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Posts posted by DoctorSolar
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Soon someone like Warren B. will come back and buy a huge amount outright, and BOOOM.
I mean seriously, if I was a hedge fund...
But apparently silver is utterly useless
How so many people are being suckered into filling their basements with boxes of useless silver.http://www.greaterfool.ca/2010/11/04/monetary-hacking/
I think our man Garth is proving himself to be perhaps the greatest fool of them all.
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I got stopped out of that ***** at $2.15 and never bought back. I will always listen to my sig in a market like this one.
Hey Carlton I've made a bunch of mistakes like that as have most other folks.
Very refreshing to see someone admit as much openly. Much respect for that.
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Make that $1.31. Yessssssssss!!!!!!
Looks like we are certainly going to trigger AllAllans buy signal. If those folks get in together with the subscribers to Patrick Cox's newsletter we could see some more fireworks over the next few weeks.
Sorry folks make that a $1.41 entry fee! Any of you guys still on board this thing?
I'm riding my free shares having taken back my stake plus profit in the 2.10 area.
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Top caller, where are thou?
Well apparently we had the triple top on September 10th but sadly we ran immediately straight up!
http://www.neuralnetwriter.cylo42.com/node/3475
"that's telling me we have a triple top, what it's really saying is the Dollar, the Dollar Index wants to run higher" -
Why on earth would a supposed number one gold timer sell his gold just before the next round of QE?
As a down payment for his "I'm a US housing bull" t-shirt?
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$25.40 - a new 30-year high in silver.
Who's that guy who said that there was abundance in silver? Has he told JPMoron and HSBC already?
EDIT: Correction, WHAT correction?
That would be our man Big Tommy O. The WORLDS NUMBER ONE gold market timer who sold ALL his gold at 1236 and "piped" his followers out too.
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What do the top callers say? Do they have good news for me?
Does this missive from a former GEI regular help?
Medium term gold is going to 1050, and long term (by the end year) it is going to 700 because such rising wedge on the monthly is very bearish. If strong bounce of the channel is confirmed I expect it to do an A-B-C move to 1050 rather quickly.http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/481054-k...o-short-to-1050
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Make that $1.19. Took a bit time for the news to get out there but I guess the latest alert from Patrick Cox and AllAllan has finally been digested by investors. Last time we had such news we flew off to the low $2 range before crashing back down again.
Could be a nice short term trade here... or if it pulls back a chance to get on board for longer term?
Make that $1.31. Yessssssssss!!!!!!
Looks like we are certainly going to trigger AllAllans buy signal. If those folks get in together with the subscribers to Patrick Cox's newsletter we could see some more fireworks over the next few weeks.
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A potential cure for all types of flu and many other viruses including HIV with a 1 dollar entry fee.
Make that $1.19. Took a bit time for the news to get out there but I guess the latest alert from Patrick Cox and AllAllan has finally been digested by investors. Last time we had such news we flew off to the low $2 range before crashing back down again.
Could be a nice short term trade here... or if it pulls back a chance to get on board for longer term?
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NanoViricides, Inc. Reports Dramatically Extended Survival For FluCide™ Treated Animals In An Influenza Lethality Study
http://www.thestreet.com/story/10906112/1/...lity-study.html
And yet the market shrugs and we close flat for the day. They have produced similar results in the past so maybe that why the market doesn't find it so wildly exciting. In any case...
“An increase in dosage is now likely to lead to total survival even in this completely lethal virus challenge model.”“Our Influenza Program is progressing satisfactorily towards a pre-IND submission to the FDA in the near future,” said Eugene Seymour, MD, MPH, CEO of the Company.
A potential cure for all types of flu and many other viruses including HIV with a 1 dollar entry fee.
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I will bet you, but not much.
However, to make the bet fair, you must either:
+ Give me suitable odds, or
+ You win the bet, only if the market rallies by a "fair amount" - probably 20% also.
In the middle, no money changes hands.
To bet otherwise would be to simply make a skewed bet at away from market odds, and I am not in that business.
Thanks but azazel has already taken me up on this wager.
As I have said I would be happier if I lost this bet than won it.
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So you need the average UK house price to go below: £131,505 to win
The last time that level was seen was in September-October 2003:
http://www.nationwide.co.uk/hpi/historical/MPR0310.pdf
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Can I get paid with £20 worth of silver please, even if its just a gram or even a scraping? Id rather not have that buttwipe stuff with Her majesty on it...
Sure thing! Same for me too if I am unfortunate enough to win.
Goldmoney or Bullionvault is easiest for me.
So the nationwide index is the one we shall use.
The October 2010 report can be found here:
http://www.nationwide.co.uk/hpi/historical/Oct_2010.pdf
The average house price was: £164,381
So you need the average UK house price to go below: £131,505 to win
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Oh I think the scene has been set
the restrictions on banks ,new guidelines for lending
no more 100/125% loans
proof of income now a necessity
housing benefit cuts ,unemployment due for a big rise
vat up to 20% ,fuel gas and food costs rising
child benefit cuts , disability allowance claimants purged
I think the majority live pretty much on the limit as it is
the biggest factor is sentiment and that is plummeting as
even the media are now preparing the people mentally
to expect and accept lower values
The Tories need the bust so they can point the finger
and they need it sooner rather than later so they can start
a recovery or stabilisation of sorts before the next election
the cash rich will pile in but rate rises will insure that
those needing to buy by mortgage will be no better off
in monthly payments
this way the banks and the wealthy win and the poor pay for it
as it ever was
as an aside ,I am noticing around 75% of auction property
is going unsold - prices will drop - there is no alternative
I totally agree with your analysis, however, if property prices fall by 20% or more from here the banks will be well and truly on fire if they are not already. The UK gov are trying everything they can to prevent the seemingly inevitable fall. I hope they fail as a fall and cleansing of the system would be much healthier for future generations.
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I will take you up on that at £20. Just for fun.
Great stuff azazel. Your on and I have to say I hope I lose
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Despite wanting house prices to fall and understanding the arguments why it should happen I'm beginning to feel pretty doubtful it will actually happen to the extent discussed on here. I just don't see it falling 20% or more from here when priced in sterling. In other currencies/commodities sure.
Anyone care to have a wager on this?
If I lose the bet to you I just saved even more money off a property
If I win the bet well I'll probably be even more upset than if I had lost!
Lets say the other person wins if by Dec 2012 or earlier the nationwide index falls by 20% or more from here.
Any takers? Just a modest sum of say 20-50pds or so?
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This "correction" sucks. The price is correcting upwards, rather than downwards.
Yep even the world's number one timer is finding this one tricky.
Bears out what I many others have been saying for ages
You gotta average in and don't get cute trying to time the market
Unless you already have a sizable core position
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Actually, he set the date for that target only a couple of years back.... and I don't think we are quite within "touching distance" of it.
Can you tell me the year he set this date then?
What would you define as touching distance? 1600?
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To reach Sinclairs target of 1650 [Jan next year], gold would have to go parabolic from here. He predicts such an early high price because he thinks hyper-inflation will play out.
Jim set this target many many years ago. The fact that we are within touching distance of it so close to his date is credit to him.
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Rick Rule - Physical Supply Shortages in Silver
We are seeing huge inflows into physical silver, and that may create a shortfall of available physical silver.So no shortfall yet according to Rick but we are getting close. And yet big Tommy O recently stated that we were swimming in a vast ocean of over supply of silver. What gives?
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Good interview with Felix Zulauf this week:
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Bro...3A16%3A2010.mp3
when you are in a secular bull market as strong as the gold market is timing corrections is virtually a fruitless undertaking. I reckon a regular constant purchasing on a monthly basis makes a lot of sense for most average investorsI reckon a lot of folks on here fit the average investor category. Folks looking for a "liferaft" that can help protect them. Yes you can accumulate more ounces via trading intermediate peaks and pull backs etc but you can also lose your shirt that way. I note that one of our more flamboyant gold/silver swinger traders has gone awol after countless attempts at shorting tops and turns.
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Dr Solar,
I am looking for sub 100 gold ounces for UK house.
I based that comment purely on previous places where that chart has found support, ignoring fundamentals altogether. I like to do this sometimes to filter out the noise.
Cheers Frizzers.
PS: still party time with the gold stock picks in your gold report. Great stuff!
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It's amazing the speed at which this has come down. It fell as quickly in the70s , then went parabolic , or whatever the opposite of parabolic is, in 1980.
I guess/hope we still have that to come.
But there is support here at 200. We could easily make a low here, as per 1990s
When does NW data come out? It must be fairly soon.
Curious as to why you think we could easily make a low here. Given that your commentary here and elsewhere suggests that the gold bull has much further to go (perhaps doubling from here) this would imply that you think houses could easily double from here too. Is this really what you think is easily possible? Or am I missing something?
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Garth Turner turns gold bubble caller (around 6:30 in)
http://www.howestreet.com/index.php?pl=/go...ediaplayer/1784
"USD is still relatively strong and holding its value"
Garth! The UDS index has almost halved since 1999 ffs man!
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A family member has asked if buying a small position in the vix (VXX) would be a good way of protecting their long position in Silver Wheaton. Any thoughts?