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DrBubb's Diary - Aug. 2017 Trading - v.103


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#1 DrBubb

DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 09:35 AM

Dr.B's Trading Diary : 2017.    The Diary's 103th Month : Peak watch?

cWtz2j0.jpg //  Will stocks Top out in August ? //

An August event - we know for sure, that THIS is coming Aug,21st - see post# xx

 

================

 

 DrBubb's Diary - Aug. 2017 Trading - v.103

 

================

The Fed's Racetrack: Gold (GLD) vs Stocks (SPY) .. update :vs.CRB : GLD-hr : SPY-hr : GLD/SPYratio / sjw : 2 :

hhoa2jx.gif

 

 

The Fed's money-printing has maintained confidence in markets - but the money has gone not only into stocks, but also into other areas. For many months, money flowed into commodities like Gold, pushing prices higher even faster than stocks, as the chart above shows. But since Gold's peak in Aug.2011, stocks have outperformed gold. Since then, these two assets have tended to trade counter-cyclically to each other.

 

Ratio: SPX-to-GLD - there's resistance at 200% X

liakXlz.png

 

Date----- : - SPY-  : - GLD- : Ratio : Comment------------
12-29-08 : $86.91 : $86.35 : 1.006 : Chart period begins
09-06-11 : 116.99 : 182.90 : 0.640 : near Gold peak (of $1800
12-02-15 : 208.53 : 100.69 : 2.071 : near Gold low (of $1045.40; GLD: 100.23)
02-11-16 : 182.86 : 119.05 : 1.535 : near SPX low (of $1810.10; SPY: 181.09)
06-30-17 : 241.80 : 118.02 : 2.049 : Latest: may retest R-2.07+ and rollover
=======
Notes: R-0.64 at Gold peak x 1.618= 1.035 / x 1.618 x2 = 2.070 Target for Ratio & SPY peak?

 

"US Stocks-in-Euros" ... SPX-to-FXE or SPY-to-FXE Ratio ... update

eagBsfa.png

 

This Ratio - SPX to Euros seems to move in a nice clear channel

 

DrBubb's "Early Warning System"

Leading Ratio ... LQD:TLT-Weekly-3yrs : TLT-vsLQD : Copper : HG price : CU price : SPY-10/11 : SMH-6mos

 

I reckon that the LQD-to-TLT ratio should move in harmony with stocks, or maybe LEAD stock moves. If they are moving in different directions, then one should be cautious.  (However, the value of this indicator has become suspect in recent years, after giving some false warnings.)
=====
Bullish Percentages :
BPNYA- : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
BPGDM : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
NASIT - : NAMOT : Summation Indices

"Big Three" Charts (SPY, GLD, DXY) ... 10d-Intraday : 6mos-D : 2yrs-D : 5yrs-D // CUvsGLDvsCRB

aBob45X.gif

 

 

RECORD : CU may lead GLD and SPY lower
======

US Fed'l Debt // Formula:  (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100

 

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
end07: $09.23 > 0,722 : 072.2 : $082.46 : $146.21 : -63.75: 56.398% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 17.05: ==== : $ 32.99 :
end08: $10.70 > 0,897 : 089.7 : $086.52 : $090.24 : -$3.72: 95.878% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 29.09: ==== : $ 26.18 :
end09: $12.31 > 1,089 : 108.9 : $107.31 : $111.44 : -$4.13: 96.294% : $30.0e: XX.X% :: $ 42.26: ==== : $ 26.44 :
end10: $14.03 > 1,294: 129.4 : $138.74 : $125.75 : $12.99: 110.34% : $43.71: 31.51%: $ 43.09: $0.62: $ 32.35 : $ 00.29 :
end11: $15.22 > 1,435: 138.0 : $151.99 : $125.50 : $26.49: 121.11% : $29.29: 19.27%: $ 34.87: - 5.58: $ 28.88 : $ 04.60 :
end12: $16.43 > 1,570: 151.0 : $162.02 : $142.41 : $19.61: 113.77% : $30.34: 18.73%: $ 40.45:-10.11: $ 27.95 : $ 13.48 :
end13: $17.35 > 1,689: 162.4 : $116.12 : $184.69 : -68.57 : 062.87% : $22.27: 19.18%: $ 38.37:-16.10: $ 24.25 :$815.00 :
end14: $18.14 > 1,783 : 171.4 : $113.58 : $205.54 : -98.04 : 55.26% :: $18.09: 15.93%: $ 41.62:-23.53: $ 24.89 :$316.20 :
end15: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.46 : $203.87 :-102.41: 49.77% :: 2.135 : 2.140%: $ 35.29:-00.00: $ 20.61: $433.50 :
end16

(2016)
01/29: $19.01 > 1,886 : 180.0 : $108.05 : $193.65 : - $85.60: 55.80% :: 2.060 : 1.907% $ 31.20:-00.00: $ 19.99: $375.00 :
02/29: $19.13 > 1,900 : 181.3 : $118.64 : $193.56 : - $74.98: 61.29% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 30.00: -00.00: $ 20.00: $434.00 :
03/31: $19.26 > 1,916 : 182.8 : $117.64 : $205.52 : - $87.88: 57.24% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.77: -13.17: $ 20.60: $415.00 :
04/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $123.65 : $206.33 : - $82.68: 59.93% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.53: -12.45: $ 21.08: $4 ??.00 :
05/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $116.06 : $209.84 : - $93.78: 55.31% :: 2.080 : 1.792% $ 33.65: -12.34: $ 21.31: $526.10 :

06/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $126.47 : $209.48 : - $83.01: 60.37% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
07/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $128.98 : $217.12 : - $88.14: 59.40% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
08/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $124.78 : $217.38 : - $92.60: 57.40% :: 2.080 : 1.667% $ 37.08: -16.85: $ 20.23: $570.00 :

=====
ye'16 : $20.0E > 1,8 xx : 18x.x :
 

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
======
"GOLD Formula" is : (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 : US Govt Debt :: http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

The FED must be pleased with the way that money has flowed into stocks, away from Gold. / notes : a b cox cvn


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#2 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 09:49 AM

DAILY MONITOR

Month: -SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY-- -Chg- : --TLT-: Chg : Posts/Views cum'l
03-31: 206.43 - 1.82: 127.M: 15.29 : 18.24 - 0.23: 113.66 - 0.09: 4.38M: 1,185.5 $47.49* 98.406 +0.432: 130.69 +0.28: 00: 000/ 000: 2800
06-30: 205.85 +0.43: 155.M: 18.23 : 17.76 - 0.14: 112.31 - 0.70: 7.54M: 1,172.1 $59.09* 95.516 +0.541: 117.46 -0.82 : 11, 118/ 086, 1887
09-30: 192.13 +0.50: 142.M: 24.50 : 13.74 +0.33: 106.86 - 1.12: 7.19M: 1,114.5 $45.34* 96.282 +0.384 : 123.54 - 0.43: 04: 133/ 104, 2853
12-31: 203.87 - 2.06: 91.2M: 18.21 : 13.72 +0.06: 101.46 +0.04 : 3.81M: 1060.5 $37.07* 98.693 +0.413: 120.58 +0.54 : 02, 086/ 051, 1,913

2016
01-29: 193.72 +4.61: 182.M: 20.20 : 14.21 +0.35: 106.95 +0.41 : 7.92M: 1118.4 $33.74* 99.531 +0.950 : 127.30 +1.07 :

02-29: 193.56 - 1.53: 109.M: 20.55 : 19.38 +0.69: 118.64 +1.53 : 11.5M: 1239.3 $33.90* 98.150 - 0.030 : 130.98 +0.57 : 00, 075/ 000 , 2,143
03-31: 205.52 - 0.50 : 79.4M: 13.95 : 19.97 - 0.26: 117.64 +0.54 : 9.17M: 1233.9 $38.11* 94.630 -0.0.99 : 130.61 +0.92 : 01 ,094/ 055 , 2,950
04-29: 206.33 - 1.11 : 124.M: 15.70 : 25.83 +1.55: 123.65 +2.36 : 18.2M: 1294.9 $45.90* 93.018 - 0.448 : 129.38 +0.33 : 0?, 060/ ???  , 2800
05-31: 209.84 - 0.40 : 88.7M: 14.19 : 22.58 +0.30: 116.06 +0.44 : 8.06M: 1217.5 $48.83* 95.861 +0.161 : 130.16 +0.31 : 0?, 088/ ???  , 2651
06-30: 209.48 +2.82 : 143.M: 15.63 : 27.71 +0.56: 126.47 +0.63 : 15.1M: 1324.7 $48.40* 95.809 +0.046 : 138.90 +0.51 : 0?, 055/ ???  , 1941
07-29: 217.12 +0.35 : 70.1M: 11.87 : 30.59 +0.84: 128.98 +1.32 : 12.9M: 1357.9 $41.60* 95.517 - 1.044 : 141.56 +1.17 : 0?, 064/ ???  , 2781

08-31: 217.38 - 0.62 : 71.9M: 13.42 : 25.42 -0.42 : 124.78 -0.25 : 13.2M: 1311.4 $44.70* 95.985 - 0.050 : 139.87 +0.20 : 03, 067/  237 , 5200

09-30: 216.30 +1.62 : 98.7M: 13.29 : 26.43 - 0.26: 125.64 - 0.43: 10.8M: 1317.1 : $48.24* $95.42 - 0.10 : 137.51 - 1.24 / 04, 096 : 412 , 5556

10-31: 212.55 +0.01 : 55.9M: 17.06 : 24.52 +0.71: 121.94 +0.36:  7.09M: 1273.1 : $46.86* $98.44 +0.10 : 131.25 +0.80 / 10, 094 : 620 , 5200
11-30: 220.38 - 0.53: 92.0M: 13.33 : 20.83 - 0.40 : 111.75 - 1.52: 10.9M: 1173.9 : $49.44* 101.54 + 0.59 : 120.24 - 1.98 / 02, 107 : 311 , 5561
12-30: 223.53 - 0.82: 86.9M: 14.04 : 20.92 - 0.83: 109.61 - 0.68: 8.79M: 1151.7 : $53.72* 102.38  - 0.27 : 119.13 + 0.18 / 03, 096: 360 , 4840

2017
01-31: 227.53 - 0.02  00.0M: 12.09 : 23.93 +0.78: 115.55 + 1.68: 0.00M: 1211.8 : $52.80* $99.74  - 0.62 : 119.84  +0.57 / 08 120: 4554, 10,254

02-28: 236.47 - 0.64 69.6M: 12.92 : 22.85 +0.01: 119.23 +0.11 8.29M: 1253.9 : $54.01* 101.48 +0.32 : 121.74 +0.45/ 07, 083; 216. 3,741

03-31: 235.74 - 0.55 56.2M: 12.37 : 22.81 +0.26: 118.72 +0.25 8.14M: 1251.2 : $50.60* 100.22 - 0.07 : 120.71 +0.35/ 05, 115 : 210, 5,967

04-28: 238.08 - 0.52 50.4M: 10.82 : 22.23 +0.42: 120.77 +0.38 8.86M: 1268.3 : $49.33* $99.04 - 0.15 : 122.35 +0.27/ 04, 90 : 530, 7,267

05-31: 241.44 - 0.06 00.0M: 10.41 : 22.69 +0.10: 120.62 +0.48 0.00M: 1264.8: $48.32* $97.21 +0.00 : 124.14 +0.05/ 00, 106 : 600, 6,542

06-30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13: 118.02 - 0.30 6.79M: 1242.3: $46.04* $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/

====
 

---: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l:

June

29: 241.35 - 2.14 98.8M: 11.44 : 21.95 - 0.48 : 118.32 - 0.58 7.62M: 1245.8 $44.93: $95.55 - 0.46 : 125.41 - 1.06/ 02, 091 : 237, 4297

30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13 : 118.02 - 0.30 6.79M: 1242.3 $46.04: $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/

July
03: 242.21 +0.41 35.0M: 11.22 : 21.48 - 0.60 : 116.09 - 1.93 11.7M: 1219.2 $47.07: $96.15 +0.51 : 124.46 - 0.40/ 00, 023 : 000, 0,250
HH
05: 242.77 +0.56 48.4M: 11.07 : 21.76 +0.28 : 116.52 +0.43 7.01M: 1221.7 $45.13: $96.27 +0.12 : 124.49 +0.03/ 09, 032 : 000, 0,550
06: 240.54 -2.23 00.0M: 13.54 : 21.49 - 0.27 : 116.47 - 0.05 00.0M: 1223.3 $45.52: 95.57 - 0.70 : 123.46 - 1.03/
07: 242.11 +1.57 45.7M: 11.19 : 21.21 - 0.28 : 115.28 - 1.19 10.8M: 1209.7 $44.23: 95.79 +0.22 : 122.72 - 0.74/ 00, 036 : 000, 0,800

#

10: 242.35
11: 242.19 +0.00 00.0M: 10.30 : 21.64 +0.00 : 115.62 +0.00 0.00M: 1214.7 $45.40: $95.42 +0.00 : 123.10 +0.00/
12: 244.01 +1.82 47.4M: 10.27 : 21.74 +0.10 : 116.03 +0.41 4.54M: 1219.1 $45.49: $95.51 +0.09 : 123.96 +0.86/

13: 244.42 +0.41 34.1M: 9.90% : 21.50 - 0.24 : 115.82 - 0.21 4.02M: 1217.3 $46.08 : $95.73 +0.14 : 123.18 - 0.78/ 03, 047 : 150, 1550
14: 245.56 +1.14 48.9M: 9.51% : 21.80 +0.30 : 116.77 +0.95 5.29M: 1227.5 $46.54 : $95.11 - 0.62 : 123.33 +0.15/ 02, 049 : 110, 1660

#
17: 245.53 - 0.03 00.0M: 9.82% : 21.98 +0.18 : 117.93 +0.16 0.00M: 1233.7 $46.02 : $94.68 - 0.43 : 123.67 +0.34/
18: 245.66 +0.13 37.4M: 9.89% : 22.14 +0.16 : 118.11 +0.82 6.99M: 1241.9 $46.59 : $94.77 +0.09 : 124.75 +1.08/ 00, 058 : 000, 2020

19: 246.99 +1.33 43.0M: 9.79% : 22.18 +0.04 : 118.08 - 0.03 3.11M: 1242.0 $47.32 : $94.75 - 0.02 : 124.80 +0.05/ 02, 060 : 190. 2210

20: 247.10 +0.11 00.0M: 9.58% : 22.32 +0.14 : 118.24 +0.16 0.00M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $94.24 - 0.51 : 125.13 +0.23/
21: 246.88 - 0.22 86.4M: 9.36% : 22.41 +0.09 : 119.26 +1.02 9.93M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $93.97 - 0.27 : 125.69 +0.53/ 00, 066 : 000, 2460

#

24: 246.82 - 0.06 00.0M: 9.43% : 22.06 - 0.35 : 119.31 +0.05 0.00M: 1253.3 $46.44 : $93.85 - 0.12 : 125.20 - 0.49/

25: 247.42 +0.60 49.6M: 9.43% : 22.27 +0.21 : 118.92 - 0.39 6.15M: 1252.1 $47.78 : $94.08 +0.23 : 123.57 - 1.63/ 00, 073 : 000, 3350
26: 247.43 +0.01 00.0M: 9.50% : 22.84 +0.57 : 119.88 +0.96 0.00M: 1249.4 $48.73 : $93.91 - 0.17 : 123.77 +0.20/
27: 247.20 - 0.23 65.0M: 10.11 : 22.57 - 0.27 : 119.79 - 0.09 6.31M: 1260.0 $49.04 : $93.93 +0.02 : 123.16 - 0.61/ 00, 075 : 000, 3600

28: 246.91 - 0.29 41.3M: 10.29 : 22.91 +0.34 : 120.69 +0.90 6.64M: 1275.3 $49.75 : $93.33 - 0.60 : 123.89 +0.73/ 00, 084 : 000, 4000

#

31: 246.77 - 0.14 42.9M: 10.25 : 22.86 - 0.05 : 120.75 +0.06 3.82M: 1273.8 $50.17 : $92.90 - 0.43 : 124.04 +0.15/ 00, 094 : 000, 4,570

01: 247.32 +0.55 40.5M: 10.04 : 22.83 - 0.03 : 120.65 - 0.10 7.03M: 1279.4 $49.16 : $92.93 - 0.03 : 124.64 +0.60/ 12, 012 : 100, 0,100

02: 247.44 +0.12 40.6M: 10.28 : 22.77 - 0.06 : 120.40 - 0.25 5.82M: 1278.4 $49.59 : $92.98 +0.05 : 124.71 +0.07/ 02, 014 : 105, 0,205
03: 246.96 - 0.48 35.6M: 10.44 : 22.70 - 0.07 : 120.59 +0.19 4.19M: 1274.4 $49.03 : $92.80 +0.01 : 126.00 +1.29/ 06, 020 : 180, 0,385
04: 247.41 +0.45 48.1M: 10.03 : 22.32 - 0.38 : 119.65 - 0.94 8.31M: 1264.6 $49.58 : $93.49 +0.70 : 124.93 - 1.07/ 05, 025 : 117, 0,502

#
07: 247.87 +0.46 26.9M: 9.93% : 22.20 - 0.12 : 119.51 - 0.14 2.93M: 1264.7 $49.39 : $93.28 - 0.21 : 125.07 +0.14/ 00, 036 : 000, 0920
08: 247.26 - 0.61 52.5M: 10.96 : 22.25 + 0.05 : 119.86 +0.35 6.75M: 1262.8 $49.17 : $93.67 +0.39 : 124.62 - 0.45/ 08, 044 : 197, 1,117
09: 247.25 - 0.01 00.0M: 11.01 : 22.60 +0.35 : 121.31 +1.45 0.00M: 1279.3 $49.56 : $93.41 - 0.26 : 125.30 +0.68/ 03, 047 : 153, 1,270
10: 243.76 - 3.49 105.M: 16.04 : 23.08 +0.48 : 122.21 +0.90 9.41M: 1290.1 $48.59 : $93.42 +0.01 : 126.37 +1.07/ 04, 051 : 120, 1,390

11: 244.12 +0.36 65.0M: 15.51 : 23.15 +0.07 : 122.79 +0.58 7.58M: 1294.0 $48.82 : $93.10 - 0.32 : 126.43 +0.06/ 03, 054 : 119, 1509
#

14:
15: 246.51 +0.00 00.0M: 12.04 : 22.55 +0.00 : 120.98 +0.00 0.00M: 1279.7 $47.55 : $93.47 - 0.00 : 125.24 +0.00/
16: 246.94 +0.43 50.3M: 11.74 : 23.08 +0.52 : 121.87 +0.89 7.85M: 1282.9 $46.79 : $93.32 - 0.15 : 125.71 +0.46/ 00, 062 : 000, 2050

17: 243.09 - 3.85 115.M: 15.55 : 23.03 - 0.05 : 122.49 +0.62 8.08M: 1292.4 $47.08 : $93.60 +0.28 : 126.65 +0.94/ 02, 064 : 150, 2200


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#3 DrBubb

DrBubb

    Tri-Millennium Guru

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 09:50 AM

Long Term Charts updated from time-to-time, to at least: June 30, 2017

 

IWM / etf for Russell-2000 - to 12/31/16 : $134.85, 2016 range: $93.64 to 138.82 : +48.25% - beta 1.845

... All : 10-yrs : 12mos // SPY ... : To-End-2015last-12mos

Eum0OSz.gif

 


EIGHT KEY CHARTS 
=================

- Watch for the 76d-MA (blue) Crossing the 987d-MA (yellow), or

- The 52wk MA crossing the 330wk-MA -on Weekly chart

Updates: (updated at end Dec. 2016) - some updates still needed
=====

SPY / S&P500 etf - (UP) ...SPY: to 12/31/16 : $223.53, 2016 range: 181.02 to 228.34 : +26.14% - beta 1.00

 Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but may be rolling over soon

91oi1Lu.gif

.
TLT / T-Bonds etf - (DOWN) ... TLT: to 12/31/16 : $119.13, 2016 range: 116.80 to 143.62 : +22.96% - beta 87.8%

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Made an important Peak in 2016 (?) identified in prior chart here !

YbGrp0M.gif

.
UUP / USDollar x2 etf - (Peaking?) ... to 12/31/16 : $26.46, 2016 range: $23.96 to $26.77 : +11.73% - beta 44.9%

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but looking very tired

we0MnPN.gif

.
USO / Oil etf - (Battling DOWNtrend) ... to 12/31/16 : $11.72, 2016 range: $07.67 to $12.45 : +62.32% - beta 2.38

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : 10yrL :  Price is battling that old Downtrend

3KjXXv8.gif

.
XLE / Oil stocks - (Fighting back UP... to 12/31/16 : $75.32, 2016 range: $49.93 to $78.45 : +57.11% - beta 2.185

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is DOWN, reversing?

Old-trend-was-accelerating ... as the uptrend ended

6jhe9mD.gif

.
OIH / Oil service - (Fight DOWNtrend) ... $11.72, 2016 range: $07.67 to $12.45 : +62.32% - beta 2.38

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Major Bottom in place?

y8duvmx.gif

.
GLD / Gold etf - (Reversing Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : 109.61, 2016 range: 102.49 to 131.15 : +27.96% - beta 1.07

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversing to Up?

g5HatzJ.gif

.
GDX / Gold stocks - (Breaking Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : $20.92, 2016 range: $12.40 to $31.79 : +156.4% - beta 5.98

GDX  ... All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversed to Up in 2016 maybe?

Yxg6cVX.gif

.

HUI Chart - price data goes back further ... 12/31/16 : 182.31, 2016 range: $99.19 to 286.05 : +199.4% - beta 7.64

All-data-update :

qov4i26.gif

.

China's Shanghai index last bounced of a support level near 2,600
ShComp 12/31/16 : 3103.6, 2016 range: 2638.3 to 3538.7 : +34.12% - beta 1.305

CN : SHcomp ... All-Log : All-Data

joDAcWU.gif

 

 

===== Links to other CHARTS =====

10yrs : SLV : GDXJ : / log : AGQ : PSLV : UGL : ??

PHM +, GDXJ -, RGLD -, HK:HSI +, HK:12 -new, 

=====

 


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#4 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 09:51 AM

Gold's 4-6 months Cycle:

 

The next cycle Low is due any day now /or overdue - and may have come already in early May.

 

GLD: update: end-may: $116.06 +0.44/ UK:GBS: $115.50/ HK-2840: $ 898.5 /7.76= $115.80 : HK-3081: $29.35 r-30.61

GLD.gif : ImgHst.co

 

The longer history of the cycles looked like this: 2013-15 :

 

: Low, Dec.15th,2016: 1129.8 / $103.04 = 10.96 / intraday: 1123/$103= 10.90
Gold-toUSD_zp.png

 

Look what happened after that Dec.2015 Low - a Nice Rally !   And then once again after a Dec. 2016 Low:Gold-toUSD.png

 

In April'17, I said: The Rally "may be petering out in April, and Gold (gold shares and silver), turned lower with bonds."

I anticipated this - and went short, selling Gold positions, and buying puts on TMF, a 3X etf linked to Bond prices.

But this anticipated cyclical low (May/June) either came early, or is coming late - It does not look as distinct (yet!) as prior lows.

So I am relunctant to bet on the Low and Buy at this stage.

 

TMF - this chart was from mid-April

"Rising interest rates, may turnaround the falling dollar, and "put the Kabash" on the rise in Gold..."

These prices tend to move together : TMF, GDX, UGLD, SLV : Bonds, Gold stocks, Gold, and Silver.

And they have been moving in a shared 4-6 months cycle - but this latest dip in Gold has not been accompanied by TMF until this week

 

TMF... 2-yrs : 5-yrs : 6-mos / 10-d :

7nuMzVn.gif

:

TMF HAS finally dropped - & with it Bonds, Gold, Gold shares, silver...

TMY is approximately about 9% lower, over just four days

TMF-10d ... update

 : TMF at $20.00 and Looking for a cyclical Low possibly,  Since the Gold low is due, or overdue.

TMF-10d.gif : ImgHst.co

 

But the other prices have fallen less.  And there is some possibility these prices are beginning to decouple.


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#5 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 09:52 AM

BRADLEY Model : 
TURN dates
2015 : May 10, May 25, June 8, Sept. 23, Oct. 17
2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29
2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, -Jan.4, +Jan.17
====

SPY... 2015-2017: Dec.31, 2016: $223.53 / May.01, 2017: $ 238.77 +$15.24 : + 6.82% on the Year

2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29

2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, / -Jan.4, +Jan.17

2017-SPY.gif : IMGHST.co

 

Model for 2017: 2016 : 2015 :
SP_500_Bradley_Siderograph.png
===

 

Bonds peaked first in 2015, then the Dollar, then stocks... In early July (when the Bradley model peaked), TLT hit new highs.

TLT... 2015-2017 : Dec.31, 2016: $119.13 / Mar.01, 2017: $119.47 : + $0.34 : + 0.29% on the Year

 

2017-TLT.gif : IMGHST.co

 

USD trade-weighted:

DXY ... 2015-2017DXY-all-data : 10d : Dec.31, 2016: $102.36 / Mar.01, 2017: $101.77 : - $0.59 : - 0.57% on the Year2017-DXY.gif : IMGHST.co

 

 

OTHER Indices : USO : GLD : GDX : PHM : IYR : UGLD-vsGDX : : IMGHST.co2017-UGLDetc.gif : IMGHST.co


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#6 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 09:52 AM

Relative Valuations : Resistance at 200% - Not so futile !?

 

SPX -toGold Ratio seems to pull back when it hits 2.0 -

"May happen again soon," I said in early May, and it pulled back from 1.977 !

 

SPX-toGold.png: imghst.co

 

SPX -toTLT / Bonds floating at high level (on cheap money) - may have put in an RS / Right Shoulder

SPX-toTLT.png : imghst.co

 

TMF (2x bonds) vs. UGLD, GDX, SLV ... 5-years

TMF-5yrs_zpsplkfpjvp.gif


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#7 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 09:54 AM

STOCKS are very near a Logical Peak

 

In July, U said: "Stocks are... approaching my 'Ideal' Targets"

 

They may have peaked already - as some like Tony Caldaro have suggested.

But ideal looking targets are just ahead :

+ SPX : 2500

+ IWM : $144

 

IWM.png: imghst


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#8 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 10:14 AM

ODDLY, Gold holdings by SPDR are on the decline,

even as Gold prices (& Gold shares) are rising

 

Price: (YrE'15): (07/01): (YrE'16)/ (01/27): (02/24) (03/31): (04/28)  (05/26) : (06/02) (06/30) : (07/07) (07/14) : (07/21) : (07/28) :
Gold : 1060.5 : 1344.9 : 1151.7 / 1188.4 : 1258.3 : 1251.2 : 1268.3 : 1268.1 : 1280.2 : 1242.3 : 1209.7 : 1227.5 : 1254.9 : 1275.3 :
GLD : 101.46 : 128.41 : 109.61 / 113.49 : 119.70 : 118.72 : 120.77 : 120.54 : 121.61 : 118.20 : 115.28 : 116.77 : 119.26 : 120.69 :
GDX : $13.72 : $29.05 : $20.95 / $23.22 : $24.13 : $22.81 : $22.23 : $22.94: $22.76 : $22.08 : $21.21: $21.80 : $22.41 : $22.91 :
Ratio: R7.395 : R4.420 : R5.232 / R4.888 : r4.961 : R5.205 : r5.433 : r5.255 : R5.343 : r5.353 : r5.435 : R5.356 : r5.322 : R5.268 (/10.57)
Ratio 13.52%: 22.62%: 19.11%/ 20.45% 20.16%: 19.21%: 18.41%: 19.03%: 18.72% : 18.68% : 18.40%: 18.67%: 18.79%: 18.98%  (GDx55.7)
Gdxj : $19.21 : $45.38 : $31.55 / $36.87 : $40.09 : $35.98 : $32.23 : $31.92 : $31.88 : $33.38 : $31.29 : $32.40 : $33.14 : $33.64 :
Spdr : 642.37: 953.91: 822.17 / 803.0E : 841.17 : 834.EE : 853.26 : 847.45 : 865Est : 852.50 : 835.35 : 828.84 : 813.76 : 791.88 = 25.46M oz.
Au/S : R-1.65 : R-1.41 : r1.401 / R1.48E: R1.496 : R1.50E : R1.486 : R1.496 : r1.480 : R1.457 : R1.448 : r1.481 : R1.542 : r1.610 :
TLT : 120.58 : 140.57 : 119.13 / 119.63 : 122.01 :: 120.71 : 122.35 : 123.48 :: 125.62 : 125.12 : 122.72 : 123.33 : 125.69 : 123.89 :
G/Tlt : r8.795 : R9.567: R9.668/ R9.993 : R10.26: R10.37 : R10.37: R10.27 : R10.19 : R9.929 : R9.857 : R9.953 : R9.984 : R10.29 /vs L: 8.65
====
AGS : Y3,210 : y4,157 : y3,988 / y3,943 : y4,167 : y4,124 : y4,094 : y3,??? : y3,???? : Y3,??? : y3,000 : Y3,000 : y3,000 : y3,000 >16.?? :
SLV- : $13.19 : $18.74 : $15.11 / $16.22 : $17.40 : $17.25 : $16.30 : $16.40 : $16.59 : $15.71 : $14.73 : $15.08 : $15.60 : $15.81 :
WPM: $12.42 : $24.78 : $19.32 / $21.42 : $21.15 : $20.84 : $19.97 : $20.89 : $20.38 : $19.89 : $18.97 : $19.46 : $20.00 : $20.51 :
SIL*- : $18.51 : $45.95 : $32.11 / $37.36 : $38.28 : $36.02 : $34.90 : $35.93 : $35.19 : $33.95 : $31.73 : $33.21 : $34.22 : $34.57 :
DBA : $20.61 : $21.98 : $19.97 / $20.57 : $20.29 : $19.78 : $19.74 : $19.83 : $19.90 : $19.85 : $20.10 : $20.07 : $20.13 : $19.94 :
XLE- : $60.32 : $68.60 : $75.32 / $74.23 : $70.99 : $69.90 : $67.84 : $66.61 : $65.09 : $64.92 : $64.01 : $65.40 : $65.11 : $66.47 :
Cop'r: $2.135 : $2.220 : $2.510 / $2.690 : $2.700 : $2.652 : $2.610 : $2.570 : $2.570 : $2.710 : $2.650 : $2.690 : $2.720 : $2.910 :
WTI- : $37.07 : $49.28 : $53.72 / $53.17 : $53.99 : $50.30 : $49.33 : $49.80 : $47.66 : $46.04 : $44.23 : $46.54 : $45.77 : $49.75 :
CRB : 176.27 : 194.26 : 192.51 / 193.43 : 190.93 : 185.88 : 181.73 : 182.00 : 177.96 : 174.78 : 172.56 : 176.28 : 176.66 : 182.12 :
Corn : 358.00 : 360.25 : 352.00 / 362.50 : 370.75 : 364.40 : 366.50 : 374.25 : 372.75 : 381.00 : 392.50 : 376.25 : 379.75 : 374.25 :
Wheat 468.50 : 496.25 : 408.00 / 420.50 : 448.00 : 426.50 : 432.25 : 438.25 : 429.50 : 526.00 : 535.00 : 510.75 : 499.25 : 481.00 :
Sugar 15.24c : 20.78C : 19.51c / 20.33c : 19.81ct : 16.76c : 16.13c : 15.05ct : 13.74c : 13.81c : 14.15c : 14.30C : 14.40c : 14.37c :
BTC : $433.5 : $680.0 : $948.5 / $920.0 : 1135.0 : 1041.1 : 1315.0 :  2290.0 : 2500.0 : 2521.0 : 2500.0 : 2200.0 : 2826.0 : 2770.0 :
B/G.: 40.88%: 50.56%: 82.36%/  77.42%: 90.22%: 83.20%: 103.7%: 180.6%: 195.3%: 202.9%: 206.6% : 179.2%: 225.2%: 217.2%:
====
EEM- : $32.19 : $34.69 : $35.01 / $37.47 : $38.48 : $39.39 : $40.06 : $41.74 : $41.76 : $41.39 : $41.13 : $43.42 : $43.63 : $43.75 :
FXI -- : $35.29 : $34.48 : $34.71 / $36.82 : $38.54 : $38.49 : $38.53 : $40.23 : $40.52 : $39.71 : $39.48 : $41.89 : $42.04 : $42.42 :
ShCm : 3519.2 : 2932.5 : 3103.6 / 3159.2 : 3253.4 : 3222.5 : 3154.7 : 3110.1 : 3105.5 : 3192.4 : 3218.0 : 3222.4 : 3238.0 : 3272.2 :
PHM- : $17.82 : $19.48 : $18.38 / $21.26 : $21.73 : $23.55 : $22.67 : $22.84 : $23.71 : $24.53 : $24.94 : $24.36 : $24.31 : $24.35 :
IYR -- : $75.08 : $82.33 : $76.94/ $76.97 : $80.31 : $78.49 : $78.93 : $79.13 : $79.94 : $79.77 : $78.70 : $79.84 : $80.45 : $80.67 :
IWM - : 112.62 : 115.39 : 134.85 / 136.19 : 138.65 : 137.48 : 139.06 : 137.54 : 139.85 : 140.92 : 140.94 : 141.73 : 144.55 : 141.96 :
XLF - : $23.82 : $22.74 : $23.25 / $23.65 : $24.42 : $23.73 : $23.53 : $23.61 : $23.45 : $24.67 : $25.05 : $24.92 : $24.80 : $24.91 :
XLF/S: 11.68%: 10.83%: 10.31% / 10.33% 10.31%: 10.47%: 9.883%: 9.768%: 9.600%: 10.20%: 10.34%: 10.15%: 10.05%: 10.09%:
SPY- : 203.87 : 209.92 : 223.53- / 228.97 : 236.74 : 235.74 : 238.08 : 241.71 : 244.17 : 241.80 : 242.11 : 245.56 : 246.88 : 246.91 :
VIX-- : 18.21%: 14.77%: 14.04% / 10.58%: 11.47%: 10.96%: 10.82%: 09.77% : 09.75%: 11.18%: 11.19%: 09.51%: 09.36%: 10.29%:
ShPut  $6.670 : $02.85 : $08.30 / $20.00 : $14.95 : $13.15 : $11.45 :  $09.58 : $08.62 : $08.31 : $08.16 : $06.37 : $05.80 $ 05.44 -Ja$240p
DXY - : 98.693 : 95.720 : 102.38 / 100.56 : $99.77 : 100.22 : $99.04 : $97.40 : $96.67 : $95.64 : $95.79 : $95.11 : $93.97 : $93.33 :
H-gold: R10.75 : r14.05: R11.25 / R11.82: R12.26: R12.56 : R12.81 : R13.02 : R13.24 : R12.99 : R12.63: R12.91: R13.35: R13.66 / 11.3-14.2
=====
Gold  : 1060.5 : 1344.9 : 1151.7 / 1188.4 : 1258.3 : 1251.2 : 1268.3 : 1268.1 : 1280.2 : 1242.3 : 1209.7 : 1227.5 : 1254.9 : 1275.3 :
==

 

The reality is:

GOLD-in-AUD (& CAD) is not up much, so gold's "rise" is mainly a weak USD


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#9 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 11:14 AM

TOO MUCH BULLISHNESS? Is that what we are seeing in the Gold market?

 

Gold Breaks Out as Dollar Crumbles Todd 'Bubba' HorwitzJul 31

Even If Gold Corrects For Next 2-3 Days, The Trend Still Points Up - ... Kitco NewsJul 31

=== ===
 
The U.S. Dollar is crumbling before our very eyes and if 93 holds that could be the bottom. However, if the Dollar fails here, 89 comes into play.
This is the problem with currency wars and manipulation by central banks creating a disaster in the dollar. The Euro is too strong and the system is screwed up.
One of the benefactors of the weak dollars are the metals. Gold has broken above the key resistance of $1,260. Silver has moved nicely from the bottoms as well.
. . .

The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#10 leviathan

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 02:52 PM

 

BRADLEY Model : 
TURN dates
2015 : May 10, May 25, June 8, Sept. 23, Oct. 17
2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29
2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, -Jan.4, +Jan.17
====

SPY... 2015-2017: Dec.31, 2016: $223.53 / May.01, 2017: $ 238.77 +$15.24 : + 6.82% on the Year

2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29

2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, / -Jan.4, +Jan.17

2017-SPY.gif : IMGHST.co

 

Model for 2017: 2016 : 2015 :
SP_500_Bradley_Siderograph.png
===

 

Bonds peaked first in 2015, then the Dollar, then stocks... In early July (when the Bradley model peaked), TLT hit new highs.

TLT... 2015-2017 : Dec.31, 2016: $119.13 / Mar.01, 2017: $119.47 : + $0.34 : + 0.29% on the Year

 

2017-TLT.gif : IMGHST.co

 

USD trade-weighted:

DXY ... 2015-2017DXY-all-data : 10d : Dec.31, 2016: $102.36 / Mar.01, 2017: $101.77 : - $0.59 : - 0.57% on the Year2017-DXY.gif : IMGHST.co

 

 

OTHER Indices : USO : GLD : GDX : PHM : IYR : UGLD-vsGDX : : IMGHST.co2017-UGLDetc.gif : IMGHST.co

 

 

Dr some interesting charts here. August is normally a good time for seasonal purchases of gold. Also I'm interested in what you think TLT will do from here. US economy looks to be slowing down to me now and I think Treasuries may catch a ride soon.

 

Lev



#11 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 03:50 PM

Could be...

TLT has already taken a leg down - but some are expecting a bigger Bond bust

 

GREENSPAN WARNS...

Cities ring housing bubble alarm...

Four major US cities ring housing bubble alarm

  • Home prices in Denver, Houston, Miami and the Washington, D.C., metro area are now considered overvalued.
  • Some previously hot markets, such as San Francisco and the New York City metropolitan area, are cooling down.
  • Low mortgage rates are keeping the market affordable from a monthly perspective, but affordability will likely become a much bigger challenge in the coming years

To determine if a market is overvalued, CoreLogic compares current prices to their long-run, sustainable levels, which are supported by local economic fundamentals like disposable income. An overvalued market is one in which home prices are at least 10 percent higher than that level. The rest of the top 10 markets are considered "at value," but none are undervalued, as prices are higher in all of them compared with a year ago.

 

"With no end to the escalation in sight, affordability is rapidly deteriorating nationally," said Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic. "While low mortgage rates are keeping the market affordable from a monthly payment perspective, affordability will likely become a much bigger challenge in the years ahead until the industry resolves the housing supply challenge."

Home prices rose 6.7 percent nationally in June compared with June 2016. That is a slightly higher annual gain than May. Prices are now up nearly 50 percent from the trough of the housing crash in March 2011.

 . . .

 

“By any measure, real long-term interest rates are much too low and therefore unsustainable,” the former Federal Reserve chairman, 91, said in an interview. “When they move higher they are likely to move reasonably fast. We are experiencing a bubble, not in stock prices but in bond prices. This is not discounted in the marketplace.”

The most important market news of the day.
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While the consensus of Wall Street forecasters is still for low rates to persist, Greenspan isn’t alone in warning they will break higher quickly as the era of global central-bank monetary accommodation ends. Deutsche Bank AG’s Binky Chadha says real Treasury yields sit far below where actual growth levels suggest they should be. Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets, says it’s only a matter of time before inflationary pressures hit the bond market.

 

 

( BTW. I have many Charts to update here - probably starting tomorrow)


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#12 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 04:44 PM

The 18-year Cycle in the USA

The latest Low was 2012 (with Builders shares bottoming in 2011) ... old image-FabermzVVq5Q.gif

 

The real-estate cycle in the U.S. can be summarized with the following table:

 Peaks in  Interval   Peaks in  Interval   Depressions
land value  (yrs)  Construction (yrs)             interval
1818         --            -----         --           1819     --
1836        18          1836        __          1837     18
1854        18          1856        20          1857     20
1872        18          1871        15          1873     16
1890        18          1892        21          1893     20
1907        17          1909        17          1918     25
1925        18          1925        16          1929     11
1973        48          1972        47          1973     44
1979          6          1978         6           1980       7
1989        10          1986         8           1990     10
2006        17          2006        20          2008!    18  (2012 property Low)
2024?      18          2022-24? 16-18    2026-28 ??
====
Real-estate values and construction have peaked one to two years before a depression, and have stayed at peak levels until the onset of the downturn. The historical evidence is consistent with the theory that speculative booms in real-estate prices and construction act as an impetus for the downturn itself.

==

> more charts: http://www.nowandfut...eal_estate.html

 

US Property - Recovery nearing an end?

 

If the e-wave count on this chart is accurate. the rally in General Housing stocks since the 2008-9 Low maybe be nearly over

 

HGX / Housing General Index ... All-Data : 10-yrs : 5-yrs : 2-yrs: Last: $232.99 / PHM-10yrs / IYR-10yrs

 

k5CJlw7.png

 

US: in America, PHM / Pulte Homes is the main bellwether ...

Update : all data : 5-years : to 7/31/2017 : $24.42 /  High for Year: $25.20

 -------------------------------------------------- > MLhP04U.gif

 

 

Updated : chart : to 7/31/2017 : $283.46 / HGX : High for Year: $287.325

-------------------------------------------------- > BuhaCcI.gif

 

Update : CS- 20 Cities NSA

qbgmZl0.png

 

13-03-26-CS-HPI.jpg


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#13 DrBubb

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Posted 01 August 2017 - 09:14 PM

ETH bounce underway - could develop into something more powerful

 

ETH : 6mos : 3mos :

Gog0pYU.jpg

 

 

Meantime, there's a danger of a bigger correction in Bitcoin prices

 

BTS ... 10d :

t53y1E9.png

==


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#14 DrBubb

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Posted 02 August 2017 - 08:54 AM

ARE THEY STUPID OR CORRUPT??

 

This podcast is revealing. 

It makes me wonder why the supporters of the scum-ocrats can ignore so many serious crimes by scum-ocrats, and GOP never-Trumper.

Meantime, they spend serious time chewing on nothing-burgers - silly narratives about non events supposedly involving the Trumps

 

Or is it just "police state terror"?... and the fact that so many people are afraid of being targeted by the Deep State, if they resist the criminality

 

DEEP STATE REGIME CHANGE OPERATION EXPOSED -- Harley Schlanger


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#15 DrBubb

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Posted 02 August 2017 - 09:21 AM

Scum-tube?:  Youtube is going "full scumbag"?

 

We cannot let the ((( scumbags ))) win !

 
Youtube Goes Full 1984, Promises to Hide "Offensive" Content Without Recourse
- We Must Oppose This
 
 
 
Time to ditch Youtube possibly ?!
 
VID-me ?

The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#16 DrBubb

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Posted 03 August 2017 - 02:31 AM

Very sad new to hear today - even though I knew he was not well

 

Author, Researcher, Jim Marrs Has Died RIP 1943 - 2017


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#17 DrBubb

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Posted 03 August 2017 - 07:47 AM

GOLD : I'm not impressed !

 

I think we saw a cyclical Low at the beginning of July, but I 'm not impressed by the volume or the Size of the Rally in GLD or GDX (so far)

 

Gold-in-Euros - has gone virtually "nowhere"

t0En9bA.png

 

GLD: 3m : 5yr 3yr : Pl / 12m: GLD: Gbs: Hui: Gdx /
GpsOIEB.png

GLD ... 5-yrs :

7ZxuWIX.gif

 

GDX

D1qARzi.gif

 

SLV / Silver ... All : 5yr 4yr 3yr 2yr - SLV: $ 17.40 at 11/8/16 .. w/fewer lines

FyYoHLl.gif


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#18 DrBubb

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Posted 03 August 2017 - 08:50 AM

SPX Long Term, since 1993 ... update

"MAGIC 1600 multiples"

QIgmXrN.gif

 

Peaks: 03/24/2000: 1527.46 (1552.87) : 10/10/2007: 1562.47 (1576.09 -10/11) : 1562.47 x1.618= 2528 (1576 :: 2550)
Lows : 10/09/2002: $776.76 ($768.63-10/10) : 03/06/2009: $683.38 (666.79)
StartL: 04/26/1993: $433.54 ($432.30)
=====

 

goldcore_bloomberg_chart3_19-06-12.png

 

INDU -toGold


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#19 DrBubb

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Posted 03 August 2017 - 02:07 PM

Sterling ... all data :

a5zTtS8.gif

 

Canadian Dollar ... all-data :

NlLkPCc.gif


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#20 DrBubb

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Posted 03 August 2017 - 04:38 PM

Russia russia russia?  Gone gone gone!

 

Roger Stone breaks down Seymour Hersh Seth Rich, Awan, Brennan, Andrew McCabe much more 8/2/17

 

Published on Aug 3, 2017

Roger stone breaks down recent events including Pultizer Prize winning author Seymour Hersh audio that Seth Rich was the source for wikileaks. How it is believed the John Brennan was behind entire operation to steal data and blame on Russia and much more.

Mr. Stone also Interviews Colon Mike McAllister spokesman for citizens for Trump about electing Pro-Trump candidates for office, and also discusses Omar Navarro campaign to unseat Maxine Waters.

Also details about acting FBI director Andrew McCabe (now #2 at FBI). Mr. McCabe also authorized the spending of $50,000 for the “golden showers dossier” for the purpose of smearing President Trump. Also that his wife received $675,000 cash from Governor Terry McAuliffe (Democrat money mover) at the exact time he was supposed to be investigating Hillary Clinton.


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix




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