Perhaps after the latest falls in the Brazil stock market, this country should be added to any watch list.
A stumble soon for Brazil's stock bulls? That might be a gift
7:38 PM, June 1, 2008
The iShares Brazil fund’s annual gains since 2002: 113% in '03, 31% in '04, 50% in '05, 40% in '06 and 72% in '07. Quite the mercado em alta (bull market in Portuguese).
Predictably, some analysts are turning gun-shy about Brazil, as this Bloomberg story details. A sharp drop in commodity prices could trigger heavy profit-taking in the country's stocks, including oil giant Petrobras. What's more, rising inflation is becoming worrisome in Brazil (as in much of the world), and may spur the nation's central bank to raise interest rates this week.
But long-term investors may well want to treat any pullback in Brazilian stocks as a gift. It's the trend that's important, and I think Brazil is a great example of the ongoing transfer of wealth and power from the developed world to the developing world.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/money_co/2...ld-joke-ab.htmlHuge offshore oil finds, a sugarcane ethanol boom, vast reserves of unused arable land, mineral wealth and abundant fresh water contribute to Brazilian buoyancy. But natural resources are only part of the story. As in China and India, an expanding internal market is bolstering growth. So is increasing corporate sophistication and global ambition.
At the annual National Forum, a gathering of business leaders, I felt like a first-world pipsqueak as leaders of the national energy company Petrobas (bigger than BP, Shell and Total) and Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, or CVRD (the world's second largest mining company), reeled off head-turning statistics.
Petrobras, which has spearheaded Brazil's push to self-sufficiency from heavy dependence on imported oil 30 years ago, will more than double oil production to 4.2 million barrels a day in 2015 from 1.9 million barrels today.
"With the latest discoveries, the South Atlantic will become a huge oil producer," predicted José Sergio Gabrielli de Azvedo, its chief executive.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/06/01/opinion/edcohen.php