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#201 Jake

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Posted 22 October 2010 - 06:11 AM

Has anyone had a chance to read the Asian Financial Forecast yet? I keep getting EWI 'oops error we are sorry...'
It sounds like an interesting edition for China/Japan watchers.
Anyone?
"We are reaping what has been sown over the last three decades of creating a grotesquely unequal society with an ethos of grab as much as you can by any means. A society of looters created by MPs and their expenses, bankers and their bonuses, tax-evading corporations, hacking journalists, bribe-taking police officers, and now a group of alienated kids are seizing their chance. This is not to condone but to understand." - John McDonnell MP


"Things got a bit out of hand & we'd had a few drinks. We smashed the place up and Boris set fire to the toilets."
David Cameron, 7th June 1986.

#202 Jake

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Posted 23 October 2010 - 06:58 AM

QUOTE (Jake @ Oct 22 2010, 06:11 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Has anyone had a chance to read the Asian Financial Forecast yet? I keep getting EWI 'oops error we are sorry...'
It sounds like an interesting edition for China/Japan watchers.
Anyone?

October AFF mayday mayday laugh.gif ... sad.gif
"We are reaping what has been sown over the last three decades of creating a grotesquely unequal society with an ethos of grab as much as you can by any means. A society of looters created by MPs and their expenses, bankers and their bonuses, tax-evading corporations, hacking journalists, bribe-taking police officers, and now a group of alienated kids are seizing their chance. This is not to condone but to understand." - John McDonnell MP


"Things got a bit out of hand & we'd had a few drinks. We smashed the place up and Boris set fire to the toilets."
David Cameron, 7th June 1986.

#203 DrBubb

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Posted 23 October 2010 - 12:58 PM

Video: The Versatility of the Wave Principle

Timeless Trading Lesson
In the video below, EWI senior analyst and trading instructor Jeffrey Kennedy shows how the Wave Principle can help you identify a high-probability trade set up regardless of the direction of the larger trend

Video : http://elliott.vo.ll...011906_Clip.flv

This timeless educational video was taken from Jeffrey's renowned Trader's Classroom series and is being re-released because of its valuable lesson. If a few minutes isn't enough

: Click : HERE

Also : Get more FREE practical trading lessons from Jeffrey Kennedy in his latest eBook.
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#204 DrBubb

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Posted 23 October 2010 - 01:30 PM

NEW BUTTON, linking to article on China versus Japan

....

Link: http://www.elliottwa...o-China-&-Japan


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#205 Jake

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Posted 23 October 2010 - 03:15 PM

I was thinking more of October 2010...which I cant get. I've read most of these others.
"We are reaping what has been sown over the last three decades of creating a grotesquely unequal society with an ethos of grab as much as you can by any means. A society of looters created by MPs and their expenses, bankers and their bonuses, tax-evading corporations, hacking journalists, bribe-taking police officers, and now a group of alienated kids are seizing their chance. This is not to condone but to understand." - John McDonnell MP


"Things got a bit out of hand & we'd had a few drinks. We smashed the place up and Boris set fire to the toilets."
David Cameron, 7th June 1986.

#206 DrBubb

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Posted 10 January 2011 - 02:06 PM

...

Link: http://www.elliottwa...p;acn=goldstock
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#207 Jake

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 12:43 PM

Bob's latest is a bit of a barn stormer. 2011 'should' see everything go down as sentiment in eveything peaks. The flip side of 2009.
"We are reaping what has been sown over the last three decades of creating a grotesquely unequal society with an ethos of grab as much as you can by any means. A society of looters created by MPs and their expenses, bankers and their bonuses, tax-evading corporations, hacking journalists, bribe-taking police officers, and now a group of alienated kids are seizing their chance. This is not to condone but to understand." - John McDonnell MP


"Things got a bit out of hand & we'd had a few drinks. We smashed the place up and Boris set fire to the toilets."
David Cameron, 7th June 1986.

#208 G0ldfinger

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Posted 02 February 2011 - 05:35 PM

Does someone wanna do an Elliott on this one? rolleyes.gif

http://gold.approxim...59/Oil_USD.html

http://gold.approxim...il_USD_LOG.html

You can't tax deflation.
“Currency Induced Cost-Push Hyperinflation” vs “Demand-Pull (non-hyper) Inflation.”
The "no income --> no inflation"-thesis is as wrong as the "price control --> inflation control"-thesis.
Don't TRADE gold! You might lose your shirt in the biggest bull run ever. That would be embarassing. © possibly by Swampy
Posted Image
Gold, silver, property, currencies, commodities charts.

#209 sarmat

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Posted 08 February 2011 - 06:22 AM



#210 PositiveDeviant

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Posted 08 February 2011 - 12:13 PM



I'm short EUR/USD right now. Is there any hope for me sarmat?!

"A man who is all caution, will never dare to take hold and be successful; and a man who is all boldness, is merely reckless, and must eventually fail. A man may go on "'change" and make fifty, or one hundred thousand dollars in speculating in stocks, at a single operation. But if he has simple boldness without caution, it is mere chance, and what he gains to-day he will lose to-morrow. You must have both the caution and the boldness, to insure success."
PT Barnum

"When I look back on all these worries, I remember the story of the old man who said on his deathbed that he had had a lot of trouble in his life, most of which had never happened."
Winston Churchill

"I am an old man and have known a great many troubles, but most of them never happened."
Mark Twain

"The ability to maintain discipline and stick to the rules is the hallmark of the experienced successful trader"
Curtis Faith

"The primary thing required to obtain what you want from life, is simply the will to pursue it, and the faith to believe it is possible."
Author Unknown

"Seek truth from facts"
Mao Zedong



MY BLOG

QWAS_zpsf57b1914.png


#211 DrBubb

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Posted 23 February 2011 - 10:55 AM

FREE BOOK : Prechter's classic !

: Free EW Principle Book

For the first time ever, Bob Prechter is releasing the online edition of Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior FREE to members of Club EWI. Until now, this popular resource was only available to subscribers of Elliott Wave International. Now your readers can access the full 248-page book, in addition to all the other great Club EWI reports and educational features, completely free.

Join Club EWI (for Free!) and get this classic guide to the Elliott Wave

Click here : Free EW Principle Book
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#212 DrBubb

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Posted 16 March 2011 - 09:36 AM

"Point of recognition" coming ?

Are we approaching the "point of recognition", namely the juncture which begins an explosive move up or down, as large numbers of market participants see the dominant trend for what it is?

Here are Bob Prechter's words, directly from this issue of The Theorist:

"Four such points within waves of Primary degree have occurred during my career, three on the upside and one on the downside. In three of those cases, I knew exactly where the market was in its development.... These were the points of maximum upside acceleration... and maximum downside acceleration."

He also says three of those four points were upside moves, while one of those "violent leaps" was to the downside. (If you can recall how the stock market plummeted in September/October of 2008 -- you're recalling a point of recognition.)

= = = = = = = = = = = =

Posted Image

Click here : GET FREE Elliott Wave Theorist

Bob Prechter's most recent Elliott Wave Theorist is now online, free!

This issue includes more of Prechter's experience than you'll ever read in a single issue -- all 30-plus years of it. What matters is that he uses his experience at a moment when it can do the most good, namely when investors are most vulnerable.

This is a unique opportunity for your viewers to see what Prechter's subscribers see ... and when they see it.
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#213 DrBubb

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Posted 07 September 2011 - 02:20 PM

Tony Caldaro's Objective Elliott Wave (OEW)

Over the years OEW analysis has led to some important projections in just the stock market alone. We projected the 1987 top and subsequent crash, then the 1987 low. The 1990 top, the 2000 top and the 2002 low. The Oct. 2007 top (in Jan08) and the Mar. 2009 low nearly to the day. Currently it certainly looks like the stock market topped again in May/July 2011.

OEW analysis can also be used to track other asset classes. In housing, OEW confirmed the current bear market in 2006. In bonds, OEW confirmed the current bull market in 2007. In the currency markets, OEW projected a strong rally in the USD in early 2008 after a three year decline. Then a resumption of its choppy bear market in 2009 and 2010. We are now bearish on several foreign currencies. In early 2009 OEW projected a resumption of the ongoing 13 year bull market in commodities. This included the powerful 13 year bull markets in both Gold and Silver. OEW can be used to track any asset class, including stocks, providing there is sufficient historical data.


/more: http://caldaro.wordp...ew-tutoring-54/
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#214 DrBubb

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Posted 29 September 2011 - 01:32 AM

(From EWI):

The stock market's had some tremendous drops and some amazing rallies over the past weeks. Before you get too comfortable that the bull is back, be sure to read our latest Featured Article: Did the Past 7 Weeks of Rally Lull You to Sleep? The chart alone speaks volumes!

This article promotes our newest report, Stocks: -- Buying Opportunity or Another "Free Fall" Ahead?, which includes excerpts from Bob Prechter's August and September Theorists.

LINK: http://gainesville.e...2779/234764/10/
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#215 PositiveDeviant

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Posted 26 October 2011 - 05:24 AM

Prechter interviewed by Douglas Lodmell - "The Mind of Money"


"A man who is all caution, will never dare to take hold and be successful; and a man who is all boldness, is merely reckless, and must eventually fail. A man may go on "'change" and make fifty, or one hundred thousand dollars in speculating in stocks, at a single operation. But if he has simple boldness without caution, it is mere chance, and what he gains to-day he will lose to-morrow. You must have both the caution and the boldness, to insure success."
PT Barnum

"When I look back on all these worries, I remember the story of the old man who said on his deathbed that he had had a lot of trouble in his life, most of which had never happened."
Winston Churchill

"I am an old man and have known a great many troubles, but most of them never happened."
Mark Twain

"The ability to maintain discipline and stick to the rules is the hallmark of the experienced successful trader"
Curtis Faith

"The primary thing required to obtain what you want from life, is simply the will to pursue it, and the faith to believe it is possible."
Author Unknown

"Seek truth from facts"
Mao Zedong



MY BLOG

QWAS_zpsf57b1914.png


#216 DrBubb

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Posted 11 November 2011 - 08:22 AM

Is it 1973 all over again?
Commentary: Scary scenario, but not everyone is buying

By Peter Brimelow, MarketWatch
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Wednesday’s bad break has the bears bugalooing. But one judicious bull is standing firm.

A really scary comment from Elliott Wave Theorist’s Bob Prechter: “In my judgment, the situation is very like that of 1973. …The market has been in a two-year bear market rally, per our interpretation of the Elliott Wave model; and a broad bullish consensus had developed on stocks, recalling January 1973’s ‘Not A Bear Among Them’ headline from Barron’s.”

“In 1973, the stock market topped in January and was weak into August; then it rallied hard right through September and October, statistically the two most bearish months of the year. It was a convincing rally and optimism returned. That rally ended on Oct. 31, leaving the ‘bear months’ in the dust. But instead of continuing higher, the market turned lower, and in just a month plunged below its August low. November is usually a benign month, but that year it wasn’t…”

Prechter was quick to add: “None of this PROVES anything. Today’s huge intraday TICK and TRIN [two technical indicators] numbers, in fact, would usually be associated with a near-term bottom, so there is plenty of room for uncertainty. But the main exception to that tendency occurs at the kickoffs of major declines, and that’s how the waves seem to be positioned.”

A whole generation of investors has grown up thinking Prechter has always been bearish. But this has not always been so, and anyway the Crash of 2008 (after which his letters were briefly bullish) nearly got him onside. ( See Oct. 13 column. )

Dennis Slothower of Stealth Stock Daily Alert, who also dodged the Crash of 2008, isn’t always bearish either. But bearishness has worked for him this year. ( See Oct. 6 column. ).

He said flatly last night: “Given the horrible developments in Europe and the chaos we are likely to see in the next few weeks as details emerge from the ‘Super Committee,’ it would not surprise me to see a 50% or 61.8% retracement off the October rally, which would be another 4%-6% drop from here.”

Slothower is currently 100% in cash.

/more: http://www.marketwat...nvestinginsight
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#217 DrBubb

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Posted 13 June 2012 - 06:05 AM

Posted Image : FREE report

The Smell of Fear: Detecting the Dow's Scent
Stocks typically fall faster than they rise

June 12, 2012
By Elliott Wave International
Rising stock prices vs. investor fear: When one is present, the other is usually absent.

Yet the two were actually in each other's company around the time of the most recent high in the Dow Industrials (May 1):

This week the Dow carried to a new recovery high without generating a corresponding new low in the VIX. This suggests a sudden hesitancy compared with the all-out, risk-on stance registered by the VIX's behavior in March. The NASDAQ's non-confirmation against the Dow's new high also suggests a sudden reticence to ramp up portfolio risk. Last year, EWFF used a similar hiccup in the VIX to help identify the May 2011 high. With the Dow at or near the end of its rally, the odds favor a similar outcome now.

Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, May 3, 2012

The accompanying chart from that issue (wave labels removed - see top of thread):

When the markets were still going up at the beginning of 2012, were you warned that they would soon go down?

Read the full May issue of the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast FREE for a limited time (a $29 value)

No one should invest a dime in U.S. or European markets until they read this 10-page report at least 3 times. Get up to speed and ahead of the markets now. Read the May 2012 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast from Elliott Wave International and get the complete big-picture forecast for U.S. and Europe -- financially, economically and socially.

Download your free 10-page report now >> LINK
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#218 DrBubb

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Posted 10 September 2012 - 12:11 AM

TOP Elliott Wave analysts (take it with a grain of salt):

http://www.wavegeniu...tesradio-shows/

(where do you think he puts himself?)
== ==

Here's another:

Topping Out Very Soon
by Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net
Wed Sep 5th 2012 (before Thursday's big rally)

With the ES providing nothing less than a veritable mess, I will be defaulting to the IWM for a bit more clarity at this time. As you can see from the attached chart on the IWM, we need one more small push up to complete a b-wave within a wave iv, which will then lead to a decline towards the 80 region to complete a c-wave for this wave iv. This would set up one further rally to new highs to complete the entire larger (B) wave of the yellow b-wave off the June lows.

Posted Image

Alternatively, this top can be considered the top of the wave v of the (B) wave, which would mean that the 80 level will not likely hold as support. However, since we do not yet have a higher high for a 5th wave in the ES, this leads me to believe that the primary pattern still has us within a 4th wave and the top which we will most likely hit tomorrow is just a b-wave in a larger 4th wave.

/more: https://www.elliottw...0905224637.html
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#219 webmaster

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Posted 02 November 2012 - 08:29 AM

Posted Image

Elliotwave has a new report - and it is about oil

Get IT! : a 24-page FREE report
=====

If OIL IS GOING DOWN... Will Gold Drop too ??

#220 DrBubb

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Posted 18 November 2012 - 09:04 AM

Tony Caldaro's E-Wave counts

Tony C, has two counts, but prefers the Bullish one:

Despite the markets seemingly relentless decline since the Election, this correction continues to look quite normal for this stage of the wave structure. It has declined somewhat more than we recently expected as the SPX hit, our worse case support scenario, SPX 1345/46 on friday.

On wednesday we raised the probability for our alternate bearish count from 20% to 30%. Remaining objective we would like to review both of these bullish and bearish counts, as the market has reached another inflection point. They seem to occur every year now.
/more: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/

Bullish
Posted Image

Bearish
Posted Image

TonyC:

MEDIUM TERM: downtrend hits SPX 1343
The current downtrend, we have been labeling Intermediate wave ii, has now declined 8.9% from the bull market high of SPX 1475. Previous Int. wave ii corrections, during this bull market, have declined between 9.1% and 10.4%. This also happens to be the mean range for all corrections during this bull market.
Currently we have a rare ‘quite’ oversold condition on the weekly chart with an MACD still above the bullish neutral. The daily chart is displaying a near ‘extreme’ oversold condition, and the hourly chart is displaying a positive divergence. These technical readings have been signs of an pending downtrend low during this bull market.
The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix




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