% (135. 1019) 30: - 4% : +9,540: +6.7%/ +61.3k: +61.2k +11%/ +18.3k +15%/ 1418 +343 +32%/ (42, 71)/ 19.5k +2.4k +14% (135, 1228) 31: - 1% : +14.0k : +9.3%/ +63.0k: +63.0k +10%/ +20.0k +14%/ 1646 +128 + 9%/ (42, 78)/ 22.1k +2.6k +13% (135, 1408) 01: - 3% : +11.9k : +7.2%/ +69.6k: +69.5k +10%/ +21.5k +13%/ 2084 +538 +33%/ (49, 88)/ 25.2k +3.0k +14% (135, 1789) 02: +0% : +17.0k : +9.6%/ +80.0k: +79.9k +10%/ +25.7k +14%/ 2311 +227 +11%/ (50, 96)/ 29.5k +4.3k +17% (135, 2352) 03: +0% : +18.1k : +9.3%/ +75.9k: +75.9k + 9% / +26.9k +12%/ 2633 +322 +14% (51, 107)/ 33.7k +4.2k +14% (135, 2921) 04: - 1% : +16.1k : +7.6%/ +80.6k: +80.6k + 9% / +30.6k +12%/ 3018 +385 +15% (52, 136)/ 38.2k +4.4k +13% (135, 3605) 05: +0% : +18.0k : +7.9%/ +81.8k: +81.8k + 8% / +32.2k +12%/ 3082 + 76 +2.5% (57, 144)/ 41.9k +3.7k +10% (135, 4313) 06: +1% : +18.4k : +7.5%/ +74.0k: +74.0k +6.6%/ +25.3k + 8%/ 3246 +164 +5.3% (65, 142) 47.8k +5.9k +14% (135, 4934) 07: - 1% : +13.6k : +5.1%/ +69.9k: +69.9k +5.9%/ +27.6k + 8%/ 3660 +414 +13% (73, 163)/ 51.6k +3.8k +7.9% (135, 5373) ====
  22. Gran Columbia (GCM.t) : 235,000+ oz/yr Gold miner Restructured Columbian Gold miner, in Profit still waiting to be discovered 8/7/18 : Gran Colombia Gold Announces it Will Settle 100% of its 2018 AFTER settlement : MktCap : US$ 93.4 Million = 0.766 x C$ 121.95M = C$2.53 x 48.2 million Cash--- : US$ 28.5 Million (30.5% of MktCap) Net MC : US$ 64.9 Million === (GCM shs: after a Reverse Split of 1-share-for-15 on Apr. 27th, 2017): - brought OP / header of the thread Up to Date in mid-Jan.2018, since price leap upwards is possible in 2018 C$ price --- : C$2.22 / 16% of BV, 52% of adj. BV Book Value : US $11.21 xC$1.245= C$13.96 Adj. Bk.Val : US $ 3.43 xC$1.245= C$ 4.27 - assumes all US$141M Debt conv. at US$1.92 x 1.245= C$ 2.39) /in edit, note: GCM has announced a debt restructuring to limit dilution./ GCM.t ... 10-yrs : 5-yrs : 2-yrs : 12mos : 6-mos / 10-d / TPRFF : GCM.NT.U Updated, Last: C$2.53 (US$1.94) at 8/07/2018 - Versus 200d : 377d.ma : 610d : 987d. : 700-800d : Mkt.Depth : AFTER Reverse split : 1-for-15 : Management awarded itself over 1.9 million Options at C$2.55 before the split : 12-mos : 2-yrs : 3-yrs : Longer term - after split prices 3-yrs : 4-yrs : 5-yrs : GCM / Gran Columbia Mines - C$0.145 ( in Jan. 2016 )Share O/S : 23.7 mn x $0.145 = C$3.4 Million Restructuring: = could mean the : Issuance of a maximum of 1.44 Billion shares / 15 = 96 million shs after reverse split === About Gran Colombia Gold Corp. Gran Colombia is a Canadian-based gold and silver exploration, development and production company with its primary focus in Colombia. Gran Colombia is currently the largest underground gold and silver producer in Colombia with several underground mines in operation at its Segovia and Marmato Operations. Gran Colombia is currently advancing a project to develop a modern, large-scale, gold and silver mine at its Segovia operations. Date---- : GCM.t : 7,692 : CAD$ : NotVal : 1% Deb. : vol. : Db.O/S- Date : 6%Deb: Db.O/S- Date : TtlDebt : Shs-OS : MktValue : Ent.Val. : Gold : OZ's 03/31/16 : $0.095 : 0,731 : 0.769 : 56.94 : $58.00. --------- : $71.2- 03/31 : $68.00 : 104.0 - 03/31 : $175.2 : 125.5m : C$11.9M: $184.3M/ 1234= 149.4k 06/30/16 : $0.100 : 0,769 : 0.773 : 59.44 : $55.00. --------- : $67.7- 06/30 : $65.00 : 103.3 - 05/12 : $171.0 : 157.8m*: C$15.8M: $183.2M/ 1325= 138.3k 12/30/16 : $0.095 : 0,731 : 0.744 : 54.39 : $61.00, 20.0k : $49.7- 12/06 : $84.00 : 101.2 - 12/06 : $150.9 : 277.6m*: C$26.4M: $170.5M/ 1152= 148.1k 02/10/17 : $0.110 : 0,846 : 0.764 : 64.63 : $61.00, 625.k : $49.7- 12/06 : $81.00 : 101.2 - 12/06 : $150.9 : 277.7m*: C$30.5M: $174.2M/ 1236= 140.9k 03/31/17 : $0.100 : 0,769 : 0.750 : 57.68 : $64.00, 56.0k : $49.7- 12/06 : $82.99 : 100.7 - 04/07 : $150.4 : 277.7m*: C$27.8M: $171.3M/ 1251= 136.9k 04/21/17 : $0.095 : 0,731 : 0.742 : 54.24 : $65.00, 59.0k : $49.7- 12/06 : $81.99 : 100.7 - 04/07 : $150.4 : 277.7m*: C$26.4M: $170.0M/ 1289= 131.9k 04/26/17 : $0.095 : 0,731 : 0.733 : 53.82 : (reverse split) : Date----- : GCM.t : 513sh: CAD$: NotVal: 1% Deb.: vol. : Db.O/S- Date : 6%Deb: Db.O/S- Date: TotDebt: Shs-OS : MktValue : EntValue : Gold : OZ's 04/27/17 : $1.550 : 0,795 : 0.733 : 58.28 : $61.00, 78.0k: $45.97-04/28 : $80.50 : 100.7 - 04/28 : $146.7 : 20.45m*: C$31.7M: $169.9M/ 1266= 134.2k 05/09/17 : $1.410 : 0,723 : 0.730 : 52.80 : $63.01, 78.0k: $45.97-04/28 : $81.00 : 100.5 - 05/02 : $146.5 : 20.45m*: C$28.8M: $167.5M/ 1216= 137.8k 08/22/17 : $1.370 : 0,703 : 0.796 : 55.94 : $70.00, 78.0K: $45.97-04/28: $87.00 : 100.5 - 05/02 : $146.5 : 20.45m*: C$28.0M: $168.8M/ 1286= 131.3K 09/25/17 : c$2.20 : 1,129 : 0.808 : 91.19 : $89.50, 36.0K: $45.97-04/28: $92.00 : $99.4 - 06/30 : $145.4 : 20.45m*: C$45.0M: $181.8M/ 1312= 138.5k oz 10/12/17 : c$1.86 : 954.2 : 0.802 : 76.53 : $81.00, 20.0K: $45.97-06/30: $95.02 : $99.4 - 06/30 : $145.4 : 20.45m*: C$38.0M: $175.9M/ 1297= 135.6k oz 10/20/17 : c$1.84 : 943.9 : 0.792 : 74.76 : $78.00, 10.0K: $45.97-06/30: $95.02 : $99.4 - 06/30 : $145.4 : 20.45m*: C$37.6M: $175.2M/ 1281= 136.8k oz 12/29/17 : c$1.96 : 1,005 : 0.795 : 79.90 : $85.50, 50.0K: $45.97-09/30: $98.00 : $95.7 - 09/30 : $141.1 : 20.45m*: C$40.1M: $172.0M/ 1309= 132.1k oz 01/16/18 : c$2.22 : 1,139 : 0.803 : 91.45 : $90.75, 109.K: $45.97-09/30: $98.00 : $95.7 - 09/30 : $141.1 : 20.45m*: C$45.4M: $177.6M/ 1337= 132.8k oz. 04/04/18 : c$2.37 : 1,216 : 0.783 : 95.20 : $94.00, 58.0K: $43.60-03/20: $99.50 : $91.4 - 03/20 : $135.0 : 23.60m*: C$55.9M: $178.8M/ 1340= 133.4k oz. 04/30/18 : c$2.68 : 1,375 : 0.780 : 107.2 : $102.5, 21.0K: $34.40-04/30: $100.0 : $98.0-04/30: $132.4 : 28.11m*: C$75.3M: $191.2M/ 1319: 145.0k oz 05/10/18 : c$2.55 : 1,308 : 0.785 : 102.7 : $103.3, 21.0K: $34.40-04/30: $100.0 : $98.0-04/30: $132.4 : 29.32m*: C$74.8M: $191.1M/ 1322: 144.5k oz Date----- : GCM.t : 513sh: CAD$: NotVal: 1% Deb.: vol. : Db.O/S- Date : 8.25%D : Db.O/S- Date: TotDebt: Shs-OS : MktValue : EntValue : Gold : OZ's ========= Last column : at 132.8k on 12/29/2017 - GCM had an enterprize value of 132,800 oz., that is is just 80% of its 2017 gold production (ignores costs) Date-------: GCM.t: Cad$: us$Val: ShsOS MktVal: 8.25%Db: Date: Cash: Ent.Val. /$Gold : OZ's /Prd. yrs.: 221wtx$inTM 08/10/18: $2.44 :x.761= $1.857 48.2M $89.5M: $ 98.0M: Est.: $28.0: $159.5M /$1219: 131k/200: 0.66: 00.0Mx$0.23 08/10/18: $2.13 :x.761= $1.857 48.2M $89.5M: $ 98.0M: Est.: $28.0: $159.5M /$1219: 131k/200: 0.66: 00.0Mx$0.23 OLD-Obsolete / Alternative calculations : debs - 9/30/17 = Face Amt : discount : (maturity-) 1% : : $30,674K : $45,970K : $15,296k (2018, Aug.) 6% : : $33,396K : $48,696K : $15,300k (2020. Jan.) 8% : : $28,858K : $46,955K : $17,548k (2024) DEBs: $92.93K : $141.07K: $48,144k/ BKV: $229.32k / shs OS: 20,450k = US$11.21 /sh. ($10.76-6/30) Disc. : $ 48.14 K / 20.45k = ($2.35) + $11.21 = US$8.86 / sh. ($8.08-6/30) Alt.2: $229.32 +$92.93k= $322.25k / (20.45k + $141.07/$1.92= 73.47k= 93.92k) = US$3.43 xC$1.245= C$4.27 ==== 1% Debs. Cv.: $190 + c$1.86 x415.5 x0.802= $620= $809.8 : $81.00 Debs : Int. : CvShs : x$1.55: *0.733: adj.* : Last : Prem.: maturity : time x Coupon : Total: adjPrem. 2018 : 1% : 513 shs : C$ 795= $583 : $662 : 65.0: -1.81%: 11Aug18 : 1+3mos : $12.5 : $683 : -4.84% : 2020 : 6% : 513 shs : C$ 795= $583 : $583 : 80.5: +38.1%: 02Jan20 : 2+7mos : $155. : $738 : +9.08% : ==== *Maturity value = $190 + 415.5 shs (x$1.55x0.733) = $190 + $xxx = US$662 #1: Shares: 277.7M + 1%Debs $49.7M> 382.6M + 6%Debs> 778.1M = 1,438.4 x C$0.110 = C$158.2 x 0.759 = $120.1M / 1239 = 96.93k oz #2: Shares: 277.7M + 1%Debs $49.7M> 309.6M = 587.3M shs x C$0.110= C$64.6M x 0.759 = $49.0:: + $9.44M + $101.2 = $159.7M / 1239 = 128.9k oz ** : #2 assumes: : At 2018 maturity, 1% Debs= ($190 + 6,230 shs) so: $49.7M x19%= $9.44M, +6% Debs-$101.2M; are not conv. :: Up to 12/2016, GCM repurchased and cancelled $2.9M principle = 22.4M shs. less /1450M = -1.54% ======= > Debs. : http://www.grancolombiagold.com/news-and-investors/market-information/default.aspx#shares > ShOS : http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/quote?symbol=t.gcm > New DEBs "Gold linked notes" FAQs: http://s21.q4cdn.com/834539576/files/FAQ/GCM-Gold-Linked-Notes-Debentures-FAQ-2018-04-30.pdf Fitch Ratings has as an initial rating of “B-". with a Rating Outlook of Stable > CvBond symbols :: TPRFD | T.GCM.DB.V 6% | T.GCM.DB.U 1% |T.GCM.W.A| TPRFF GCM website at : http://www.grancolombiagold.com A profile on SEDAR at---- : http://www.sedar.com. Presentation : 11/2017 : http://s21.q4cdn.com/834539576/files/doc_presentations/Marmato-Deeps-Zone-CGS-Final.pdf Bull Board at : http://www.stockhouse.com/ : http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.gcm
  23. Cycles, & GEI's 3-Favorite Gold shares Update on the Favorite-Gold stocks: Did some selling of GCMwtB this week, though they may not be done with their Rally just yet. Favored-3 Gold miners: ... update : +MUX: +AAZ: 10d.// Radar: A: B: C: D : GOLD shares, Favored-4 vs.GDXJ ... update /  The "favored three" is led by this one, GCM.t, Gran Colombian Gold: 4yrs > see: GCM thread UPDATE, 2/21: GCM broke out to $6.97 as ROXG lags at $0.98 (despite good drilling news). GDXJ: $44.97
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