Designing & improving the "Dashboards" / Link: DrB's Dashboard : LT Dashboard
Including: Capsule summaries of views. Charts, Links
=====================================

MOCK-UP here - (for the new Dashboard)
TOP POST - would be the most updated version, Older versions would be below it,
So that people can see the track record, and how ideas developed over time.
I would want to "save" a dashboard look, at a minimum of once per month
=====================================

DR.BUBB'S TRADERS DASHBOARD : version Zero.02

US STOCKS
(Favorite chart : SPY at 3-16, and a forward guess) ... SPY-update : SMH-to July'09


+ DrBubb's view, including targets:
I think we saw on important Low at the time of the last conference call on March 5th. In my view the market is in the midst of (at least) a substantial Bear market rally, which will take it to the 76d.MA at approximately SPX-830 (SPY-83). From there, I expect a correction, and the shape of that correction may give us a clue as to whether it will go higher still. My most optimistic case (so far) is for a rally to resistance near SPX-1000, lasting out to July-August. If we see all that, then I would expect to be buying gold with my profits in August or so. None of this is guaranteed, and you must consider using stops, and be alert to sudden changes, which I hope will be signalled by volume and momentum.

+ Counter-opinion: (FishingwithJesse / Mar 16 2009, on DrBubb's dairy)
"The five day rally ended on Friday with a "hanging man" candlestick formation. Hanging men are bearish reversal patterns but I caution you that they require confirmation in the form of either a break-away gap down opening or a long red candlestick that closes below Friday's low of 742.46 on heavier volume. / Downside target remains 560-580 for the S&P."
(In favor of the above, the upside volume in SPY etc., has been less than I would like so far. - DrB)


PRECIOUS METALS
(Favorite chart : GLD at 3-16 ) ... GLD-update : GDX-to July'09


+ Bubb's view, including targets:
I think Gold can correct to GOLD-$850 (GLD-84) to fill the Gap down there. If gold jumps above Gold-$945 or so, I am probably wrong. If it drops from here, I expect Gold to be stuck in a trading range out to July-August.
+ Counter-opinion : (Pixel8r: Mar 16 2009, post#13, below)
"I don't think gold will be going to $850, I think we have just bounced off the bottom of the channel with the low of $898. (see: chart ). There is a lot of other comment on GEI's Gold tread, etc. about that we are presently on our way to $1200 in the gold market. I have also noted today that James Turk has commented that the bottom is in."


FX, COMMODITIES & OTHER
(Favorite chart : XLE ) ... XLE-update : OIH-to July'09 : WTI-3yrs : WTI-to-Gold


+ Bubb's view, including targets:
Oil keeps chopping along the bottom, while I await a breakout. I am hoping that stronger share prices will lift XLE, to the upside resistance level. From there, if we are very lucky, rising oil may help. OPEC's failure to cut production will put some downward's pressure on oil stocks into the week beginning March-13.
+ Counter-opinion :
(I am looking for an up-to-date, and articulate counter-opinion. Please offer one, or suggest one.)


CHARTS & LINKS
===========
Chart Links ..... : Oil charts, etc :
DrBubb's Diary : Most recent-March'09 : Feb'09 : Jan'09
Next Conf. Call : (Fri/Sat. March) : Next-3/20-3/21? : Podcast of Prior call-3/05
Non-US stocks. : HK-traded stocks : UK-traded stocks : CDNX/Canadian Juniors

Dashboard Vers.Zero.00
categories

US STOCKS
+ Bubb's view, including targets
+ Counter-opinions

PRECIOUS METALS
+ Bubb's view, including targets
+ Counter-opinions

FX, COMMODITIES & OTHER
+ Bubb's view, including targets
+ Counter-opinions

CHARTS & LINKS
Chart Links
DrBubb's Diary
Next GEI Conference Call

= = = = = =

Please give me you comments - help to design this

THIS THREAD, is not the Dashboard, just the design thread

How about some ratios?

Gold/Dow ratio

Gold/Silver

Gold/Oil

how about some pictures of Licorne to keep Mr Mushroom Cloud happy?

IRS,
You arent a renegade from GHPC by any chance, are you?
I have some good posts from you here, but this isnt one.
It looks like an old HPC / GHP habit is popping up now

I found the counter-view on DrB's Diary:

I think having a dashboard feature is a great idea as it would bring some cohesion and organization and thus save time from surfing different threads. Could we add HK stocks to the list for those of us interested in this?

I dont think it belongs on this thread. But it could be a good idea.

I have started a new thread for HK stocks:
http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=6233

... and I hope you will contribute there / I was started in the GEI-N section.

I will put a link to the thread here, on the Main Dashboard, so you can find it easily, if not be looking on GEI-N

What other countries need threads like this? The UK maybe?

(saving Version zero.01)

MOCK-UP here - (for the new page)
TOP POST - would be the most updated version, Older versions would be below it,
So that people can see the track record, and how ideas developed over time.
I would want to "save" a dashboard look, at a minimum of once per month
=====================================

DR.BUBB'S TRADERS DASHBOARD

US STOCKS
(Favorite chart : SPY at 3-16, and a forward guess) ... SPY-update : SMH-to July'09


+ DrBubb's view, including targets:
I think we saw on important Low at the time of the last conference call on March 5th. In my view the market is in the midst of (at least) a substantial Bear market rally, which will take it to the 76d.MA at approximately SPX-830 (SPY-83). From there, I expect a correction, and the shape of that correction may give us a clue as to whether it will go higher still. My most optimistic case (so far) is for a rally to resistance near SPX-1000, lasting out to July-August. If we see all that, then I would expect to be buying gold with my profits in August or so. None of this is guaranteed, and you must consider using stops, and be alert to sudden changes, which I hope will be signalled by volume and momentum.

+ Counter-opinions: (FishingwithJesse / Mar 16 2009, on DrBubb's dairy)
"The five day rally ended on Friday with a "hanging man" candlestick formation. Hanging men are bearish reversal patterns but I caution you that they require confirmation in the form of either a break-away gap down opening or a long red candlestick that closes below Friday's low of 742.46 on heavier volume. / Downside target remains 560-580 for the S&P."
(In favor of the above, the upside volume in SPY etc., has been less than I would like so far. - DrB)


PRECIOUS METALS
(Favorite chart : GLD at 3-16 ) ... GLD-update : GDX-to July'09


+ Bubb's view, including targets:
I think Gold can correct to GOLD-$850 (GLD-84) to fill the Gap down there. If gold jumps above Gold-$945 or so, I am probably wrong. If it drops from here, I expect Gold to be stuck in a trading range out to July-August.
+ Counter-opinions :
(I am looking for an up-to-date, and articulate counter-opinion. Please offer one, or suggest one.)

FX, COMMODITIES & OTHER
(Favorite chart : XLE ) ... XLE-update : OIH-to July'09 : WTI-3yrs : WTI-to-Gold


+ Bubb's view, including targets:
Oil keeps chopping along the bottom, while I await a breakout. I am hoping that stronger share prices will lift XLE, to the upside resistance level. From there, if we are very lucky, rising oil may help. OPEC's failure to cut production will put some downward's pressure on oil stocks into the week beginning March-13.
+ Counter-opinions :
(I am looking for an up-to-date, and articulate counter-opinion. Please offer one, or suggest one.)


CHARTS & LINKS
===========
Chart Links ..... : Oil charts, etchttp://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=5723 :
DrBubb's Diary : Most recent-March'09 : Feb'09 : Jan'09
Next Conf. Call : (Fri/Sat. March) : Next-3/20-3/21? : Podcast of Prior call-3/05
Non-US stocks. : HK-traded stocks : UK-traded stocks : CDNX/Canadian

Very good topic.

I have two dashboards for myself, with two different time frames and points of view.

One is longer term macro-economic and tries to help in seeing the longer term trend. Some of the stuff I have included in this one:

USD / FED:
+ True Money Supply (TMS)
+ Money at Zerom Maturity (MZM)
+ M1 Money stock (M1)
+ Fed monetary base adjusted for changes in reserve req (BOGAMBSL)
+ Total borrowing of depository institutions from the fed (TOTBORR)
+ Consumer price index for all urban consumers energy (CPIENGSL) and food (CPIUFDSL)

Other:
+ SGS Alternate CPI
+ Vix 6 mo
+ LIBOR, 3 mo USD
+ 30 Yr Constant maturity US Treasury yield
+ 30 Yr intgerest rate swap
+ T-Bill 6 mo
+ Corp Bond Ivestment grade yield

FX:
- EUR to USD, EUR to JPY, EUR to CHF 6

Commodities
+ Reuters CRB Index
+ Baltic Dry Index
+ Gold in USD, EUR & GBP
+ GOLD to oil
+ Oil futures

I take a look at that at least once a week, shorter time frame graphs once a day. Plotted time interval is 6 mo for most.

---

Then the shorter term indicators I use are very basic:

Indexes
- all the geographical major ones

FX
- major currencies / daily with technical indicators

Money Market
- major government bonds (6mo, 1-2 year, 10+ year)
- govt to corp bond spreads
- CDS spreads for major financial players and rotating list of "doom watch" (incl. Eastern Europe, some insurers, Danish/Swedish banks, California currently)

Other
+ gold, oil, silver, some agris

3rd party Technical/composite
1/VIX: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$ONE...id=p27617407357
CBOE put/call ratio: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24CPC
State of the market: http://marketsci.wordpress.com/state-of-the-market/
Moose Call: http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosecalls.html
Commitment of traders: http://emini-watch.com/
smart money vs dumb money: http://thetechnicaltakedotcom.blogspot.com/

I hope the above gives some ideas, although it is far from being an expert dashboard at your skill/trading level.

That's really excellent, Halcyon.
And your dashboards are much broader than mine.
Perhaps, I have an over-reliance on a few stock-oriented charts.
I would like to take a stab at creating a Longer Term board. can you help?

I am not so sure about this idea as some of the views expressed are your own and not the views of others on GEI. Maybe it should be called "DrBubbs Trades Dashboard". I know that GEI is your board, but I felt you were trying to build a community spirt on the site.

As I mentioned in a PM to you I don't think gold will be going to $850, I think we have just bounced off the bottom of the channel with the low of £898. There is a lot of other comment on GEI about that we are presently on our way to $1200 in the gold market. I have also noted today that James Turk has commented that the bottom is in.

As I have said in a PM, your idea is plausible, but here's why I dont think it will happen:

+ Gold's move up will not come in a straight line, and I believe it has become over-owned, and needs a correction of weeks or months
+ There was noticeably heavy selling off the possible $1,000 double top
+ Gold's seasonal pattern is to show a peak in March-May, and a pullback into July-August

If I am wrong about this, then Gold may soon break above $940-950, and I wont mind, since I still hold shares in many Gold juniosr (like CGLD), and those would be expected to run up, as Gold rallies.

I am not absolutely against Gold. In fact, I tossed in a BUY order on some RGLD calls last week as it dipped towrds expected support near $35, but my order did not fill. I reckon I will have anotehr chance soon, but I could be wrong. Time will tell.

I PICKED UP YOUR COMMENT, as a "counter opinion" on the Dash. I presume you will not mind

I am glad you have included the "counter opinion" on the dash and do not mind being included. It think it is good to show a balanced view of the opinions on GEI.

No problem.
That will be a function of the dashboard

Ok, here goes.

All the image links below are self-updating (when new data is released) and you can just copy the link and use it.

Unfortunately I cannot directly embed the images, because the forum software complains:



So, people have to click on the links to view the images. Not very dashboard-like, but one ban build a personal html home page out of them and that will work without complaints.

Long term / Monetary / Economic

TRUE Money Supply vs MZM vs M1 Money
http://www.mises.org/content/nofed/makegra...Make+Graph=make
This is from mises org. Google for definitions of the various measures of the money supply. Mish is a good source.

Req. Reserve Adj. FED Monetary Base vs Total Borrowing by Banks from FED
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/fredg...e%5D=2008-11-25

CPI Energy vs CPI Food
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/fredg...e%5D=2008-11-03

ShadowStats Alt-SGS Inflation
http://www.shadowstats.com/imgs/sgs-cpi.gif

Currency pairs 1 year (EUR/USD and EUR/JPY) plotted in this example
http://ichart.finance.yahoo.com/z?s=EURUSD...amp;a=v&p=s
These are daily snapshots. I don't do RT FX trading. I'm looking for longer term trends. One can choose whatever currency pairs and play with graphing. Take a look at:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GBPUSD=X&a...&c=GBPEUR=X

VIX 6 month
http://www.marketwatch.com/charts/int-basi...;rand=625098824

LIBOR, 3 month USD
http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools/getCh...amp;chpcon=true

Gold in EUR & USD (6 month)
http://www.kitconet.com/charts/metals/gold...us-6m-Large.gif

30 Yr Constant Maturity US Treasury
http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools/getCh...amp;chpcon=true

T-Bill, 6 month
http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools/getCh...amp;chpcon=true

Short Term Treasuries (1-4yrs maturity)
http://ichart.finance.yahoo.com/z?s=VFISX&...amp;p=&a=vm

Corporate Bond Inv. Grade (Lehman AGG)
http://chart.finance.yahoo.com/c/5y/a/agg

Reuters Commodity CRB Index
http://www.mrci.com/client/w-crb.gif

Baltic Dry Index / 1 year
http://www.irstockcharts.com/portals/shipp...&ticker=BDI

That's great, Halcyon.

Are you familiar with Advfn? Maybe I will put these dynamic charts on a thread there.
In any case, I intend to start a Long Term Dashboard thread for this in the GEI-N section.

You will find further comments there from me, once I have set it up.

== ==


New Thread (in GEIN section):
Dashboard - Updated regularly, Dr.Bubb's Trading Views
http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=6254

DrBubb, How about a "Technical indicator of the day". A brief explanation of say for example , how people use moving averages and which combination that you favour and why; as well as a counter view. Also, Williams %R , RSI and why 50 is such an important level, that kind of thing. Also, a good economic calendar of what announcements and government figures are being released that week and at what time. A good Dollar index chart would also be useful. I'll try and think of some more.

How about the US debt clock? There must be a linky for that. It would be interesting to see we can see how much more in the doo doo the USA is sinking into (not that yours truly in the UK has anything to shout about!) when browsing/posting on this site.

I wonder how much the debt has gone up whilst posting this?

Potatoe and Fishfinger,
These are both good ideas.
1/
The Debt Clock Link can go on the new Long Term Dashboard thread.
Do you have a link?
2/
Why not start a thread for a Daily chart? and maintain it, as long as you can.
I dont think my own time will permit that