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romans holiday

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Everything posted by romans holiday

  1. romans holiday

    GOLD

    Yep, did notice that. You were correlating the immediate crash in silver with the longer term consolidation in gold if i remember right. Could perhaps be a signal there, where the short collapse in silver gives you the long consolidation in gold? I was more focused on comparing gold with gold, and in the two phases of consolidations/ crashes we've seen. On that basis, you'd think the bottom was in.
  2. romans holiday

    GOLD

    Looking at the long term log charts, the magnitude of the crash/ consolidation in both gold and silver are now similiar. This recent one of the past two years taking a lot longer.
  3. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Well, sold my camper. Am sorely tempted to 'double up' and put the funds into AGQ. Must try to refrain.
  4. romans holiday

    GOLD

    Would be more interesting to look at on the log chart. : )
  5. romans holiday

    GOLD

    Saxena has flip-flopped on gold in the past, and no doubt will do so again. PS. No certainties.
  6. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Have mixed feelings about this crash. On the one hand am glad I hedged and sold AGQ on a spike, on the other a little disappointed I bought back too early. Of course, you have to take a pragmatic approach to trading; you are never going to get the bottom, and should instead be looking for a 'good enough' trade. With that in mind, I think the silver price will snap back quickly. My main motivation for hedging [trading the volatility] was to maintain an equanimity in an uncertain and volatile market. Feel a bit surprised at the recent move, but not stressed.
  7. romans holiday

    SILVER

    Far out. Oh well, days like this confirm why you put half of your disposable into real assets, and remind you that it was never going to be easy.
  8. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Well done on holding off. Thinking of buying here?
  9. romans holiday

    GOLD

    Wow! Looks like new lows being formed since the 1800 spike. Another 2008 event for gold.
  10. romans holiday

    SILVER

    Bring on the short-covering.... though I hope a war doesn't do it.
  11. romans holiday

    GOLD

    http://www.bloomberg...ommodities.html
  12. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Then again, the dollar is nearing the top of its trading range so may see markets turn around shortly
  13. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    There you go, 26.99 as i write. Makes you wonder whether we might have to wait until after the summer doldrums for the fireworks.
  14. romans holiday

    DOW all time new high, DOW : 14,253.77 +126

    Where's goldfinger's update of the gold/ DOW ratio when you want one? [preferably in log form]
  15. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Ah, but never underestimate the efficacy of boredom. You know there is no emotion in the trade when you are bored with it... and are free to wander off and focus on other pursuits.
  16. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Ah, but tides are predictable..... but can be the cause of momentary and unpredictable whirlpools.
  17. romans holiday

    GOLD

    Good analysis by Maund here. Pinched from HPC. http://www.clivemaund.com/gmu.php?art_id=68&date=2013-02-24
  18. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Reverse head and shoulders:
  19. romans holiday

    SILVER

    Reverse head and shoulders:
  20. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Was a rocky road but got there in the end. In simply focussing on volatility, this is the only instrument being traded. The trade is a very heavy one. By selling at 60 and re-buying at 40, a near increase of 50% [in shares]. But the real object of the trade is to sell on a spike and take gains in US dollars. Half way there for this trade. The longer term:
  21. romans holiday

    Trading Volatility, Ballasted by Gold

    Only a smidgeon off now.
  22. romans holiday

    GOLD SHARES / such as: GDX, GDXJ, CDNX etc.

    Instead of simply leveraging the price of gold [as many of the bulls assumed], gold stocks might instead just leverage the volatility of the gold price. Trading them would then be better than buy and hold.
  23. romans holiday

    GOLD

    'The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.' JM Keynes.
  24. romans holiday

    GOLD

    http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1360937700.php Is Gold Becoming a Risk-off Asset?
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