Well I think it cant be long now before there is a serious price movement in the share price of SKR
Which way?
The next important mile stone the company has said it would deliver is the test results
"Phosphoric acid Pilot Plant tests are to prove that phosphoric acid of quality can be economically produced from 17% P2O5 Chlisai phosphate rock. The tests shall also produce target Product List of the Project and process economics. Target Product List will allow Sunkar to start marketing its future output to potential buyers. Results of Pilot Phosphoric acid Plant tests are expected in the 3Q 2009.
Other issues under question are proposed technical parameters of phosphoric acid plant suitable for processing of phosphoric acid from Chilisai rock on industrial scale. These parameters can affect capital and operating costs of such phosphoric acid plant and therefore they shall be important input for feasibility study.
To prove the viability of production of phosphoric acid of desired quality Sunkar has hired three independent contractors to run phosphoric acid pilot plant tests:
* Jacobs Engineering, FL, USA
* KEMWorks, FL, USA
* Prayon Technologies SA, Belgium"
The company so far has prided it self on timely delivery of project miles tones, so these results must be imminent as we enter the last month ofQ3 tomorrow. Co incidentally it will soon be 2 months since 4 directors bought shares in SKR Not entirely sure on how the restrictions work on AIM with regards to directors buying shares in their own company, but a two month gap should hopefully allow enough time so there will be no conflict of interest as regards insider dealing. Including Serikjan Utegen and Nurdin Damitov who bought 350k at 14.2p eack taking their holdings to 12.55% each.
Now in the meantime and a possible cause for concern is that a fund called Lawrence Asset management have been selling down theirSKR holding and on the 28th August announced that they had sold a further 3 million shares taking their holding down below the 3%
on further investigation, the relevant Lawrence Asset Managemnt fund has been doing pretty badly since inception since 2007. So even in the boom period of 2007 they managed to make a loss
A chap on ADVFN posted this with regards to Lawrence (and Adam I hope you dont mind me replicating it here, thanks)
"Of the 3.6m remaining - at the date of reporting August 17, 1m were apparently held by Lawrence Assset Management's "Global Agribusiness Trust". At least end the beginning of the year they were...
http://www.navinacapital.com/pdfs/AGB%2020...al%20Report.pdfThey are preculded from investing in anything below $150m
Liquidity risk
As at December 31, 2008, the majority of the Trust’s investment holdings are considered readily realizable, as they are actively traded on public exchanges. The Trust is restricted from investing in public securities with a market capitalization of less than US$150 million, to help reduce liquidity risk to the portfolio. The Trust’s investment restrictions do allow up to 10% of total assets to be invested in securities of issuers that are not publicly traded, based on value at cost
Notably - the cost price was $2.39/share (probably around the 120p float price), so I would not be inclined to read negatively into the disposal, given price is relatively immaterial (sub 1% of fund)
Number Security Average Fair % of of Shares Cost ($) Value ($) Net Assets
1,000,000 Sunkar Resources PLC 2,398,091 124,243 0.7
The fund has lost 50% of its value (floated Nov 2007 for $40m now worth $17m) - so clients might be selling in disgust and redemptions will force Trust to sell stock.
If holders of a substantial number of Trust Units
exercise their monthly or annual redemption rights,
the number of Trust Units outstanding and the net
asset value of the Trust could be significantly reduced.
A significant number of redemptions would decrease
the liquidity of the Trust Units in the market and
increase the management expense ratio of the Trust.
The Manager may terminate the Trust upon notice
to Unitholders prior to the termination date if, in the
opinion of the Manager, the net asset value of the Trust
is reduced as a result of redemptions or otherwise so
that it is no longer economically feasible to continue
the Trust"
----
Now since Lawrence started selling down all their shares and any others that have come to the market seems to be have quite agressively bought up. Now who is buying these is another matter, but I cant believe it is PI's. Most have been sold and bought in tranches of 10, 15, 20, 25k, 50k and 100K, not the sort of trades normally bought by PI, who buy as many shares as say for example £5k will allow.
I wrote to SKR financial consultants Bankside a week or so ago, asking for clarification on significant shareholders, I never got a reply but a few days later the Lawrence holding was announced, not sure if my complaint had anything to do with it, but there is definitely some sizable change in holdings going on.
Now another little bit of info that could be of interest is that the only signicant shareholder apart from the directors to actual announce an increase in SKR is Sun Avenue Partners. Beneficial interest in Sun Ave is held by one Almas Mynbayev. Could be coincidence but the ex Deputy Chairman of the Kazakh State Agency for Regulating Natural Monopolies and Protecting Competition is one Almas Mynbayev.......for all I know Mynbayev could be the equivalent of Smith in england
One more further point, two recent appointments lead me to believe that SKR reckon they will be able to produce DAP:
08.06.2009
Sunkar Resources, Plc. has appointed Chris F Neser as the Technical Advisor to the Company. Chris will advise on all technical and financial aspects of the Project development. He has over 30 years experience in the phosphate industry working on mining and manufacturing projects in South Africa and the Middle East including three years serving as a Business Director for the Ma’aden Al Jalamid Project and deputy CEO, Operations, of Jordanian Phosphate Mine Company.
*****
Chris F Neser
Chris studied at the University of Cape Town where he graduated with a BSc in Electrical Engineering and later obtained a Masters degree in Business Leadership from the University of South Africa.
He has spent more than 30 years in the phosphate industry, gaining hands on experience in mining, beneficiation, phosphoric acid and DAP production, fertilizer logistics as well as international phosphate marketing.
Chris is the author of a number of phosphate industry technical and marketing papers presented in South Africa and at various International fertilizer conferences. He has served on various International Fertilizer Association committees.
His career started in South Africa as a Bio-Engineer and then he joined Foskor with whom he spent 25 years at the phosphate mine in Phalaborwa and later the Richards Bay fertilizer plant. After three years as the Business Director on the Ma'aden Phosphate Project in Saudi Arabia he joined Jordan Phosphate Mines Company to manage a turnaround, but due to the phenomenal growth in the phosphate fertilizer industry, concentrated on implementing two Phosphoric acid projects and a dedicated low grade phosphate rock mine as well as a related harbor expansion and relocation project.
Sunkar Resources Plc (AIM:SKR) is pleased to announce the appointment of David Anthony Argyle as a non executive director of the Company
with immediate effect. Mr Argyle (aged 47) is currently President & CEO of Dynamite Resources Ltd (TSX-V:DNR) and has more than 16 years
experience in the phosphate industry. Mr Argyle has held senior management positions on mining and chemical projects in China, South East
Asia, Central Asia and Australia and holds a degree in Commerce from the University of Western Australia and an MBA from the University of
Michigan.
Teck Soon Kong, Non-executive Chairman of the Company commented "I am delighted to welcome David to the board of Sunkar Resources. His
in-depth knowledge of the phosphate industry will be invaluable to the Company as we work towards becoming one of the lowest cost producers
of phosphate fertilisers."