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Dr.Bubb's Diary : 2017 July v. 102 : SHOCK Therapy !


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#1 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:27 PM

Dr.B's Trading Diary : 2017.    The Diary's 102th Month : SHOCK Therapy !

cWtz2j0.jpg //  Is this SHOCK Therapy Month ?? //

 

I AM SPOOKED ! 

Just as I lost many hundreds of hours of Image-saving work, I noticed this:

"A (possible) right shoulder in the bond market" ? - see post #9 below

 

Example: TLT / Bonds : 2-yrs :

JpLFoET.gif

 

+ Bonds turning down, USD peaked, Stock peak made or imminent.

+ CALDARO: MEDIUM TERM: uptrend topped?

After many weeks of quiet markets, volatility is picking up. This also occurs during corrections.

==============

 

 DrBubb's Diary - July 2017 Trading - v.102

 

================

The Fed's Racetrack: Gold (GLD) vs Stocks (SPY) .. update :vs.CRB : GLD-hr : SPY-hr : GLD/SPYratio / sjw : 2 :

zrEd9Vm.gif : see post#10

 

The Fed's money-printing has maintained confidence in markets - but the money has gone not only into stocks, but also into other areas. For many months, money flowed into commodities like Gold, pushing prices higher even faster than stocks, as the chart above shows. But since Gold's peak in Aug.2011, stocks have outperformed gold. Since then, these two assets have tended to trade counter-cyclically to each other.

 

Ratio: SPY-to-GLD - there's resistance at 2.07X

SPY-toGLD_zpsvyihaf4f.png

 

Date----- : - SPY-  : - GLD- : Ratio : Comment------------
12-29-08 : $86.91 : $86.35 : 1.006 : Chart period begins
09-06-11 : 116.99 : 182.90 : 0.640 : near Gold peak (of $1800
12-02-15 : 208.53 : 100.69 : 2.071 : near Gold low (of $1045.40; GLD: 100.23)
02-11-16 : 182.86 : 119.05 : 1.535 : near SPX low (of $1810.10; SPY: 181.09)
06-30-17 : 241.80 : 118.02 : 2.049 : Latest: may retest R-2.07+ and rollover
=======
Notes: R-0.64 at Gold peak x 1.618= 1.035 / x 1.618 x2 = 2.070 Target for Ratio & SPY peak?

 

"US Stocks-in-Euros" ... SPX-to-FXE or SPY-to-FXE Ratio ... update

SPX-inEUR_zpsixqp8yyo.png

 

This Ratio - SPX to Euros seems to move in a nice clear channel

 

DrBubb's "Early Warning System"

Leading Ratio ... LQD:TLT-Weekly-3yrs : TLT-vsLQD : Copper : HG price : CU price : SPY-10/11 : SMH-6mos

 

I reckon that the LQD-to-TLT ratio should move in harmony with stocks, or maybe LEAD stock moves. If they are moving in different directions, then one should be cautious.  (However, the value of this indicator has become suspect in recent years, after giving some false warnings.)
=====
Bullish Percentages :
BPNYA- : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
BPGDM : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
NASIT - : NAMOT : Summation Indices

"Big Three" Charts (SPY, GLD, DXY) ... 10d-Intraday : 6mos-D : 2yrs-D : 5yrs-D // CUvsGLDvsCRB

ThreePrices_zpszhkmuwcs.gif

 

 

RECORD : CU may lead GLD and SPY lower
======

US Fed'l Debt // Formula:  (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100

 

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
end07: $09.23 > 0,722 : 072.2 : $082.46 : $146.21 : -63.75: 56.398% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 17.05: ==== : $ 32.99 :
end08: $10.70 > 0,897 : 089.7 : $086.52 : $090.24 : -$3.72: 95.878% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 29.09: ==== : $ 26.18 :
end09: $12.31 > 1,089 : 108.9 : $107.31 : $111.44 : -$4.13: 96.294% : $30.0e: XX.X% :: $ 42.26: ==== : $ 26.44 :
end10: $14.03 > 1,294: 129.4 : $138.74 : $125.75 : $12.99: 110.34% : $43.71: 31.51%: $ 43.09: $0.62: $ 32.35 : $ 00.29 :
end11: $15.22 > 1,435: 138.0 : $151.99 : $125.50 : $26.49: 121.11% : $29.29: 19.27%: $ 34.87: - 5.58: $ 28.88 : $ 04.60 :
end12: $16.43 > 1,570: 151.0 : $162.02 : $142.41 : $19.61: 113.77% : $30.34: 18.73%: $ 40.45:-10.11: $ 27.95 : $ 13.48 :
end13: $17.35 > 1,689: 162.4 : $116.12 : $184.69 : -68.57 : 062.87% : $22.27: 19.18%: $ 38.37:-16.10: $ 24.25 :$815.00 :
end14: $18.14 > 1,783 : 171.4 : $113.58 : $205.54 : -98.04 : 55.26% :: $18.09: 15.93%: $ 41.62:-23.53: $ 24.89 :$316.20 :
end15: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.46 : $203.87 :-102.41: 49.77% :: 2.135 : 2.140%: $ 35.29:-00.00: $ 20.61: $433.50 :
end16

(2016)
01/29: $19.01 > 1,886 : 180.0 : $108.05 : $193.65 : - $85.60: 55.80% :: 2.060 : 1.907% $ 31.20:-00.00: $ 19.99: $375.00 :
02/29: $19.13 > 1,900 : 181.3 : $118.64 : $193.56 : - $74.98: 61.29% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 30.00: -00.00: $ 20.00: $434.00 :
03/31: $19.26 > 1,916 : 182.8 : $117.64 : $205.52 : - $87.88: 57.24% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.77: -13.17: $ 20.60: $415.00 :
04/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $123.65 : $206.33 : - $82.68: 59.93% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.53: -12.45: $ 21.08: $4 ??.00 :
05/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $116.06 : $209.84 : - $93.78: 55.31% :: 2.080 : 1.792% $ 33.65: -12.34: $ 21.31: $526.10 :

06/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $126.47 : $209.48 : - $83.01: 60.37% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
07/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $128.98 : $217.12 : - $88.14: 59.40% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
08/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $124.78 : $217.38 : - $92.60: 57.40% :: 2.080 : 1.667% $ 37.08: -16.85: $ 20.23: $570.00 :

=====
ye'16 : $20.0E > 1,8 xx : 18x.x :
 

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :
======
"GOLD Formula" is : (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 : US Govt Debt :: http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

The FED must be pleased with the way that money has flowed into stocks, away from Gold. / notes : a b cox cvn


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#2 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:39 PM

DAILY MONITOR

Month: -SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY-- -Chg- : --TLT-: Chg : Posts/Views cum'l
03-31: 206.43 - 1.82: 127.M: 15.29 : 18.24 - 0.23: 113.66 - 0.09: 4.38M: 1,185.5 $47.49* 98.406 +0.432: 130.69 +0.28: 00: 000/ 000: 2800
06-30: 205.85 +0.43: 155.M: 18.23 : 17.76 - 0.14: 112.31 - 0.70: 7.54M: 1,172.1 $59.09* 95.516 +0.541: 117.46 -0.82 : 11, 118/ 086, 1887
09-30: 192.13 +0.50: 142.M: 24.50 : 13.74 +0.33: 106.86 - 1.12: 7.19M: 1,114.5 $45.34* 96.282 +0.384 : 123.54 - 0.43: 04: 133/ 104, 2853
12-31: 203.87 - 2.06: 91.2M: 18.21 : 13.72 +0.06: 101.46 +0.04 : 3.81M: 1060.5 $37.07* 98.693 +0.413: 120.58 +0.54 : 02, 086/ 051, 1,913

2016
01-29: 193.72 +4.61: 182.M: 20.20 : 14.21 +0.35: 106.95 +0.41 : 7.92M: 1118.4 $33.74* 99.531 +0.950 : 127.30 +1.07 :

02-29: 193.56 - 1.53: 109.M: 20.55 : 19.38 +0.69: 118.64 +1.53 : 11.5M: 1239.3 $33.90* 98.150 - 0.030 : 130.98 +0.57 : 00, 075/ 000 , 2,143
03-31: 205.52 - 0.50 : 79.4M: 13.95 : 19.97 - 0.26: 117.64 +0.54 : 9.17M: 1233.9 $38.11* 94.630 -0.0.99 : 130.61 +0.92 : 01 ,094/ 055 , 2,950
04-29: 206.33 - 1.11 : 124.M: 15.70 : 25.83 +1.55: 123.65 +2.36 : 18.2M: 1294.9 $45.90* 93.018 - 0.448 : 129.38 +0.33 : 0?, 060/ ???  , 2800
05-31: 209.84 - 0.40 : 88.7M: 14.19 : 22.58 +0.30: 116.06 +0.44 : 8.06M: 1217.5 $48.83* 95.861 +0.161 : 130.16 +0.31 : 0?, 088/ ???  , 2651
06-30: 209.48 +2.82 : 143.M: 15.63 : 27.71 +0.56: 126.47 +0.63 : 15.1M: 1324.7 $48.40* 95.809 +0.046 : 138.90 +0.51 : 0?, 055/ ???  , 1941
07-29: 217.12 +0.35 : 70.1M: 11.87 : 30.59 +0.84: 128.98 +1.32 : 12.9M: 1357.9 $41.60* 95.517 - 1.044 : 141.56 +1.17 : 0?, 064/ ???  , 2781

08-31: 217.38 - 0.62 : 71.9M: 13.42 : 25.42 -0.42 : 124.78 -0.25 : 13.2M: 1311.4 $44.70* 95.985 - 0.050 : 139.87 +0.20 : 03, 067/  237 , 5200

09-30: 216.30 +1.62 : 98.7M: 13.29 : 26.43 - 0.26: 125.64 - 0.43: 10.8M: 1317.1 : $48.24* $95.42 - 0.10 : 137.51 - 1.24 / 04, 096 : 412 , 5556

10-31: 212.55 +0.01 : 55.9M: 17.06 : 24.52 +0.71: 121.94 +0.36:  7.09M: 1273.1 : $46.86* $98.44 +0.10 : 131.25 +0.80 / 10, 094 : 620 , 5200
11-30: 220.38 - 0.53: 92.0M: 13.33 : 20.83 - 0.40 : 111.75 - 1.52: 10.9M: 1173.9 : $49.44* 101.54 + 0.59 : 120.24 - 1.98 / 02, 107 : 311 , 5561
12-30: 223.53 - 0.82: 86.9M: 14.04 : 20.92 - 0.83: 109.61 - 0.68: 8.79M: 1151.7 : $53.72* 102.38  - 0.27 : 119.13 + 0.18 / 03, 096: 360 , 4840

2017
01-31: 227.53 - 0.02  00.0M: 12.09 : 23.93 +0.78: 115.55 + 1.68: 0.00M: 1211.8 : $52.80* $99.74  - 0.62 : 119.84  +0.57 / 08 120: 4554, 10,254

02-28: 236.47 - 0.64 69.6M: 12.92 : 22.85 +0.01: 119.23 +0.11 8.29M: 1253.9 : $54.01* 101.48 +0.32 : 121.74 +0.45/ 07, 083; 216. 3,741

03-31: 235.74 - 0.55 56.2M: 12.37 : 22.81 +0.26: 118.72 +0.25 8.14M: 1251.2 : $50.60* 100.22 - 0.07 : 120.71 +0.35/ 05, 115 : 210, 5,967

04-28: 238.08 - 0.52 50.4M: 10.82 : 22.23 +0.42: 120.77 +0.38 8.86M: 1268.3 : $49.33* $99.04 - 0.15 : 122.35 +0.27/ 04, 90 : 530, 7,267

05-31: 241.44 - 0.06 00.0M: 10.41 : 22.69 +0.10: 120.62 +0.48 0.00M: 1264.8: $48.32* $97.21 +0.00 : 124.14 +0.05/ 00, 106 : 600, 6,542

06-30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13: 118.02 - 0.30 6.79M: 1242.3: $46.04* $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/

====
 

---: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l:

June

29: 241.35 - 2.14 98.8M: 11.44 : 21.95 - 0.48 : 118.32 - 0.58 7.62M: 1245.8 $44.93: $95.55 - 0.46 : 125.41 - 1.06/ 02, 091 : 237, 4297

30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13 : 118.02 - 0.30 6.79M: 1242.3 $46.04: $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/

July
03: 242.21 +0.41 35.0M: 11.22 : 21.48 - 0.60 : 116.09 - 1.93 11.7M: 1219.2 $47.07: $96.15 +0.51 : 124.46 - 0.40/ 00, 023 : 000, 0,250
HH
05: 242.77 +0.56 48.4M: 11.07 : 21.76 +0.28 : 116.52 +0.43 7.01M: 1221.7 $45.13: $96.27 +0.12 : 124.49 +0.03/ 09, 032 : 000, 0,550
06: 240.54 -2.23 00.0M: 13.54 : 21.49 - 0.27 : 116.47 - 0.05 00.0M: 1223.3 $45.52: 95.57 - 0.70 : 123.46 - 1.03/
07: 242.11 +1.57 45.7M: 11.19 : 21.21 - 0.28 : 115.28 - 1.19 10.8M: 1209.7 $44.23: 95.79 +0.22 : 122.72 - 0.74/ 00, 036 : 000, 0,800

#

10: 242.35
11: 242.19 +0.00 00.0M: 10.30 : 21.64 +0.00 : 115.62 +0.00 0.00M: 1214.7 $45.40: $95.42 +0.00 : 123.10 +0.00/
12: 244.01 +1.82 47.4M: 10.27 : 21.74 +0.10 : 116.03 +0.41 4.54M: 1219.1 $45.49: $95.51 +0.09 : 123.96 +0.86/

13: 244.42 +0.41 34.1M: 9.90% : 21.50 - 0.24 : 115.82 - 0.21 4.02M: 1217.3 $46.08 : $95.73 +0.14 : 123.18 - 0.78/ 03, 047 : 150, 1550
14: 245.56 +1.14 48.9M: 9.51% : 21.80 +0.30 : 116.77 +0.95 5.29M: 1227.5 $46.54 : $95.11 - 0.62 : 123.33 +0.15/ 02, 049 : 110, 1660

#
17: 245.53 - 0.03 00.0M: 9.82% : 21.98 +0.18 : 117.93 +0.16 0.00M: 1233.7 $46.02 : $94.68 - 0.43 : 123.67 +0.34/
18: 245.66 +0.13 37.4M: 9.89% : 22.14 +0.16 : 118.11 +0.82 6.99M: 1241.9 $46.59 : $94.77 +0.09 : 124.75 +1.08/ 00, 058 : 000, 2020

19: 246.99 +1.33 43.0M: 9.79% : 22.18 +0.04 : 118.08 - 0.03 3.11M: 1242.0 $47.32 : $94.75 - 0.02 : 124.80 +0.05/ 02, 060 : 190. 2210

20: 247.10 +0.11 00.0M: 9.58% : 22.32 +0.14 : 118.24 +0.16 0.00M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $94.24 - 0.51 : 125.13 +0.23/
21: 246.88 - 0.22 86.4M: 9.36% : 22.41 +0.09 : 119.26 +1.02 9.93M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $93.97 - 0.27 : 125.69 +0.53/ 00, 066 : 000, 2460

#

24: 246.82 - 0.06 00.0M: 9.43% : 22.06 - 0.35 : 119.31 +0.05 0.00M: 1253.3 $46.44 : $93.85 - 0.12 : 125.20 - 0.49/

25: 247.42 +0.60 49.6M: 9.43% : 22.27 +0.21 : 118.92 - 0.39 6.15M: 1252.1 $47.78 : $94.08 +0.23 : 123.57 - 1.63/ 00, 073 : 000, 3350
26: 247.43 +0.01 00.0M: 9.50% : 22.84 +0.57 : 119.88 +0.96 0.00M: 1249.4 $48.73 : $93.91 - 0.17 : 123.77 +0.20/
27: 247.20 - 0.23 65.0M: 10.11 : 22.57 - 0.27 : 119.79 - 0.09 6.31M: 1260.0 $49.04 : $93.93 +0.02 : 123.16 - 0.61/ 00, 075 : 000, 3600

28: 246.91 - 0.29 41.3M: 10.29 : 22.91 +0.34 : 120.69 +0.90 6.64M: 1275.3 $49.75 : $93.33 - 0.60 : 123.89 +0.73/ 00, 084 : 000, 4000

#

31: 246.77 - 0.14 42.9M: 10.25 : 22.86 - 0.05 : 120.75 +0.06 3.82M: 1273.8 $50.17 : $92.90 - 0.43 : 124.04 +0.15/ 00, 094 : 000, 4,570
 


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#3 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:41 PM

Long Term Charts updated from time-to-time, to at least: June 30, 2017

 

IWM / etf for Russell-2000 - to 12/31/16 : $134.85, 2016 range: $93.64 to 138.82 : +48.25% - beta 1.845

... All : 10-yrs : 12mos // SPY ... : To-End-2015last-12mos

5EYHDgc.gif


EIGHT KEY CHARTS 
=================

- Watch for the 76d-MA (blue) Crossing the 987d-MA (yellow), or

- The 52wk MA crossing the 330wk-MA -on Weekly chart

Updates: (updated at end Dec. 2016) - some updates still needed
=====

SPY / S&P500 etf - (UP) ...SPY: to 12/31/16 : $223.53, 2016 range: 181.02 to 228.34 : +26.14% - beta 1.00

 Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but may be rolling over soon

91oi1Lu.gif

.
TLT / T-Bonds etf - (DOWN) ... TLT: to 12/31/16 : $119.13, 2016 range: 116.80 to 143.62 : +22.96% - beta 87.8%

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Made an important Peak in 2016 (?) identified in prior chart here !

YbGrp0M.gif

.
UUP / USDollar x2 etf - (Peaking?) ... to 12/31/16 : $26.46, 2016 range: $23.96 to $26.77 : +11.73% - beta 44.9%

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but looking very tired

we0MnPN.gif

.
USO / Oil etf - (Battling DOWNtrend) ... to 12/31/16 : $11.72, 2016 range: $07.67 to $12.45 : +62.32% - beta 2.38

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : 10yrL :  Price is battling that old Downtrend

3KjXXv8.gif

.
XLE / Oil stocks - (Fighting back UP... to 12/31/16 : $75.32, 2016 range: $49.93 to $78.45 : +57.11% - beta 2.185

Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is DOWN, reversing?

Old-trend-was-accelerating ... as the uptrend ended

6jhe9mD.gif

.
OIH / Oil service - (Fight DOWNtrend) ... $11.72, 2016 range: $07.67 to $12.45 : +62.32% - beta 2.38

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Major Bottom in place?

y8duvmx.gif

.
GLD / Gold etf - (Reversing Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : 109.61, 2016 range: 102.49 to 131.15 : +27.96% - beta 1.07

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversing to Up?

g5HatzJ.gif

.
GDX / Gold stocks - (Breaking Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : $20.92, 2016 range: $12.40 to $31.79 : +156.4% - beta 5.98

GDX  ... All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversed to Up in 2016 maybe?

Yxg6cVX.gif

.

HUI Chart - price data goes back further ... 12/31/16 : 182.31, 2016 range: $99.19 to 286.05 : +199.4% - beta 7.64

All-data-update :

qov4i26.gif

.

China's Shanghai index last bounced of a support level near 2,600
ShComp 12/31/16 : 3103.6, 2016 range: 2638.3 to 3538.7 : +34.12% - beta 1.305

CN : SHcomp ... All-Log : All-Data

joDAcWU.gif

 

 

===== Links to other CHARTS =====

10yrs : SLV : GDXJ : / log : AGQ : PSLV : UGL : ??

PHM +, GDXJ -, RGLD -, HK:HSI +, HK:12 -new, 

=====

 


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#4 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:42 PM

Gold's 4-6 months Cycle:

 

The next cycle Low is due any day now /or overdue - and may have come already in early May.

 

GLD: update: end-may: $116.06 +0.44/ UK:GBS: $115.50/ HK-2840: $ 898.5 /7.76= $115.80 : HK-3081: $29.35 r-30.61

GLD.gif : ImgHst.co

 

The longer history of the cycles looked like this: 2013-15 :

 

: Low, Dec.15th,2016: 1129.8 / $103.04 = 10.96 / intraday: 1123/$103= 10.90
Gold-toUSD_zp.png

 

Look what happened after that Dec.2015 Low - a Nice Rally !   And then once again after a Dec. 2016 Low:Gold-toUSD.png

 

In April'17, I said: The Rally "may be petering out in April, and Gold (gold shares and silver), turned lower with bonds."

I anticipated this - and went short, selling Gold positions, and buying puts on TMF, a 3X etf linked to Bond prices.

But this anticipated cyclical low (May/June) either came early, or is coming late - It does not look as distinct (yet!) as prior lows.

So I am relunctant to bet on the Low and Buy at this stage.

 

TMF - this chart was from mid-April

"Rising interest rates, may turnaround the falling dollar, and "put the Kabash" on the rise in Gold..."

These prices tend to move together : TMF, GDX, UGLD, SLV : Bonds, Gold stocks, Gold, and Silver.

And they have been moving in a shared 4-6 months cycle - but this latest dip in Gold has not been accompanied by TMF until this week

 

TMF... 2-yrs : 5-yrs : 6-mos / 10-d :

Gold-toUSD.png :

TMF HAS finally dropped - & with it Bonds, Gold, Gold shares, silver...

TMY is approximately about 9% lower, over just four days

TMF-10d ... update

 : TMF at $20.00 and Looking for a cyclical Low possibly,  Since the Gold low is due, or overdue.

TMF-10d.gif : ImgHst.co

 

But the other prices have fallen less.  And there is some possibility these prices are beginning to decouple.


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#5 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:43 PM

BRADLEY Model : 
TURN dates
2015 : May 10, May 25, June 8, Sept. 23, Oct. 17
2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29
2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, -Jan.4, +Jan.17
====

SPY... 2015-2017: Dec.31, 2016: $223.53 / May.01, 2017: $ 238.77 +$15.24 : + 6.82% on the Year

2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29

2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, / -Jan.4, +Jan.17

2017-SPY.gif : IMGHST.co

 

Model for 2017: 2016 : 2015 :
SP_500_Bradley_Siderograph.png
===

 

Bonds peaked first in 2015, then the Dollar, then stocks... In early July (when the Bradley model peaked), TLT hit new highs.

TLT... 2015-2017 : Dec.31, 2016: $119.13 / Mar.01, 2017: $119.47 : + $0.34 : + 0.29% on the Year

 

2017-TLT.gif : IMGHST.co

 

USD trade-weighted:

DXY ... 2015-2017DXY-all-data : 10d : Dec.31, 2016: $102.36 / Mar.01, 2017: $101.77 : - $0.59 : - 0.57% on the Year2017-DXY.gif : IMGHST.co

 

 

OTHER Indices : USO : GLD : GDX : PHM : IYR : UGLD-vsGDX : : IMGHST.co2017-UGLDetc.gif : IMGHST.co


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#6 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:44 PM

Relative Valuations : Resistance at 200% - Not so futile !?

 

SPX -toGold Ratio seems to pull back when it hits 2.0 -

"May happen again soon," I said in early May, and it pulled back from 1.977 !

 

SPX-toGold.png: imghst.co

 

SPX -toTLT / Bonds floating at high level (on cheap money) - may have put in an RS / Right Shoulder

SPX-toTLT.png : imghst.co

 

TMF (2x bonds) vs. UGLD, GDX, SLV ... 5-years

TMF-5yrs_zpsplkfpjvp.gif


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#7 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:54 PM

STOCKS are approaching my "Ideal" Targets

 

They may have peaked already - as some like Tony Caldaro have suggested.

But ideal looking targets are just ahead :

+ SPX : 2500

+ IWM : $144

 

IWM.png: imghst


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#8 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 02:40 PM

Is Bigfoot ... Neanderthal Man?

 

10014707_672836336103465_659392546198019

 

I did an overlay comparison of the face with the famous Neanderthal skull, the Old Man of La Chapelle-Aux-Saints . The fit is unusually close as you can see from the result below. I did only a little retouching around the edges where the outline included some distracting flaws.
Notice the very long and thick head hair and beard which visually merges into the rest of the hair at any view from a distance.

==

> http://frontiers-of-...thal-skull.html


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#9 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 08:48 PM

I AM SPOOKED !  By some charts

 

"a right shoulder in the bond market" ?

 

Example: TLT / Bonds : 2-yrs :

TLT-2yr_zpsw1avbazo.gif

 

(from a viber conversation):

 

This TLT chart may not look like much...

But it is one of the things that has me spooked - Looks like a right shoulder in the bond market

 

+ Bonds turning down, USD peaked, Stock peak made or imminent.

 

FRT-Jul_zpsxlxcarz3.gif

 

(MORE):

+ HK property prices peaking (major) ... US property soon to peak (mid-cycle peak)

 

+ Gold and Oil setting up for another run... possibly

 

+ CALDARO: MEDIUM TERM: uptrend topped?

After many weeks of quiet markets, volatility is picking up. This also occurs during corrections. While waiting for this downtrend to get confirmed we have projected some downside targets in the weekend update. Best to your weekend!
 

==========


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#10 DrBubb

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Posted 30 June 2017 - 08:52 PM

/ 2 / ==========

+ Bonds turning down, USD peaked, Stock peak made or imminent.

+ Gold and Oil setting up for another run... possibly

 

FRT-Jul_zpsxlxcarz3.gif

 

Date----- : - SPY-  : - GLD- : Ratio : Comment------------
12-29-08 : $86.91 : $86.35 : 1.006 : Chart period begins
09-06-11 : 116.99 : 182.90 : 0.640 : near Gold peak (of $1800
12-02-15 : 208.53 : 100.69 : 2.071 : near Gold low (of $1045.40; GLD: 100.23)
02-11-16 : 182.86 : 119.05 : 1.535 : near SPX low   (of $1810.10; SPY: 181.09)
06-30-17 : 241.80 : 118.02 : 2.049 : Latest: may Retest R-2.07+ and rollover
=======
Notes: R-0.64 at Gold peak x 1.618= 1.035 / x 1.618 x2 =  2.070 Target for Ratio & SPY peak?
 

 

Ratio: SPY-to-GLD over the last 3-years - there's resistance at 2.07 X

SPY-toGLD_zpsvyihaf4f.png


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#11 DrBubb

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Posted 01 July 2017 - 10:53 PM

Dealing with the unexpected....

I LOST, at least temporarily, many hundreds of hours of my image-work - a disaster that will take time & energy to recover from.

 

: MAKATI PRIME.Com :

 

SADLY, my image hosting service has changed its terms of service - I am investigating alternatives,

while I work to restore images.  Please be patient

 

(EXCERPT from a private message):

 

Hi XXX,

. . .

Unfortunately, I lost many of the images here, and it may be several days before I start recovering them.

. . .

I may not become a paying member on Photobucket, because the very sudden way they changed their Terms of service,

and effectively blackmailed people to pay them, destroys my trust in them. Also. I always found the PB site clunky to use.

Perhaps I will join for one month, to get as many images as possible, and them leave for good.

 

Meantime, I am seeking a better alternative. (see: IMAGE Thread )

. . .

Best Regards,


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#12 DrBubb

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Posted 01 July 2017 - 11:02 PM

"I am still in a state of shock ..."

 

You appreciate what this means?

 

What I've heard is that the cabal is running short of cash.  So the controlled opposition websites are now screeching for donations presumably cos they are not getting funded by the cabal as they had been done in the past.  I don't mean you Dr B. 

 

But apparently Ben Fulford is kinda gone.  And recently on his website, he's been calling for donations...

. . .

 

Yup, it's shaping up as Clif High has predicted - the cabalists are short of cash and this will help expose their secrets because they do not have the funds to bribe people the way they have done.  The recipients of their largess will get mightily pissed off and show their displeasure by revealing the secrets they are meant to guard.  YAY!

 

What's more, the minions will not be so generously paid as they have been done in the past.  Now if you have been merrily selling out humanity for that bowl of pottage, you might not be so happy to continue to do so for half or a quarter bowl of said pottage.  LOL!   So you NWO minions / shills / trolls here better make a note that your usual salary gets paid cos there's a good chance they may be delayed or suffer some mysterious shortfall.  Don't get screwed by your bosses - demand the agreed payment at the agreed times or give them an ultimatum

 

I am still in a state of shock that PB would do this so suddenly - they must have run out of cash.

Perhaps they were getting some payments from the CIA or someone (not joking - remember Project Mockingbird),

and those payments suddenly stopped, and they were driven to do this, to meet their own payroll.

Whatever the reason, this is a major, MAJOR break of trust with their customers, and I cannot simply accept it!

 

Had they explain it ahead of time, and offered more than one option, I would have been more happy to roll with it.

 

This seems to be like corporate suicide, and there are some nasty organizations (the Lie Stream media?) we should just let go


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#13 DrBubb

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Posted 01 July 2017 - 11:08 PM

Is DISCLOSURE Happening right now?

 

The MSM seems to have decided it is TIME to get the word out... before Russia or the Alt-Media does it

 

 

Robert Bigelow Finally Speaks Truth to Power

 

 

9253038a-21af-46a5-8a5b-7c1bae68adfe.jpg

 

 

Billionaire Robert Bigelow of Bigelow Aerospace finally said publicly what hundreds of millions of people around the world already know to be true. And he said it on CBS 60 Minutes last night. Here is the key excerpt from the interview with Lara Logan:

 

b42533a6-7837-49f1-9730-3766717ca801.jpg

S.gif

But on this canyon road just outside Las Vegas, Robert Bigelow's story takes a turn that some may find, to put it lightly, improbable. He told us this is where his grandparents had a close encounter with a UFO.

 

Robert Bigelow: It really sped up and came right into their face and filled up the entire windshield of the car. And it took off at a right angle and shot off into the distance.

 

The story sparked his obsession, and explains the alien looking out from the side of Bigelow Aerospace.  And it made for the kind of conversation you don't ordinarily have with an accomplished CEO.

 

Lara Logan: Do you believe in aliens?

 

Robert Bigelow: I'm absolutely convinced. That's all there is to it.

 

Lara Logan: Do you also believe that UFOs have come to Earth?

 

Robert Bigelow: There has been and is an existing presence, an ET presence.

And I spent millions and millions and millions -- I probably spent more as an individual than anybody else in the United States has ever spent on this subject.  

 

Lara Logan: Is it risky for you to say in public that you believe in UFOs and aliens?

 

Robert Bigelow: I don't give a damn. I don't care.

 

Lara Logan: You don't worry that some people will say, "Did you hear that guy, he sounds like he's crazy"?

 

Robert Bigelow: I don't care.

 

Lara Logan: Why not?

 

Robert Bigelow: It's not gonna make a difference. It's not gonna change reality of what I know.

 

Lara Logan: Do you imagine that in our space travels we will encounter other forms of intelligent life?

 

Robert Bigelow: You don't have to go anywhere.

 

Lara Logan: You can find it here? Where exactly?

 

Robert Bigelow: It's just like right under people's noses. Oh my gosh. Wow.

 

For decades CBS 60 Minutes has avoided the ET issue with great resolve. It simply would not cover the subject. Better late than never. And PRG tips its hat to Robert Bigelow. Thank you.

 

So, hello Elon Musk and Richard Branson. Would you care to say what you really think about the extraterrestrial presence?  Nothing invigorates like speaking truth to power.

 

 

Great to see 60 Minutes finally give the Alien / ET issue some coverage.

Perhaps they know that it will "break open" soon.

If the Lie Stream doesn't break it some powerful Alt-Media sites will (I reckon)

If the Lie Stream doesn't break it some powerful Alt-Media sites will (I reckon)


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#14 DrBubb

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Posted 01 July 2017 - 11:53 PM

Bitcoin - Key test at 2400... and then maybe about 2200

 

BTS ... 5-months : 10d : 5d :
B9V2ssM.png

 

In edit: now 2380 --- 'ere we go, 'ere we go!


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#15 DrBubb

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Posted 02 July 2017 - 12:33 AM

SEEMS LIKE PURE NONSENSE _ i listened for almost 40 minutes so far

 

The GoldFish Report No. 107 Winston Shrout Explains Moving Towards a Two-Tiered Money System

 

NOTES
=====
"We are fixing to flood with currency... so people can experience prosperity"

Utter bullfeathers!
Let me explain how Hyperinflation works
+ If you flood the world with money -then people SPEND IT, and it quickly loses value.  Because when prices start rising, at some point people panic and start spending the money quickly, as soon as they get it, because they do not want to hold money that is losing more value.  In fact, the energetic effort to BEAT a devaluing currency does not bring prosperity.  Just the reverse, it undermines prosperity because people refocus away from productive activity to speculation, and the rush to beat the devaluations.  Look at countries like Venezuela and Zimbabwe where there has been hyperinflation - you won't find prosperity there !

.

20120228_Cafe-Weimar-Kleiner-Brauner-%25
+ Weimar example: price of a cup of coffee:

 

There's a famous tale about Weimar Germany where a customer checked the price of a coffee, felt it was fair, and then sat down to drink it.  By the time he had finished his coffee, the price had doubled.  Do you think price changes like this encourage people to work hard to get their pay?  Or do they even enjoy their leisure time by drinking coffee?  No, they race around looking for way to spend their money before it loses value,

+ He talks about Gold-backed notes.  You cannot flood the globe with currency, and have it be gold backed - unless you suddenly have a massive increase in Gold supply. And if that happened suddenly, then the gold would lose spending power too.

"RELATIVE VALUE of currencies has been set," says Shroud.

Really?  Then why not SHARE those values with us?  He cannot.  Because this is more BS

St Germain told the Royal families to put all their wealth in one place (sure. these selfish families would do that? No way!)
And then they should interbreed until, they came down to one individual ("the M1") who would control it all/
Uttter nonsense.  There is zero evidence for this, other than strange repeated narratives of strange people

The grandfather... three grandmothers, "the princesses"
No evidence
This is all part of an extended narrative... like a tall tale, getting constantly embellished.
BTW, What happened to Neil Keenan?  he seems to have disappeared.  Perhaps he was swallowed up by his own BS.

Seems that will happen eventually to all the storytellers pushing this nonsense.  When their scams implode, they disappear.
==========

(the following from under the Video are worth repeating here):
Comment-1:
TWO TIER MONEY? Is he kidding?
"Fed Reserve Notes became defunct as of August 2016" Really? NO! That is simply untrue. I live outside the USA, and am happily spending US currency everywhere. This is B.S.!

Comment-2:
Think about all the time and effort people have invested in this BS narrativ
e, hoping and praying for a currency reset. Meantime, had they just bought Bitcoins at $1, $4, or $100, their dreams would have been realized. These @ars3holes are nothing but bullshit merchants - they should admit this, and admit that there have been far better places to invest one's time and money than in trying to understand their BS narrative. (BTW, I am NOT suggesting investing in Bitcoins now. That ship has sailed. But if these people had special and secret knowledge, they would have got you into that investment, rather than putting money in Dinars, Dong, and other non-solid investments.)
====


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#16 DrBubb

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Posted 02 July 2017 - 01:48 AM

A (surprise) Pick-up in Food prices this week

 

Wheat up 11%, as Sugar (+5%) and Corn (+4%) rise too, with an almost 2% drop in the USD

 

Price: (06/26) (YrE'15): (07/01): (YrE'16)/ (01/27): (02/24) (03/31) : (04/28)  (05/26) : (06/02)  (06/09) : (06/16) (06/23) : (06/30)
Gold : 1173.8 : 1060.5 : 1344.9 : 1151.7 / 1188.4 : 1258.3 : 1251.2 : 1268.3 : 1268.1 : 1280.2 : 1271.4 : 1256.5 : 1256.4 : 1242.3 :
GLD : 112.56 : 101.46 : 128.41 : 109.61 / 113.49 : 119.70 : 118.72 : 120.77 : 120.54 : 121.61 : 120.54 : 119.32 : 119.43 : 118.20 :
GDX : $18.09 : $13.72 : $29.05 : $20.95 / $23.22 : $24.13 : $22.81 : $22.23 : $22.94: $22.76 : $22.83 : $22.06 : $22.74 : $22.08 :
Ratio: R6.222: R7.395 : R4.420 : R5.232 / R4.888 : r4.961 : R5.205 : r5.433 : r5.255 : R5.343 : r5.280 : R5.409 : r5.252 : r5.353 (/10.51)
Ratio 16.07%: 13.52%: 22.62%: 19.11%/ 20.45% 20.16%: 19.21%: 18.41%: 19.03%: 18.72% : 18.94% : 18.49%: 19.04%: 18.68% (GDx56.3)
Gdxj : $24.86 : $19.21 : $45.38 : $31.55 / $36.87 : $40.09 : $35.98 : $32.23 : $31.92 : $31.88 : $32.79 : $33.00 : $34.20 : $33.38 :
Spdr : 706. E : 642.37 : 953.91 : 822.17 / 803.0E : 841.17 : 834.EE : 853.26 : 847.45 : 865Est : 867.00 : 853.68 : 851.02 : 852.50 = 27.41M oz.
Au/S : R-1.66 : R-1.65 : R-1.41 : r1.401 / R1.48E: R1.496 : R1.50E : R1.486 : R1.496 : R1.480 : R1.47 : R1.472 : R1.476 : R1.457 :
TLT : 115.23 : 120.58 : 140.57 : 119.13 / 119.63 : 122.01 :: 120.71 : 122.35 : 123.48 :: 125.62 : 124.40 : 126.35 : 127.78 : 125.12 :
G/Tlt : R10.19 : r8.795 : R9.567: R9.668/ R9.993 : R10.26: R10.37 : R10.37: R10.27 : R10.19 : R10.24: R9.942 : R9.830 : R9.929 /vs L: 8.65
====
AGS : Y3,409 : y3,210 : y4,157 : y3,988 / y3,943 : y4,167 : y4,124 : y4,094 : y3,??? : y3,???? : y3,??? : Y3,??? : Y3,??? : Y3,??? >16.63 :
SLV- : $15.11 : $13.19 : $18.74 : $15.11 / $16.22 : $17.40 : $17.25 : $16.30 : $16.40 : $16.59 : $16.28 : $15.79 : $15.79 : $15.71 :
WPM: $15.11 : $12.42 : $24.78 : $19.32 / $21.42 : $21.15 : $20.84 : $19.97 : $20.89 : $20.38 : $20.09 : $19.12 : $20.22 : $19.89 :
SIL*- : $26.43 : $18.51 : $45.95 : $32.11 / $37.36 : $38.28 : $36.02 : $34.90 : $35.93 : $35.19 : $35.47 : $33.78 : $34.88 : $33.95 :
DBA : $22.71 : $20.61 : $21.98 : $19.97 / $20.57 : $20.29 : $19.78 : $19.74 : $19.83 : $19.90 : $20.14 : $19.75 : $19.05 : $19.85 : + 4.20%
XLE- : $76.08 : $60.32 : $68.60 : $75.32 / $74.23 : $70.99 : $69.90 : $67.84 : $66.61 : $65.09 : $66.42 : $66.30 : $64.38 : $64.92 :
Cop'r: $2.641 : $2.135 : $2.220 : $2.510 / $2.690 : $2.700 : $2.652 : $2.610 : $2.570 : $2.570 : $2.650 : $2.560 : $2.620 : $2.710 :
WTI- : $59.65 : $37.07 : $49.28 : $53.72 / $53.17 : $53.99 : $50.30 : $49.33 : $49.80 : $47.66 : $45.93 : $44.97 : $43.01 : $46.04 :
CRB : 224.90 : 176.27 : 194.26 : 192.51 / 193.43 : 190.93 : 185.88 : 181.73 : 182.00 : 177.96 : 176.76 : 173.05 : 167.74 : 174.78 :
Corn : 385.00: 358.00 : 360.25 : 352.00 / 362.50 : 370.75 : 364.40 : 366.50 : 374.25 : 372.75 : 387.75 : 384.00 : 365.50 : 381.00 : + 4.20%
Wheat 575.00: 468.50 : 496.25 : 408.00 / 420.50 : 448.00 : 426.50 : 432.25 : 438.25 : 429.50 : 445.47 : 465.25 : 473.50 : 526.00 : + 11.1%
Sugar 11.92c : 15.24c : 20.78C : 19.51c / 20.33c : 19.81ct : 16.76c : 16.13c : 15.05ct : 13.74c : 14.27c : 13.63ct: 13.17ct : 13.81ct : + 4.86%
BTC : 250.00 : $433.5 : $680.0 : $948.5 / $920.0 : 1135.0 : 1041.1 : 1315.0 :  2290.0 : 2500.0 : 2828.1 : 2482.4 : 2700.0 : 2521.0 :
B/G.: 21.30% : 40.88%: 50.56%: 82.36%/ 77.42%: 84.81%: 83.20%: 103.7%: 180.6%: 195.3% : 222.4%: 197.6%: 214.9%: 202.9% :
=====
EEM- : $39.93 : $32.19 : $34.69 : $35.01 / $37.47 : $38.48 : $39.39 : $40.06 : $41.74 : $41.76 : $41.61 : $41.22 : $41.50 : $41.39 :
FXI -- : $46.21 : $35.29 : $34.48 : $34.71 / $36.82 : $38.54 : $38.49 : $38.53 : $40.23 : $40.52 : $40.24 : $39.58 : $39.77 : $39.71 :
ShCm : 4192.9: 3519.2 : 2932.5 : 3103.6 / 3159.2 : 3253.4 : 3222.5 : 3154.7 : 3110.1 : 3105.5 : 3158.4 : 3123.1 : 3157.9 : 3192.4 :
PHM- : $20.48 : $17.82 : $19.48 : $18.38 / $21.26 : $21.73 : $23.55 : $22.67 : $22.84 : $23.71 : $23.44 : $24.01 : $24.15 : $24.53 :
IYR -- : $72.49 : $75.08 : $82.33 : $76.94/ $76.97 : $80.31 : $78.49 : $78.93 : $79.13 : $79.94 : $80.00 : $81.19 : $81.22 : $79.77 :
IWM - : 127.50 : 112.62 : 115.39 : 134.85 / 136.19 : 138.65 : 137.48 : 139.06 : 137.54 : 139.85 : 141.62 : 140.19 : 140.91 : 140.92 :
XLF - : $24.89 : $23.82 : $22.74 : $23.25 / $23.65 : $24.42 : $23.73 : $23.53 : $23.61 : $23.45 : $24.29 : $24.29 : $23.89 : $24.67 :
XLF/S: 11.86%: 11.68%: 10.83%: 10.31% / 10.33% 10.31%: 10.47%: 9.883%: 9.768%: 9.600%:  9.980%: 10.01%: 9.826%: 10.20%:
SPY- : 209.82 : 203.87 : 209.92 : 223.53 / 228.97 : 236.74 : 235.74 : 238.08 : 241.71 : 244.17 :  243.41 : 242.62 : 243.13 : 241.80 :
VIX-- : 14.02%: 18.21%: 14.77%: 14.04% / 10.58%: 11.47% 10.96%: 10.82%: 09.77% : 09.75%: 10.70% : 10.44%: 10.02%: 11.18%:
ShPut  $06.15 : $6.670 : $02.85 : $08.30 / $20.00 : $14.95 : $13.15 : $11.45 :  $09.58 : $08.62 : $08.72 : $08.50 : $07.79 : $08.31 Ja$240p
DXY - : 95.399 : 98.693 : 95.720 : 102.38 / 100.56 : $99.77 : 100.22 : $99.04 : $97.40 : $96.67 : $97.18 : $97.15 : $97.30 : $95.64 : - 1.71%
H-gold: r12.30 : R10.75 : r14.05: R11.25 / R11.82: R12.26: R12.56 : R12.81 : R13.02 : R13.24 : R13.08 : R12.94 : R12.91 : R12.99 / 11.3-14.2
=====
Gold  : 1173.8 : 1060.5 : 1344.9 : 1151.7 / 1188.4 : 1258.3 : 1251.2 : 1268.3 : 1268.1 : 1280.2 : 1271.4 : 1256.5 : 1256.4 : 1242.3 :
 


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#17 DrBubb

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Posted 02 July 2017 - 02:05 AM

SHOCK?

"... the week when the Trump Presidency turned the corner"

 

Roger Stone Speech Tampa, Florida 6-30-17

 

"one step closer to sealing our borders"


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#18 DrBubb

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Posted 02 July 2017 - 06:24 AM

NYT is downsizing ! 

Dinosaurian media is dying, right?

 

And Styx gives (at least) three reasons to be happy about this

 

Now the New York Times Is Failing Too: Walk-out as Mass Firing Begins

 

Bizarrely, the stock price is rising strongly (since management is tackling the "overhead" problem, I suppose)

 

NYT ... update : $17.70, up from year's low of $11


The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#19 DrBubb

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Posted 02 July 2017 - 11:07 PM

Body Slams - who is next?

 

To kick this series off, the US President tweeted a video of him body slamming CNN

 

 

Washington (AFP) - US President Donald Trump launched a fresh attack on the news media Sunday by tweeting a video -- bizarre even by his standards -- showing him knocking down and beating a professional wrestling "villain" whose face had been replaced by a CNN logo.

The 10-year-old video, hailing back to Trump's days as a guest celebrity at pro-wrestling events, came after a week in which his unrestrained Twitter attacks on two MSNBC talk show hosts drew widespread condemnation from members of both political parties.

The latest tweet was immediately condemned by journalists, who said Trump seemed to be promoting physical violence against the media, while a Republican lawmaker said the president was trying to "weaponize distrust" through his postings.

But administration officials insisted Trump has a right to respond to critical coverage.

In the 28-second video, Trump, in a suit and tie, is seen knocking down another man in a suit who is standing next to a wrestling ring. Trump repeatedly pummels the fallen man, whose face is covered by a superimposed CNN logo. A fake CNN logo then appears on the screen reading "FNN: Fraud News Network."

A longer version of the video online shows that the man being beaten was World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) owner-promoter Vince McMahon, a friend of Trump's. In that version, Trump also gets in the ring to shave McMahon's head as part of the "The Battle of the Billionaires" at the WrestleMania 23 event.

 

(then Maureen Dowd penned a hit piece in the NYT, body-slamming the President):

 

Cruella de Trump

EXCERPT

It’s cruelty on a Grand Guignol scale, both in Trump’s heartless tweets and in his mindless salesmanship of the Republicans’ heartless budget. When Trump called the House health care bill mean, he knows whereof he speaks. He’s the King of Mean. Pathetically, Trump mistakes cruelty for strength.

The 71-year-old president’s pathological inability to let go of slights; his strongman reflex to be the aggressor and bite back like a cornered animal, without regard for societal norms; his lack of self-awareness about the power he commands and the proportionality of his responses; his grotesque hunger for flattery and taste for Tony Soprano tactics; his Pravda partnership with David Pecker, the head honcho at The National Enquirer, which has been giving Trump the Il Duce treatment while sliming his political opponents, the “Morning Joe” anchors and Megyn Kelly — these are all matters that should alarm men and women equally.

Trump has moved his shallow kiddie wading pool of gossip and ridicule from Trump Tower to the White House, where it is so outlandishly out of place that it often feels like we have a Page Six reporter as our president.

Trump is isolated in the White House, out of his milieu, unable to shape the story, forced to interact with people he doesn’t own. Even the staffers folding his clothes aren’t on his payroll.

Before he got to D.C., Trump was used to media that could be bought, sold and bartered with. He is not built for this hostile environment and it shows in his deteriorating psychological state. Even though he’s in the safest space of all, he’s not in a safe space.
 
 
(Correction : Dowd's piece may have come out first. )
 
They, are not necessarily connected.
But I have put the two together because they show the atmosphere that exists between the President and the Press at this time
 
Personally, I would have preferred to see Trump suspend CNN's WH press pass for a month, to seeing him body slam the CNN logo. 
If someone commits violence against a reporter now, Trump will be blamed... That would be unfair, but it would happen anyway.
Those criticizing Trump for "encouraging violence against reporters", should examine their own tweets

The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix

#20 DrBubb

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Posted 03 July 2017 - 04:46 PM

Pre-Holiday price Dump... in thin trading

 

BIG DROP - almost $20 in the Gold price

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif

 

Are we headed into the cyclical low?

 

KITCO

=====
 
Large speculators continued their exit from bullish positions in gold futures during the most recent reporting week for positioning data compiled by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

03242016_DescendingCoinscolorbkg_001.jpg

“Speculative investors have continued to scale back their exposure to gold, with positioning at mid-May lows,” said Standard Chartered.
The data is for the week-long period to June 27. During this time, Comex August gold rose $3.40 to $1,246.90 an ounce despite the long-liquidation selling, while September silver climbed 17.5 cents to $16.651.

 

gold.gif?0.2924175530478188

AM-PM Roundup

Gold Extends Overnight Losses in Thin U.S. Morning Trading

 

(Kitco News) - Gold prices have added to overnight declines in morning trading action Monday. The sellers in the Comex futures market are taking advantage of thin, holiday trading conditions to push prices down and into pre-placed sell stop orders, which has exacerbated the price down-move. The U.S. dollar index is seeing a price rebound Monday, following last week's downslide, which is also a negative outside market force working against the precious metals markets. August gold futures were last down $15.50 an ounce at $1,226.80.

The market is "bipolar", swinging back and forth from a focus on Inflation to Deflation. Bet on swings; and stay flexible. What are bipolar markets? See: http://tinyurl.com/GEI-Manix




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